NYM @ MIA






Mets @ Marlins Matchup Details
Date : Todays Game is on Friday, May 22nd
Time : 22/05/26 19:10:00 PM EST First Pitch
Positives for the New York Mets Game Today
The LoanDepot Park roof figures to be closed today, making conditions in this match-up 6,° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for offense.
,Extreme groundball bats like Luis Torrens tend to perform better against extreme flyball pitchers like Eury Perez.
,Marcus Semien and his 17.3° launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls rank in 90th percentile, among the highest in the game since the start of last season.
,The Miami Marlins have 4 hitters in their projected batting order today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Kyle Stowers, Christopher Morel, Joe Mack, Owen Caissie).
,According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Luis Torrens (the Mets’s expected catcher in today’s game) is considered to be a good pitch framer.
,When assessing his strikeout ability, the leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Eury Perez in the 90th percentile among all starters in the game.
,Home field advantage generally boosts pitcher metrics in all categories, and Eury Perez will hold that advantage in today’s game.
,In his last outing, Eury Perez was on point and compiled 8 strikeouts.
,Among all starters, Eury Perez’s fastball velocity of 97.4 mph is in the 97th percentile this year.
,Jakob Marsee is projected to hit 5th in the lineup today.
,Hitting from the opposite that Tobias Myers throws from, Jakob Marsee will have an edge in today’s matchup.
,Home field advantage typically improves batter stats in all categories, and Jakob Marsee will hold that advantage today.
,Jakob Marsee’s launch angle this season (20.8°) is quite a bit better than his 10.9° mark last season.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Javier Sanoja in the 94th percentile when estimating his batting average talent.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects LoanDepot Park as the 9th-best ballpark in Major League Baseball for RHB BABIP.
,Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats across the board, and Javier Sanoja will hold that advantage today.
,By putting up a 1.85 K/BB rate since the start of last season, Javier Sanoja has shown strong plate discipline, checking in at the 77th percentile.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Stowers in the 90th percentile when assessing his home run talent.
,Kyle Stowers is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this game.
,Kyle Stowers will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Tobias Myers in today’s matchup.
,Kyle Stowers has strong power (90th percentile) if he makes contact, but that’s never a sure thing (27.4% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Tobias Myers is a pitch-to-contact type (21st percentile K%) — great news for Stowers.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bo Bichette as the 5th-best hitter in MLB as it relates to his batting average ability.
,Bo Bichette is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this game.
,Bo Bichette’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last season to this one, going from 12.4% to 19.5%.
,Hitting 3 dingers in the past week’s worth of games, Bo Bichette has been on fire recently.
,Joe Mack will have the handedness advantage against Tobias Myers in today’s matchup.
,Joe Mack will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats.
,As it relates to his BABIP talent, Owen Caissie is projected as the 10th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
,Batting from the opposite that Tobias Myers throws from, Owen Caissie will have an advantage in today’s matchup.
,Owen Caissie hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 88th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards the game’s 6th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.
,Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats across the board, and Owen Caissie will hold that advantage today.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Xavier Edwards as the 15th-best hitter in MLB when it comes to his batting average ability.
,Xavier Edwards is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this matchup.
,The switch-hitting Xavier Edwards will get to bat from his better side (0) today against Tobias Myers.
,Xavier Edwards will possess the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which should bolster all of his stats.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Carson Benge in the 86th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.
,Carson Benge has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (66% of the time), but he is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this game.
,Hitting from the opposite that Eury Perez throws from, Carson Benge will have the upper hand in today’s game.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mark Vientos in the 86th percentile when it comes to his home run ability.
,Mark Vientos is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in today’s game.
,Mark Vientos hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (40.7% — 99th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards the game’s 6th-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.
,Mark Vientos’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last year to this one, going from 14% to 21.2%.
,When it comes to his batting average ability, Otto Lopez is projected as the 13th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
,Otto Lopez is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card today.
,Otto Lopez hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 95th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards MLB’s 6th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.
