
GSW @ MIA






Todays Tuesday, March 25th Matchup Details
Todays Game is on Tuesday, March 25th 2025
25/03/25 19:30:00 PM EST Tipoff
Key Match Player Stats to Golden State Warriors at Miami Heat
Out of all players in the NBA, Bam Adebayo ranks in the 91st percentile for playing time, compiling a colossal 33.5 minutes per game at home this year.
When it comes to treys, the Miami Heat’s stellar 37.8% rate of successful threes playing at home settles in as the 7th-highest in the league over the last 25 games.
The Warriors have played at the 10th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games away from their home court, which should raise opportunities for the Heat.
Bam Adebayo will hold the home court advantage in this contest. Playing with the home court advantage generally improves stat production for all stats.
Jimmy Butler has attempted 3.8 threes per game over the last 5 games, 2.0 higher than he’s attempted over the course of the season.
Jimmy Butler has been on the court for 31.3 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA: 83rd percentile.
This year when they are the visiting team, opposing starting PFs have shot 46.4% on 3-pointers (highest in the NBA) vs. the Miami Heat, identifying this as a good matchup.
The Golden State Warriors have played at the 10th-speediest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games away from their home court.
The Golden State Warriors check in as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA as the road team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create new chances for scoring and assists).
Duncan Robinson has sunk 2.5 three-pointers per game this year, ranking him in the 92nd percentile among all players in the NBA.
Duncan Robinson has attempted and missed 0.1 free throw attempts per game while on his home court this year, placing him among the best players in the NBA by this metric: 20th percentile for misses at home.
The matchup against Golden State is a good one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposing team’s starting SGs have attempted a whopping 3.2 foul shots per game this year when the Warriors are the visiting team (5th-most in the league).
Draymond Green has attempted 5.8 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 5 games, 2.2 more than he’s attempted over the course of the year.
Draymond Green has tallied 29.3 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the league: 78th percentile.
The matchup with Bam Adebayo rates in the 100th percentile with the opposition’s starting Cs nailing a monstrous 41.1% of their 3-point shots this year.
Kel’el Ware has made 6.6 buckets per game over the last 5 games, 2.8 more than he’s made overall this year.
Kel’el Ware has tallied 28.3 minutes per game over the last 15 games while playing at home, 4.8 more than he’s tallied overall this season at home.
The matchup vs. the Golden State Warriors is a favorable one for field goal attempts; opposing starting PFs have totaled the 5th-most shot attempts per game in the NBA this year (14.4).
Among all players in the league, Jimmy Butler slots into the 24th percentile for personal fouls, posting only 1.0 fouls per game while playing on the road this year.
Duncan Robinson will hold the home court advantage in this game. Playing with the home court advantage generally improves stat production in all facets of the game.
Over the last 10 games, the opposition’s starting PFs have averaged 5.7 three attempts per game (4th-highest in the NBA) against the Golden State Warriors, creating a favorable matchup.
Kel’el Ware will likely get a boost in efficiency in all facets of the game on account of controlling the home court advantage in this game.
Andrew Wiggins has made 10.4 baskets per game over the last 5 games at home, 2.0 more than he’s sunk overall this year while playing at home.
Andrew Wiggins has attempted 5.8 three-pointers per game this season, quite a bit more than his 3.6 mark last season.
The matchup vs. the Warriors is a good one for 3-point shots; the other team’s starting SFs have shot for the highest three percentage in the league this year (47.0%).
Among all players in the NBA, Bam Adebayo measures in the 85th percentile for field goals hit when playing at home, posting a monstrous 6.5 per game this year.
Bam Adebayo has converted 90.7% of his foul shots over the last 10 games, 15.4% higher than he’s made over the course of the year.
Tyler Herro has been on the court for 35.6 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the league: 97th percentile.
The matchup vs. the Warriors is a strong one for 3-pointers; the other team’s starting PGs have shot for the 6th-highest three percentage in the league this year (38.4%).
Tyler Herro figures to get a boost in output across the board due to enjoying the home court advantage in this contest.
Moses Moody has attempted 10.0 field goals per game over the last 5 games, 2.4 more than he’s attempted in all games this season.
Moses Moody has averaged 30.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games while playing away from home, 7.5 higher than he’s averaged over the course of the season on the road.
This year, the opposition’s starting SFs have tallied 12.2 field goal attempts per game (7th-most in the NBA) against the Heat, designating this as a favorable matchup.
The rate of three-pointers hit against Andrew Wiggins has been quite high (52.7%) when he is playing at home and facing other starting SFs this year (100th percentile).
