Twins vs Rockies match player stats | 2025 Series Game 3 Sunday, July 20th

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Twins vs Rockies match player stats | 2025 Series Game 3 Sunday, July 20th

MIN @ COL

Minnesota Twins at Colorado Rockies Series Game 3Twins vs RockiesTwins vs RockiesTwins vs RockiesTwins vs RockiesTwins vs RockiesTwins vs Rockies

Series Game 3 Matchup Details

Minnesota Twins at Colorado Rockies
Series Game 3
Todays Game is on Sunday, July 20th
20/07/25 15:10:00 PM EST First Pitch

Positive Match Player Stats for Twins vs Rockies Series Game 3 Matchup Today

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Hunter Goodman in the 95th percentile when it comes to his home run ability.

Hunter Goodman is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Coors Field as the best field in Major League Baseball for run-scoring.

Coors Field sits at the highest elevation in Major League Baseball. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense.

The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of all games today at 93°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).

The #1 ballpark in MLB for boosting batting average to righties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Coors Field.

The Minnesota Twins infield defense grades out as the 2nd-worst out of every team on the slate today.

Jordan Beck is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Beck in the 76th percentile as it relates to his home run ability.

Junior Valentine grades out as a Pitchers Umpire and is likely to be calling pitches today.

Considering that groundball pitchers hold a sizeable advantage over groundball bats, German Marquez and his 32.3% underlying GB% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT) finds himself in a strong spot in this game being matched up with 2 opposing GB bats.

German Marquez will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his metrics across the board.

In his last start, German Marquez was in good form and conceded 0 ER.

With a 1.09 disparity between German Marquez’s 5.57 ERA and his 4.48 FIP, it’s safe to say he’s been one of the least fortunate pitchers in MLB this year and should positively regress the rest of the season.

German Marquez is an extreme flyball pitcher (32.3% FB% according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) and has the misfortune of pitching in the #9 HR venue among all parks in this game.

The Minnesota Twins (24.7% K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) are projected to have the 5th-most strikeout-prone set of batters of all teams on the slate today.

German Marquez has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his strikeouts this year, putting up a 6.70 K/9 despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 7.56 — a 0.86 K/9 discrepancy.

Ryan McMahon is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Coors Field as the best ballpark in MLB for LHB batting average.

Ryan McMahon will have the handedness advantage over Joe Ryan in today’s matchup… and the cherry on top, Ryan has a large platoon split.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan McMahon in the 83rd percentile when assessing his home run skill.

Willi Castro’s BABIP talent is projected in the 80th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Willi Castro is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this game.

Carlos Correa’s batting average talent is projected to be in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Carlos Correa has seen a big gain in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 97.7-mph average in the last 14 days to his seasonal 90.5-mph average.

Harrison Bader has made notable gains with his Barrel% of late, improving his 12.5% seasonal rate to 31.3% in the past 14 days.

Harrison Bader has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 103.2-mph average in the past two weeks’ worth of games to his seasonal average of 92.8-mph.

Byron Buxton projects as the 10th-best home run hitter in baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Byron Buxton is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in today’s game.

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Byron Buxton ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Mickey Moniak is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 80% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season.

Mickey Moniak will hold the platoon advantage over Joe Ryan today… and moreover, Ryan has a large platoon split.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mickey Moniak in the 87th percentile when estimating his home run skill.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Freeman in the 95th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability.

Tyler Freeman is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card today.

Kody Clemens is penciled in 5th in the batting order today, which would be an upgrade from his 85% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year.

Kody Clemens will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against German Marquez in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trevor Larnach in the 80th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.

Trevor Larnach is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.

It may be smart to expect stronger performance for the Colorado Rockies offense going forward, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) sees them as the 2nd-unluckiest offense in MLB this year.

Projected catcher Ryan Jeffers grades out as a weak pitch framer, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Joe Ryan has averaged 91.3 adjusted pitches per outing this year, checking in at the 76th percentile.

Joe Ryan projects as the 13th-best SP in Major League Baseball currently when estimating his strikeout ability, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the offense with the most strikeout-prone lineup on the slate today is the Colorado Rockies with a 28.3% underlying K%.

Michael Toglia will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Matt Wallner as baseball’s 9th-best home run hitter.

Matt Wallner will hold the platoon advantage over German Marquez today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt Wallner in the 88th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.

Negative Match Player Stats with Twins vs Rockies Series Game 3

Joe Ryan will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Hunter Goodman in today’s game… and it’s an even bigger mismatch considering Ryan’s large platoon split.

Hunter Goodman has had some very good luck with with his wOBA this year; his .359 mark is a good deal higher than his .289 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

By putting up a 4.97 K/BB rate this year, Hunter Goodman has shown bad plate discipline, grading out in the 9th percentile.

Considering Joe Ryan’s large platoon split, Jordan Beck will be at a huge disadvantage hitting from the same side of the plate in today’s matchup.

Over the past two weeks, Jordan Beck’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen from his seasonal average of 92.9 mph to 90.1 mph.

Jordan Beck has been lucky this year, putting up a .329 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .300 — a .029 deviation.

In terms of plate discipline, Jordan Beck’s skill is quite bad, posting a 4.65 K/BB rate this year while checking in at in the 12th percentile.

Considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, German Marquez is projected to throw 84 pitches in this matchup by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the 7th-least on the slate today.

Hunter Goodman, the Rockies’s expected catcher in today’s matchup, grades out as a weak pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Coors Field projects as the #1 field in the majors for batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Coors Field as the worst park in the league for strikeouts.

