Tigers @ Mariners Series Game 3 Matchup Details

Positives for the Detroit Tigers Series Game 3 Game Today

In the majors, T-Mobile Park has the 5th-lowest average fence height.

,T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-least fair ground among all stadiums — generally good for dingers.

,Out of all the teams playing today, the 10th-weakest infield defense is that of the Seattle Mariners.

,Sporting a .324 BABIP since the start of last season, Javier Baez is positioned in the 89th percentile.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dominic Canzone in the 86th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.

,Dominic Canzone has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (59% of the time), but he is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this game.

,The Detroit Tigers infield defense profiles as the worst among every team today.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Spencer Torkelson in the 94th percentile as it relates to his home run ability.

,Spencer Torkelson pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (40.4% — 98th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league’s 9th-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.

,Spencer Torkelson has performed at a clip of 30.4 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season, ranking in the 89th percentile for power according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Cal Raleigh as the majors’s 8th-best home run batter.

,Cal Raleigh is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in today’s game.

,Cal Raleigh pulls many of his flyballs (43.5% — 100th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards the league’s 9th-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.

,Extreme flyball batters like Cal Raleigh tend to be more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Framber Valdez.

,When estimating his overall offensive ability, Gleyber Torres ranks in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Gleyber Torres is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in today’s game.

,Gleyber Torres has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.7%) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards the league’s 4th-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Randy Arozarena in the 94th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.

,Randy Arozarena is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup.

,The #8 venue in Major League Baseball for boosting home runs to righties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is T-Mobile Park.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Colt Keith in the 91st percentile when assessing his batting average ability.

,Colt Keith is penciled in 5th in the batting order today.

,Hitting from the opposite that Bryce Miller throws from, Colt Keith will have an edge today.

,Maxwell Clark will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Bryce Miller in today’s game.

,Maxwell Clark has an 81st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.9%) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards MLB’s 9th-shallowest LF fences today.

,Maxwell Clark has been honed in on the ideal launch angle for home runs lately, angling balls between 23° and 34° 22.2% of the time in the last week’s worth of games.

,In the past week, Gleyber Torres’s 38.5% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 21.3%.

,It may be smart to expect positive regression for the Seattle Mariners offense in future games, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) sees them as the 3rd-unluckiest offense in the game this year.

,Mark Wegner grades out as a Hitters Umpire and is expected to be behind the plate in this game.

,The 4th-shallowest RF dimensions in the majors are found in T-Mobile Park.

,Because flyball batters have a big edge over groundball pitchers, Framber Valdez and his 55.6% underlying GB% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT) finds himself in a hard spot today squaring off against 2 opposing GB bats.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Riley Greene in the 95th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.

,Riley Greene is projected to bat 4th in the lineup today.

,The #8 field in MLB for boosting home runs to left-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is T-Mobile Park.

,Cole Young’s batting average ability is projected to be in the 77th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Cole Young pulls a lot of his flyballs (36% — 87th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game’s 4th-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.

,Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats across the board, and Cole Young will hold that advantage today.

,Randy Arozarena will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Framber Valdez in today’s matchup.

,Josh Naylor’s batting average ability is projected to be in the 86th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Josh Naylor is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this game.

,Josh Naylor pulls many of his flyballs (35% — 82nd percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB’s 4th-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.

,Josh Naylor will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Taylor Ward in the 94th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.

,Taylor Ward is projected to hit 1st in the batting order today.

,Batting from the opposite that Framber Valdez throws from, Taylor Ward will have an edge today.

,Taylor Ward has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.6%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards baseball’s 4th-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.

,Batting from the opposite that Bryce Miller throws from, Riley Greene will have an advantage in today’s matchup.

,Hitting from the opposite that Bryce Miller throws from, Zach McKinstry will have the upper hand today.

,Zach McKinstry’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last year to this one, going from 16% to 21%.

,Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Dominic Canzone will hold that advantage today.

,The Seattle Mariners have 3 batters in their projected lineup today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Cal Raleigh, Weston Wilson, Colt Emerson).

,T-Mobile Park profiles as the #2 park in MLB for strikeouts, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,Colt Emerson has a 77th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.5%) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them in the direction of the league’s 9th-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.

,Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Colt Emerson will hold that advantage in today’s game.

,Over the last 14 days, Colt Emerson’s 56% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 45.6%.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Colt Emerson’s true offensive skill to be a .289, implying that he has had some very poor luck this year given the .025 disparity between that mark and his actual .264 wOBA.

,Cole Young has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89-mph to 96.1-mph in the past week.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Julio Rodriguez as the 11th-best hitter in baseball as it relates to his batting average talent.

,Julio Rodriguez is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in today’s game.

,Hitting from the opposite that Framber Valdez throws from, Julio Rodriguez will have an edge in today’s game.

,Bryce Miller will possess the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his metrics in all categories.

,Bryce Miller’s 95.4-mph velocity on his fastball this year is a substantial 1.2-mph jump from last year’s 94.2-mph figure.

,Dillon Dingler’s BABIP ability is projected in the 81st percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Dillon Dingler is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this game.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dillon Dingler in the 77th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.

,Tallying 17.2 outs per GS this year on average, Bryce Miller places in the 82nd percentile.

,Bryce Miller turned in a great performance in his previous GS and allowed 2 ER.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Colt Keith in the 83rd percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.

,Compared to last year, Dillon Dingler has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for home runs, increasing his percentage of balls hit between 23° and 34° from 16% to 20.3% this season.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Spencer Torkelson in the 82nd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.

,Cal Raleigh will possess the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats.

,Extreme groundball batters like Taylor Ward tend to be more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Framber Valdez.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kevin McGonigle in the 93rd percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.

,Kevin McGonigle is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this game.

,Kevin McGonigle will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Bryce Miller in today’s game.

,As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Julio Rodriguez ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Negatives with the Seattle Mariners Series Game 3 Game Today

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Javier Baez ranks in the 15th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Javier Baez is projected to hit 8th in the batting order in today’s game.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects T-Mobile Park as the worst park in MLB for run-scoring.

,Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly linked with cold weather, and the weather report for this contest calls for the 8th-lowest temperature on the schedule today at 81°.

,Bryce Miller will have the handedness advantage against Javier Baez in today’s game.

,Hitting from the same side that Framber Valdez throws from, Dominic Canzone meets a tough challenge in today’s game.

,Dominic Canzone has been cold in recent games, with his seasonal exit velocity of 91.9-mph dropping to 87.3-mph over the past two weeks.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Dominic Canzone’s true offensive ability to be a .332, suggesting that he has been very fortunate this year given the .027 deviation between that figure and his actual .359 wOBA.

,Spencer Torkelson is penciled in 6th in the batting order in this game.

,Built just 17 feet above sea level, T-Mobile Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all major league stadiums, which tends to lead to lower offensive output.

,Bryce Miller will hold the platoon advantage over Spencer Torkelson in today’s matchup.

,The switch-hitting Cal Raleigh will be at a disadvantage batting from his bad side (0) today against Framber Valdez,Cal Raleigh’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has dropped off from last year to this one, falling from 39% to 30.9%.

,Hitting from the same side that Bryce Miller throws from, Gleyber Torres meets a tough challenge in today’s game.

,Gleyber Torres will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s matchup.

,Randy Arozarena’s launch angle this season (8.4°) is a considerable dropoff from his 13.4° angle last season.

,In the last week, Randy Arozarena’s 6.7% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 17%.

,When starting against a right-handed pitcher this year, Colt Keith has been pulled from the game early 48% of the time.

,Colt Keith will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.

,Colt Keith’s average exit velocity has declined of late; his 88.6-mph seasonal average has dropped off to 83.9-mph in the past two weeks’ worth of games.

,Maxwell Clark is penciled in 7th on the lineup card in today’s game.

,Maxwell Clark will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.

,The #1 ballpark in Major League Baseball for suppressing batting average to righties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is T-Mobile Park.

,According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)’s appraisal, Framber Valdez’s overall pitching ability is in the 86th percentile among all starting pitchers in Major League Baseball right now.

,Projected catcher Dillon Dingler profiles as a good pitch framer, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks T-Mobile Park as the worst field in the league for batting average.

