Yankees @ Astros Matchup Details

Positives for the New York Yankees Game Today

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Yainer Diaz in the 94th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent.

,The #6 ballpark in MLB for boosting home runs to right-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Minute Maid Park.

,According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 5th-most suitable for hitting on the schedule today.

,The New York Yankees outfield defense projects as the 4th-worst out of every team on the slate today.

,Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Yainer Diaz will hold that advantage today.

,According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Yordan Alvarez ranks as the 2nd-best batter in Major League Baseball.

,Yordan Alvarez is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in today’s game.

,Minute Maid Park projects as the #6 stadium in baseball for lefty home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,Considering Will Warren’s large platoon split, Yordan Alvarez will have a tremendous advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate today.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Minute Maid Park as the 4th-best field in Major League Baseball for strikeouts.

,Home field advantage typically improves pitcher metrics in all categories, and Lance McCullers Jr. will hold that advantage in today’s game.

,Lance McCullers Jr. was firing on all cylinders in his last game started and notched 9 strikeouts.

,Lance McCullers Jr.’s cut-fastball rate has spiked by 24.5% from last year to this one (4.6% to 29.1%) .

,According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Aaron Judge ranks as the best hitter in baseball.

,Aaron Judge is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in today’s game.

,Aaron Judge has been hot recently, hitting 6 HRs in the last two weeks’ worth of games.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christian Walker in the 93rd percentile when assessing his home run ability.

,Christian Walker is penciled in 4th in the batting order in today’s game.

,Minute Maid Park has the shallowest left field dimensions among all stadiums.

,Isaac Paredes is projected to bat 5th in the batting order today.

,Isaac Paredes pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (47.7% — 100th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards the game’s 2nd-shallowest LF fences today.

,Isaac Paredes will hold the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats.

,Carlos Correa’s batting average ability is projected to be in the 94th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Carlos Correa is projected to bat 1st in the lineup today.

,Carlos Correa will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Altuve in the 87th percentile when assessing his batting average ability.

,Jose Altuve is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this game.

,Jose Altuve pulls a lot of his flyballs (42.9% — 100th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game’s 2nd-shallowest LF fences today.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jazz Chisholm Jr. in the 91st percentile when it comes to his home run talent.

,Jazz Chisholm Jr. will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Lance McCullers Jr. today.

,Jazz Chisholm Jr. has paced 29.2 homers per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season, placing in the 89th percentile for power.

,When estimating his home run skill, Trent Grisham ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Trent Grisham is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this matchup.

,Trent Grisham will have the handedness advantage against Lance McCullers Jr. in today’s matchup.

,Brice Matthews pulls many of his flyballs (36.2% — 87th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball’s 2nd-shallowest LF fences today.

,Brice Matthews will hold the home field advantage in today’s game, which figures to boost all of his stats.

,Jose Caballero pulls many of his flyballs (38.2% — 94th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards MLB’s 2nd-shallowest LF fences today.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Will Warren in the 80th percentile when estimating his strikeout talent.

,Projected catcher Austin Wells profiles as an elite pitch framer, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,Given his large platoon split, Will Warren will benefit from matching up with 7 batters in the projected lineup of the same handedness in today’s game.

,Giancarlo Stanton projects as the 7th-best home run batter in the majors, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Giancarlo Stanton is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this matchup.

,Giancarlo Stanton pulls many of his flyballs (35.7% — 86th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards the league’s 2nd-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trent Grisham in the 95th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.

,Since the start of last season, Trent Grisham’s 14.1% Barrel%, a reliable standard for measuring power, places him in the 89th percentile among his peers.

,Austin Wells will hold the platoon advantage over Lance McCullers Jr. today.

,Austin Wells has a 76th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.3%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards MLB’s 2nd-shallowest LF fences today.

,Austin Wells’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved from last season to this one, increasing from 41.3% to 47.6%.

,When estimating his overall offensive talent, Carlos Correa ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Ben Rice projects as the 17th-best hitter in the majors, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Ben Rice is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in today’s game.

,Ben Rice will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Lance McCullers Jr. today.

,Cody Bellinger is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in today’s game.

,Batting from the opposite that Lance McCullers Jr. throws from, Cody Bellinger will have an advantage in today’s game.

,Cody Bellinger’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last year to this one, going from 17.6% to 23.2%.

,Ben Rice has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel%, upping his 15.8% rate last season to 22.2% this year.

