Rockies vs Padres match player stats | 2025 Series Game 4 Sunday, September 14th

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COL @ SD

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Rockies @ Padres Series Game 4 Matchup Details

Teams : Colorado Rockies at San Diego Padres
Series : Series Game 4
Date : Todays Game is on Sunday, September 14th
Time : 14/09/25 16:10:00 PM EST First Pitch

Positives for the Colorado Rockies Game Today

When it comes to his home run skill, Hunter Goodman ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Hunter Goodman is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.

Petco Park has the 2nd-lowest average fence height among all major league parks.

Hunter Goodman hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 86th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards the league’s 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.

Hunter Goodman has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 107.2-mph average in the last 7 days to his seasonal EV of 95-mph.

Hunter Goodman’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better from last year to this one, increasing from 33.6% to 40.2%.

Hunter Goodman’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better of late, rising from 40.2% on the season to 69.2% over the last week.

Jackson Merrill’s batting average skill is projected to be in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Hitting from the opposite that German Marquez throws from, Jackson Merrill will have an edge in today’s matchup.

Jackson Merrill is apt to have an edge against every reliever for the game’s entirety, since the bullpen of the Colorado Rockies only has 1 same-handed RP.

Jackson Merrill hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.3% — 92nd percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB’s 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

Jackson Merrill will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Beck in the 82nd percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent.

Jordan Beck is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this matchup.

Petco Park has the 2nd-shallowest CF fences in Major League Baseball.

Checking in at the 89th percentile, Jordan Beck has notched a .332 BABIP this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Karros in the 89th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.

The Colorado Rockies have been the 5th-unluckiest offense in the majors this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to hit better in future games,James Jean projects as a Hitters Umpire and is anticipated to be umping in today’s game.

Yu Darvish’s 92.9-mph velocity on his fastball this season is a sizeable 1.2-mph decrease from last year’s 94.1-mph figure.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Yu Darvish in the 77th percentile when estimating his strikeout skill.

The Colorado Rockies have 4 bats in their projected batting order today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Jordan Beck, Hunter Goodman, Mickey Moniak, Ezequiel Tovar).

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Petco Park as the 5th-best park in the league for strikeouts.

Considering the 1.08 disparity between German Marquez’s 6.15 K/9 and his 7.24 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it’s safe to say he’s been one of the least fortunate pitchers in the game this year when it comes to strikeouts and should see positive regression going forward.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects German Marquez in the 20th percentile when it comes to his overall pitching abilities.

The San Diego Padres projected batting order ranks as the 5th-best on the slate in terms of overall hitting ability.

It may be smart to expect better results for the San Diego Padres offense in future games, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) sees them as the 9th-unluckiest offense in the league this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan O’Hearn in the 93rd percentile when estimating his batting average skill.

Batting from the opposite that German Marquez throws from, Ryan O’Hearn will have an edge today.

Ryan O’Hearn is likely to have the upper hand against every reliever throughout the game, since the bullpen of the Colorado Rockies has just 1 same-handed RP.

Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Ryan O’Hearn will hold that advantage in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ramon Laureano in the 87th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.

Ramon Laureano is penciled in 5th in the batting order in today’s game.

Ramon Laureano will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats.

Ramon Laureano has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 90.2-mph to 93.3-mph over the last two weeks.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Manny Machado in the 95th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability.

Manny Machado is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this game.

Manny Machado hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 90th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league’s 2nd-shallowest CF fences today.

Manny Machado will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Last season, Manny Machado had an average launch angle of 6.4° on his hardest-hit balls, while this season it has significantly increased to 9.7°.

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Jake Cronenworth ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Jake Cronenworth will have the handedness advantage over German Marquez today.

The Colorado Rockies have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Jake Cronenworth has a strong chance of never facing a bullpen mismatch all game.

Jake Cronenworth will hold the home field advantage in today’s game, which figures to boost all of his stats.

Fernando Tatis Jr. projects as the 9th-best hitter in MLB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Fernando Tatis Jr. is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this game.