Andrew Wiggins has been on the court for 30.9 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the NBA: 83rd percentile.
Stephen Curry has posted 34.8 points per game over the last 5 games without the home court advantage, 9.2 more than he’s posted in all games this season on the road.
Stephen Curry has averaged 32.1 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA: 86th percentile.
The matchup vs. the Heat is a good one; they have allowed the 4th-most points per game in the NBA to the other team’s starting PGs over the last 10 games (23.1).
Brandin Podziemski has converted 2.8 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 5 games, 1.3 higher than he’s converted from beyond the arc over the course of the year.
The matchup vs. the Heat is a strong one for shots from behind the three-point arc; the other team’s starting SGs have tallied the most 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (6.3).
Brandin Podziemski has successfully made 89.3% of his foul shots over the last 10 games on the road, 13.1% more than he’s put through the hoop in all games this year when playing away from home.
Stephen Curry has successfully made 38.4% of his 3-point attempts without the home court advantage this year, putting him in the 79th percentile out of all players in the league.
Stephen Curry has attempted 11.1 threes per game this year, ranking him in the 100th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
Over the last 5 games, opposing starting PGs have totaled 8.8 three attempts per game (highest in the NBA) against the Heat, branding this as a good matchup.
The matchup against Golden State is a favorable one; when the Warriors are the visiting team, they have given up the most points per game in the league to the opposition’s starting PGs this year (24.4).
Tyler Herro has converted a whopping 3.5 free throws per game this year, quite a bit more than his 2.3 mark last year.
The matchup against the Heat is a favorable one for three-point attempts; the opposing team’s starting SFs have tallied the 5th-most three attempts per game in the league over the last 10 games (5.5).
Negative Match Player Stats Trends that should impact Golden State Warriors at Miami Heat
Bam Adebayo has made 27.3% of his 3-point shots this year, putting him in the 24th percentile out of all players in the league.
The number of 3-point shots attempted against Draymond Green has been very low (1.5 per game) when guarding opposing starting Cs this year (7th percentile).
The most sluggish pace-of-play home offense in the NBA this year has been the Heat.
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and bring about added chances for scoring and assists, but the Heat rank 1stworst in in the league while at home with a mere 8.3 offensive rebounds per game this year.
Relative to last year’s 13.3 clip, Jimmy Butler’s field goal attempts have been reduced this year to 11.0 per game.
The Warriors have been the 5th-least efficient shooting team in the NBA this year.
The Warriors will likely see a decline in plays in this game from sharing the court with the least up-tempo tempo home offense in the league this year (the Heat).
Over the last 10 games, the opposition’s starting PFs have attempted 1.8 free throws per game (2nd-lowest in the league) vs. the Heat, struggling to get to the charity stripe.
Jimmy Butler ought to see a decline in performance in all stat categories considering playing on the visting team in this game.
The matchup vs. Golden State is a difficult one for threes; when the Warriors are the visiting team, opposing starting SGs have put up the lowest 3-point percentage in the league this year (21.6%).
Draymond Green has averaged 4.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 more than he’s averaged over the course of the season.
Draymond Green figures to see a decline in production for all stats in light of playing on the visting team in this matchup.
Kel’el Ware has accumulated 2.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 more than he’s accumulated over the course of the year.
Kel’el Ware has converted 46.7% of his foul shots over the last 15 games, 20.3% lower than he’s sunk over the course of the season.
Kel’el Ware has sunk 26.6% of his 3-point attempts this year, placing him in the 21st percentile among all players in the NBA.
Andrew Wiggins has tallied 2.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.1 higher than he’s tallied in all games this year.
The matchup vs. the Warriors is a challenging one for getting to the free-throw line; the other team’s starting SFs have attempted a mere 2.4 free throws per game this year (8th-least in the league).
The number of points tallied against Draymond Green has been very low (10.4 per game) when he is playing on the road and guarding other starting Cs this year (4th percentile).
In comparison to last year’s 5.0 rate, Tyler Herro’s unsuccessful 3-point shots have jumped this year to 5.8 per game.
Moses Moody will not have the home court advantage in this game. Playing on the road generally lowers stat production in all stat categories.
Stephen Curry will likely suffer a drop-off in production in all facets of the game considering playing away from home in this matchup.
Brandin Podziemski will not possess the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home court usually worsens player performance for all stats.
Relative to last year’s 49.1% rate, Draymond Green’s scoring efficiency has decreased this year to 41.3%.
The number of fouls drawn by other starting Cs against Bam Adebayo has been very low this year (2.5 foul shots per game: 22nd percentile).
Moses Moody has failed to make 3.8 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 higher than he’s missed from three over the course of the year.
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