,Bats such as Otto Lopez with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Tobias Myers who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum.
,The #9 stadium in Major League Baseball for boosting base hits to LHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park.
,Brett Baty is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this game.
,Brett Baty will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Eury Perez in today’s matchup.
,Extreme groundball hitters like Brett Baty are generally more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Eury Perez.
,Whalloping 2 homers in the last week, Brett Baty has been on fire in recent games.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bo Bichette in the 91st percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.
,When assessing his overall offensive skill, Kyle Stowers ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
,Xavier Edwards has made big gains with his Barrel%, improving his 0.9% rate last season to 7% this year.
,Batting from the opposite that Eury Perez throws from, MJ Melendez will have an edge in today’s matchup.
,MJ Melendez has done a strong job optimizing his launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls. His 21.5° mark is among the highest in the league since the start of last season (94th percentile).
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Otto Lopez in the 85th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Liam Hicks in the 83rd percentile when it comes to his batting average ability.
,Liam Hicks is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup today.
,Hitting from the opposite that Tobias Myers throws from, Liam Hicks will have an advantage today.
,Liam Hicks hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 90th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB’s 6th-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.
,A.J. Ewing will hold the platoon advantage over Eury Perez in today’s game.
,A.J. Ewing has been hot in recent games, cruising to a .404 wOBA in the past two weeks.
,Juan Soto projects as the 2nd-best batter in MLB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
,Juan Soto is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order today.
,Juan Soto will have the handedness advantage over Eury Perez in today’s game.
,Juan Soto hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 92nd percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB’s 6th-shallowest CF fences today.
,When assessing his overall offensive skill, Liam Hicks ranks in the 76th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects A.J. Ewing in the 96th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Eury Perez in the 75th percentile when it comes to his overall pitching abilities.
,The #1 ballpark in MLB for suppressing home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park.
,Eury Perez is an extreme flyball pitcher (42.3% FB% via the leading projection system, THE BAT) and is fortunate enough to be pitching in the #28 HR venue in MLB today.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects MJ Melendez in the 85th percentile when assessing his home run talent.
Negatives with the Miami Marlins Game Today
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Torrens in the 24th percentile when assessing his home run skill.
,Luis Torrens is projected to hit 9th in the lineup in this matchup.
,The #1 ballpark in the game for suppressing home runs to righties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park.
,Built just 6 feet above sea level, LoanDepot Park has one of the lowest elevations in MLB, which generally leads to less offense.
,Hitting from the same side that Eury Perez throws from, Luis Torrens meets a tough challenge in today’s game.
,Marcus Semien is projected to bat 6th in the batting order today.
,Batting from the same side that Eury Perez throws from, Marcus Semien will have a disadvantage today.
,Marcus Semien pulls a lot of his flyballs (39% — 95th percentile) but may find it hard to clear the league’s 9th-deepest LF fences in today’s game.
,As it relates to his strikeout skill, the leading projection system (THE BAT) puts Tobias Myers in the 17th percentile among all SPs in the league.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) expects Tobias Myers to be limited in this matchup, projecting a maximum of 81 pitches.
,Playing on the road generally lessens pitcher metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Tobias Myers in today’s matchup.
,Tobias Myers has put up a 7.8% Swinging Strike% since the start of last season, checking in at the 16th percentile.
,Contrary to popular belief, fastballs are generally a pitcher’s least effective pitch. Eury Perez has used his fastball a lot this year, though: 53.6% of the time, placing in the 100th percentile.
,The #1 park in the game for suppressing home runs to left-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park.
,LoanDepot Park has the 4th-deepest right field dimensions among all stadiums.
,This year, Jakob Marsee’s 4.1% Barrel%, an advanced stat for measuring power, places him in the 18th percentile among his peers.
,Javier Sanoja is projected to hit 9th in the lineup in this matchup.
,Tobias Myers will have the handedness advantage over Javier Sanoja today.
,Javier Sanoja pulls many of his flyballs (34.3% — 79th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards baseball’s 9th-deepest LF fences today.
