
MIA @ TOR






Todays Sunday, December 1st Matchup Details
Todays Game is on Sunday, December 1st 2024
01/12/24 18:00:00 PM EST Tipoff
Key Match Player Stats to Miami Heat at Toronto Raptors
Scottie Barnes has attempted 7.8 three-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 2.2 higher than he’s attempted in all games this season.
Scottie Barnes has played 31.0 minutes per game while playing at home this year, ranking in the 83rd percentile — seeing the court more than most players in the NBA.
The matchup vs. the Miami Heat is a positive one for 3-point attempts; the other team’s starting PGs have averaged the most 3-point attempts per game in the league over the last 5 games (8.8).
The 8th-fastest pace-of-play home offense in the league this year has been the Raptors.
The Raptors have been the best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added chances for scoring and assists).
Tyler Herro has successfully made 40.7% of his shots from downtown this year, putting him in the 81st percentile among all players in the NBA.
Tyler Herro has attempted 11.4 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games when playing on the road, 1.7 more than he’s attempted overall this season on the road.
Among all players in the NBA, Tyler Herro ranks in the 91st percentile for playing time, compiling a massive 34.9 minutes per game away from his home court this year.
With respect to threes, the Heat’s exceptional 39.7% rate of converted threes when playing on the road ranks most in the NBA this year.
The matchup vs. the Raptors is a favorable one for shot attempts from downtown; opposing starting PGs have totaled the 7th-most 3-point attempts per game in the NBA over the last 5 games (7.0).
Davion Mitchell will have the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home city generally boosts player production across the board.
Out of all players in the league, Tyler Herro registers in the 94th percentile, posting a monstrous 23.6 points per game this year.
The Heat have been the 10th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 9 games away from home.
The Raptors have played at the 8th-quickest tempo in the NBA in their home stadium this year, which ought to increase plays for the Miami Heat.
Bam Adebayo has converted 42.0% of his treys over the last 10 games, 13.8% higher than he’s converted over the course of the year.
Among all players in the league, Bam Adebayo lands in the 93rd percentile for playing time, averaging a monstrous 35.4 minutes per game this year.
Jakob Poeltl has sunk 8.8 buckets per game over the last 5 games at home, 1.6 more than he’s put through the hoop over the course of the season at home.
Jakob Poeltl has been on the court for 32.3 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA: 83rd percentile.
The rate of three-pointers scored against Bam Adebayo has been remarkably high (56.9%) when defending other starting Cs this year (100th percentile).
The matchup vs. the Toronto Raptors is a positive one for 3-point attempts; the opposition’s starting PFs have tallied the 5th-most three attempts per game in the league this year (4.9).
Among all players in the NBA, RJ Barrett slots into the 82nd percentile for three-point attempts, averaging 5.9 per game this year.
RJ Barrett has averaged 34.4 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the NBA: 90th percentile.
This year when they are on their home court, the opposition’s starting SFs have averaged 5.8 3-point attempts per game (3rd-most in the league) vs. the Heat, designating this as a good matchup.
Duncan Robinson has successfully made 2.6 shots from downtown per game this year, ranking him in the 91st percentile among all players in the league.
Duncan Robinson has been on the court for 28.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games while playing on the road, 4.3 more than he’s been on the court for overall this season on the road.
The matchup against Toronto is a positive one for shots from the field; when the Raptors have the home court advantage, the other team’s starting SGs have totaled the most field goal attempts per game in the NBA this year (15.6).
Jimmy Butler has sunk 62.5% of his attempts from downtown over the last 5 games, 32.2% more than he’s sunk in all games this year.
Out of all players in the NBA, Terry Rozier ranks in the 75th percentile for playing time, logging a whopping 30.2 minutes per game this year.
Over the last 10 games, the opposition’s starting PGs have averaged 23.1 points per game (4th-most in the league) vs. the Heat, making this a good matchup for offensive output.
Ochai Agbaji has converted 41.6% of his three-point shots this year, ranking him in the 82nd percentile among all players in the league.
Among all players in the NBA, Ochai Agbaji comes in at the 77th percentile for playing time, tallying a whopping 30.8 minutes per game when playing at home this year.
The matchup vs. the Miami Heat is a good one for three-point shots; the opposing team’s starting PFs have put up the 2nd-highest 3-point rate in the NBA this year (43.4%).
The number of points tallied against Jakob Poeltl has been quite high (17.7 per game) when facing fellow starting Cs this year (96th percentile).
