
KC @ COL





Todays Series Game 3 Matchup Details
Series Game 3
Todays Game is on Sunday, July 7th
2024-07-07 15:10:00 EST First Pitch
Player match stat positives for Kansas City at Colorado Series Game 3 Matchup Today
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan McMahon in the 86th percentile as it relates to his home run ability.
Ryan McMahon is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this game.
Coors Field projects as the #1 park in Major League Baseball for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest altitude in Major League Baseball, which often leads to higher offensive output.
Ryan McMahon will hold the platoon advantage against Brady Singer today… and even more favorably, Singer has a large platoon split.
The switch-hitting Michael Toglia will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his better side (0) today against Brady Singer… and even better, Singer has a large platoon split.
Michael Toglia will possess the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats.
Michael Toglia has made notable strides with his Barrel% of late, improving his 16.3% seasonal rate to 24.1% in the last two weeks’ worth of games.
Bobby Witt Jr. projects as the 14th-best hitter in Major League Baseball, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Bobby Witt Jr. is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card today.
The #1 park in baseball for boosting home runs to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Coors Field.
Compared to his seasonal average of 14.7°, Bobby Witt Jr. has significantly improved his launch angle of late, posting a 26.8° mark in the past 14 days.
As it relates to his home run skill, Michael Toglia ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
The #1 field in the majors for boosting home runs to LHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Coors Field.
Charlie Blackmon is penciled in 1st in the batting order in today’s game.
Given Brady Singer’s large platoon split, Charlie Blackmon will have a big advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate in today’s matchup.
Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Charlie Blackmon will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.
When assessing his overall offensive skill, Vinnie Pasquantino ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Vinnie Pasquantino is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup today.
Hitting from the opposite that Ryan Feltner throws from, Vinnie Pasquantino will have an advantage in today’s game.
There has been a significant improvement in Hunter Renfroe’s launch angle from last year’s 14.9° to 19.3° this year.
Compared to his seasonal average of 19.3°, Hunter Renfroe has significantly improved his launch angle of late, posting a 26.7° angle over the last two weeks.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Coors Field as the best stadium in the league for left-handed batting average.
Ezequiel Tovar is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in today’s game.
Ezequiel Tovar will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats.
Compared to his seasonal average of 19.7°, Ezequiel Tovar has significantly improved his launch angle recently, posting a 23.6° figure in the last two weeks.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Salvador Perez in the 91st percentile when assessing his home run ability.
Salvador Perez is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this matchup.
Salvador Perez has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 100.8-mph average in the past week’s worth of games to his seasonal EV of 94.6-mph.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ezequiel Tovar in the 82nd percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.
Hitting from the opposite that Ryan Feltner throws from, Kyle Isbel will have an edge in today’s matchup.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brenton Doyle in the 87th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.
Brenton Doyle will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s game, which ought to bolster all of his stats.
Brenton Doyle has made significant improvements with his Barrel% of late, upping his 9.8% seasonal rate to 21.9% in the past two weeks.
Michael Massey is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this matchup.
Michael Massey will have the handedness advantage over Ryan Feltner today.
In the past 7 days, Michael Massey’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 8.3% up to 14.3%.
When estimating his batting average skill, Bobby Witt Jr. is projected as the 7th-best batter in MLB by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
When assessing his overall offensive talent, Salvador Perez ranks in the 81st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Coors Field as the best park in MLB for RHB batting average.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Cave in the 80th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.
Given Brady Singer’s large platoon split, Jake Cave will have a massive advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish in this game.
Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats across the board, and Jake Cave will hold that advantage in today’s game.
Brady Singer has averaged 93.9 adjusted pitches per GS this year, placing in the 86th percentile.
The Colorado Rockies have 6 bats in their projected offense today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Ezequiel Tovar, Brenton Doyle, Jake Cave, Michael Toglia, Sam Hilliard, Ryan McMahon).
It is likely that we will see a Pitchers Umpire (David Rackley) calling pitches in this game.
Elias Diaz is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in today’s game.
Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Elias Diaz will hold that advantage today.
Elias Diaz has compiled a .278 batting average this year, grading out in the 83rd percentile.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan McMahon in the 78th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brendan Rodgers in the 81st percentile as it relates to his batting average talent.
Brendan Rodgers is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this matchup.
Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Brendan Rodgers will hold that advantage in today’s game.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Hunter Renfroe in the 81st percentile when estimating his home run skill.
As it relates to his home run ability, MJ Melendez ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Hitting from the opposite that Ryan Feltner throws from, MJ Melendez will have an edge today.
Compared to his seasonal average of 14.4°, MJ Melendez has significantly improved his launch angle of late, posting a 21.3° figure over the last two weeks.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects MJ Melendez in the 75th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability.
Brenton Doyle has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 95-mph average in the last 7 days to his seasonal 88.8-mph EV.
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)’s judgement, Brady Singer’s overall pitching ability ranks in the 78th percentile out of all starters in the league currently.
The weakest projected batting order on the slate today in terms of overall hitting skill belongs to the Colorado Rockies.
Sunday Series Game 3 player match stat slumps with Royals vs Rockies Matchup
As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 3rd-best pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup.
The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 8.5-mph in this contest, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for hurlers.