,Given his reverse platoon split, Framber Valdez will be in a good position squaring off against 6 bats in the projected offense who bat from the other side in this matchup.

,Riley Greene will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.

,Over the past week, Riley Greene’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 14.9% down to 0%.

,Riley Greene has been cold of late, with his seasonal exit velocity of 91-mph dropping to 80.2-mph in the last 7 days.

,Cole Young is penciled in 6th on the lineup card in today’s game.

,Hitting from the same side that Framber Valdez throws from, Cole Young will have a tough matchup in today’s matchup.

,T-Mobile Park ranks as the #30 field in the majors for LHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,Batting from the same side that Framber Valdez throws from, Josh Naylor will be at a disadvantage in today’s game.

,In the last two weeks’ worth of games, Josh Naylor’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen from his seasonal EV of 88.9 mph to 82.8 mph.

,Taylor Ward has struggled with his Barrel% in recent games; his 5.5% seasonal rate has lowered to 0% in the past week’s worth of games.

,Posting a .169 Isolated Power (ISO) this year, Taylor Ward is positioned in the 11th percentile.

,In the past week, Maxwell Clark has failed to produce much power, posting a mere a 0% Barrel% (a reliable metric to assess power).

,Zach McKinstry is projected to bat 9th on the lineup card in today’s game.

,Zach McKinstry has been pulled from the game early 13% of the time when starting against a right-handed starter this year.

,Framber Valdez will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s game.

,Ranking in the 19th percentile, Framber Valdez posted a 9% Swinging Strike% this year.

,Colt Emerson is projected to bat 8th in the batting order in this game.

,Framber Valdez will have the handedness advantage over Colt Emerson in today’s matchup.

,When estimating his home run ability, Zach McKinstry ranks in the 15th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Playing on the road generally reduces batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Zach McKinstry in today’s matchup.

,Julio Rodriguez has struggled with his Barrel% in recent games; his 8.6% seasonal rate has lowered to 0% over the past 7 days.

,Julio Rodriguez’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off of late; his 93-mph seasonal EV has dropped off to 86.3-mph in the last two weeks.

,Bryce Miller has been very fortunate when it comes to his strikeouts this year, posting a 9.00 K/9 despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 8.65 — a 0.35 K/9 deviation.

,Bryce Miller will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Dillon Dingler in today’s matchup.

,Dillon Dingler will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s game.

,Dillon Dingler has been cold lately, with his seasonal exit velocity of 89-mph dropping to 83-mph in the past two weeks.

,Dillon Dingler’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased of late, decreasing from 20.3% on the season to 10% over the past 14 days.

,Colt Emerson’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off of late; his 89.8-mph seasonal mark has dropped to 76.9-mph in the last two weeks’ worth of games.

,Considering the 1.37 gap between Bryce Miller’s 2.80 ERA and his 4.17 estimated true talent ERA (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it’s safe to say he’s been one of the luckiest pitchers in the majors this year and ought to negatively regress going forward.

,Cole Young’s launch angle this year (14.3°) is considerably lower than his 17.7° mark last season.

,Over the last week, Colt Keith’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 20.9%.

,Playing on the road generally diminishes batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Javier Baez in today’s game.

,Josh Naylor has been cold in recent games, compiling a 0% Barrel% (an advanced metric to measure power) in the last week.

,Cal Raleigh’s BABIP talent is projected in the 1st percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Playing on the road typically lessens batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Kevin McGonigle today.

,Kevin McGonigle’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased lately; his 92.2-mph seasonal mark has dropped off to 88.8-mph in the past two weeks.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Kevin McGonigle’s true offensive skill to be a .344, implying that he has experienced some positive variance this year given the .017 difference between that figure and his actual .361 wOBA.

,Placing in the 8th percentile, Cal Raleigh has notched a .274 wOBA (widely regarded as the top measure of overall offense) this year.

,With a .338 Slugging Percentage (SLG) this year, Cal Raleigh finds himself in the 14th percentile.

,Spencer Torkelson will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s matchup.

,Gleyber Torres’s average exit velocity has dropped off this season; his 89.8-mph figure last year has fallen to 86-mph.

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