Twins vs Blue Jays match player stats | 2026 World Friday, April 10th

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MIN @ TOR

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Twins @ Blue Jays 2025 WorldSeries Matchup Details

Teams : Minnesota Twins at Toronto Blue Jays
2025 World
Date : Todays Game is on Friday, April 10th
Time : 10/04/26 19:07:00 PM EST First Pitch

Positives for the Minnesota Twins World Game Today

As it relates to his batting average skill, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is projected as the best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Rogers Centre as the 3rd-best field in the majors for RHB home runs.

The Rogers Centre roof is expected to be closed today, making the temperature in this game 10° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for offense.

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 91st percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards MLB’s 10th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luke Keaschall in the 88th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.

Luke Keaschall is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this game.

Batting from the opposite that Patrick Corbin throws from, Luke Keaschall will have an advantage today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kazuma Okamoto in the 94th percentile when estimating his home run skill.

Kazuma Okamoto is projected to bat 5th in the lineup today.

The 10th-shallowest CF dimensions among all major league parks are found in Rogers Centre.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luke Keaschall in the 96th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill.

The Minnesota Twins infield defense grades out as the 3rd-worst out of all the teams playing today.

Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats in all categories, and Ernie Clement will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Rogers Centre as the 3rd-best stadium in the game for LHB home runs.

Andres Gimenez will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Simeon Woods Richard in today’s game.

Byron Buxton projects as the 13th-best home run hitter in the majors, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Byron Buxton is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this matchup.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Vladimir Guerrero Jr. ranks as the 5th-best hitter in the game.

Simeon Woods Richardson was in good form in his last start and allowed 2 ER.

Simeon Woods Richardson has gone to his change-up 12.2% more often this year (26.9%) than he did last year (14.7%).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jesus Sanchez in the 80th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.

Jesus Sanchez is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this matchup.

Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Andres Gimenez will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), George Springer ranks as the 20th-best batter in the game.

George Springer is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this game.

George Springer hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (37.9% — 76th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards MLB’s 10th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Daulton Varsho in the 89th percentile when it comes to his home run talent.

Daulton Varsho is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 73% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan Jeffers in the 80th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.

Ryan Jeffers is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Victor Caratini in the 81st percentile as it relates to his batting average skill.

Victor Caratini is projected to bat 5th in the lineup today.

Victor Caratini hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 92nd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards baseball’s 10th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

Hitting from the opposite that Simeon Woods Richard throws from, Daulton Varsho will have the upper hand today.

Royce Lewis will have the handedness advantage over Patrick Corbin today.

Royce Lewis has displayed some good exit velocity indicators in recent games, averaging 97.3-mph on his flyballs over the last two weeks.

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Josh Bell ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Josh Bell has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his wOBA since the start of last season; his .330 rate is quite a bit lower than his .349 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Tyler Heineman hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 85th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game’s 10th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

Tyler Heineman will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s game, which should boost all of his stats.

Matt Wallner’s 96.2-mph exit velocity on flyballs (an advanced metric to assess power) ranks in the 91st percentile since the start of last season.

Home field advantage generally boosts pitcher metrics in all categories, and Patrick Corbin will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

Contrary to popular belief, fastballs are generally a pitcher’s least effective pitch. Patrick Corbin must realize this, because he has gone to his secondary pitches a lot since the start of last season: 68.2% of the time, placing in the 98th percentile.

Patrick Corbin has been one of the unluckiest hurlers in baseball on balls in play since the start of last season with a .317 BABIP and should see that luck normalize going forward.

Very few of Tyler Heineman’s balls in play have a “too-high” (above 38°) launch angle, which helps him to avoid making easy outs. His 26.6% “too-high” rate since the start of last season ranks in the 87th percentile.

Batting from the opposite that Simeon Woods Richard throws from, Nathan Lukes will have the upper hand in today’s matchup.

Batters such as Nathan Lukes with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Simeon Woods Richard who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum.

Austin Martin is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this game.

Austin Martin will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Patrick Corbin in today’s matchup.

Austin Martin hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.3% — 95th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards the game’s 10th-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.

Matt Wallner projects as the 10th-best home run batter in the game, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Matt Wallner has big-time power (99th percentile) if he makes contact, but that’s never a sure thing (34.4% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Patrick Corbin has a pitch-to-contact profile (3rd percentile K%) — great news for Wallner.

Hitting from the opposite that Patrick Corbin throws from, Ryan Jeffers will have an advantage in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Austin Martin in the 88th percentile when estimating his batting average ability.

Luke Keaschall hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (37.9% — 76th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards the league’s 10th-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Byron Buxton in the 96th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.

Byron Buxton will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Patrick Corbin in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ernie Clement in the 89th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability.

Victor Caratini’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last season to this one, going from 15% to 24%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andres Gimenez in the 78th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kazuma Okamoto in the 88th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability.

Sporting a .342 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) since the start of last season, Tyler Heineman has performed in the 84th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Royce Lewis in the 77th percentile as it relates to his home run skill.

Josh Bell has been lifting the ball well lately, posting a 26° launch angle over the past 7 days.

