Yankees vs Orioles match player stats | 2025 Series Game 3 Wednesday, April 30th

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Yankees vs Orioles match player stats | 2025 Series Game 3 Wednesday, April 30th

NYY @ BAL

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Series Game 3 Matchup Details

New York Yankees at Baltimore Orioles
Series Game 3
Todays Game is on Wednesday, April 30th
30/04/25 18:35:00 PM EST First Pitch

Positive Match Player Stats for Yankees vs Orioles Series Game 3 Matchup Today

Anthony Volpe is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this matchup.

The #5 venue in the majors for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards.

According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 3rd-best for hitting on the schedule today.

Anthony Volpe will have the handedness advantage against Cade Povich today.

Anthony Volpe hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 89th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB’s 4th-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.

In the past week’s worth of games, Anthony Volpe’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 93.5-mph over the course of the season to 102.1-mph of late.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Heston Kjerstad in the 90th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability.

Oriole Park at Camden Yards projects as the #5 stadium in the game for lefty batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Hitting from the opposite that Carlos Carrasco throws from, Heston Kjerstad will have the upper hand in today’s game.

Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Heston Kjerstad will hold that advantage today.

Heston Kjerstad has made significant strides with his Barrel% in recent games, improving his 15.6% seasonal rate to 27.8% over the past 14 days.

Compared to his seasonal average of 19.7°, Heston Kjerstad has significantly improved his launch angle of late, posting a 36.3° figure in the last week.

Jasson Dominguez has made significant improvements with his Barrel% in recent games, upping his 8.2% seasonal rate to 16.7% in the last 7 days.

Jasson Dominguez has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 96.2-mph average in the last two weeks’ worth of games to his seasonal 87.9-mph EV.

Jasson Dominguez’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better of late, going from 16.3% on the season to 50% over the last week.

Jasson Dominguez has displayed impressive plate discipline since the start of last season, checking in at the 75th percentile with a 2.1 K/BB rate.

Jasson Dominguez’s BABIP ability is projected in the 89th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

The underlying talent of the New York Yankees projected batting order today (.331 projected wOBA according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) figures to be a fair amount weaker than their .349 wOBA this year.

It may be best to expect negative regression for the New York Yankees offense in the future, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) sees them as the 2nd-luckiest offense in MLB this year.

The #2 park in the majors for suppressing walks, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards.

Considering that groundball batters perform worse against groundball pitchers, Cade Povich (36% GB% via the leading projection system, THE BAT) is well-situated in today’s game with 3 GB hitters in the opposing club’s projected batting order.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Holliday in the 93rd percentile when estimating his BABIP talent.

Jackson Holliday will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Carlos Carrasco in today’s game.

Jackson Holliday will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s game, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Ramon Urias hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 87th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards MLB’s 4th-shallowest CF fences today.

Ramon Urias will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s game, which should boost all of his stats.

Ramon Urias has recorded a .264 batting average since the start of last season, ranking in the 77th percentile.

Cedric Mullins is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this matchup.

Batting from the opposite that Carlos Carrasco throws from, Cedric Mullins will have the upper hand in today’s game.

Cedric Mullins pulls a lot of his flyballs (36% — 91st percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards baseball’s shallowest RF fences in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cedric Mullins in the 77th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan Mountcastle in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his batting average talent.

Ryan Mountcastle is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this game.

Ryan Mountcastle has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.8%) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them out towards MLB’s shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Ryan Mountcastle ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats in all categories, and Ryan Mountcastle will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

Carlos Carrasco is an extreme groundball pitcher (44.5% GB% according to the leading projection system, THE BAT), which should make him somewhat immune to the dangers of pitching in Oriole Park at Camden Yards — the #7 HR venue among all major league stadiums — in today’s game.

The Baltimore Orioles have done a weak job as a team optimizing their launch angles on their highest exit velocity balls. Their 11.4° mark is among the lowest in the majors this year (#29 overall).

