
NYY @ STL


Yankees @ Cardinals Matchup Details
Series :
Date : Todays Game is on Friday, August 15th
Time : 15/08/25 20:15:00 PM EST First Pitch
Positives for the New York Yankees Game Today
On average, the fence height at Busch Stadium is the 9th-shortest among all major league baseball stadiums.
Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report predicts the 3rd-hottest temperature on the slate today at 92°.
Anthony Volpe hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.4% — 93rd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards baseball’s 7th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.
The St. Louis Cardinals infield defense projects as the 4th-weakest among all the teams on the slate today.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Thomas Saggese in the 92nd percentile when estimating his BABIP talent.
The New York Yankees outfield defense grades out as the worst out of all the teams in action today.
Thomas Saggese will hold the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats.
Thomas Saggese has notched a .325 BABIP since the start of last season, checking in at the 84th percentile.
Hitting from the opposite that Luis Gil throws from, Victor Scott II will have an advantage in today’s game.
Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Victor Scott II will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.
When assessing his overall offensive talent, Ben Rice ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Ben Rice is penciled in 5th in the lineup today.
Ben Rice will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Andre Pallante today.
Ben Rice has a good chance to have an advantage against every reliever for the game’s entirety, since the bullpen of the St. Louis Cardinals has just 1 same-handed RP.
When assessing his overall offensive talent, Willson Contreras ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Willson Contreras is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this matchup.
Willson Contreras will hold the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats.
As it relates to his home run ability, Ryan McMahon ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Ryan McMahon will hold the platoon advantage against Andre Pallante in today’s game.
Ryan McMahon will probably have the upper hand against every reliever for the game’s entirety, since the bullpen of the St. Louis Cardinals has just 1 same-handed RP.
Ryan McMahon hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.2% — 90th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards the league’s 7th-shallowest CF fences today.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cody Bellinger in the 81st percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.
Cody Bellinger is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in today’s game.
Cody Bellinger will have the handedness advantage over Andre Pallante in today’s game.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cody Bellinger in the 86th percentile when assessing his batting average talent.
Cody Bellinger will probably have the upper hand against every reliever from start to finish, since the bullpen of the St. Louis Cardinals only has 1 same-handed RP.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trent Grisham in the 96th percentile when it comes to his home run talent.
Trent Grisham is penciled in 1st in the lineup in today’s game.
Batting from the opposite that Andre Pallante throws from, Trent Grisham will have an edge in today’s game.
When estimating his overall offensive skill, Trent Grisham ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
The St. Louis Cardinals have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Trent Grisham stands a good chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game.
When assessing his home run ability, Jazz Chisholm Jr. ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Batting from the opposite that Andre Pallante throws from, Jazz Chisholm Jr. will have an edge in today’s matchup.
The St. Louis Cardinals have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Jazz Chisholm Jr. can likely count on holding the advantage against every reliever all game.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jazz Chisholm Jr. in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.
Giancarlo Stanton projects as the 4th-best home run batter in MLB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Giancarlo Stanton is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in today’s game.
Giancarlo Stanton has big-time power (100th percentile) if he makes contact, but that’s never a sure thing (29% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Andre Pallante is a pitch-to-contact type (13th percentile K%) — great news for Stanton.
As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Giancarlo Stanton ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Giancarlo Stanton has notched a .400 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, checking in at the 98th percentile.
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Aaron Judge ranks as the best batter in the league.
Aaron Judge is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this matchup.
Aaron Judge hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 86th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards baseball’s 7th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.
Extreme flyball batters like Aaron Judge usually hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Andre Pallante.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ivan Herrera in the 86th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.
Ivan Herrera is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this matchup.
Ivan Herrera hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 78th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards the league’s 7th-shallowest CF fences today.
Extreme groundball batters like Ivan Herrera usually hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Luis Gil.
It may be wise to expect worse results for the St. Louis Cardinals offense the rest of the season, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) views them as the 8th-luckiest offense in MLB this year.
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Austin Wells (the Yankees’s expected catcher today) grades out as a good pitch framer.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Busch Stadium as the 4th-worst park in the majors for walks.
