Tigers @ Orioles Matchup Details

Positives for the Detroit Tigers Game Today

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Pete Alonso in the 97th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.

,Pete Alonso is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this game.

,Pete Alonso has a 76th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.3%) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them in the direction of the game’s shallowest RF fences today.

,Home field advantage typically improves batter stats across the board, and Pete Alonso will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

,Ranked in the 99th percentile, Pete Alonso has one of the highest average exit velocities in the league this year (94.6-mph).

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Colt Keith in the 88th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.

,Colt Keith is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this game.

,Colt Keith will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Chris Bassitt today… and moreover, Bassitt has a large platoon split.

,Colt Keith hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (37.9% — 75th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards the game’s 4th-shallowest CF fences today.

,Colt Keith and his 14.8° launch angle on his hardest-hit balls rank in 75th percentile, among the highest in the majors since the start of last season.

,When estimating his BABIP skill, Riley Greene is projected as the 13th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Riley Greene is projected to hit 4th in the batting order today.

,Oriole Park at Camden Yards has the shallowest right field fences among all parks.

,Riley Greene will hold the platoon advantage over Chris Bassitt in today’s game… and even more favorably, Bassitt has a large platoon split.

,Riley Greene’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved from last year to this one, going from 46.8% to 54.6%.

,As it relates to his home run talent, Coby Mayo ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,The #10 field in the league for boosting offensive stats, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards.

,Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Coby Mayo will hold that advantage in today’s game.

,Coby Mayo has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 90.9-mph average to last season’s 87.5-mph figure.

,In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Coby Mayo ranks in the 94th percentile with a 20.3° launch angle, which is among the steepest angles in the league.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gunnar Henderson in the 95th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability.

,Gunnar Henderson is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in today’s game.

,Batting from the opposite that Jack Flaherty throws from, Gunnar Henderson will have an advantage in today’s matchup.

,Gunnar Henderson will possess the home field advantage in today’s game, which ought to improve all of his stats.

,The switch-hitting Leody Taveras will get to bat from his strong side (0) today against Jack Flaherty.

,Leody Taveras will possess the home field advantage in today’s game, which should bolster all of his stats.

,Leody Taveras’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last season to this one, rising from 8% to 18.1%.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Pete Alonso as the game’s 14th-best home run hitter.

,Zach McKinstry will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Chris Bassitt in today’s matchup… and the cherry on top, Bassitt has a large platoon split.

,Zach McKinstry is in the 93rd percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to result the most in base hits (49.2% rate since the start of last season).

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Colton Cowser in the 85th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.

,Colton Cowser will hold the platoon advantage against Jack Flaherty in today’s matchup.

,Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Colton Cowser will hold that advantage in today’s game.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt Vierling in the 75th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability.

,Matt Vierling is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this game.

,Matt Vierling has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.7%) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them out towards baseball’s shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.

,Matt Vierling grades out in the 80th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to best-produce home runs (18.2% rate since the start of last season).

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Colton Cowser in the 82nd percentile when assessing his home run ability.

,When estimating his strikeout ability, the leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Jack Flaherty in the 90th percentile among all starters in MLB.

,Recording 93 adjusted pitches per game per started this year on average, Jack Flaherty places him the 78th percentile.

,Projected catcher Jake Rogers projects as a good pitch framer, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Holliday in the 91st percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent.

,Jackson Holliday will hold the platoon advantage against Jack Flaherty in today’s game.

,Extreme flyball hitters like Jackson Holliday generally hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Jack Flaherty.

,Jackson Holliday will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats.

,The 4th-best projected lineup of all teams today in terms of overall batting skill is that of the Baltimore Orioles.

,The Baltimore Orioles have been the 6th-unluckiest offense in the majors this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to hit better in the future,Jack Flaherty is an extreme flyball pitcher (35.4% FB% via the leading projection system, THE BAT) and will be disadvantaged pitching in the #9 HR venue among all parks in today’s game.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dillon Dingler in the 83rd percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability.

,Dillon Dingler is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this game.

,In the league, Oriole Park at Camden Yards’s centerfield dimensions are the 3rd-shallowest.

,Dillon Dingler’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last season to this one, increasing from 16% to 19.8%.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Adley Rutschman in the 91st percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.

,Adley Rutschman is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in today’s game.

,Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Adley Rutschman will hold that advantage in today’s game.

,When estimating his overall offensive ability, Kevin McGonigle ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Kevin McGonigle is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this matchup.