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Ryan O’Hearn ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Ryan O’Hearn is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in today’s game.

Batting from the opposite that Carlos Carrasco throws from, Ryan O’Hearn will have an advantage in today’s game.

Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Ryan O’Hearn will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan O’Hearn in the 94th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill.

Cody Bellinger is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in today’s game.

Cody Bellinger pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.6% — 78th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards baseball’s shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.

Cody Bellinger has seen a big gain in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 90.5-mph average to last year’s 87.8-mph figure.

There has been a significant improvement in Cody Bellinger’s launch angle from last year’s 17.3° to 20.4° this season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ramon Laureano in the 84th percentile when it comes to his home run skill.

Ramon Laureano has strong power (84th percentile) if he makes contact, but that’s never a sure thing (28.5% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Carlos Carrasco has a pitch-to-contact profile (18th percentile K%) — great news for Laureano.

Ramon Laureano will hold the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats.

Over the past 14 days, Ramon Laureano’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 16% up to 20%.

In the past 14 days, Ramon Laureano has been successful in optimizing the launch angle of his hardest hit balls to hit for power, putting up a 36.1° angle.

Ramon Laureano’s launch angle this season (22.2°) is quite a bit better than his 13.2° angle last year.

When assessing his home run skill, Trent Grisham ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Trent Grisham has made sizeable gains with his Barrel% in recent games, improving his 17.1% seasonal rate to 23.5% in the past two weeks’ worth of games.

Trent Grisham has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 97.2-mph average to last season’s 94.1-mph figure.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Paul Goldschmidt in the 84th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill.

Paul Goldschmidt is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card today.

Batting from the opposite that Cade Povich throws from, Paul Goldschmidt will have the upper hand in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Paul Goldschmidt in the 81st percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.

Over the past week, Paul Goldschmidt’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 7.7% up to 16.7%.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Aaron Judge ranks as the best hitter in baseball.

Aaron Judge is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this game.

Aaron Judge will hold the platoon advantage over Cade Povich today.

Aaron Judge hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 89th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards baseball’s 4th-shallowest CF fences today.

Oswald Peraza will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Cade Povich in today’s game.

When it comes to his home run talent, Austin Wells ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Austin Wells has made significant strides with his Barrel% recently, upping his 10.5% seasonal rate to 16.7% in the past two weeks.

Austin Wells has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 94.3-mph average in the last week’s worth of games to his seasonal 91.4-mph EV.

Austin Wells’s launch angle this season (22.9°) is a significant increase over his 16.9° figure last year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Adley Rutschman in the 89th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.

Adley Rutschman is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this game.

Adley Rutschman pulls many of his flyballs (33.2% — 75th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league’s shallowest RF fences in today’s game.

Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Adley Rutschman will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

Gunnar Henderson projects as the 16th-best hitter in the league, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Gunnar Henderson is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this matchup.

Gunnar Henderson will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Carlos Carrasco in today’s game.

Gunnar Henderson will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats.

Negative Match Player Stats with Yankees vs Orioles Series Game 3

Among every team in action today, the 3rd-best infield defense belongs to the Baltimore Orioles.

Anthony Volpe will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s game.

In the past 7 days, Anthony Volpe’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 12.5% down to 0%.

Over the past 7 days, Anthony Volpe’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 15.6%.

Anthony Volpe has had some very good luck with his home runs since the start of last season; his 12.7 HR per 600 plate appearances mark is significantly inflated relative to his 8.8 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Heston Kjerstad is projected to bat 6th in the lineup today.

Heston Kjerstad has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.7%) and will have to hit them out towards the game’s 3rd-deepest LF fences today.

Heston Kjerstad’s average exit velocity has fallen off in recent games; his 91.1-mph seasonal EV has lowered to 85.6-mph in the past week’s worth of games.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.283) suggests that Heston Kjerstad has been lucky since the start of last season with his .302 actual wOBA.

