Tigers vs Guardians match player stats | 2025 Series Game 3 Thursday, September 25th

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DET @ CLE

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Tigers @ Guardians Series Game 3 Matchup Details

Teams : Detroit Tigers at Cleveland Guardians
Series : Series Game 3
Date : Todays Game is on Thursday, September 25th
Time : 25/09/25 18:40:00 PM EST First Pitch

Positives for the Detroit Tigers Game Today

Wenceel Perez has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (60% of the time), but he is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this game.

Progressive Field ranks as the #3 ballpark in Major League Baseball for right-handed BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Built 673 feet above sea level, Progressive Field has the 7th-highest altitude in the league, which generally leads to higher offensive output.

High humidity has a small but significant correlation with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast expects the 5th-most humidity of the day at 87%.

Wenceel Perez pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.1% — 83rd percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league’s 3rd-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.

Wenceel Perez has made significant gains with his Barrel% recently, improving his 8.3% seasonal rate to 20% in the last 7 days.

It is expected that we will see a Pitchers Umpire (Brennan Miller) calling pitches today.

Home field advantage typically boosts pitcher stats across the board, and Parker Messick will hold that advantage today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Progressive Field as the 4th-best venue in the majors for walks.

Among all major league parks, Progressive Field’s left field dimensions are the shallowest.

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Jahmai Jones ranks in the 75th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Jahmai Jones is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this game.

Batting from the opposite that Parker Messick throws from, Jahmai Jones will have an advantage today.

Javier Baez will hold the platoon advantage against Parker Messick in today’s game.

Javier Baez has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 91.3-mph average to last season’s 89.2-mph EV.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gleyber Torres in the 87th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.

Gleyber Torres is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this game.

Gleyber Torres will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Parker Messick in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Spencer Torkelson in the 94th percentile when estimating his home run ability.

Spencer Torkelson is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this game.

Spencer Torkelson will hold the platoon advantage against Parker Messick in today’s matchup.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Spencer Torkelson ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

As it relates to his BABIP talent, Riley Greene is projected as the 17th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Riley Greene is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this matchup.

The #3 field in MLB for boosting base hits to lefties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Progressive Field.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Riley Greene in the 94th percentile when estimating his home run skill.

Riley Greene has a 78th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.2%) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them out towards the game’s 3rd-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dillon Dingler in the 82nd percentile when estimating his BABIP ability.

Dillon Dingler will hold the platoon advantage over Parker Messick in today’s game.

Dillon Dingler has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89.9-mph to 93.7-mph in the last two weeks’ worth of games.

Dillon Dingler’s average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls of late (18.3° in the last week’s worth of games) is considerably better than his 13° seasonal angle.

Andy Ibanez will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Parker Messick in today’s matchup.

Parker Meadows has been unlucky in regards to his batting average this year; his .216 figure is a good deal lower than his .248 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Parker Meadows has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his wOBA this year; his .280 rate is considerably lower than his .313 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Negatives with the Cleveland Guardians Game Today

Among all parks, the 4th-tallest fence height (on average) are at Progressive Field.

The switch-hitting Wenceel Perez will bat from his bad side (0) today against Parker Messick,The Cleveland Guardians infield defense profiles as the best out of all the teams today.

Playing on the road generally weakens batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Wenceel Perez in today’s game.

Wenceel Perez has been lucky this year, putting up a .320 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .310 — a .010 disparity.

Progressive Field profiles as the #26 ballpark in baseball for RHB home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Taking into account both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Parker Messick is projected to throw 83 pitches in today’s matchup by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the 11th-least on the slate.

With 7 batters who bat from the other side in the opposing team’s projected lineup, Parker Messick has a tough challenge while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in this matchup.

Among all SPs, Parker Messick’s fastball spin rate of 2119 rpm ranks in the 15th percentile this year.

It may be sensible to expect worse results for the Detroit Tigers offense the rest of the season, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) views them as the 10th-luckiest offense in Major League Baseball this year.

Playing on the road generally weakens hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Jahmai Jones in today’s game.

Despite posting a .389 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Jahmai Jones has been very fortunate given the .070 discrepancy between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .319.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Javier Baez in the 21st percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.

Javier Baez is penciled in 9th on the lineup card in today’s game.

Cleveland’s #1-ranked outfield defense of all teams on the slate today poses a formidable challenge for Javier Baez, who tends to hit a lot of flyballs.

Javier Baez will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s game.

Gleyber Torres will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s matchup.

Gleyber Torres has negatively regressed with his Barrel% of late; his 8.8% seasonal rate has lowered to 0% in the past 7 days.

Gleyber Torres’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off lately; his 92.9-mph seasonal average has fallen to 84.5-mph in the past week’s worth of games.

Playing on the road typically reduces hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Spencer Torkelson in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Spencer Torkelson’s true offensive ability to be a .329, suggesting that he has had some very good luck this year given the .013 difference between that mark and his actual .342 wOBA.

Parker Messick will hold the platoon advantage against Riley Greene today.

Riley Greene will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s game.

Over the last week, Riley Greene’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 17.3% down to 0%.

Riley Greene’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined of late, going from 21% on the season to 0% over the last 7 days.

Progressive Field projects as the #26 field in baseball for lefty home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Dillon Dingler is penciled in 7th in the batting order in this game.

Dillon Dingler will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s game.

Despite posting a .326 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Dillon Dingler has been lucky given the .022 deviation between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .304.

By putting up a 5.08 K/BB rate this year, Dillon Dingler has displayed bad plate discipline, grading out in the 6th percentile.

Andy Ibanez is projected to bat 6th in the lineup in today’s game.

Andy Ibanez will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s matchup.

Andy Ibanez’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased this season; his 91.6-mph EV last season has dropped to 89.3-mph.

Andy Ibanez’s average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls this year (9.3°) is a significant dropoff from his 12.6° figure last season.

Parker Meadows is projected to hit 8th in the batting order in this matchup.

Parker Messick will have the handedness advantage against Parker Meadows today.

Parker Meadows hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 90th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the league’s 8th-deepest CF fences in today’s matchup.

Playing on the road generally reduces hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Parker Meadows today.

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