Simeon Woods Richardson is an extreme flyball pitcher (40.5% FB% via the leading projection system, THE BAT) and is stuck pitching in the #5 HR venue among all stadiums in this game.

Grading out in the 76th percentile, Patrick Corbin put up an 11.7% Swinging Strike rate since the start of last season.

Checking in at the 85th percentile, the hardest ball Josh Bell has made contact with since the start of last season reached a maximum exit velocity of 114.1 mph — an advanced indication of underlying power skill.

Jesus Sanchez will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Simeon Woods Richard in today’s matchup.

Victor Caratini’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better from last year to this one, rising from 47.4% to 60%.

Nathan Lukes’s batting average ability is projected to be in the 84th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Negatives with the Toronto Blue Jays World Game Today

In the majors, the 8th-tallest fences are at Rogers Centre.

Hitting from the same side that Simeon Woods Richard throws from, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. will have a tough challenge today.

Vladimir Guerrero Jr.’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has declined from last year to this one, falling from 46.6% to 33.3%.

Playing on the road generally reduces hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Luke Keaschall today.

Luke Keaschall has been cold in recent games, posting an 83-mph average exit velocity in the past week’s worth of games.

Luke Keaschall has had some very good luck with his home runs since the start of last season; his 11.8 HR per 600 plate appearances mark is considerably higher than his 9.0 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Luke Keaschall’s 86-mph average exit velocity is among the worst in MLB since the start of last season: 17th percentile.

Batting from the same side that Simeon Woods Richard throws from, Kazuma Okamoto encounters a tough challenge in today’s game.

Over the last 7 days, Kazuma Okamoto’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased from his seasonal EV of 101.3 mph to 96.2 mph.

Over the past week, Kazuma Okamoto has failed to produce much power, posting a mere a 0% Barrel% (an advanced stat to assess power).

In the past week’s worth of games, Kazuma Okamoto’s swing has not been well optimized for home runs, hitting a mere 0% of his balls with a launch angle in the optimal range of 23° to 34°.

Out of every team today, the 3rd-best infield defense is that of the Toronto Blue Jays.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ernie Clement in the 11th percentile as it relates to his home run talent.

Ernie Clement is projected to bat 6th on the lineup card today.

Batting from the same side that Simeon Woods Richard throws from, Ernie Clement faces a tough challenge in today’s game.

Ernie Clement’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has decreased from last year to this one, going from 45.5% to 33.3%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andres Gimenez in the 14th percentile as it relates to his home run ability.

Andres Gimenez is projected to bat 8th on the lineup card today.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (6.2) provides evidence that Andres Gimenez has had positive variance on his side since the start of last season with his 13.1 actual HR/600.

Andres Gimenez has posted a .285 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, ranking in the 14th percentile for offensive ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Byron Buxton will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s game.

Byron Buxton has negatively regressed with his Barrel%; his 17.7% rate last season has decreased to 4% this year.

Byron Buxton’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off this year; his 96.9-mph figure last year has fallen to 90-mph.

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. and his 5.4° launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls rank in 7th percentile, among the lowest in the league since the start of last season.

Taking into account both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Simeon Woods Richardson is projected to throw 84 pitches in this outing by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the 7th-least of all pitchers on the slate today.

It may be sensible to expect better numbers for the Toronto Blue Jays offense going forward, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes they are the 8th-unluckiest offense in the game this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Rogers Centre as the 5th-best venue in the game for home runs.

Since the start of last season, Jesus Sanchez has been lifted for a pinch-hitter in 17% of his appearances when starting against righty on the mound.

In the last week, Jesus Sanchez’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 11.1% down to 0%.

Jesus Sanchez’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has decreased of late, decreasing from 66.7% on the season to 50% in the last week’s worth of games.

Jesus Sanchez’s footspeed has dropped off this year. His 27.01 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 22.7 ft/sec now.

Simeon Woods Richard will hold the platoon advantage against George Springer in today’s matchup.

George Springer has taken a step back with his Barrel%; his 16.7% rate last year has decreased to 11.1% this season.

Typically, batters like Daulton Varsho who hit a lot of groundballs generally hit worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of groundballs such as Simeon Woods Richard.

Daulton Varsho has negatively regressed with his Barrel%; his 16.4% rate last year has dropped to 3.7% this year.

Daulton Varsho’s average exit velocity has declined this year; his 89.5-mph figure last year has fallen to 81.8-mph.

Daulton Varsho’s launch angle this year (16.1°) is a significant dropoff from his 23.6° mark last season.

Playing on the road typically lessens hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Ryan Jeffers today.

In the last week, Ryan Jeffers has been exhibiting poor exit velocity numbers, with an average of only 82.7-mph on his flyballs.

Ryan Jeffers has not been honed in on the ideal launch angle for home runs in recent games, hitting balls between 23° and 34° just 0% of the time in the last 7 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brooks Lee in the 12th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability.

Brooks Lee is projected to hit 9th in the lineup in this matchup.

As a switch-hitter who performs worse from the 0 side of the plate, Brooks Lee will be at a disadvantage batting from his bad side against Patrick Corbin in today’s matchup.