In Major League Baseball, Busch Stadium’s right field dimensions are the 2nd-deepest.
Luis Gil is an extreme flyball pitcher (38.6% FB% via the leading projection system, THE BAT) and should be aided by pitching in the #26 HR venue among all major league parks in this matchup.
In his previous start, Luis Gil conceded a monstrous 5 earned runs.
As it relates to his strikeout talent, the leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Luis Gil in the 89th percentile among all starters in the majors.
The St. Louis Cardinals have 3 batters in their projected lineup today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Thomas Saggese, Nolan Gorman, Pedro Pages).
Luis Gil has gone to his slider 8% more often this season (33.9%) than he did last season (25.9%).
Out of all SPs, Luis Gil’s fastball velocity of 96.6 mph ranks in the 95th percentile since the start of last season.
When assessing his overall offensive skill, Lars Nootbaar ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Lars Nootbaar is penciled in 1st in the batting order in today’s game.
Batting from the opposite that Luis Gil throws from, Lars Nootbaar will have the upper hand in today’s matchup.
Lars Nootbaar hits many of his flyballs to center field (41.3% — 99th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards baseball’s 7th-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.
Batting from the opposite that Luis Gil throws from, Nolan Gorman will have an edge in today’s matchup.
New York’s 3rd-worst outfield defense of all teams today creates a favorable matchup for Nolan Gorman, who tends to hit a lot of flyballs.
Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats in all categories, and Nolan Gorman will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nolan Gorman in the 96th percentile when it comes to his home run talent.
Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Pedro Pages will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.
Austin Wells will hold the platoon advantage over Andre Pallante in today’s matchup.
The St. Louis Cardinals have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Austin Wells has a strong chance of never facing a bullpen mismatch all game.
Extreme groundball batters like Austin Wells are generally more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Andre Pallante.
As it relates to his home run skill, Austin Wells ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Projected catcher Pedro Pages projects as a good pitch framer, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Due to his reverse platoon split, Andre Pallante will be in a good position being matched up with 6 bats in the projected lineup of opposing handedness in today’s outing.
Home field advantage typically boosts pitcher stats across the board, and Andre Pallante will hold that advantage today.
The New York Yankees have 3 bats in their projected lineup today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Aaron Judge, Giancarlo Stanton, Ryan McMahon).
Despite conventional wisdom, fastballs are generally a pitcher’s least effective pitch. Andre Pallante has relied on his off-speed and breaking balls 10.9% more often this year (41.8%) than he did last year (30.9%).
When assessing his overall offensive talent, Alec Burleson ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Alec Burleson is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.
Hitting from the opposite that Luis Gil throws from, Alec Burleson will have an advantage in today’s game.
Alec Burleson’s batting average ability is projected to be in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Alec Burleson hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.4% — 93rd percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards baseball’s 7th-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Masyn Winn in the 79th percentile when estimating his batting average talent.
Masyn Winn is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this matchup.
Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics across the board, and Masyn Winn will hold that advantage in today’s game.
Negatives with the St. Louis Cardinals Game Today
Anthony Volpe is penciled in 7th on the lineup card today.
The #5 ballpark in MLB for suppressing offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Busch Stadium.
Andre Pallante will have the handedness advantage over Anthony Volpe in today’s game.
Playing on the road typically lessens hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Anthony Volpe today.
Anthony Volpe has recorded a .257 BABIP this year, checking in at the 10th percentile.
Busch Stadium grades out as the #25 park in MLB for righty home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Thomas Saggese is penciled in 7th in the lineup in this matchup.
Batting from the same side that Luis Gil throws from, Thomas Saggese meets a tough challenge today.
Thomas Saggese has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.5%) but may find it hard to clear the league’s 2nd-deepest RF fences today.
Victor Scott II is projected to hit 9th in the batting order today.
Victor Scott II has an 81st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.3%) and will have to hit them out towards the game’s 8th-deepest LF fences today.
With a .307 Slugging Percentage (SLG) this year, Victor Scott II grades out in the 5th percentile.