Jimmy Butler has scored 23.6 points per game over the last 5 games, 4.6 higher than he’s scored in all games this season.
Jimmy Butler has attempted 10.2 free throws per game over the last 5 games, 2.0 more than he’s attempted in all games this year.
Out of all players in the NBA, Haywood Highsmith lands in the 79th percentile for shooting proficiency while on the road with a remarkable 52.0% rate this year.
Haywood Highsmith has converted 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 36.7% more than he’s sunk in all games this year.
This year when they are the visiting team, the other team’s starting SGs have totaled 3.2 three-pointers per game (2nd-highest in the league) vs. the Toronto Raptors, designating this as a favorable matchup.
Ochai Agbaji has successfully made 56.1% of his field goal attempts on his home court this year, putting him in the 83rd percentile out of all players in the NBA.
Negative Match Player Stats Trends that should impact Miami Heat at Toronto Raptors
Among all players in the league, Scottie Barnes places in the 24th percentile for 3-point ability with a subpar 23.0% rate this year.
In regard to shot attempts from downtown, the least aggressive offense in the league this year has been the Toronto Raptors.
The Toronto Raptors are expected to experience a decrease in plays in this contest from facing the 4th-most sluggish pace team in the NBA this year (the Miami Heat).
The 4th-slowest tempo offense in the league this year has been the Miami Heat.
The Miami Heat rank as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games while playing away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).
Tyler Herro will not have the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home court usually reduces player performance in all stat categories.
Davion Mitchell has converted a mere 35.4% of his field goals this year, quite a bit less than his 40.8 rate last year.
Out of all players in the NBA, Davion Mitchell lands in the 89th percentile for personal fouls, tallying an enormous 2.8 fouls per game this year.
The matchup vs. the Raptors is a difficult one; they have given up the 4th-least points per game in the league to the opposing team’s starting PGs over the last 20 games (17.1).
The matchup against Toronto may be a challenging one for drawing fouls; the opposition’s starting PGs have attempted a mere 3.3 foul shots per game over the last 5 games when the Raptors are playing at home (5th-least in the league).
When squaring off against opposing starting Cs, Jakob Poeltl rates in the 14th percentile with just 1.6 three-point shots attempted against him per game this year.
Bam Adebayo should experience a decrease in output across the board on account of playing on the visting team in this contest.
Out of all players in the NBA, Jakob Poeltl rates in the 99th percentile for personal fouls, compiling an enormous 3.8 fouls per game at home this year.
The faceoff with Bam Adebayo in regard to drawing fouls slots into the 22nd percentile for difficulty with the other side’s starting Cs attempting a mere 2.5 foul shots per game this year.
Haywood Highsmith figures to suffer a drop-off in output in all stat categories considering playing away from home in this game.
RJ Barrett has failed to make 10.6 shots from the field per game this season, quite a bit more than his 7.7 mark last season.
Over the last 10 games, opposing starting SGs have attempted 1.2 free throws per game (lowest in the league) vs. the Raptors, facing an uphill battle to get to the free-throw line.
Duncan Robinson will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing while traveling usually decreases player production across the board.
The matchup against Toronto is a difficult one for three-point attempts; when the Raptors are at home, the other team’s starting SFs have totaled the least 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (3.1).
Jimmy Butler is expected to suffer a reduction in output in all stat categories considering being on the road in this matchup.
Terry Rozier has successfully made 24.3% of his shots from downtown when playing away from home this year, ranking in the 24th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
Terry Rozier should suffer a reduction in effectiveness in all stat categories due to playing on the visting team in this matchup.
Scottie Barnes has shot and missed 1.7 foul shots per game this season, quite a bit more than his 0.9 rate last season.
Among all players in the NBA, Ochai Agbaji comes in at the 85th percentile for personal fouls, putting up a monstrous 2.6 fouls per game this year.
Bam Adebayo has sunk just 64.3% of his free throw attempts this year, significantly less than his 74.4 rate last year.
Terry Rozier has shot and missed 6.6 field goals per game this year, putting him among the worst players in the NBA by this metric: 77th percentile for misses .
The matchup against the Raptors may be a difficult one for getting to the free-throw line; the opposing team’s starting PFs have attempted just 2.7 foul shots per game over the last 25 games (2nd-least in the league).
Over the last 10 games, opposing starting PFs have attempted 1.8 free throws per game (2nd-lowest in the league) against the Heat, facing an uphill battle to draw fouls.
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