Sporting a 4.61 K/BB rate since the start of last season, Heston Kjerstad has displayed weak plate discipline, ranking in the 22nd percentile.

When it comes to his home runs, Heston Kjerstad has been lucky since the start of last season. His 22.7 HR per 600 plate appearances mark has been considerably higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 11.4.

Jasson Dominguez is penciled in 8th in the lineup in this matchup.

In the league, Oriole Park at Camden Yards’s left field fences are the 3rd-deepest.

The switch-hitting Jasson Dominguez will bat from his worse side (0) today against Cade Povich,Playing on the road generally weakens batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Jasson Dominguez in today’s matchup.

Lance Barksdale profiles as a Huge Hitters Umpire and is anticipated to be in charge of the strike zone in this game.

Oriole Park at Camden Yards has the shallowest RF fences in the majors.

Cade Povich is an extreme flyball pitcher (36.2% FB% according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) and is stuck pitching in the #7 HR venue in the league in this matchup.

Cade Povich has posted a 4.75 FIP (Fielding Independent Pitching, an estimator of ERA that concentrates on the things a pitcher has the most control over) since the start of last season, grading out in the 19th percentile.

Jackson Holliday is projected to bat 8th in the lineup in this game.

Jackson Holliday has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.5%) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the league’s 3rd-deepest LF fences today.

Typically, hitters like Jackson Holliday who hit a lot of flyballs are generally less successful when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of flyballs such as Carlos Carrasco.

Jackson Holliday has struggled with his Barrel% in recent games; his 5.9% seasonal rate has decreased to 0% over the last 7 days.

Jackson Holliday’s average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls this year (4°) is significantly lower than his 9.5° figure last season.

Ramon Urias is projected to hit 7th on the lineup card in this game.

Hitting from the same side that Carlos Carrasco throws from, Ramon Urias will not have the upper hand today.

Ramon Urias has struggled with his Barrel% lately; his 8.3% seasonal rate has fallen off to 0% in the past week’s worth of games.

Ramon Urias’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined from last year to this one, going from 15.6% to 8.3%.

Ramon Urias’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined of late, decreasing from 8.3% on the season to 0% in the past 7 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cedric Mullins in the 7th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability.

Over the last 7 days, Cedric Mullins’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 7.8% down to 0%.

Cedric Mullins has had positive variance on his side thus far when it comes to his home runs since the start of last season; his 23.8 HR per 600 plate appearances mark is a good deal higher than his 15.8 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Ranking in the 19th percentile, Cedric Mullins has put up a .269 BABIP since the start of last season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Cedric Mullins’s true offensive talent to be a .321, suggesting that he has had positive variance on his side this year given the .096 deviation between that mark and his actual .417 wOBA.

Batting from the same side that Carlos Carrasco throws from, Ryan Mountcastle will have a disadvantage in today’s matchup.

Ryan Mountcastle has been cold of late, with his seasonal exit velocity of 91.2-mph dropping to 85.8-mph over the past 7 days.

As it relates to plate discipline, Ryan Mountcastle’s skill is quite weak, sporting a 4.06 K/BB rate since the start of last season while grading out in in the 16th percentile.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)’s assessment, Carlos Carrasco’s overall pitching skill grades out in the 1st percentile out of all SPs in baseball right now.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Carlos Carrasco to throw 79 pitches in this matchup (5th-least of all pitchers on the slate today), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.

The Baltimore Orioles have been the 6th-unluckiest offense in MLB this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to hit better the rest of the season,The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Carlos Carrasco in the 10th percentile when it comes to his strikeout skill.

The Baltimore Orioles have 6 bats in the projected lineup that will have the handedness advantage against Carlos Carrasco in today’s game.

In today’s game, Ryan O’Hearn is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 3rd-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 33.6% rate (77th percentile).

Cade Povich will have the handedness advantage against Cody Bellinger in today’s game.

