
Kawhi Leonard went into Game 4 at Golden State as an even-money favorite to win NBA Finals MVP honors for the second time in his career. After the 105-92 victory at Oracle Arena gave Toronto a 3-1 lead in the series, he was issued a -400 price to win the award going into Game 5.
With the Warriors mounting a sick rally at crunch time to win a 106-105 decision, the best-of-seven set is heading back to Oakland for Thursday’s Game 6. Sportsbook has updated its odds to win Finals MVP.
The offshore betting shop has Leonard as the -325 “chalk.” The next-shortest odds belong to Steph Curry, who is at +300. Curry’s fellow Splash Brother, Klay Thompson, had 25/1 odds on Tuesday. However, those odds had been reduced to 18/1 by late Wednesday morning.
Draymond Green’s odds saw an even bigger shift from Tuesday to Wednesday. When I initially filed this story on Tuesday, Green had 30/1 odds. Then I woke up on Wednesday to see him with a 12/1 number.
The rest of the board looks like this: Pascal Siakam (75/1), Kyle Lowry (100/1), Serge Ibaka (100/1), Marc Gasol (150/1) Fred VanVleet (200/1) and Andre Iguodala (250/1). The Field (any other player) offers a 100/1 payout.
Leonard will undoubtedly garner the award if the Raptors win their first NBA championship, but his price is way too expensive at this point. If the Warriors rally from down 3-1 and win a third consecutive title, it’s probably going to come down to Curry or Thompson.
However, with Golden State available at +280 for the updated series price, betting Curry would be silly since you can get a better payout on the Warriors (Curry had +250 odds on Tuesday; those odds are now +300. Nevertheless, the payout of an extra 20 cents still makes Curry a silly wager). Therefore, I think this proposition wager is a pass unless you want to give Thompson some consideration.
Remember, Thompson missed Game 3 and was unable to return after injuring his hamstring in the second half of Game 2. He returned to drop 28 points on Toronto in Game 4, burying 11-of-18 field-goal attempts.
Then in Monday’s Game 5, it was Thompson who sank two of the three triples in Golden State’s 9-0 run in the final 2:29 of play. He finished with 26 points, six rebounds, one steal and four assists compared to only one turnover.
In Game 1, the eighth-year guard out of Washington State had 21 points and five rebounds. Before leaving Game 2, Thompson contributed 25 points, five rebounds, one steal and five assists compared to just one turnover.
If the Warriors win the series, Thompson will have a legit shot at winning the award if he can drop big numbers in these last two games.