Ryan McMahon has taken a step back with his Barrel% of late; his 12.3% seasonal rate has dropped to 4.5% in the last 14 days.

Based on Statcast data, Ryan McMahon grades out in the 25th percentile for hitting ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year at .297.

By putting up a .215 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) this year , Ryan McMahon finds himself in the 7th percentile.

Ranking in the 23rd percentile, Ryan McMahon sports a .291 wOBA (widely regarded as the top indicator of overall offense) this year.

Ranking in the 5th percentile, Ryan McMahon sports a .200 batting average this year.

Playing on the road generally reduces hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Willi Castro in today’s game.

Willi Castro has been cold in recent games, with his seasonal exit velocity of 88.1-mph dropping to 71.2-mph in the last week.

Willi Castro’s exit velocity on flyballs has declined this season; his 90.6-mph figure last year has dropped off to 88.3-mph.

Willi Castro’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has declined in recent games, falling from 44.8% on the season to 26.1% in the past two weeks’ worth of games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Willi Castro’s true offensive talent to be a .313, suggesting that he has been lucky this year given the .034 gap between that mark and his actual .347 wOBA.

Carlos Correa is projected to hit 6th in the lineup in today’s game, which would be a downgrade from his 95% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this season.

German Marquez will hold the platoon advantage over Carlos Correa in today’s matchup.

Playing on the road typically diminishes hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Carlos Correa in today’s matchup.

Carlos Correa’s average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls lately (3.5° in the last 14 days) is significantly lower than his 8.6° seasonal figure.

Carlos Correa grades out in the 9th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to best-produce home runs (11.3% rate this year).

Harrison Bader is penciled in 9th in the batting order today.

Batting from the same side that German Marquez throws from, Harrison Bader faces a tough challenge today.

Harrison Bader will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s game.

Despite posting a .334 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Harrison Bader has had some very good luck given the .031 difference between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .303.

German Marquez will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Byron Buxton in today’s game.

Typically, hitters like Byron Buxton who hit a lot of flyballs tend to be less successful when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of flyballs such as German Marquez.

Playing on the road typically reduces hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Byron Buxton in today’s game.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.347) implies that Byron Buxton has been very fortunate this year with his .388 actual wOBA.

When starting against a northpaw this year, Mickey Moniak has been replaced by a pinch-hitter 29% of the time.

Typically, batters like Mickey Moniak who hit a lot of groundballs generally hit worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of groundballs such as Joe Ryan.

Despite posting a .348 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Mickey Moniak has been lucky given the .034 gap between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .314.

Sporting a 4.29 K/BB rate this year, Mickey Moniak has demonstrated weak plate discipline, grading out in the 17th percentile.

Considering Joe Ryan’s large platoon split, Tyler Freeman will be at a massive disadvantage batting from the same side of the dish in this game.

In the last two weeks’ worth of games, Tyler Freeman’s average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls (0.2°) has significantly dropped compared to his seasonal mark of 4.7°.

Tyler Freeman has been lucky this year, notching a .365 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .326 — a .039 deviation.

Posting a 6.400 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) this year , Tyler Freeman finds himself in the 6th percentile for power.

Ranking in the 4th percentile for power, Tyler Freeman has paced 2.3 homers per 600 plate appearances this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kody Clemens in the 7th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.

Kody Clemens will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Kody Clemens’s true offensive talent to be a .310, suggesting that he has had some very good luck this year given the .029 discrepancy between that figure and his actual .339 wOBA.

Checking in at the 9th percentile, Kody Clemens sports a .210 batting average this year.

As it relates to his home runs, Kody Clemens has experienced some positive variance this year. His 42.4 HR per 600 plate appearances mark has been considerably higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 27.9.

Playing on the road generally lessens hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Trevor Larnach in today’s matchup.

Trevor Larnach’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off in recent games; his 90.4-mph seasonal EV has dropped to 88.3-mph in the past two weeks.

Trevor Larnach’s average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls this year (6.3°) is a considerable dropoff from his 12° mark last year.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (15.3) suggests that Trevor Larnach has experienced some positive variance this year with his 21.3 actual HR/600.

Joe Ryan projects as the 16th-best SP in baseball currently, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

The Colorado Rockies projected offense projects as the 3rd-worst of the day in terms of overall offensive skill.

Given his large platoon split, Joe Ryan will be in a good position squaring off against 6 hitters in the projected batting order who share his handedness in today’s game.

Joe Ryan performed well in his previous outing and allowed 1 ER.

Playing on the road generally reduces pitcher stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Joe Ryan in today’s matchup.

Michael Toglia’s batting average skill is projected to be in the 4th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Michael Toglia is projected to hit 7th in the lineup in this game, which would be a downgrade from his 60% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this year.

In the past week, Michael Toglia’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 10.1% down to 0%.

In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Michael Toglia has had positive variance on his side this year. His .278 figure has been quite a bit higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .258.

Michael Toglia has recorded a .196 Expected Batting Average this year, grading out in the 2nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Matt Wallner is projected to bat 8th in the lineup today, which would be a downgrade from his 78% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this season.

Typically, hitters like Matt Wallner who hit a lot of groundballs tend to be less successful when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of groundballs such as German Marquez.

Playing on the road generally lowers batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Matt Wallner in today’s game.

Matt Wallner’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off of late, falling from 12.4% on the season to 0% in the past two weeks.

Matt Wallner’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has declined from last season to this one, going from 46.8% to 40.5%.

Latest Colorado Rockies Match Player Stats

Latest Minnesota Twins Match Player Stats