Fernando Tatis Jr. hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (40.5% — 98th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards the game’s 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.

Fernando Tatis Jr. will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Fernando Tatis Jr.’s true offensive ability to be a .374, implying that he has suffered from bad luck this year given the .030 gap between that figure and his actual .344 wOBA.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mickey Moniak in the 86th percentile when estimating his home run skill.

Mickey Moniak is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card today, which would be an upgrade from his 52% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season.

Mickey Moniak will hold the platoon advantage over Yu Darvish in today’s game.

Compared to last season, Mickey Moniak has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for home runs, increasing his percentage of balls hit between 23° and 34° from 13% to 18% this season.

Gavin Sheets is penciled in 4th on the lineup card today.

Gavin Sheets will hold the platoon advantage against German Marquez today.

Gavin Sheets will probably have an advantage against every reliever throughout the game, since the bullpen of the Colorado Rockies has just 1 same-handed RP.

Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Gavin Sheets will hold that advantage in today’s game.

Over the past week, Gavin Sheets’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 10% up to 17.6%.

Tyler Freeman’s batting average ability is projected to be in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Tyler Freeman is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in today’s game.

Tyler Freeman has had some very poor luck with his wOBA this year; his .315 figure is a good deal lower than his .331 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

By putting up a 1.6 K/BB rate this year, Tyler Freeman has demonstrated favorable plate discipline, checking in at the 84th percentile.

Freddy Fermin hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 84th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards the league’s 2nd-shallowest CF fences today.

Freddy Fermin will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which should bolster all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ezequiel Tovar in the 85th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.

Ezequiel Tovar’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better from last year to this one, increasing from 43% to 51.5%.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (17.8) implies that Ezequiel Tovar has had bad variance on his side this year with his 14.4 actual HR/600.

In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Ezequiel Tovar has had some very poor luck this year. His .312 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .325.

Based on Statcast metrics, Ezequiel Tovar is in the 75th percentile via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average this year at .270.

Negatives with the San Diego Padres Game Today

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Petco Park as the 5th-worst venue in the league for boosting offensive stats to righties.

Built just 14 feet above sea level, Petco Park has one of the lowest elevations among all major league stadiums, which generally leads to less offense.

Yu Darvish will have the handedness advantage against Hunter Goodman today.

The San Diego Padres outfield defense grades out as the 4th-strongest among all the teams playing today.

Hunter Goodman will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s game.

Hunter Goodman’s BABIP talent is projected in the 21st percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Petco Park grades out as the #26 field in the league for RHB batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Jackson Merrill is projected to hit 6th on the lineup card today, which would be a downgrade from his 82% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this season.

The #5 park in MLB for suppressing offensive stats to LHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Petco Park.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Petco Park as the 5th-worst park in MLB for LHB batting average.

Hitting from the same side that Yu Darvish throws from, Jordan Beck will not have the upper hand in today’s matchup.

Playing on the road typically diminishes batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Jordan Beck in today’s game.

Jordan Beck has struggled with his Barrel% recently; his 9.4% seasonal rate has decreased to 4% over the past 14 days.

Kyle Karros is penciled in 7th in the batting order in this game.

Yu Darvish will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kyle Karros today.

Kyle Karros will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.

The Colorado Rockies projected batting order projects as the worst of all teams on the slate today in terms of overall hitting skill.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Petco Park as the 5th-worst ballpark in the majors for batting average.

Yu Darvish will have the handedness advantage against 7 opposing hitters in today’s game.

Home field advantage typically improves pitcher stats in all categories, and Yu Darvish will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

Taking into account both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Yu Darvish is projected to throw 85 pitches in this game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the 13th-most of the day.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts German Marquez in the 25th percentile when estimating his strikeout talent.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects German Marquez to throw 85 pitches in today’s matchup (15th-most of all pitchers on the slate today), taking into account both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.

The San Diego Padres (18.7 K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) project to have the least strikeout-prone set of batters on the slate today.

Playing on the road typically lessens pitcher stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for German Marquez today.

