Todays Game 3 Matchup Details

Player match stat positives for New York at Philadelphia Game 3 Matchup Today

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Bryce Harper ranks as the 10th-best hitter in the majors.

Bryce Harper is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in today’s game.

Citizens Bank Park grades out as the #6 venue in Major League Baseball for lefty home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is predicted to have the 5th-hottest temperature of all games on the slate today at 86°.

Bryce Harper will probably have an advantage against every reliever throughout the game, since the bullpen of the New York Yankees only has 1 same-handed RP.

Kyle Schwarber projects as the 2nd-best home run batter in the game, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Kyle Schwarber is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in today’s game.

Long-balls are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all stadiums.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Castellanos in the 86th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability.

Nick Castellanos is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this game.

Nick Castellanos will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Nestor Cortes today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trea Turner in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.

Trea Turner is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card today.

Citizens Bank Park ranks as the #6 venue in Major League Baseball for RHB home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

When it comes to his batting average talent, Trea Turner is projected as the 16th-best batter in MLB by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Nick Castellanos ranks in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alex Verdugo in the 90th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent.

Alex Verdugo has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.1%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of MLB’s 10th-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.

Out of every team in action today, the worst outfield defense is that of the Philadelphia Phillies.

Alex Verdugo has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 95.8-mph average in the last 14 days to his seasonal figure of 90.2-mph.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Aaron Judge ranks as the best hitter in the majors.

Aaron Judge is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card today.

Hitting from the opposite that Cristopher Sanchez throws from, Aaron Judge will have the upper hand today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.T. Realmuto in the 89th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent.

Batting from the opposite that Nestor Cortes throws from, J.T. Realmuto will have the upper hand in today’s matchup.

Among every team playing today, the 4th-worst outfield defense belongs to the New York Yankees.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Juan Soto ranks as the 3rd-best hitter in the game.

Juan Soto is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this game.

Giancarlo Stanton projects as the 5th-best home run hitter in the game, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Giancarlo Stanton will have the handedness advantage against Cristopher Sanchez in today’s matchup.

Giancarlo Stanton pulls many of his flyballs (33.7% — 78th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league’s 10th-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.

Anthony Volpe is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this matchup.

Batting from the opposite that Cristopher Sanchez throws from, Anthony Volpe will have an edge in today’s game.

DJ LeMahieu will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Cristopher Sanchez today.

DJ LeMahieu has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 95.9-mph average over the past week to his seasonal average of 91.2-mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Bohm in the 96th percentile when assessing his batting average skill.

Alec Bohm is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this game.

Bryce Harper has an 84th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.1%) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them in the direction of the game’s 10th-shallowest LF fences today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Anthony Volpe in the 83rd percentile when estimating his BABIP skill.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Kyle Schwarber ranks as the 20th-best batter in baseball.

The New York Yankees have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Kyle Schwarber can likely count on never losing the platoon advantage against the ‘pen all game.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Alex Verdugo ranks in the 77th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Austin Hays will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Nestor Cortes in today’s matchup.

Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Austin Hays will hold that advantage today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Cristopher Sanchez in the 91st percentile as it relates to his overall pitching abilities.

Cristopher Sanchez has tallied 17.2 outs per start this year, grading out in the 78th percentile.

Ryan Blakney grades out as a Huge Pitchers Umpire and is scheduled to be calling pitches in this game.

Cristopher Sanchez is an extreme groundball pitcher (54.7% GB% per the leading projection system, THE BAT), which should make him somewhat immune to the dangers of pitching in Citizens Bank Park — the #7 HR venue in Major League Baseball — in this game.

The 4th-best projected offense of the day in terms of overall offensive ability belongs to the Philadelphia Phillies.

With 7 bats who bat from the other side in the opposing team’s projected lineup, Nestor Cortes has a tough challenge while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in this matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.T. Realmuto in the 88th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects DJ LeMahieu in the 81st percentile as it relates to his batting average talent.

Batting from the opposite that Nestor Cortes throws from, Alec Bohm will have an advantage in today’s matchup.

Batting from the opposite that Nestor Cortes throws from, Trea Turner will have an edge in today’s matchup.

Cristopher Sanchez’s 93.8-mph velocity on his fastball this season is a significant 2.2-mph increase from last season’s 91.6-mph figure.

Cristopher Sanchez has experienced some negative variance in regards to his strikeouts this year, posting a 7.12 K/9 despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 7.82 — a 0.69 K/9 gap.

Nestor Cortes has averaged 92.4 adjusted pitches per outing this year, grading out in the 79th percentile.

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Alec Bohm ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Nestor Cortes in the 81st percentile when assessing his strikeout ability.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Giancarlo Stanton ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Wednesday Game 3 player match stat slumps with Yankees vs Phillies Matchup

Built just 19 feet above sea level, Citizens Bank Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to worse offense.

Nestor Cortes will have the handedness advantage over Bryce Harper today.

In terms of his home runs, Bryce Harper has been very fortunate this year. His 36.4 HR per 600 plate appearances mark has been a good deal higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 24.5.

Nestor Cortes will have the handedness advantage against Kyle Schwarber in today’s game.