Ryan McMahon has been lucky this year, notching a .341 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .315 — a .026 gap.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Toglia in the 6th percentile when estimating his batting average talent.
Michael Toglia is projected to bat 8th in the lineup today.
As it relates to his home runs, Michael Toglia has had positive variance on his side this year. His 38.0 HR per 600 plate appearances figure has been inflated compared to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 30.0.
Batting from the same side that Ryan Feltner throws from, Bobby Witt Jr. meets a tough challenge today.
Playing on the road generally lowers hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Bobby Witt Jr. in today’s game.
Over the last 7 days, Bobby Witt Jr.’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen from his seasonal average of 94.2 mph to 91.8 mph.
Michael Toglia has shown weak plate discipline this year, checking in at the 21st percentile with a 4.89 K/BB rate.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Charlie Blackmon in the 22nd percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent.
Charlie Blackmon’s average exit velocity has declined this year; his 86.4-mph EV last year has dropped to 84.4-mph.
Checking in at the 13th percentile for power, Charlie Blackmon has hit 8.2 dingers per 600 plate appearances this year.
Vinnie Pasquantino will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s matchup.
In the past week’s worth of games, Vinnie Pasquantino’s 5.6% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 15.4%.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Hunter Renfroe in the 2nd percentile when estimating his BABIP skill.
Hunter Renfroe is projected to bat 6th in the batting order today.
Ryan Feltner will have the handedness advantage over Hunter Renfroe in today’s matchup.
As it relates to his batting average, Charlie Blackmon has had positive variance on his side this year. His .259 mark has been significantly inflated relative to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .226.
Brady Singer will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ezequiel Tovar today… and it’s a particular mismatch considering Singer’s large platoon split.
In the past two weeks, Ezequiel Tovar’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 8% down to 0%.
Ezequiel Tovar has been cold recently, with his seasonal exit velocity of 88.1-mph dropping to 83.3-mph in the past 14 days.
Batting from the same side that Ryan Feltner throws from, Salvador Perez has a tough challenge today.
Among every team on the slate today, the 3rd-strongest infield defense is that of the the Colorado Rockies.
Playing on the road typically weakens hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Salvador Perez in today’s matchup.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Isbel in the 24th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.
Kyle Isbel is penciled in 9th in the lineup in today’s game.
Brenton Doyle is projected to hit 6th in the lineup in today’s game.
Brady Singer will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Brenton Doyle today… and it’s an even larger mismatch considering Singer’s large platoon split.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Brenton Doyle’s true offensive ability to be a .288, implying that he has been very fortunate this year given the .041 disparity between that mark and his actual .329 wOBA.
Playing on the road typically weakens batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Michael Massey in today’s game.
There has been a significant decline in Michael Massey’s launch angle from last year’s 19.6° to 15.8° this year.
As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Michael Massey has been lucky this year. His .332 mark has been quite a bit higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .288.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Massey in the 20th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.
Colorado’s #3-ranked outfield defense on the slate poses a formidable challenge for Michael Massey, who tends to hit a lot of flyballs.
Jake Cave is projected to hit 7th in the lineup in today’s game.
When starting against a righty hurler this year, Jake Cave has been pulled from the game early 17% of the time.
Jake Cave’s average exit velocity has decreased this season; his 89.3-mph EV last year has fallen to 86.4-mph.
Salvador Perez, the Royals’s expected catcher today, profiles as a weak pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Coors Field as the worst stadium in baseball for strikeouts.
Brady Singer will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.
Brady Singer’s 91.6-mph fastball velocity this year ranks in the 20th percentile among all starters.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Elias Diaz in the 17th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent.
Brady Singer will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Elias Diaz in today’s game… and it’s a particular mismatch considering Singer’s large platoon split.
Elias Diaz’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off of late; his 88.5-mph seasonal EV has lowered to 83.4-mph over the last 14 days.
Because of Brady Singer’s large platoon split, Brendan Rodgers will be at a huge disadvantage batting from the same side of the dish today.
Typically, batters like Brendan Rodgers who hit a lot of groundballs are generally less successful when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of groundballs such as Brady Singer.
Brendan Rodgers’s exit velocity on flyballs has declined of late; his 88.8-mph seasonal mark has fallen off to 74.4-mph in the past week.
Hunter Renfroe will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s matchup.
MJ Melendez is penciled in 7th in the batting order in today’s game.
MJ Melendez will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s game.
In the past two weeks, MJ Melendez’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 9.5% down to 0%.
Ryan McMahon’s average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls of late (3° over the past 14 days) is significantly worse than his 10.3° seasonal angle.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Charlie Blackmon in the 23rd percentile when it comes to his home run skill.
In the last 7 days, Charlie Blackmon’s 12.5% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 16.6%.
From last season to this one, Elias Diaz’s ability to hit the ball at a launch angle that optimizes home runs (23° to 34°) has decreased substantially, plummeting from 14.5% to 9.9%.
Playing on the road generally lowers hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Kyle Isbel in today’s matchup.
Kyle Isbel has been cold lately, with his seasonal exit velocity of 89-mph dropping to 86.5-mph in the last two weeks.
Over the past week, Salvador Perez’s 7.7% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 17.3%.
The #1 venue in the game for boosting home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Coors Field.