,Because of Chris Bassitt’s large platoon split, Kevin McGonigle will have a colossal advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish today.

,In the past week’s worth of games, Kevin McGonigle has been performing exceptionally well at the plate with a wOBA of .357.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Samuel Basallo in the 82nd percentile when estimating his home run skill.

,Samuel Basallo is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this matchup.

,Samuel Basallo will hold the platoon advantage against Jack Flaherty today.

,Samuel Basallo hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38% — 77th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards MLB’s 4th-shallowest CF fences today.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Taylor Ward in the 94th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.

,Taylor Ward is projected to hit 1st in the batting order today.

,Taylor Ward has an 87th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.9%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball’s shallowest RF fences today.

,Taylor Ward will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats.

,When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Colt Keith ranks in the 77th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Taylor Ward has been hot recently, batting his way to a .360 wOBA in the last two weeks’ worth of games.

,Dillon Dingler’s 13.3% Barrel% (an advanced stat to assess power) grades out in the 83rd percentile this year.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gage Workman in the 93rd percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.

,Given Chris Bassitt’s large platoon split, Gage Workman will have an enormous advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate in today’s matchup.

,Gage Workman has done a good job optimizing his launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls. His 43.7° angle is among the highest in MLB since the start of last season (100th percentile).

,Whalloping 2 dingers over the last 7 days, Matt Vierling has been on fire lately.

,The Detroit Tigers have 3 batters in their projected batting order today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Riley Greene, Gage Workman, Jake Rogers).

,Chris Bassitt will hold the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to improve all of his metrics across the board.

,Chris Bassitt’s sinker usage has dropped by 5.4% from last season to this one (41.5% to 36.1%) .

,With a 1.71 difference between Chris Bassitt’s 6.28 K/9 and his 7.99 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it’s safe to say he’s been one of the unluckiest pitchers in the majors this year in terms of strikeouts and ought to see positive regression in future games.

,Grading out in the 13th percentile, Chris Bassitt has posted a 1.58 K/BB rate this year.

,As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Riley Greene ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Riley Greene’s 13.4% Barrel% (a reliable metric to evaluate power) grades out in the 84th percentile this year.

,When assessing his overall offensive talent, Jackson Holliday ranks in the 76th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Samuel Basallo will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats.

,Dillon Dingler has averaged 27.8 homers per 600 plate appearances this year, placing in the 84th percentile for power.

,Adley Rutschman’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last season to this one, going from 17.4% to 22%.

,Over the last two weeks, Samuel Basallo has been performing exceptionally well at the plate with a wOBA of .355.

Negatives with the Baltimore Orioles Game Today

Low temperatures are strongly correlated with less offense (and more whiffs), and the weather forecast predicts the 5th-coldest temperature of the day at 59,°.

,Hitting from the same side that Jack Flaherty throws from, Pete Alonso will be at a disadvantage in today’s matchup.

,Pete Alonso has taken a step back with his Barrel%; his 18.8% rate last year has fallen off to 11.9% this year.

,Colt Keith will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.

,This year, Colt Keith’s 5% Barrel%, an advanced standard for measuring power, places him in the 24th percentile among his peers.

,Riley Greene will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s matchup.

,Coby Mayo is projected to hit 8th in the lineup in this matchup.

,Jack Flaherty will hold the platoon advantage over Coby Mayo in today’s game.

,Coby Mayo pulls many of his flyballs (40.2% — 97th percentile) but may find it hard to clear MLB’s 4th-deepest LF fences in today’s matchup.

,Extreme groundball batters like Coby Mayo usually hit worse against extreme groundball pitchers like Jack Flaherty.

,Gunnar Henderson’s average exit velocity has fallen off this year; his 92.1-mph EV last season has dropped off to 90.1-mph.

,By putting up a 4.24 K/BB rate this year, Gunnar Henderson has displayed poor plate discipline, checking in at the 16th percentile.

,Leody Taveras is projected to bat 6th in the batting order today.

,Leody Taveras has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.2%) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards baseball’s 4th-deepest LF fences in today’s game.

,Ranking in the 12th percentile, Leody Taveras has notched a .277 wOBA (widely regarded as the top indicator of overall offense) since the start of last season.

,Ranking in the 15th percentile, Leody Taveras sports a .342 Slugging Percentage (SLG) since the start of last season.

,Zach McKinstry is projected to hit 7th in the batting order in today’s game.

,Playing on the road generally lessens batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Zach McKinstry today.