,When estimating his overall offensive skill, Isaac Paredes ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,The #4 field in the majors for suppressing walks, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Minute Maid Park.

,In his previous outing, Lance McCullers Jr. performed well and allowed 1 ER.

,When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Cam Smith ranks in the 77th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Cam Smith will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which should improve all of his stats.

,The Barrel% of Cam Smith has significantly improved, with an increase from 7.1% last year to 15.9% this season.

,Jose Caballero has put up a .324 BABIP since the start of last season, checking in at the 85th percentile.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cam Smith in the 96th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cody Bellinger in the 83rd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Will Warren in the 75th percentile when assessing his overall pitching talent.

,According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the projected batting order for the Houston Astros in today’s game owns an estimated true talent wOBA of .326, which is significantly worse than their actual wOBA of .339 this year.

,The Houston Astros have been the 2nd-luckiest offense in baseball this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to perform worse the rest of the season,Daniel Johnson will have the handedness advantage over Will Warren in today’s matchup… and moreover, Warren has a large platoon split.

,Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics across the board, and Daniel Johnson will hold that advantage today.

,Since the start of last season, Daniel Johnson’s 12.8% Barrel%, an advanced metric for measuring power, places him in the 85th percentile among his peers.

,When assessing his home run ability, Austin Wells ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Lance McCullers Jr. has compiled a 5.36 FIP (Fielding Independent Pitching, an estimator of ERA that focuses on the aspects of pitching most within the pitcher’s control) since the start of last season, grading out in the 16th percentile.

,Christian Walker will hold the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats.

,Brice Matthews and his 20.8° launch angle on his hardest-hit balls rank in 93rd percentile, among the highest in the majors since the start of last season.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Altuve in the 83rd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.

,Aaron Judge has been hot of late, tallying a .399 wOBA over the last two weeks.

,Aaron Judge’s 25.7% Barrel% (a reliable stat to evaluate power) is in the 100th percentile since the start of last season.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brice Matthews in the 78th percentile when it comes to his home run skill.

,When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Jazz Chisholm Jr. ranks in the 79th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Sporting a 1.45 K/BB rate since the start of last season, Cody Bellinger has displayed impressive plate discipline, ranking in the 91st percentile.

,When estimating his overall offensive skill, Giancarlo Stanton ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,There has been a significant improvement in Giancarlo Stanton’s launch angle from last season’s 18.5° to 22.1° this year.

Negatives with the Houston Astros Game Today

Yainer Diaz is penciled in 8th in the batting order in this game.

,Among all stadiums, the 3rd-tallest fence height (on average) are at Minute Maid Park.

,Built just 20 feet above sea level, Minute Maid Park has one of the lowest elevations in the majors, which generally leads to less offense.

,Will Warren will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Yainer Diaz today… and it’s an even larger mismatch considering Warren’s large platoon split.

,Yainer Diaz hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 91st percentile) and will be challenged by the game’s 8th-deepest CF fences in today’s matchup.

,Yordan Alvarez hits many of his flyballs to center field (37.9% — 77th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards baseball’s 8th-deepest CF fences in today’s matchup.

,Yainer Diaz, the Astros’s expected catcher today, grades out as a weak pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,Lance McCullers Jr. has been very fortunate when it comes to his strikeouts since the start of last season, putting up a 9.75 K/9 despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 8.40 — a 1.35 K/9 discrepancy.

,Hitting from the same side that Lance McCullers Jr. throws from, Aaron Judge meets a tough challenge in today’s game.

,Aaron Judge hits many of his flyballs to center field (39% — 94th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards baseball’s 8th-deepest CF fences in today’s matchup.

,Among all the teams in action today, the 5th-strongest infield defense is that of the Houston Astros.

,Playing on the road typically weakens hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Aaron Judge in today’s game.

,Will Warren will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Christian Walker in today’s game… and it’s a particular mismatch considering Warren’s large platoon split.

,There has been a significant decline in Christian Walker’s launch angle from last year’s 16.9° to 11.3° this season.

,With a 3.69 K/BB rate since the start of last season, Christian Walker has shown bad plate discipline, ranking in the 21st percentile.

,Isaac Paredes’s BABIP skill is projected in the 2nd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Minute Maid Park as the 9th-worst ballpark in the majors for righty batting average.

,Considering Will Warren’s large platoon split, Isaac Paredes will be at a huge disadvantage hitting from the same side of the plate in today’s game.