Checking in at the 11th percentile, Victor Scott II has put up a .218 batting average this year.
Busch Stadium ranks as the #25 ballpark in MLB for left-handed home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Ben Rice pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.6% — 90th percentile) but may find it hard to clear baseball’s 2nd-deepest RF fences in today’s game.
Playing on the road typically lessens hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Ben Rice today.
Checking in at the 11th percentile, Ben Rice sits with a .258 BABIP this year.
Home runs are generally less common at venues with deep fences, and Busch Stadium has the 5th-deepest in the league.
Luis Gil will have the handedness advantage against Willson Contreras today.
Ryan McMahon has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this season (76% of the time), but he is penciled in 8th in the lineup in today’s game.
Ryan McMahon will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.
Ryan McMahon has posted a .210 batting average this year, grading out in the 6th percentile.
Cody Bellinger pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.8% — 81st percentile) but may find it hard to clear MLB’s 2nd-deepest RF fences in today’s game.
Playing on the road generally lessens batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Cody Bellinger in today’s matchup.
Playing on the road typically diminishes hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Trent Grisham today.
Jazz Chisholm Jr. is projected to hit 6th on the lineup card in today’s game, which would be a downgrade from his 84% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this season.
In today’s matchup, Jazz Chisholm Jr. is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 2nd-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 34.6% rate (86th percentile).
Jazz Chisholm Jr. will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.
Andre Pallante will hold the platoon advantage against Giancarlo Stanton in today’s game.
Giancarlo Stanton pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.2% — 77th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards the league’s 8th-deepest LF fences in today’s game.
Playing on the road generally diminishes hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Giancarlo Stanton today.
Andre Pallante will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Aaron Judge in today’s matchup.
Playing on the road generally reduces batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Aaron Judge today.
Luis Gil will have the handedness advantage over Ivan Herrera today.
Throwing 80.7 adjusted pitches per start this year on average, Luis Gil checks in at the 18th percentile.
Luis Gil will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.
The #4 field in Major League Baseball for suppressing strikeouts, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Busch Stadium.
Luis Gil has had positive variance on his side thus far when it comes to his strikeouts since the start of last season, notching a 10.16 K/9 despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 9.92 — a 0.24 K/9 disparity.
Posting a .270 BABIP this year, Lars Nootbaar finds himself in the 22nd percentile.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nolan Gorman in the 14th percentile when estimating his batting average talent.
Nolan Gorman is projected to bat 6th in the batting order in this matchup.
In today’s game, Nolan Gorman is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 2nd-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 34.3% rate (84th percentile).
Typically, bats like Nolan Gorman who hit a lot of flyballs are generally less successful when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of flyballs such as Luis Gil.
Grading out in the 15th percentile, Nolan Gorman sports a .224 batting average this year.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Pedro Pages in the 22nd percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.
Pedro Pages is projected to hit 8th in the lineup in today’s game.
Luis Gil will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Pedro Pages today.
Pedro Pages has an 85th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35%) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards baseball’s 2nd-deepest RF fences today.
Grading out in the 8th percentile, Pedro Pages sits with a .213 batting average this year.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Austin Wells in the 10th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill.
Austin Wells is projected to bat 9th on the lineup card in this matchup.
In today’s game, Austin Wells is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 8th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 34.3% rate (81st percentile).
Austin Wells will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s game.
By putting up a .231 BABIP this year, Austin Wells finds himself in the 1st percentile.
The best projected offense on the slate today in terms of overall offensive skill belongs to the New York Yankees.
Because groundball hitters hold a big advantage over flyball pitchers, Andre Pallante and his 58.8% underlying GB% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be in a troublesome position in this game going up against 3 opposing GB batters.
When assessing his strikeout ability, the leading projection system (THE BAT) places Andre Pallante in the 10th percentile among all starters in the game.
Placing in the 6th percentile, Andre Pallante has compiled a 15.6% Strikeout% this year.
Luis Gil will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Masyn Winn today.
Ranking in the 19th percentile for power, Masyn Winn has paced 10.6 HRs per 600 plate appearances this year.
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