Series Game 3 Matchup Details

Positive Match Player Stats for Giants vs Mets Series Game 3 Matchup Today

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Grant McCray in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.

The shallowest centerfield fences among all major league parks are found in Citi Field.

High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report forecasts the 5th-hottest weather on the slate at 83°.

Grant McCray will hold the platoon advantage over Frankie Montas in today’s game.

Among every team in action today, the 2nd-worst infield defense belongs to the New York Mets.

Citi Field ranks as the #9 park in the game for lefty home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Grant McCray has performed at a clip of 24.3 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season, placing in the 84th percentile for power according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Casey Schmitt pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.8% — 81st percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball’s 4th-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.

Casey Schmitt has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his wOBA this year; his .311 figure is significantly deflated relative to his .338 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Casey Schmitt has posted a .262 Expected Batting Average this year, ranking in the 75th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

The #9 venue in the league for boosting home runs to RHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citi Field.

Jung Hoo Lee will have the handedness advantage against Frankie Montas today.

Jung Hoo Lee has seen a big gain in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 100.2-mph average in the last week’s worth of games to his seasonal figure of 89.4-mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jung Hoo Lee in the 95th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent.

Patrick Bailey, the Giants’s expected catcher in today’s matchup, profiles as an elite pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Citi Field projects as the #8 park in baseball for strikeouts, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Positioned lowest in MLB this year, New York Mets bats as a group have posted a 11° launch angle on their hardest-contacted balls (an advanced stat to study power ability).

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Rafael Devers ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Rafael Devers is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup.

Batting from the opposite that Frankie Montas throws from, Rafael Devers will have the upper hand today.

Rafael Devers has an 82nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.6%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of the game’s 4th-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Francisco Lindor in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.

Francisco Lindor is penciled in 2nd in the lineup today.

The switch-hitting Francisco Lindor will have the advantage of batting from from his good side (0) today against Carson Whisenhunt.

Francisco Lindor pulls a lot of his flyballs (36% — 92nd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards baseball’s 4th-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Juan Soto ranks as the 4th-best batter in the league.

Juan Soto is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup today.

Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats across the board, and Juan Soto will hold that advantage today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Nimmo in the 93rd percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.

Brandon Nimmo is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this game.

Brandon Nimmo has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.4%) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards MLB’s 4th-shallowest LF fences today.

Brandon Nimmo will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Pete Alonso as the majors’s 13th-best home run hitter.

Pete Alonso is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this game.

Hitting from the opposite that Carson Whisenhunt throws from, Pete Alonso will have the upper hand today.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Pete Alonso ranks as the 20th-best hitter in Major League Baseball.

Dominic Smith is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this game.

Dominic Smith will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Frankie Montas today.

Dominic Smith hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 87th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards the game’s shallowest CF fences in today’s game.

Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats across the board, and Jeff McNeil will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

Jeff McNeil has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 87.1-mph to 92-mph in the last week.

Jeff McNeil’s launch angle recently (24.8° over the past two weeks) is considerably better than his 16.4° seasonal angle.

Frankie Montas will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s game, which figures to boost all of his metrics across the board.

Frankie Montas has relied on his slider 15.7% more often this year (26.4%) than he did last season (10.7%).

Among all starters, Frankie Montas’s fastball velocity of 95 mph grades out in the 83rd percentile this year.

It may be smart to expect positive regression for the San Francisco Giants offense in future games, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) views them as the 7th-unluckiest offense in Major League Baseball this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt Chapman in the 97th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.

Matt Chapman is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card today.

Matt Chapman hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.7% — 96th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards MLB’s shallowest CF fences in today’s game.

Matt Chapman projects as the 17th-best home run batter in the majors, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

When it comes to his home run talent, Willy Adames ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Willy Adames is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.

Willy Adames pulls many of his flyballs (33.7% — 80th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards baseball’s 4th-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Willy Adames ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Starling Marte in the 93rd percentile when it comes to his batting average skill.

Starling Marte is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this matchup.

Batting from the opposite that Carson Whisenhunt throws from, Starling Marte will have an edge in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Starling Marte in the 76th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.

Batting from the opposite that Carson Whisenhunt throws from, Tyrone Taylor will have an edge today.

Tyrone Taylor pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.2% — 84th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball’s 4th-shallowest LF fences today.

Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Tyrone Taylor will hold that advantage in today’s game.