As a switch-hitter who is weaker from the 0 side of the dish, Victor Caratini will bat from his worse side against Patrick Corbin in today’s game.

Victor Caratini is an extreme groundball hitter and faces the strong infield defense of Toronto (#3-best on the slate).

Victor Caratini will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s matchup.

Daulton Varsho’s BABIP ability is projected in the 2nd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

The #8 ballpark in the game for suppressing base hits to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Rogers Centre.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Royce Lewis in the 15th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.

Royce Lewis is penciled in 8th in the lineup today.

Royce Lewis will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.

Josh Bell is projected to bat 6th in the lineup in this game.

As a switch-hitter who bats worse from the 0 side of the dish, Josh Bell will be less advantaged while batting from his worse side against Patrick Corbin today.

Josh Bell will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Heineman in the 4th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.

Tyler Heineman is projected to bat 9th in the batting order in this matchup.

Since the start of last season, Tyler Heineman has been pinch hit for in 14% of his appearances when starting against righty hurler.

As a switch-hitter who is weaker from the 0 side of the dish, Tyler Heineman will be less advantaged while batting from his bad side against Simeon Woods Richard in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt Wallner in the 6th percentile when estimating his batting average talent.

Matt Wallner has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this year (75% of the time), but he is projected to bat 7th in the batting order in this game.

Patrick Corbin will have the handedness advantage against Matt Wallner in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Patrick Corbin in the 3rd percentile when it comes to his overall pitching talent level.

With 8 batters of opposing handedness in the opposing team’s projected batting order, Patrick Corbin has a tough challenge while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in this game.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the team with the 2nd-least strikeout-prone lineup in today’s games is the Toronto Blue Jays with a 19.1% underlying K%.

Considering that flyball hitters hold a big edge over groundball pitchers, Simeon Woods Richardson and his 40.6% underlying GB% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be in a hard spot in this matchup squaring off against 2 opposing GB batters.

Simeon Woods Richardson will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today.

The standard deviation of Victor Caratini’s launch angle has been very inconsistent recently (17.5° over the last 14 days), which is a proxy for poor bat control and not seeing the ball well.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nathan Lukes in the 13th percentile when estimating his home run ability.

Nathan Lukes has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this year (60% of the time), but he is penciled in 7th in the lineup in this matchup.

Since the start of last season, Nathan Lukes has been pinch hit for in 23% of his appearances when starting against right-handed pitcher.

Nathan Lukes’s 4.8% Barrel% (an advanced metric to study power) ranks in the 18th percentile since the start of last season.

Nathan Lukes has experienced some positive variance in regards to his home runs since the start of last season; his 15.8 HR per 600 plate appearances mark is quite a bit higher than his 11.7 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Austin Martin in the 6th percentile when it comes to his home run skill.

Austin Martin will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s game.

In the past two weeks, Austin Martin has recorded a mere a 0% Barrel%, indicating a decline in power ability.

Austin Martin has been cold lately, compiling a 74.1-mph average exit velocity in the last week.

Playing on the road typically lowers batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Matt Wallner in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Rogers Centre as the 8th-worst ballpark in the game for righty BABIP.

Ernie Clement’s launch angle this year (12.5°) is considerably lower than his 18.1° figure last year.

Ernie Clement has been cold in recent games, notching a 0% Barrel% (an advanced stat to assess power) over the past two weeks.

Victor Caratini does not make a lot of hard contact. If you were to look at the top 5% of his batted balls by exit velocity, their average (99.8 mph) rank him among MLB’s worst: in the 21st percentile since the start of last season.

Since the start of last season, Andres Gimenez’s 3.4% Barrel%, an advanced stat for measuring power, places him in the 9th percentile among his peers.

Placing in the 8th percentile, Andres Gimenez has put up a .274 wOBA (widely regarded as the top indicator of overall offense) since the start of last season.

In the past 7 days, Royce Lewis has failed to produce much power, posting a mere a 0% Barrel% (a reliable metric to measure power).

In the past week’s worth of games, Royce Lewis’s swing has not been well optimized for home runs, hitting a mere 0% of his balls with a launch angle in the optimal range of 23° to 34°.

Josh Bell has been cold recently, putting up an 85.9-mph average exit velocity over the past week.

When it comes to power, Ryan Jeffers is positioned in the 16th percentile, having averaged 11.1 home runs per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season.

As it relates to his strikeout talent, the leading projection system (THE BAT) puts Patrick Corbin in the 23rd percentile among all SPs in the game.

Patrick Corbin’s 90.9-mph fastball velocity since the start of last season is in the 11th percentile out of all starters.

Patrick Corbin’s 2145-rpm fastball spin rate since the start of last season ranks in the 18th percentile out of all starting pitchers.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brooks Lee in the 23rd percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.

Playing on the road typically reduces hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Brooks Lee in today’s game.

Placing in the 7th percentile, the hardest ball Nathan Lukes has hit since the start of last season reached a maximum exit velocity of 107.7 mph — an advanced indication of underlying power ability.

Matt Wallner has not been honed in on the ideal launch angle for home runs in recent games, lifting balls between 23° and 34° just 0% of the time in the past 7 days.

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