Todays Series Game 3 Matchup Details

Player match stat positives for Baltimore at Oakland Series Game 3 Matchup Today

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Zack Gelof in the 78th percentile when it comes to his home run talent.

Dingers are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and Oakland Coliseum has the 7th-shallowest among all parks.

Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Zack Gelof will hold that advantage today.

Zack Gelof has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 95.6-mph average to last season’s 92.7-mph figure.

Zack Gelof’s launch angle recently (38° over the past 7 days) is significantly higher than his 12.7° seasonal mark.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Grayson Rodriguez in the 83rd percentile when estimating his overall pitching talent.

Grayson Rodriguez has averaged 94.6 adjusted pitches per game per started this year, checking in at the 88th percentile.

Adley Rutschman, the Orioles’s expected catcher in today’s matchup, projects as a good pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Oakland Coliseum grades out as the #30 venue in the league for home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Oakland Coliseum has the 10th-deepest RF fences in the league.

Cedric Mullins II will have the handedness advantage against Mitch Spence in today’s matchup.

Cedric Mullins II’s launch angle in recent games (30.8° in the past two weeks’ worth of games) is significantly higher than his 23° seasonal mark.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Adley Rutschman in the 95th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.

Adley Rutschman is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this matchup.

Using Statcast data, Adley Rutschman is in the 83rd percentile for offensive ability via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year at .341.

With a .349 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Adley Rutschman finds himself in the 83rd percentile.

Adley Rutschman has hit 24.1 long-balls per 600 plate appearances this year, grading out in the 82nd percentile for power.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan Mountcastle in the 95th percentile when estimating his batting average talent.

Utilizing Statcast metrics, Ryan Mountcastle grades out in the 75th percentile via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average this year at .266.

Ryan Mountcastle’s 91.5-mph average exit velocity ranks among the best in baseball this year: 88th percentile.

Ryan Mountcastle has put up a .269 batting average this year, checking in at the 75th percentile.

J.J. Bleday is penciled in 1st in the lineup today.

J.J. Bleday will hold the platoon advantage over Grayson Rodriguez in today’s matchup.

J.J. Bleday is an extreme flyball batter and squares off against the weak outfield defense of Baltimore (#3-worst of all teams today).

Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats in all categories, and J.J. Bleday will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

There has been a significant improvement in J.J. Bleday’s launch angle from last season’s 15.4° to 18.8° this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Zack Gelof in the 96th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Zack Gelof’s true offensive ability to be a .305, suggesting that he has been unlucky this year given the .034 discrepancy between that mark and his actual .271 wOBA.

Ranking in the 88th percentile, Adley Rutschman sits with a .289 batting average this year.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Gunnar Henderson ranks as the 16th-best hitter in Major League Baseball.

Gunnar Henderson is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this matchup.

Gunnar Henderson will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Mitch Spence today.

In the past 7 days, Gunnar Henderson’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 13.8% up to 27.3%.

Gunnar Henderson has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 94-mph average to last season’s 92-mph average.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brent Rooker in the 93rd percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability.

Brent Rooker is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this game.

Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Brent Rooker will hold that advantage in today’s game.

This season, Brent Rooker has experienced a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 97 mph compared to last year’s 94.9 mph mark.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Soderstrom in the 84th percentile when estimating his home run skill.

Tyler Soderstrom is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this game.

Tyler Soderstrom will hold the platoon advantage against Grayson Rodriguez in today’s game.

Tyler Soderstrom will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s game, which figures to boost all of his stats.

Tyler Soderstrom’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better lately, increasing from 19.6% on the season to 23.3% in the last 14 days.

Brent Rooker projects as the 9th-best home run hitter in MLB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Placing in the 82nd percentile, J.J. Bleday has notched a .311 Isolated Power rate (ISO) this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan O’Hearn in the 95th percentile when assessing his batting average talent.

Ryan O’Hearn is projected to bat 4th in the lineup today.

Batting from the opposite that Mitch Spence throws from, Ryan O’Hearn will have an edge today.

Ryan O’Hearn has compiled a .367 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year, grading out in the 94th percentile for hitting ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

This year, Ryan O’Hearn’s flyball exit velocity (a reliable stat to measure power) ranks in the 78th percentile at 94.2 mph.

Anthony Santander is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this game.

Anthony Santander has made big strides with his Barrel% of late, improving his 11.2% seasonal rate to 25% in the last week.

Anthony Santander has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89.3-mph to 97.7-mph in the past 7 days.