,Javier Sanoja’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has dropped off from last season to this one, going from 45.7% to 39.3%.
,Kyle Stowers pulls many of his flyballs (34.1% — 78th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards MLB’s 4th-deepest RF fences today.
,Kyle Stowers has taken a step back with his Barrel%; his 19.5% rate last year has dropped to 5.8% this year.
,Kyle Stowers’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off from last year to this one, decreasing from 19.2% to 11.6%.
,Eury Perez will hold the platoon advantage against Bo Bichette today.
,Bo Bichette has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.9%) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards MLB’s 4th-deepest RF fences in today’s matchup.
,Bo Bichette will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s matchup.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Joe Mack in the 17th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability.
,Joe Mack is penciled in 8th in the lineup in this game.
,Owen Caissie is penciled in 7th in the lineup in this matchup.
,With a .261 wOBA in the last week, Owen Caissie has been struggling at the plate.
,Owen Caissie has displayed bad plate discipline since the start of last season, grading out in the 11th percentile with a 6.44 K/BB rate.
,Xavier Edwards has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.6%) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball’s 9th-deepest LF fences today.
,Marcus Semien’s BABIP ability is projected in the 18th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
,Carson Benge has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.9%) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of MLB’s 9th-deepest LF fences today.
,Carson Benge will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today.
,Carson Benge’s 8.7° launch angle (an advanced stat to evaluate a hitter’s ability to lift the ball for power) is one of the most groundball-inducing in baseball: 16th percentile.
,Eury Perez will hold the platoon advantage over Mark Vientos today.
,Mark Vientos will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s matchup.
,Sporting a 4.58 K/BB rate this year, Mark Vientos has shown weak plate discipline, ranking in the 11th percentile.
,Batting from the same side that Tobias Myers throws from, Otto Lopez will be in a tough position today.
,Brett Baty has a 76th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.3%) and will be challenged by MLB’s 9th-deepest LF fences today.
,Playing on the road generally diminishes hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Brett Baty today.
,Brett Baty’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off from last year to this one, falling from 14.8% to 11%.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Javier Sanoja in the 8th percentile as it relates to his home run ability.
,When assessing his home run ability, Xavier Edwards ranks in the 3rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects MJ Melendez in the 8th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill.
,MJ Melendez is projected to bat 8th on the lineup card in this game, which would be a downgrade from his 85% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this year.
,In today’s game, MJ Melendez is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 4th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 38.3% rate (94th percentile).
,Otto Lopez’s 6.3° launch angle (a reliable metric to measure a hitter’s ability to lift the ball for power) is among the lowest in the majors: 8th percentile.
,Luis Torrens has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.9%) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the game’s 4th-deepest RF fences in today’s game.
,Playing on the road generally diminishes batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Luis Torrens in today’s game.
,Liam Hicks’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased from last season to this one, falling from 21.5% to 16.5%.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects A.J. Ewing in the 11th percentile when estimating his home run ability.
,A.J. Ewing is penciled in 7th in the batting order in this game.
,Today, A.J. Ewing is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 9th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 34% rate (81st percentile).
,Playing on the road generally lowers batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Juan Soto today.
,Juan Soto’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has dropped off from last season to this one, decreasing from 42.2% to 35%.
,Playing on the road typically lessens batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for A.J. Ewing in today’s matchup.
,The New York Mets have been the unluckiest offense in baseball this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to hit better the rest of the season,Eury Perez has notched a 5.30 FIP (Fielding Independent Pitching, an estimator of ERA that is concerned with the things a pitcher has the most control over) this year, grading out in the 16th percentile.
,Eury Perez has displayed weak control this year, compiling a 10th percentile walk rate of 12%.
,Extreme groundball batters like MJ Melendez tend to be less successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Eury Perez.
,With a .268 wOBA in the past two weeks, Bo Bichette has been struggling at the plate.
,Joe Mack has been cold lately, struggling to the tune of a .227 wOBA over the past two weeks.
,When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Joe Mack ranks in the 23rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
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