,There has been a decrease in Zach McKinstry’s average exit velocity this season, from 85.9 mph last year to 83.6 mph now,Zach McKinstry’s 5.4% Barrel% (an advanced stat to evaluate power) ranks in the 21st percentile since the start of last season.

,Colton Cowser is projected to hit 9th in the lineup today.

,In today’s matchup, Colton Cowser is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 4th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 34.3% rate (84th percentile).

,Colton Cowser has negatively regressed with his Barrel%; his 14.5% rate last season has lowered to 9.4% this season.

,Colton Cowser’s average exit velocity has decreased this season; his 90.8-mph mark last year has fallen to 86.5-mph.

,Considering Chris Bassitt’s large platoon split, Matt Vierling will be at a big disadvantage batting from the same side of the plate today.

,Matt Vierling will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s matchup.

,The Baltimore Orioles have 6 bats in the projected batting order that will have the handedness advantage over Jack Flaherty today.

,Jack Flaherty will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s matchup.

,In his last outing, Jack Flaherty wasn’t on when it came to striking batters out and was only able to post 2 Ks.

,Jack Flaherty’s curveball percentage has decreased by 6.8% from last season to this one (25.4% to 18.6%) .

,Jack Flaherty’s 91.8-mph fastball velocity this year ranks in the 17th percentile out of all starting pitchers.

,Placing in the 11th percentile, Colt Keith has posted a .115 Isolated Power rate (ISO) this year.

,Jackson Holliday is penciled in 7th in the lineup in this game.

,Today, Jackson Holliday is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 4th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 35.5% rate (90th percentile).

,Jackson Holliday’s 8.5° launch angle (an advanced stat to assess a hitter’s ability to lift the ball for power) is one of the lowest in baseball: 13th percentile.

,Grading out in the 25th percentile, Jackson Holliday has put up a .196 Isolated Power rate (ISO) since the start of last season.

,Oriole Park at Camden Yards profiles as the #29 stadium in MLB for walks, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,In his last start, Jack Flaherty was rolling and conceded 2 ER.

,Given the 1.48 discrepancy between Jack Flaherty’s 5.77 ERA and his 4.29 estimated true talent ERA (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT), it’s safe to say he’s been one of the unluckiest pitchers in the majors this year and figures to perform better in future games.

,Because of Chris Bassitt’s large platoon split, Dillon Dingler will be at a huge disadvantage hitting from the same side of the plate in today’s game.

,Playing on the road generally reduces hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Dillon Dingler in today’s game.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Zach McKinstry in the 23rd percentile as it relates to his home run skill.

,The switch-hitting Adley Rutschman will be at a disadvantage batting from his worse side (0) today against Jack Flaherty,Posting a .252 BABIP since the start of last season, Adley Rutschman is ranked in the 8th percentile.

,Kevin McGonigle will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s matchup.

,Samuel Basallo ranks in the 12th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to best-produce home runs (9.7% rate since the start of last season).

,Batting from the same side that Jack Flaherty throws from, Taylor Ward has a tough challenge in today’s game.

,Taylor Ward has taken a step back with his Barrel%; his 14.1% rate last season has decreased to 4.7% this year.

,Taylor Ward’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined from last year to this one, going from 19.2% to 13.2%.

,Ranking in the 13th percentile for power, Taylor Ward has paced 4.6 long-balls per 600 plate appearances this year.

,In terms of power, Kevin McGonigle is ranked in the 14th percentile, having paced 4.9 homers per 600 plate appearances this year.

,Gage Workman is penciled in 6th on the lineup card in this game.

,Gage Workman will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s matchup.

,With a .276 wOBA over the last two weeks, Gage Workman has been struggling at the plate.

,Projected catcher Samuel Basallo profiles as a weak pitch framer, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,Out of all starters, Chris Bassitt’s fastball velocity of 91.2 mph ranks in the 11th percentile this year.

,Chris Bassitt’s 2144-rpm fastball spin rate since the start of last season grades out in the 18th percentile out of all starters.

,Chris Bassitt has posted an 8.5% Swinging Strike rate this year, checking in at the 20th percentile.

,Checking in at the 15th percentile, Chris Bassitt has recorded a 16.3% Strikeout% this year.

,Chris Bassitt has been unlucky this year, compiling a 5.44 ERA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 4.44 — a 1 gap.

,Riley Greene’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off from last year to this one, decreasing from 21.1% to 14.3%.

,Leody Taveras has displayed weak plate discipline since the start of last season, placing in the 22nd percentile with a 3.58 K/BB rate.

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