Tigers vs Marlins match player stats | 2025 Series Game 3 Sunday, September 14th

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DET @ MIA

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Tigers @ Marlins Series Game 3 Matchup Details

Teams : Detroit Tigers at Miami Marlins
Series : Series Game 3
Date : Todays Game is on Sunday, September 14th
Time : 14/09/25 13:40:00 PM EST First Pitch

Positives for the Detroit Tigers Game Today

The switch-hitting Wenceel Perez will have the advantage of batting from from his better side (0) today against Adam Mazur.

Compared to last year, Wenceel Perez has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for home runs, increasing his percentage of balls hit between 23° and 34° from 14.1% to 20.4% this season.

In the last 14 days, Wenceel Perez’s 60.6% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 48.6%.

Colt Keith’s batting average skill is projected to be in the 86th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Colt Keith will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Adam Mazur today.

Colt Keith hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 86th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards MLB’s 6th-shallowest CF fences today.

In comparison to his 87.8-mph average last year, Colt Keith’s exit velocity has noticeably risen this season, now sitting at 90.2 mph.

In the past 14 days, Colt Keith’s 26.9% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 16.9%.

Home field advantage typically bolsters pitcher stats across the board, and Adam Mazur will hold that advantage today.

Adam Mazur’s fastball spin rate over his last 3 outings (2452 rpm) has been a significant increase over than his seasonal rate (2351 rpm).

Adam Mazur has had some very poor luck with his strikeouts since the start of last season, putting up a 5.87 K/9 despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 6.71 — a 0.84 K/9 discrepancy.

Zach McKinstry will have the handedness advantage against Adam Mazur in today’s game.

Zach McKinstry’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased from last year to this one, going from 44.5% to 50%.

Zach McKinstry has posted a .325 BABIP this year, grading out in the 82nd percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gleyber Torres in the 88th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.

Gleyber Torres is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup today.

In the last two weeks, Gleyber Torres’s 23.3% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 19.4%.

Gleyber Torres has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his wOBA this year; his .337 figure is significantly deflated relative to his .359 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

In terms of plate discipline, Gleyber Torres’s talent is quite strong, putting up a 1.09 K/BB rate this year while checking in at in the 98th percentile.

When estimating his home run talent, Spencer Torkelson ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Spencer Torkelson is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in today’s game.

Spencer Torkelson’s average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls in recent games (28° in the past two weeks’ worth of games) is quite a bit better than his 20.9° seasonal figure.

Spencer Torkelson’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last season to this one, increasing from 17.6% to 23.6%.

Spencer Torkelson has averaged 27.1 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances this year, ranking in the 85th percentile for power according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

When estimating his BABIP ability, Riley Greene is projected as the 14th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Riley Greene is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this matchup.

Hitting from the opposite that Adam Mazur throws from, Riley Greene will have an advantage in today’s game.

Riley Greene has strong power (94th percentile) if he makes contact, but that’s always far from assured (28.4% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Adam Mazur doesn’t generate many whiffs (18th percentile K%) — great news for Greene.

Riley Greene’s launch angle in recent games (34.8° in the last week) is considerably higher than his 14.5° seasonal angle.

Riley Greene’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last year to this one, going from 17.9% to 21.5%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Riley Greene in the 94th percentile when assessing his home run skill.

Dillon Dingler’s BABIP ability is projected in the 80th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

The 6th-shallowest centerfield fences among all stadiums are found in LoanDepot Park.

Dillon Dingler has made big improvements with his Barrel% lately, bettering his 9.5% seasonal rate to 15.4% over the last 7 days.

Over the last 7 days, Dillon Dingler’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 92.2-mph over the course of the season to 103.6-mph lately.

Over the past 14 days, Dillon Dingler’s 70.8% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 52.5%.

Parker Meadows is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 78% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season.

Hitting from the opposite that Adam Mazur throws from, Parker Meadows will have an advantage in today’s matchup.

