
OKC @ DEN







Todays Sunday, May 11th Matchup Details
Playoffs Game 4 is on Sunday, May 11th 2025
11/05/25 15:30:00 PM EST Tipoff
Playoffs Game 4 Key Match Player Stats to Oklahoma City Thunder at Denver Nuggets
Aaron Gordon has made a terrific 42.1% of his three-pointers this season, a big improvement over his 26.9 mark last season.
Aaron Gordon has attempted 4.8 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 1.3 higher than he’s attempted in all games this season.
Aaron Gordon has played 40.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games while playing at home, 9.8 more than he’s played in all games this season at home.
The Denver Nuggets are expected to see an increase in plays in this contest from facing the 2nd-quickest tempo offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Oklahoma City Thunder).
Offensive rebounds save possession and spark further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Denver Nuggets rank 9th-best in in the NBA with 11.8 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games.
Out of all players in the NBA, Luguentz Dort rates in the 77th percentile for shots from behind the three-point arc away from home, averaging 4.8 per game this year.
Among all players in the NBA, Luguentz Dort ranks in the 78th percentile for playing time, compiling a massive 29.3 minutes per game this year.
Over the last 5 games when they are the visiting squad, the opposing team’s starting SGs have tallied 20.4 points per game (2nd-highest in the NBA) vs. the Nuggets, labeling this as a strong matchup for offensive performance.
The Thunder have played at the 2nd-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games.
The Thunder rank as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide additional chances for scoring and assists).
Jalen Williams has attempted 5.0 three-point shots per game this year, putting him in the 79th percentile among all players in the league.
Out of all players in the league, Jalen Williams measures in the 89th percentile for playing time, compiling a colossal 32.7 minutes per game this year.
Michael Porter Jr. has put up 17.9 points per game at home this year, putting him in the 85th percentile — among the best in the NBA by this standard.
Michael Porter Jr. has successfully made 56.2% of his three-point attempts over the last 5 games at home, 16.6% higher than he’s converted from beyond the arc over the course of the season on his home court.
Michael Porter Jr. has averaged 33.4 minutes per game playing at home this year, ranking in the 91st percentile — putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA.
Chet Holmgren has attempted 5.6 three-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.7 more than he’s attempted overall this season.
Among all players in the league, Chet Holmgren comes in at the 75th percentile for playing time, registering a massive 27.9 minutes per game this year.
Chet Holmgren has sunk 5.0 free throws per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.2 more than he’s put through the hoop in all games this year when playing away from home.
Alex Caruso has made 1.8 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 5 games, 0.6 more than he’s converted in all games this year.
Alex Caruso has attempted 3.1 free throws per game over the last 10 games when playing away from home, 1.9 higher than he’s attempted over the course of the season on the road.
Out of all players in the NBA, Nikola Jokic ranks in the 92nd percentile for three-point ability while at home with a very good 45.5% rate this year.
Nikola Jokic has attempted 6.3 treys per game over the last 10 games when playing at home, 1.1 higher than he’s attempted over the course of the season at home.
Nikola Jokic has been on the court for 37.2 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the league: 99th percentile.
The number of three-point shots attempted against Isaiah Hartenstein has been remarkably high (2.5 per game) when defending other starting Cs this year (100th percentile).
Aaron Gordon has made 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 17.8% more than he’s put through the hoop overall this year.
Russell Westbrook has attempted 11.1 shots from the field per game this year, ranking in the 79th percentile out of all players in the league.
Russell Westbrook has attempted 5.2 foul shots per game over the last 5 games, 2.0 more than he’s attempted overall this season.
Russell Westbrook will hold the home court advantage in this contest. Playing at home usually improves player performance across the board.
Jamal Murray has successfully made 3.2 shots from downtown per game over the last 15 games at home, 0.6 more than he’s sunk over the course of the year playing at home.
Jamal Murray has tallied 41.7 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 4.8 higher than he’s tallied in all games this season.
This year, the opposition’s starting PGs have tallied 7.7 3-point attempts per game (most in the league) vs. the Thunder, making this a favorable matchup.
Christian Braun has successfully made 1.8 three-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 0.7 higher than he’s converted from beyond the arc overall this season.
Among all players in the NBA, Christian Braun measures in the 93rd percentile for playing time, posting a whopping 34.5 minutes per game on his home court this year.
The matchup against the Thunder is a favorable one for threes; the opposition’s starting SGs have compiled the 2nd-highest three rate in the NBA this year (44.1%).
Jamal Murray has converted 9.8 baskets per game over the last 5 games at home, 2.2 higher than he’s put through the net over the course of the year with the home court advantage.
In contrast to last season’s 1.3 rate, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander’s three-pointers scored have increased this season to 2.1 per game.
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has played 34.4 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA: 93rd percentile.
The showdown with Nikola Jokic lands in only the 100th percentile for difficulty with opposing starting Cs posting an enormous 15.0 points per game this year.