Kyle Schwarber’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off from last season to this one, going from 17.5% to 13%.

Kyle Schwarber has been lucky in regards to his home runs this year; his 30.3 HR per 600 plate appearances rate is significantly inflated relative to his 24.9 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Citizens Bank Park profiles as the #24 park in baseball for righty base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

In the last 14 days, Trea Turner’s exit velocity on flyballs has lowered from his seasonal EV of 92.3 mph to 89.3 mph.

When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Trea Turner has experienced some positive variance this year. His .383 rate has been considerably higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .334.

This season, there has been a decline in Trea Turner’s quickness with his Statcast Sprint Speed dropping from 30.23 ft/sec last year to 29.54 ft/sec currently.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.266) provides evidence that Trea Turner has been lucky this year with his .326 actual batting average.

Alex Verdugo is projected to hit 6th on the lineup card in today’s game, which would be a downgrade from his 67% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this season.

The #7 field in MLB for suppressing BABIP to LHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citizens Bank Park.

Batting from the same side that Cristopher Sanchez throws from, Alex Verdugo has a tough challenge in today’s game.

Alex Verdugo will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s matchup.

Aaron Judge will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s matchup.

Aaron Judge’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off this year; his 101.9-mph mark last year has fallen off to 99.9-mph.

Aaron Judge’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has fallen off from last season to this one, decreasing from 46.7% to 41.5%.

J.T. Realmuto is penciled in 8th in the lineup today, which would be a downgrade from his 98% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this season.

J.T. Realmuto’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased in recent games; his 93.7-mph seasonal EV has fallen to 81.7-mph in the last 7 days.

J.T. Realmuto’s launch angle this year (10.1°) is quite a bit lower than his 16.6° mark last season.

J.T. Realmuto has exhibited poor plate discipline this year, grading out in the 16th percentile with a 4.2 K/BB rate.

This year, Alex Verdugo’s flyball exit velocity (a reliable stat to measure power) is in the 24th percentile at 90.2 mph.

Cristopher Sanchez will have the handedness advantage over Juan Soto in today’s game.

Typically, bats like Juan Soto who hit a lot of groundballs tend to be less successful when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of groundballs such as Cristopher Sanchez.

Juan Soto will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s game.

Giancarlo Stanton is penciled in 7th on the lineup card in this matchup, which would be a downgrade from his 100% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this year.

Playing on the road typically lowers hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Giancarlo Stanton in today’s game.

Posting a 4.32 K/BB rate this year, Giancarlo Stanton has displayed bad plate discipline, grading out in the 14th percentile.

Anthony Volpe will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s matchup.

Anthony Volpe’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased this season; his 93.7-mph mark last year has dropped to 90.6-mph.

There has been a significant decline in Anthony Volpe’s launch angle from last season’s 14.1° to 6.2° this year.

As it relates to his home runs, Anthony Volpe has experienced some positive variance this year. His 10.0 HR per 600 plate appearances rate has been quite a bit higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 7.3.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects DJ LeMahieu in the 14th percentile when it comes to his home run ability.

DJ LeMahieu is penciled in 8th in the batting order in this game.

Typically, bats like DJ LeMahieu who hit a lot of groundballs tend to be less successful when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of groundballs such as Cristopher Sanchez.

Playing on the road typically lessens batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for DJ LeMahieu in today’s game.

Despite posting a .355 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Alec Bohm has had some very good luck given the .030 discrepancy between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .325.

Bryce Harper has had positive variance on his side thus far when it comes to with his wOBA this year; his .393 figure is a fair amount higher than his .365 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Kyle Schwarber has been lucky in regards to with his wOBA this year; his .362 figure is a good deal higher than his .339 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Austin Hays is projected to hit 9th in the batting order in today’s game.

Austin Hays’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined from last year to this one, decreasing from 18% to 11.5%.

Austin Hays’s quickness has declined this year. His 27.45 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 26.9 ft/sec now.

The New York Yankees projected lineup projects as the strongest on the slate in terms of overall offensive skill.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Citizens Bank Park as the 7th-best ballpark in the game for home runs.

In Major League Baseball, Citizens Bank Park’s LF dimensions are the 10th-shallowest.

The New York Yankees have 6 hitters in the projected lineup that will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Cristopher Sanchez in today’s game.

Despite posting a .464 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Aaron Judge has had some very good luck given the .039 gap between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .425.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Nestor Cortes in the 85th percentile when it comes to his overall pitching skills.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Austin Wells (the Yankees’s expected catcher in today’s matchup) projects as a good pitch framer.

Nestor Cortes has gone to his four-seam fastball 6.6% less often this year (45.4%) than he did last season (52%).

With a 4.88 K/BB rate this year, Austin Hays has demonstrated bad plate discipline, placing in the 22nd percentile.

Cristopher Sanchez will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s game, which ought to boost all of his stats across the board.

Cristopher Sanchez struggled when it came to striking batters out in his previous start and compiled 2 Ks.

Playing on the road typically weakens pitcher stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Nestor Cortes in today’s game.

Among all starting pitchers, Nestor Cortes’s fastball velocity of 91.3 mph ranks in the 19th percentile this year.