Parker Meadows hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 84th percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB’s 6th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

In the past week’s worth of games, Parker Meadows’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 91.6-mph over the course of the season to 101.6-mph lately.

In the past week, Parker Meadows’s 23.1% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 13.5%.

As it relates to his home run ability, Kerry Carpenter ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Kerry Carpenter is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this game.

Hitting from the opposite that Adam Mazur throws from, Kerry Carpenter will have the upper hand today.

Kerry Carpenter has made significant improvements with his Barrel% of late, improving his 13.1% seasonal rate to 19% in the last 14 days.

Kerry Carpenter has seen a big gain in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 101.8-mph average over the last 14 days to his seasonal EV of 95.6-mph.

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Kerry Carpenter ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Negatives with the Miami Marlins Game Today

Wenceel Perez is projected to bat 6th in the lineup in this game.

LoanDepot Park profiles as the #24 ballpark in baseball for overall LHB offense, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Built just 6 feet above sea level, LoanDepot Park has one of the lowest elevations among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to lower offensive output.

The weather forecast calls for the 5th-best pitching conditions of all games on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity.

Today, Wenceel Perez is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 4th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 34.1% rate (84th percentile).

LoanDepot Park profiles as the #21 ballpark in baseball for lefty batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Colt Keith is penciled in 7th on the lineup card in today’s game, which would be a downgrade from his 79% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this year.

Colt Keith has been pulled from the game early 34% of the time when starting against a right-handed pitcher this year.

When estimating his strikeout skill, the leading projection system (THE BAT) puts Adam Mazur in the 10th percentile among all starters in Major League Baseball.

Considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Adam Mazur is projected to throw 80 pitches in today’s outing by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the 4th-least of all pitchers today.

Alan Porter profiles as a Hitters Umpire and is expected to be umping in this game.

With 6 bats of opposing handedness in the opposing team’s projected batting order, Adam Mazur will not have the upper hand while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in today’s game.

Grading out in the 16th percentile, Adam Mazur notched a 7.9% Swinging Strike rate since the start of last season.

Zach McKinstry is projected to hit 9th in the lineup in this matchup.

When starting against a righty hurler this year, Zach McKinstry has been pinch hit for 11% of the time.

LoanDepot Park has the 4th-deepest RF dimensions in Major League Baseball.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects LoanDepot Park as the 10th-worst park in Major League Baseball for righty batting average.

Adam Mazur will have the handedness advantage against Gleyber Torres in today’s game.

Gleyber Torres has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.9%) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the game’s 4th-deepest RF fences in today’s matchup.

LoanDepot Park grades out as the #24 stadium in the league for overall righty offense, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Hitting from the same side that Adam Mazur throws from, Spencer Torkelson will have a tough matchup in today’s game.

Spencer Torkelson pulls a lot of his flyballs (38% — 96th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards baseball’s 10th-deepest LF fences in today’s matchup.

Spencer Torkelson’s BABIP skill is projected in the 16th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects LoanDepot Park as the 5th-worst ballpark in the majors for right-handed home runs.

Riley Greene has a 79th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.2%) and will have to hit them out towards MLB’s 10th-deepest LF fences in today’s game.

Out of every team in action today, the 2nd-strongest infield defense is that of the the Miami Marlins.

LoanDepot Park projects as the #24 stadium in the league for LHB home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Riley Greene will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s matchup.

Dillon Dingler is projected to bat 8th in the lineup in this game.

Adam Mazur will have the handedness advantage against Dillon Dingler today.

Parker Meadows has been pinch hit for 16% of the time when starting against a right-handed pitcher this year.

Playing on the road generally lowers batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Parker Meadows in today’s matchup.

When starting against a northpaw this year, Kerry Carpenter has been lifted for a pinch-hitter 31% of the time.

Kerry Carpenter pulls many of his flyballs (36.9% — 94th percentile) but may find it hard to clear the league’s 4th-deepest RF fences in today’s game.

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