The matchup vs. Nikola Jokic is a strong one for getting to the free-throw line; when facing opposing starting Cs this year, they have attempted a whopping 2.9 free throws per game (75th percentile).
Christian Braun has sunk a whopping 2.1 free throws per game this year, quite a bit higher than his 1.1 mark last year.
Among all players in the NBA, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander registers in the 100th percentile, totaling a whopping 32.2 points per game this year.
Over the last 5 games when they are away from home, the opposition’s starting SGs have averaged 7.6 three attempts per game (5th-most in the league) against the Nuggets, branding this as a good matchup.
Out of all players in the league, Nikola Jokic measures in the 100th percentile, totaling a massive 29.0 points per game this year.
Jalen Williams has registered 29.4 points per game over the last 5 games while playing on the road, 6.4 higher than he’s registered overall this season on the road.
Michael Porter Jr. will possess the home court advantage in this game. Playing in your home stadium generally raises player production in all stat categories.
Negative Match Player Stats Trends that should impact Oklahoma City Thunder at Denver Nuggets
Aaron Gordon has tallied 3.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games while on his home court, 1.3 more than he’s tallied overall this season at home.
The Nuggets have been the least aggressive offense in the league this year when it comes to shot attempts from downtown.
Over the last 5 games, the opposing team’s starting PFs have averaged 2.2 three attempts per game (lowest in the league) vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder, branding this as a tough matchup.
The 7th-most sluggish pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Nuggets.
Luguentz Dort has been called for 4.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games when playing on the road, 0.9 more than he’s been called for in all games this year on the road.
The Thunder will likely suffer a drop-off in opportunities today from being pitted against the 7th-slowest pace offense in the league over the last 10 games (the Denver Nuggets).
As a team, the Thunder have been poor at getting to the free-throw line: 8th-worst in the NBA this year, totaling a lowly 20.9 foul shots per game.
Luguentz Dort will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing while traveling generally lowers player production across the board.
Among all players in the NBA, Jalen Williams rates in the 79th percentile for personal fouls, registering a monstrous 2.2 fouls per game this year.
This year, the opposing team’s starting SFs have tallied 3.9 three attempts per game (4th-lowest in the NBA) against the Nuggets, making this a tough matchup.
Jalen Williams stands to experience a decrease in efficiency in all facets of the game in light of playing away from home in this matchup.
This year, the opposition’s starting SFs have averaged 25.5% on 3-pointers (2nd-lowest in the league) vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder, resulting in a hard matchup.
Over the last 10 games when they have the home court advantage, the opposing team’s starting SFs have attempted 2.0 foul shots per game (2nd-fewest in the NBA) against the Oklahoma City Thunder, making it tough to get to the free-throw line.
This year, the opposing team’s starting PFs have averaged 3.7 three attempts per game (4th-fewest in the league) against the Denver Nuggets, marking this as a tough matchup.
The matchup vs. the Denver Nuggets is a difficult one for drawing fouls; opposing starting PFs have attempted a lowly 2.6 free throws per game this year (least in the league).
Chet Holmgren will not possess the home court advantage in this contest. Playing without the home court advantage usually decreases stat production in all facets of the game.
Alex Caruso will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home city tends to worsen player performance in all stat categories.
Nikola Jokic has averaged 4.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.8 higher than he’s averaged overall this season.
Over the last 5 games when they are on their home court, the opposition’s starting PFs have put up 11.0 points per game (3rd-lowest in the NBA) against the Thunder, resulting in a challenging matchup for offensive productivity.
Russell Westbrook has tallied 4.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.6 higher than he’s tallied overall this season.
Christian Braun has accumulated 3.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games when playing at home, 1.2 more than he’s accumulated overall this year at home.
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has committed 3.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 more than he’s committed in all games this year.
The matchup vs. Denver is a challenging one for three-pointers; when the Nuggets are playing at home, the opposition’s starting PGs have compiled the 2nd-lowest three rate in the NBA this year (20.5%).
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander will not enjoy the home court advantage in this contest. Playing without the home court advantage tends to reduce player performance for all stats.
Isaiah Hartenstein has sunk just 0.0% of his attempts from beyond the arc this year, a sizeable decrease from his 50.0 mark last year.
Isaiah Hartenstein has accumulated 4.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 more than he’s accumulated in all games this year.
In comparison to last year’s 73.3% mark, Isaiah Hartenstein’s free-throw effectiveness has tailed off this year to 62.8%.
The matchup vs. Oklahoma is a difficult one for scoring; when the Thunder are away from home, the opposing team’s starting SGs have compiled the lowest field goal rate in the league this year (34.7%).
The matchup vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder may be a tough one for getting to the free-throw line; the opposition’s starting SGs have attempted a lowly 1.9 free throws per game over the last 20 games (least in the league).
The matchup vs. the Denver Nuggets may be a tough one for drawing fouls; the opposing team’s starting SFs have attempted a mere 2.6 free throws per game over the last 20 games (5th-least in the NBA).
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