Series Game 3 Matchup Details

Positive Match Player Stats for Yankees vs Marlins Series Game 3 Matchup Today

Eric Wagaman hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.4%,— 93rd percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball’s 6th-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.

Eric Wagaman will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s game, which ought to boost all of his stats.

Eric Wagaman has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel% recently, bettering his 5.5% seasonal rate to 11.1% over the last week.

Eric Wagaman’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased in recent games, rising from 15.4% on the season to 33.3% over the past 7 days.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (14.3) implies that Eric Wagaman has had some very poor luck this year with his 7.9 actual HR/600.

Despite posting a .272 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Eric Wagaman has been unlucky given the .031 difference between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .303.

Anthony Volpe hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.6% — 95th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards MLB’s 6th-shallowest CF fences today.

Over the past two weeks, Anthony Volpe’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 93.4-mph over the course of the season to 98.8-mph lately.

In the last two weeks’ worth of games, Anthony Volpe has significantly improved the launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls: 22.8° compared to his seasonal mark of 13.5°.

Anthony Volpe has made notable strides with his Barrel% of late, upping his 9.9% seasonal rate to 15.2% in the last two weeks.

Anthony Volpe has posted a .308 Isolated Power rate (ISO) this year, ranking in the 78th percentile.

When estimating his home run talent, Agustin Ramirez ranks in the 77th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Agustin Ramirez is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.

Agustin Ramirez will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.273) suggests that Agustin Ramirez has been unlucky this year with his .240 actual batting average.

Agustin Ramirez has averaged 27.2 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances this year, placing in the 84th percentile for power according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Agustin Ramirez ranks in the 75th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Ranking in the 97th percentile, the hardest ball Agustin Ramirez has made contact with this year reached a maximum exit velocity of 116.9 mph — an advanced indication of underlying power ability.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.338) suggests that Agustin Ramirez has had bad variance on his side this year with his .315 actual wOBA.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Jasson Dominguez ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Jasson Dominguez has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (68% of the time), but he is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this game.

The switch-hitting Jasson Dominguez will get to bat from his good side (0) today against Edward Cabrera.

Jasson Dominguez’s BABIP skill is projected in the 91st percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Jasson Dominguez has compiled a .357 BABIP this year, ranking in the 97th percentile.

Hitting from the opposite that Luis Gil throws from, Jakob Marsee will have an edge today.

Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Jakob Marsee will hold that advantage today.

Hitting from the opposite that Luis Gil throws from, Graham Pauley will have an advantage in today’s matchup.

Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats across the board, and Graham Pauley will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

Over the last 14 days, Graham Pauley has significantly improved the launch angle on his hardest-hit balls: 35.6° compared to his seasonal mark of 12.4°.

Liam Hicks has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (85% of the time), but he is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this game.

Hitting from the opposite that Luis Gil throws from, Liam Hicks will have an advantage in today’s game.

Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Liam Hicks will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

Liam Hicks has displayed good plate discipline this year, checking in at the 89th percentile with a 1.44 K/BB rate.

When assessing his home run ability, Ryan McMahon ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Ryan McMahon will hold the platoon advantage over Edward Cabrera today.

Ryan McMahon hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 83rd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards the game’s 6th-shallowest CF fences today.

Ryan McMahon has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 99-mph average in the past 14 days to his seasonal average of 95.7-mph.

Ryan McMahon’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last year to this one, rising from 15.1% to 18.8%.

In the past 14 days, Ryan McMahon’s 25% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 18.8%.

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Cody Bellinger ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Cody Bellinger is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.

Hitting from the opposite that Edward Cabrera throws from, Cody Bellinger will have the upper hand today.

Over the last 7 days, Cody Bellinger’s 31.8% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 17.1%.

Cracking 4 homers in the last two weeks, Cody Bellinger has been on fire lately.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cody Bellinger in the 89th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent.

In the past week, Cody Bellinger has been performing exceptionally well at the plate with a wOBA of .358.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trent Grisham in the 96th percentile as it relates to his home run talent.

Trent Grisham is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this matchup.

Hitting from the opposite that Edward Cabrera throws from, Trent Grisham will have the upper hand in today’s game.

Trent Grisham hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 87th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards baseball’s 6th-shallowest CF fences today.

Trent Grisham has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 99.5-mph average over the past 7 days to his seasonal average of 95.3-mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trent Grisham in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Paul Goldschmidt in the 87th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill.

The 6th-shallowest centerfield fences in MLB are found in LoanDepot Park.

Compared to his seasonal average of 16.2°, Paul Goldschmidt has significantly improved his launch angle in recent games, posting a 34.3° figure in the last 7 days.