In terms of power, Anthony Santander has performed in the 97th percentile, having hit 37.7 homers per 600 plate appearances this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Miguel Andujar in the 84th percentile when assessing his batting average ability.

Miguel Andujar is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup today.

Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Miguel Andujar will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

In notching a .297 batting average this year, Miguel Andujar is positioned in the 92nd percentile.

Cedric Mullins II has been unlucky this year, putting up a .280 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .312 — a .032 disparity.

The 3rd-best projected lineup of all teams on the slate today in terms of overall hitting skill belongs to the Baltimore Orioles.

Shea Langeliers, the Athletics’s expected catcher today, grades out as a weak pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Among all SPs, Mitch Spence’s fastball velocity of 90.4 mph is in the 12th percentile this year.

Baltimore Orioles bats collectively rank 2nd- in the league for power this year when using their 9.8% Barrel%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Westburg in the 88th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.

Jordan Westburg is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in today’s game.

Jordan Westburg has seen a big gain in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 104.1-mph average in the past week’s worth of games to his seasonal average of 93.2-mph.

Compared to his seasonal mark of 12.4°, Jordan Westburg has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (-3.8°) over the last two weeks.

Anthony Santander has recorded a .338 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, placing in the 77th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Westburg in the 96th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.

Jordan Westburg’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last year to this one, rising from 14.3% to 19.1%.

Shea Langeliers projects as the 20th-best home run batter in MLB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Shea Langeliers is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this game.

Shea Langeliers will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Shea Langeliers’s true offensive skill to be a .316, providing some evidence that he has had some very poor luck this year given the .026 deviation between that mark and his actual .290 wOBA.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.242) may lead us to conclude that Tyler Soderstrom has been unlucky this year with his .210 actual batting average.

When estimating his home run skill, Anthony Santander ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Grading out in the 79th percentile, Ryan Mountcastle has posted a .296 Isolated Power rate (ISO) this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan Mountcastle in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.

Compared to his seasonal average of 10.8°, Ryan Mountcastle has significantly improved his launch angle in recent games, posting a 15.5° angle over the last 14 days.

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Ryan O’Hearn ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

In the last week, Ryan O’Hearn’s 21.4% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 14.6%.

Max Schuemann will possess the home field advantage in today’s game, which should improve all of his stats.

In the last 7 days, Max Schuemann’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 92.3-mph over the course of the season to 102.7-mph in recent games.

Max Schuemann has had some very poor luck with his home runs this year; his 10.9 HR per 600 plate appearances mark is a fair amount lower than his 17.0 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Mitch Spence’s high utilization rate of his secondary pitches (86.3% this year) figures to work in his favor considering they are generally much more effective than fastballs.

Adley Rutschman has posted a .275 Expected Batting Average this year, ranking in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Grayson Rodriguez in the 86th percentile as it relates to his strikeout ability.

The Oakland Athletics have 6 bats in their projected batting order today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Max Schuemann, Brent Rooker, Tyler Soderstrom, Zack Gelof, Shea Langeliers, Lawrence Butler).

Sunday Series Game 3 player match stat slumps with Orioles vs Athletics Matchup

Zack Gelof is penciled in 6th on the lineup card in today’s game.

Oakland Coliseum projects as the #30 park in the game for righty home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Built just 0 feet above sea level, Oakland Coliseum has one of the lowest altitudes among all major league stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to less offense.

Grayson Rodriguez will have the handedness advantage against Zack Gelof in today’s matchup.

Zack Gelof has been cold in recent games, with his seasonal exit velocity of 89.2-mph dropping to 78.9-mph over the last week.

Mark Ripperger profiles as a Hitters Umpire and is scheduled to be behind the plate today.

Grayson Rodriguez will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today.

Grayson Rodriguez’s 95.5-mph velocity on his fastball this season is a significant 1.3-mph decrease from last season’s 96.8-mph figure.

Grayson Rodriguez’s fastball spin rate over his last 3 games started (2211 rpm) has been considerably lower than than his seasonal rate (2272 rpm).

As a team, Oakland Athletics bats have excelled as it relates to hitting balls in the launch angle range that tends to optimize home runs (between 23° and 34°), rating best in baseball.

Cedric Mullins II’s BABIP skill is projected in the 9th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Cedric Mullins II is penciled in 7th in the batting order in today’s game.

The #1 stadium in Major League Baseball for suppressing home runs to lefties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oakland Coliseum.

Cedric Mullins II pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.6% — 90th percentile) and will be challenged by the game’s 10th-deepest RF fences in today’s game.