Typically, hitters like Cody Bellinger who hit a lot of groundballs usually hit worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of groundballs such as Cade Povich.

Cody Bellinger will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s matchup.

Cody Bellinger’s BABIP ability is projected in the 15th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Ramon Laureano is projected to bat 9th in the lineup in this matchup.

Carlos Carrasco will hold the platoon advantage over Ramon Laureano in today’s matchup.

From last year to this one, Ramon Laureano’s ability to hit the ball at a launch angle that optimizes BABIP (-4° to 26°) has decreased substantially, plummeting from 46.1% to 20%.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.231) implies that Ramon Laureano has been lucky since the start of last season with his .250 actual batting average.

Ramon Laureano has shown poor plate discipline since the start of last season, placing in the 2nd percentile with a 7.03 K/BB rate.

Trent Grisham is penciled in 7th on the lineup card in this game.

Cade Povich will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Trent Grisham in today’s matchup.

Playing on the road typically lessens hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Trent Grisham today.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (25.8) suggests that Trent Grisham has been lucky since the start of last season with his 35.0 actual HR/600.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trent Grisham in the 8th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability.

Paul Goldschmidt will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s game.

Paul Goldschmidt’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has decreased recently, decreasing from 42.3% on the season to 25% over the past week.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Paul Goldschmidt’s true offensive talent to be a .325, indicating that he has been lucky this year given the .060 disparity between that mark and his actual .385 wOBA.

In terms of plate discipline, Paul Goldschmidt’s ability is quite weak, posting a 3.57 K/BB rate since the start of last season while ranking in in the 25th percentile.

Typically, batters like Aaron Judge who hit a lot of flyballs are generally less successful when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of flyballs such as Cade Povich.

Playing on the road generally lessens batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Aaron Judge in today’s matchup.

Aaron Judge’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased this season; his 100.5-mph EV last season has fallen to 97.8-mph.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.296) suggests that Aaron Judge has experienced some positive variance since the start of last season with his .335 actual batting average.

As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Aaron Judge has been very fortunate this year. His .507 rate has been significantly inflated relative to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .398.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Oswald Peraza ranks in the 22nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Oswald Peraza is projected to hit 9th on the lineup card in this matchup.

Oswald Peraza pulls many of his flyballs (34.4% — 84th percentile) but may find it hard to clear the league’s 3rd-deepest LF fences in today’s matchup.

Playing on the road generally diminishes hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Oswald Peraza in today’s matchup.

Austin Wells is penciled in 6th in the batting order in this matchup.

Batting from the same side that Cade Povich throws from, Austin Wells has a tough challenge in today’s matchup.

Austin Wells has an 80th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.1%) but may find it hard to clear MLB’s 3rd-deepest LF fences today.

Typically, batters like Austin Wells who hit a lot of flyballs usually hit worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of flyballs such as Cade Povich.

Austin Wells will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Austin Wells in the 13th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability.

The switch-hitting Adley Rutschman will be at a disadvantage batting from his worse side (0) today against Carlos Carrasco,In the past week’s worth of games, Adley Rutschman’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 11% down to 0%.

Adley Rutschman’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off of late; his 93.9-mph seasonal average has fallen off to 82.6-mph in the past week.

Adley Rutschman’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off recently, going from 19.2% on the season to 0% over the past week.

Adley Rutschman has recorded a .265 BABIP since the start of last season, ranking in the 17th percentile.

Gunnar Henderson has a 79th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.9%) and will be challenged by the game’s 3rd-deepest LF fences in today’s game.

In the last week’s worth of games, Gunnar Henderson’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 7.4% down to 0%.

Gunnar Henderson has had positive variance on his side thus far when it comes to his home runs since the start of last season; his 29.1 HR per 600 plate appearances mark is significantly inflated relative to his 21.8 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Last season, Gunnar Henderson had a launch angle of 8.2° on his highest exit velocity balls, but this year he experienced a significant decline to just 4.3°.

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