German Marquez performed well in his last start and allowed 0 ER.

Given the 1.29 deviation between German Marquez’s 6.31 ERA and his 5.02 estimated true talent ERA (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it’s safe to say he’s been one of the least fortunate pitchers in Major League Baseball this year and ought to perform better the rest of the season.

German Marquez has posted a .326 BABIP this year, indicating that he has been one of the unluckiest pitchers in the majors on balls in play with improved performance likely coming.

San Diego Padres hitters jointly grade out 27th- in the majors for power this year when judging by their 7.3% Barrel%.

Ryan O’Hearn is projected to hit 7th on the lineup card today, which would be a downgrade from his 90% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this season.

Over the last 7 days, Ryan O’Hearn’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 7.7% down to 0%.

Ryan O’Hearn’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased of late; his 91.4-mph seasonal average has dropped to 81.1-mph in the past 14 days.

Ryan O’Hearn has had positive variance on his side thus far when it comes to his home runs this year; his 19.5 HR per 600 plate appearances mark is a good deal higher than his 14.9 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Hitting from the same side that German Marquez throws from, Ramon Laureano will not have the upper hand in today’s matchup.

Ramon Laureano’s average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls this year (15.4°) is considerably worse than his 19.9° figure last year.

In the past week, Ramon Laureano’s 5.9% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 18.2%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Ramon Laureano’s true offensive talent to be a .333, providing some evidence that he has been lucky this year given the .042 difference between that figure and his actual .375 wOBA.

German Marquez will have the handedness advantage over Manny Machado today.

Manny Machado’s average exit velocity has fallen off of late; his 92.9-mph seasonal EV has fallen to 88.5-mph over the past week.

Manny Machado’s average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls in recent games (3.3° in the past two weeks’ worth of games) is significantly lower than his 9.7° seasonal figure.

Jake Cronenworth is penciled in 8th in the batting order in this game.

In the past week’s worth of games, Jake Cronenworth’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 5.9% down to 0%.

From last season to this one, Jake Cronenworth’s flyball exit velocity has decreased from an average of 91.9 mph to 89.9 mph.

Jake Cronenworth’s launch angle recently (3.6° over the past 7 days) is significantly lower than his 14° seasonal angle.

Hitting from the same side that German Marquez throws from, Fernando Tatis Jr. meets a tough challenge today.

Fernando Tatis Jr.’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has fallen off from last year to this one, decreasing from 48.8% to 41.4%.

In the last two weeks’ worth of games, Fernando Tatis Jr.’s 29% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 41.4%.

When starting against a right-handed pitcher this year, Mickey Moniak has been lifted for a pinch-hitter 22% of the time.

Mickey Moniak pulls many of his flyballs (34.4% — 85th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards MLB’s 6th-deepest RF fences in today’s game.

Orlando Arcia’s BABIP skill is projected in the 5th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Orlando Arcia is projected to bat 9th in the batting order in this matchup.

Yu Darvish will have the handedness advantage against Orlando Arcia in today’s game.

Today, Gavin Sheets is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 6th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 35.1% rate (88th percentile).

Despite posting a .339 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Gavin Sheets has been very fortunate given the .022 deviation between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .317.

Yu Darvish will have the handedness advantage against Tyler Freeman in today’s game.

Tyler Freeman has an 88th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.6%) but may find it hard to clear MLB’s 6th-deepest RF fences in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Freddy Fermin in the 23rd percentile when it comes to his home run talent.

Freddy Fermin is projected to bat 9th on the lineup card in today’s game.

Freddy Fermin has been replaced by a pinch-hitter 14% of the time when starting against a right-handed pitcher this year.

German Marquez will hold the platoon advantage against Freddy Fermin in today’s game.

Ezequiel Tovar is projected to bat 6th in the lineup in today’s game, which would be a downgrade from his 87% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this season.

Hitting from the same side that Yu Darvish throws from, Ezequiel Tovar meets a tough challenge in today’s game.

Playing on the road generally diminishes hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Ezequiel Tovar today.

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