The switch-hitting Adley Rutschman will be less advantaged while batting from his worse side (0) today against Mitch Spence, Playing on the road typically weakens hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Adley Rutschman today.

Ryan Mountcastle has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this season (97% of the time), but he is penciled in 6th on the lineup card in this game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Oakland Coliseum as the 5th-worst park in MLB for RHB batting average.

Mitch Spence will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ryan Mountcastle in today’s game.

Ryan Mountcastle has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.2%) and will be challenged by the league’s 10th-deepest RF fences today.

J.J. Bleday’s BABIP skill is projected in the 9th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Among all the teams today, the strongest infield defense is that of the Baltimore Orioles.

Playing on the road typically reduces batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Cedric Mullins II in today’s game.

Playing on the road typically reduces hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Gunnar Henderson in today’s game.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (26.0) provides evidence that Gunnar Henderson has been very fortunate this year with his 40.7 actual HR/600.

Grayson Rodriguez will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Brent Rooker today.

Brent Rooker’s average exit velocity has fallen off of late; his 91.9-mph seasonal figure has lowered to 88.5-mph in the past week.

Tyler Soderstrom’s average exit velocity has decreased lately; his 93.3-mph seasonal mark has lowered to 91.2-mph in the last week.

In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Brent Rooker has had positive variance on his side this year. His .370 mark has been considerably higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .343.

J.J. Bleday’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off in recent games; his 91.4-mph seasonal figure has decreased to 87.6-mph in the last two weeks’ worth of games.

Compared to his seasonal figure of 18.8°, J.J. Bleday has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (0.2°) in the past two weeks.

When starting against a right-handed pitcher this year, Ryan O’Hearn has been pulled from the game early 20% of the time.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Oakland Coliseum as the 5th-worst venue in the league for left-handed batting average.

Playing on the road typically lessens hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Ryan O’Hearn in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Anthony Santander in the 2nd percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill.

As a switch-hitter who is weaker from the 0 side of the plate, Anthony Santander will be less advantaged while batting from his worse side against Mitch Spence in today’s game.

Anthony Santander pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (41% — 99th percentile) and will be challenged by MLB’s 10th-deepest RF fences today.

Batting from the same side that Grayson Rodriguez throws from, Miguel Andujar has a tough challenge today.

Miguel Andujar’s average exit velocity has dropped off in recent games; his 86.1-mph seasonal average has dropped off to 83.5-mph over the past two weeks.

The Baltimore Orioles have been the 5th-luckiest offense in the league this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to negatively regress going forward, Home field advantage typically improves pitcher metrics across the board, and Mitch Spence will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

Gunnar Henderson’s launch angle recently (4.3° in the last 14 days) is considerably worse than his 9.6° seasonal figure.

Mitch Spence will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jordan Westburg today.

Jordan Westburg will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Jordan Westburg’s true offensive skill to be a .330, providing some evidence that he has experienced some positive variance this year given the .025 gap between that mark and his actual .355 wOBA.

Jordan Westburg’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has decreased in recent games, decreasing from 50.2% on the season to 20% in the last week’s worth of games.

Batting from the same side that Grayson Rodriguez throws from, Shea Langeliers will be at a disadvantage in today’s game.

Over the past 7 days, Shea Langeliers’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 16% down to 0%.

In the past 7 days, Shea Langeliers’s exit velocity on flyballs has lowered from his seasonal average of 95.9 mph to 81.3 mph.

Tyler Soderstrom’s batting average skill is projected to be in the 24th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Playing on the road generally lowers batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Anthony Santander today.

Mitch Spence has recorded a 9% Swinging Strike rate this year, checking in at the 19th percentile.

As it relates to his home run ability, Miguel Andujar ranks in the 24th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Max Schuemann is projected to hit 9th in the lineup in today’s game.

Batting from the same side that Grayson Rodriguez throws from, Max Schuemann will have a disadvantage in today’s matchup.

Despite posting a .410 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Gunnar Henderson has had positive variance on his side given the .047 discrepancy between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .363.

Over the past 7 days, Max Schuemann’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 7.8% down to 0%.

Mitch Spence has been very fortunate when it comes to his strikeouts this year, posting a 7.45 K/9 despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 7.23 — a 0.23 K/9 disparity.

Shea Langeliers’s BABIP skill is projected in the 16th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Considering the 0.31 disparity between Grayson Rodriguez’s 9.85 K/9 and his 9.53 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it’s safe to say he’s been one of the luckiest pitchers in Major League Baseball this year in terms of strikeouts and ought to see worse results the rest of the season.