Tyrone Taylor’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last season to this one, increasing from 13.5% to 18.4%.

Mark Vientos will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Carson Whisenhunt today.

Mark Vientos hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (40% — 98th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB’s shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Mark Vientos will hold that advantage today.

Mark Vientos has made substantial improvements with his Barrel% in recent games, upping his 7.6% seasonal rate to 18.2% in the past week.

When assessing his home run ability, Mark Vientos ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Francisco Alvarez in the 88th percentile as it relates to his home run talent.

Hitting from the opposite that Carson Whisenhunt throws from, Francisco Alvarez will have an advantage in today’s matchup.

Francisco Alvarez will possess the home field advantage in today’s game, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Francisco Alvarez has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 92.4-mph average to last season’s 88.7-mph average.

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Heliot Ramos ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Heliot Ramos is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this game.

Heliot Ramos hits many of his flyballs to center field (39% — 88th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards baseball’s shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

As a switch-hitter who performs better from the 0 side of the plate, Patrick Bailey will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his strong side against Frankie Montas in this game.

Patrick Bailey’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last year to this one, going from 15.4% to 19.1%.

Over the past 14 days, Patrick Bailey’s 60% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 39.9%.

Negative Match Player Stats with Giants vs Mets Series Game 3

Grant McCray is penciled in 9th on the lineup card today.

10% of the time that Grant McCray has started against a righty hurler since the start of last season, he has been pinch hit for.

The #3 park in Major League Baseball for suppressing offensive stats, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citi Field.

Citi Field’s elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league parks, which often leads to worse offense.

Playing on the road generally diminishes hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Grant McCray in today’s matchup.

Citi Field projects as the #29 field in baseball for left-handed base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Grant McCray in the 24th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.

Casey Schmitt is projected to hit 6th on the lineup card in this game.

The #2 park in the league for suppressing base hits to RHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citi Field.

Frankie Montas will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Casey Schmitt in today’s matchup.

Playing on the road typically reduces hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Casey Schmitt in today’s game.

Casey Schmitt has negatively regressed with his Barrel% lately; his 7.3% seasonal rate has fallen off to 0% over the last 7 days.

As it relates to his home run ability, Jung Hoo Lee ranks in the 13th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Jung Hoo Lee has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this year (80% of the time), but he is projected to bat 7th in the lineup in today’s game.

Playing on the road typically lowers batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Jung Hoo Lee in today’s matchup.

Jung Hoo Lee’s average exit velocity has dropped off this season; his 88.9-mph EV last season has dropped off to 86.9-mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Carson Whisenhunt in the 25th percentile when assessing his strikeout skill.

Considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Carson Whisenhunt is projected to throw 82 pitches in today’s outing by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the 8th-least of all pitchers on the slate.

Jansen Visconti profiles as a Hitters Umpire and is anticipated to be in charge of the strike zone in this game.

Playing on the road typically weakens pitcher metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Carson Whisenhunt today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Carson Whisenhunt in the 20th percentile as it relates to his overall pitching abilities.

The New York Mets projected offense ranks as the 2nd-best of all teams on the slate today in terms of overall hitting ability.

The #3 stadium in Major League Baseball for boosting walks, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citi Field.

Rafael Devers will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s game.

Rafael Devers has negatively regressed with his Barrel% recently; his 14.7% seasonal rate has decreased to 0% in the past 7 days.

Rafael Devers’s average exit velocity has declined lately; his 93.4-mph seasonal average has dropped to 90.5-mph in the last week.

Over the last week, Rafael Devers’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 13.9%.

Over the past 7 days, Francisco Lindor’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 8.2% down to 0%.

Francisco Lindor’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has decreased from last season to this one, falling from 44.4% to 38.7%.

Francisco Lindor’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has decreased lately, going from 38.7% on the season to 7.1% over the past 7 days.

Francisco Lindor has been cold lately, with his seasonal exit velocity of 89.5-mph dropping to 82.3-mph over the past 7 days.

Francisco Lindor’s launch angle of late (1.2° over the past week) is significantly lower than his 13.9° seasonal angle.

Batting from the same side that Carson Whisenhunt throws from, Juan Soto will be at a disadvantage today.

Juan Soto has struggled with his Barrel% of late; his 17.7% seasonal rate has lowered to 11.1% in the past week’s worth of games.

Juan Soto has been cold lately, with his seasonal exit velocity of 93.6-mph dropping to 84-mph in the past 7 days.