,Isaac Paredes’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased from last year to this one, decreasing from 16.2% to 12.7%.

,Will Warren will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Carlos Correa in today’s game… and it’s an over-sized mismatch considering Warren’s large platoon split.

,In today’s matchup, Carlos Correa is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 9th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 33.7% rate (79th percentile).

,Will Warren will hold the platoon advantage against Jose Altuve in today’s game… and it’s an even bigger mismatch considering Warren’s large platoon split.

,Jazz Chisholm Jr. is penciled in 7th in the lineup today.

,Jazz Chisholm Jr. pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (38.1% — 94th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the league’s 9th-deepest RF fences today.

,Trent Grisham pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (37.5% — 92nd percentile) but may find it hard to clear the league’s 9th-deepest RF fences today.

,Playing on the road typically weakens hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Trent Grisham in today’s game.

,Brice Matthews’s batting average skill is projected to be in the 6th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Brice Matthews is penciled in 9th in the batting order today.

,Will Warren will hold the platoon advantage over Brice Matthews in today’s game… and it’s an over-sized mismatch considering Warren’s large platoon split.

,Jose Caballero is projected to hit 8th in the batting order in this matchup.

,Lance McCullers Jr. will hold the platoon advantage against Jose Caballero in today’s game.

,Playing on the road generally weakens batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Jose Caballero today.

,Tallying 84.4 adjusted pitches per GS this year on average, Will Warren checks in at the 23rd percentile.

,Will Warren will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s game.

,Contrary to popular belief, fastballs are generally a pitcher’s least effective pitch. Will Warren has gone to his secondary offerings 5.8% less often this year (31.6%) than he did last season (37.4%).

,Given the 0.51 gap between Will Warren’s 9.69 K/9 and his 9.18 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it’s safe to say he’s been one of the most fortunate pitchers in MLB since the start of last season as it relates to strikeouts and ought to negatively regress the rest of the season.

,Lance McCullers Jr. will hold the platoon advantage over Giancarlo Stanton in today’s matchup.

,Playing on the road typically lessens hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Giancarlo Stanton in today’s matchup.

,The #9 stadium in Major League Baseball for suppressing batting average to lefties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Minute Maid Park.

,Ranking in the 24th percentile for power, Carlos Correa has averaged 12.4 home runs per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season.

,Austin Wells’s BABIP talent is projected in the 6th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Austin Wells is penciled in 9th on the lineup card today.

,Christian Walker’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has fallen off from last season to this one, falling from 40.3% to 31.9%.

,In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Carlos Correa ranks in just the 8th percentile with a 7.6° launch angle, which is one of the most groundball-inducing angles in the league.

,Ben Rice pulls many of his flyballs (37.5% — 92nd percentile) and will have to hit them out towards the league’s 9th-deepest RF fences in today’s game.

,Playing on the road typically reduces batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Ben Rice in today’s game.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cody Bellinger in the 15th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent.

,Cody Bellinger pulls many of his flyballs (35.2% — 84th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of MLB’s 9th-deepest RF fences today.

,Isaac Paredes’s 5.5% Barrel% (a reliable metric to study power) is in the 22nd percentile since the start of last season.

,Lance McCullers Jr. has averaged 12.6 outs per game per started since the start of last season, ranking in the 1st percentile.

,The New York Yankees projected lineup ranks as the 2nd-strongest on the slate today in terms of overall offensive ability.

,Cam Smith is projected to bat 6th in the batting order in this game.

,Because of Will Warren’s large platoon split, Cam Smith will be at a huge disadvantage batting from the same side of the plate in this game.

,Cam Smith has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.4%) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the league’s 9th-deepest RF fences in today’s game.

,Playing on the road typically weakens batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Cody Bellinger in today’s matchup.

,When estimating his overall offensive skill, Daniel Johnson ranks in the 6th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Daniel Johnson is penciled in 7th in the lineup today.

,Daniel Johnson hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (37.9% — 77th percentile) and will be challenged by the game’s 8th-deepest CF fences today.

,Playing on the road generally lowers hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Austin Wells today.

,Austin Wells’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased from last season to this one, going from 17.3% to 14.3%.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christian Walker in the 12th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent.

,There has been a significant decline in Jose Altuve’s launch angle from last season’s 18° to 7.2° this season.

,With a .269 wOBA over the past 7 days, Brice Matthews has been struggling at the plate.

,Playing on the road typically diminishes batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Jazz Chisholm Jr. in today’s game.

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