Paul Goldschmidt has notched a .340 BABIP this year, placing in the 92nd percentile.

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Paul Goldschmidt ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

In terms of his home runs, Paul Goldschmidt has suffered from bad luck this year. His 11.8 HR per 600 plate appearances rate has been deflated compared to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 16.5.

When it comes to his home run talent, Jazz Chisholm Jr. ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Jazz Chisholm Jr. is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in today’s game.

Batting from the opposite that Edward Cabrera throws from, Jazz Chisholm Jr. will have an edge in today’s matchup.

The Barrel% of Jazz Chisholm Jr. has significantly improved, with an increase from 10% last year to 18.5% this season.

Jazz Chisholm Jr.’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last season to this one, going from 15.3% to 22.5%.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Jazz Chisholm Jr. ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Giancarlo Stanton projects as the 5th-best home run batter in Major League Baseball, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Giancarlo Stanton is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this matchup.

Giancarlo Stanton has seen a big gain in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 97.5-mph average over the last 14 days to his seasonal average of 93.8-mph.

Giancarlo Stanton’s launch angle this year (22.8°) is significantly higher than his 14.3° angle last season.

With a 37.700 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) since the start of last season , Giancarlo Stanton is positioned in the 99th percentile for power.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Giancarlo Stanton in the 88th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.

By putting up a .338 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) since the start of last season, Giancarlo Stanton has performed in the 82nd percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Otto Lopez in the 95th percentile when estimating his batting average talent.

Otto Lopez is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this game.

Otto Lopez hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.9% — 97th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards the game’s 6th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

Otto Lopez will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which should boost all of his stats.

Otto Lopez’s launch angle this year (8.6°) is significantly better than his 5.4° angle last year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Otto Lopez in the 77th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.

When estimating his strikeout skill, the leading projection system (THE BAT) places Edward Cabrera in the 86th percentile among all SPs in the game.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the offense with the 3rd-most strikeout-prone lineup today is the New York Yankees with a 25.3% underlying K%.

Edward Cabrera will hold the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which should boost all of his stats across the board.

LoanDepot Park profiles as the #5 ballpark in MLB for walks, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

The 11.5% Barrel% of the New York Yankees makes them the #1 club in the majors this year by this stat.

New York’s 93.9-mph exit velocity on flyballs grades them out as the #1 offense in the game this year by this metric.

When assessing his strikeout ability, the leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Luis Gil in the 90th percentile among all starters in the majors.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Austin Wells (the Yankees’s expected catcher in today’s game) grades out as a good pitch framer.

Luis Gil’s 96.7-mph fastball velocity since the start of last season grades out in the 96th percentile out of all SPs.

Given the 0.67 difference between Luis Gil’s 3.50 ERA and his 4.17 FIP, it’s safe to say he’s been one of the most fortunate pitchers in the league since the start of last season and should see negative regression in future games.

Luis Gil has been one of the luckiest mound aces in the majors on balls in play since the start of last season with a .238 BABIP and ought to see that luck normalize going forward.

Xavier Edwards is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this matchup.

The switch-hitting Xavier Edwards will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his strong side (0) today against Luis Gil.

Xavier Edwards will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats.

Xavier Edwards has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 90.8-mph average in the past week to his seasonal 86.6-mph figure.

Over the last week, Xavier Edwards’s 21.1% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 16.6%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Xavier Edwards as the 17th-best hitter in the majors when it comes to his BABIP ability.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Austin Wells in the 87th percentile as it relates to his home run talent.

Austin Wells will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Edward Cabrera in today’s game.

Austin Wells’s launch angle this year (21.3°) is a considerable increase over his 16.9° angle last season.

Compared to his seasonal average of 21.3°, Austin Wells has significantly improved his launch angle of late, posting a 35.3° figure over the last 7 days.

Austin Wells has been unlucky this year, notching a .296 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .320 — a .024 deviation.

As it relates to his batting average, Austin Wells has been unlucky this year. His .212 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .241.

With a .315 Isolated Power (ISO) this year, Austin Wells grades out in the 80th percentile.

When assessing his home run ability, Kyle Stowers ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Kyle Stowers is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this matchup.

Hitting from the opposite that Luis Gil throws from, Kyle Stowers will have an edge today.

Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Kyle Stowers will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

The Barrel% of Kyle Stowers has significantly improved, with an increase from 11% last year to 20.3% this season.

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Kyle Stowers ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dane Myers in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.

Dane Myers hits many of his flyballs to center field (40% — 98th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball’s 6th-shallowest CF fences today.

Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics across the board, and Dane Myers will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

Dane Myers has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel% recently, improving his 7% seasonal rate to 18.2% in the past week’s worth of games.

