HOU @ DAL






Todays Saturday, January 3rd Matchup Details
NBA Game is on Saturday, January 3rd 2026
03/01/26 20:30:00 PM EST Tipoff
Positive Player Stats should contribute to these Odds, Houston Rockets at Dallas Mavericks Predictions & Best Bets
The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 5th-quickest tempo in the league over the last 10 games, which ought to boost possessions for the Rockets.
Offensive rebounds retain possession and produce more chances for scoring and assists, and the Houston Rockets grade out best in in the NBA with 16.0 offensive rebounds per game this year.
The matchup against Dallas is a good one for three-point shots; when the Mavericks are at home, the opposition’s starting SGs have averaged the 3rd-most three-pointers per game in the NBA this year (2.8).
The matchup vs. Dallas may be a strong one for drawing fouls; the opposing team’s starting SFs have attempted a massive 3.5 foul shots per game over the last 17 games when the Mavericks are at home (8th-most in the league).
This year, the opposition’s starting PFs have totaled 16.0 field goal attempts per game (most in the league) vs. the Mavericks, branding this as a good matchup.
The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 5th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games.
With respect to drawing fouls, the Mavericks’s remarkable 26.6 free throws per game while at home comes in as the 9th-best in the league this year.
This year, opposing starting PFs have attempted 5.4 foul shots per game (2nd-highest in the NBA) against the Houston Rockets, easily managing to get to the foul line.
This year when they are the visiting squad, the opposition’s starting PFs have totaled 4.8 3-point attempts per game (8th-highest in the league) against the Mavericks, making this a favorable matchup.
Cooper Flagg has posted 23.5 points per game over the last 15 games, 4.4 higher than he’s posted overall this year.
This year when they are at home, the opposing team’s starting SFs have totaled 2.4 threes per game (3rd-highest in the league) vs. the Houston Rockets, branding this as a favorable matchup.
Prediction Houston Rockets at Dallas Mavericks Odds, Best Bets & Team Prop from Negative Player Stats
The Rockets have been the least aggressive offense in the NBA this year in regard to 3-point attempts.
This year when they are the visiting squad, opposing starting PGs have totaled 4.6 3-point attempts per game (4th-lowest in the NBA) against the Mavericks, branding this as a difficult matchup.
The Rockets have played at the least up-tempo tempo in the league without the home court advantage this year.
Over the last 20 games, opposing starting PGs have attempted 2.9 foul shots per game (fewest in the NBA) against the Dallas Mavericks, facing an uphill battle to get to the foul line.
Over the last 10 games, the other team’s starting SGs have attempted 1.8 free throws per game (6th-fewest in the league) vs. the Mavericks, making it tough to get to the foul line.
The matchup against Dallas is a tough one for threes; when the Dallas Mavericks are at home, opposing starting SFs have totaled the least three-point shots per game in the NBA this year (0.8).
This year when they are the visiting squad, the opposition’s starting PFs have attempted 2.5 foul shots per game (3rd-fewest in the league) against the Dallas Mavericks, struggling to draw fouls.
The matchup vs. the Rockets is a tough one; they have given up the least points per game in the NBA to the opposition’s starting SGs over the last 20 games (12.6).
The Houston Rockets have played at the most sluggish pace in the NBA without the home court advantage this year, which should lead to decreased opportunities for the Mavericks.
Offensive rebounds retain possession and spark extra opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Dallas Mavericks grade out 5thworst in in the NBA with only 10.1 offensive rebounds per game this year.
The matchup against Houston may be a difficult one for getting to the foul line; the opposing team’s starting SGs have attempted a lowly 1.0 free throws per game over the last 5 games when the Houston Rockets are away from home (4th-least in the league).
The matchup vs. the Houston Rockets is a hard one for three-pointers; the other team’s starting PFs have shot for the lowest three rate in the league this year (21.7%).
The matchup vs. Houston may be a tough one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposing team’s starting SFs have attempted a measly 2.0 foul shots per game over the last 10 games when the Rockets are away from home (2nd-least in the NBA).
Over the last 20 games, opposing starting SGs have totaled 4.7 three attempts per game (fewest in the league) vs. the Houston Rockets, marking this as a hard matchup.
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