Carson Whisenhunt will hold the platoon advantage over Brandon Nimmo today.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (22.0) suggests that Brandon Nimmo has had positive variance on his side this year with his 25.8 actual HR/600.

Pete Alonso’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off lately, decreasing from 18.1% on the season to 0% in the last 7 days.

This year, Dominic Smith has been replaced by a pinch-hitter in 15% of his appearances when starting against righty hurler.

Playing on the road typically lessens hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Dominic Smith in today’s matchup.

Dominic Smith has taken a step back with his Barrel%; his 10.7% rate last season has fallen off to 4.8% this year.

Dominic Smith has hit 11.2 long-balls per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season, grading out in the 21st percentile for power.

When it comes to his home run ability, Jeff McNeil ranks in the 15th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Jeff McNeil is penciled in 7th in the batting order today.

Batting from the same side that Carson Whisenhunt throws from, Jeff McNeil meets a tough challenge in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Jeff McNeil’s true offensive ability to be a .308, providing some evidence that he has had positive variance on his side this year given the .036 discrepancy between that mark and his actual .344 wOBA.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jeff McNeil in the 16th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.

Frankie Montas has averaged 78.5 adjusted pitches per GS this year, placing in the 14th percentile.

With a 0.61 deviation between Frankie Montas’s 8.68 K/9 and his 8.07 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it’s safe to say he’s been one of the most fortunate pitchers in the league since the start of last season in terms of strikeouts and should perform worse the rest of the season.

In his last GS, Frankie Montas was firing on all cylinders and gave up 0 ER.

Hitting from the same side that Frankie Montas throws from, Matt Chapman will be in a tough position today.

Matt Chapman will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s matchup.

Based on Statcast metrics, Matt Chapman grades out in the 19th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average this year at .232.

Matt Chapman has been lucky in regards to his home runs this year; his 26.4 HR per 600 plate appearances figure is inflated compared to his 20.8 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Hitting from the same side that Frankie Montas throws from, Willy Adames will have a tough matchup in today’s game.

Willy Adames will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s game.

Over the past 7 days, Willy Adames’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 12.5% down to 6.3%.

Starling Marte has negatively regressed with his Barrel% in recent games; his 7.6% seasonal rate has decreased to 0% in the last week’s worth of games.

Starling Marte’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off this year; his 92.1-mph average last season has lowered to 89.1-mph.

Starling Marte’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off lately; his 89.1-mph seasonal average has decreased to 83.8-mph in the past week’s worth of games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Starling Marte’s true offensive ability to be a .320, providing some evidence that he has experienced some positive variance this year given the .020 disparity between that mark and his actual .340 wOBA.

Tyrone Taylor is penciled in 9th in the batting order today.

Tyrone Taylor’s exit velocity on flyballs has declined this year; his 91.7-mph EV last season has dropped to 88.7-mph.

Tyrone Taylor’s 3.9% Barrel% (an advanced metric to measure power) is in the 13th percentile this year.

By putting up a .246 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Tyrone Taylor is ranked in the 1st percentile.

Mark Vientos is penciled in 6th in the batting order in this matchup.

Based on Statcast metrics, Mark Vientos is in the 14th percentile for hitting ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year at .285.

Mark Vientos has compiled a .294 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, grading out in the 24th percentile.

Mark Vientos has shown weak plate discipline this year, placing in the 20th percentile with a 3.98 K/BB rate.

Francisco Alvarez is projected to hit 8th on the lineup card in this matchup.

In the past week, Francisco Alvarez’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 16%.

Francisco Alvarez has experienced some positive variance in regards to with his wOBA this year; his .317 rate is inflated compared to his .296 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Francisco Alvarez has had positive variance on his side thus far when it comes to his batting average this year; his .243 mark is quite a bit higher than his .216 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Frankie Montas will have the handedness advantage over Heliot Ramos in today’s matchup.

Playing on the road typically diminishes batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Heliot Ramos today.

In the past 7 days, Heliot Ramos’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen from his seasonal average of 93.4 mph to 89.2 mph.

Heliot Ramos’s average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls this season (9.3°) is considerably lower than his 15.8° figure last year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Patrick Bailey in the 22nd percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.

Patrick Bailey is penciled in 8th in the batting order in this game.

Playing on the road typically weakens hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Patrick Bailey in today’s game.

In the last week, Patrick Bailey’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 7.1% down to 0%.

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