In the past week, Dane Myers’s 45.5% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 13.5%.

Negative Match Player Stats with Yankees vs Marlins Series Game 3

Eric Wagaman has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this year (67% of the time), but he is projected to hit 7th in the batting order in this matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles LoanDepot Park as the worst ballpark in baseball for righty home runs.

LoanDepot Park’s altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the league, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to worse offense.

The LoanDepot Park roof projects to be closed today, making conditions in this contest -9° colder than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for pitching.

Luis Gil will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Eric Wagaman today.

LoanDepot Park grades out as the #23 field in the majors for RHB batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Anthony Volpe is penciled in 9th in the batting order in this game.

Edward Cabrera will have the handedness advantage against Anthony Volpe in today’s matchup.

Hitting from the same side that Luis Gil throws from, Agustin Ramirez faces a tough challenge in today’s matchup.

In today’s game, Agustin Ramirez is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 4th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 33.7% rate (76th percentile).

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles LoanDepot Park as the worst ballpark in MLB for lefty home runs.

Jasson Dominguez has a 75th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.6%) and will have to hit them out towards baseball’s 10th-deepest LF fences today.

Jasson Dominguez will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.

LoanDepot Park profiles as the #23 stadium in the game for left-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

The Miami Marlins infield defense projects as the 3rd-strongest out of every team playing today.

Jakob Marsee’s BABIP skill is projected in the 9th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Jakob Marsee is penciled in 6th in the lineup in this matchup.

LoanDepot Park has the 4th-deepest right field fences in MLB.

Graham Pauley is projected to hit 8th in the batting order today.

Graham Pauley has been pulled from the game early 20% of the time when starting against a right-handed pitcher this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Graham Pauley in the 13th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill.

When assessing his home run skill, Liam Hicks ranks in the 11th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Liam Hicks has been replaced by a pinch-hitter 21% of the time when starting against a northpaw this year.

Liam Hicks has an 80th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.3%) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the game’s 10th-deepest LF fences in today’s matchup.

Ryan McMahon has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this season (83% of the time), but he is projected to hit 8th in the batting order in today’s game.

Playing on the road generally lessens hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Ryan McMahon in today’s game.

Today, Cody Bellinger is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 4th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 34.2% rate (84th percentile).

Playing on the road typically lessens hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Cody Bellinger in today’s game.

Trent Grisham will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s game.

Trent Grisham’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off from last season to this one, decreasing from 21% to 18%.

Paul Goldschmidt is projected to bat 7th on the lineup card in this matchup, which would be a downgrade from his 85% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this season.

Hitting from the same side that Edward Cabrera throws from, Paul Goldschmidt will have a disadvantage today.

Jazz Chisholm Jr. pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.7% — 87th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the game’s 4th-deepest RF fences today.

Jazz Chisholm Jr. will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.

Edward Cabrera will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Giancarlo Stanton in today’s game.

Giancarlo Stanton pulls many of his flyballs (33.1% — 76th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the league’s 10th-deepest LF fences today.

Luis Gil will have the handedness advantage over Otto Lopez today.

Otto Lopez’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off of late; his 92.2-mph seasonal EV has decreased to 83.6-mph over the past two weeks.

Alan Porter projects as a Hitters Umpire and is scheduled to be behind the plate today.

With 6 bats of the opposite hand in the opposing team’s projected offense, Edward Cabrera encounters a tough challenge while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances today.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)’s assessment, Edward Cabrera’s overall pitching talent is in the 78th percentile among all starters in baseball right now.

It may be smart to expect weaker performance for the New York Yankees offense in the future, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) sees them as the 5th-luckiest offense in baseball this year.

The Miami Marlins (21.3 K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) are forecasted to have the 5th-least strikeout-heavy team of hitters on the slate.

Luis Gil will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.

The Miami Marlins projected lineup profiles as the 4th-worst of all teams on the slate in terms of overall offensive skill.

The Miami Marlins have been the 2nd-luckiest offense in the game this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to perform worse going forward,As it relates to his home run ability, Xavier Edwards ranks in the 1st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Xavier Edwards has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.1%) and will have to hit them out towards baseball’s 10th-deepest LF fences in today’s matchup.

Xavier Edwards’s average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls this year (6.1°) is a significant dropoff from his 10.8° mark last year.

Austin Wells is penciled in 6th in the batting order today.

Austin Wells has a 78th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.9%) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the league’s 10th-deepest LF fences in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Austin Wells in the 12th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill.

In the past week’s worth of games, Kyle Stowers’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 18.2%.

Dane Myers is penciled in 9th in the batting order in this game.

Hitting from the same side that Luis Gil throws from, Dane Myers will not have the upper hand today.

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