
KC @ COL






Todays Series Game 2 Matchup Details
Series Game 2
Todays Game is on Saturday, July 6th
2024-07-06 21:10:00 EST First Pitch
Player match stat positives for Kansas City at Colorado Series Game 2 Matchup Today
As it relates to his home run talent, Ryan McMahon ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Ryan McMahon is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in today’s game.
Coors Field ranks as the #1 park in MLB for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest elevation in the majors, which generally leads to more offense.
This game is predicted to have the 13th-most suitable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today.
When assessing his overall offensive ability, Vinnie Pasquantino ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Vinnie Pasquantino is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this game.
Coors Field ranks as the #1 venue in baseball for lefty home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).
The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Coors Field as the best venue in Major League Baseball for left-handed batting average.
The switch-hitting Michael Toglia will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his strong side (0) today against Seth Lugo.
Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Michael Toglia will hold that advantage in today’s game.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brendan Rodgers in the 81st percentile when estimating his batting average ability.
Brendan Rodgers is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in today’s game.
Hunter Renfroe has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (95% of the time), but he is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in today’s game.
Hunter Renfroe will hold the platoon advantage over Austin Gomber in today’s matchup.
Jake Cave’s BABIP ability is projected in the 80th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Hitting from the opposite that Seth Lugo throws from, Jake Cave will have an advantage today.
Ezequiel Tovar’s BABIP skill is projected in the 82nd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Ezequiel Tovar is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this game.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Salvador Perez in the 91st percentile as it relates to his home run talent.
Salvador Perez is projected to bat 4th in the lineup today.
The #1 park in the league for boosting home runs to RHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Coors Field.
Elias Diaz is penciled in 4th on the lineup card today.
Elias Diaz will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Maikel Garcia in the 89th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability.
Maikel Garcia is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this matchup.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Coors Field as the best stadium in the league for righty batting average.
When assessing his batting average skill, Bobby Witt Jr. is projected as the 7th-best hitter in Major League Baseball by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Bobby Witt Jr. is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card today.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nolan Jones in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill.
Hitting from the opposite that Seth Lugo throws from, Nolan Jones will have the upper hand in today’s matchup.
Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Jake Cave will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Hunter Renfroe in the 83rd percentile as it relates to his home run talent.
Larry Vanover grades out as a Huge Hitters Umpire and is scheduled to be behind the plate in today’s game.
Elias Diaz, the Rockies’s expected catcher in today’s game, projects as a weak pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Coors Field as the best ballpark in baseball for home runs.
Charlie Blackmon is penciled in 1st in the lineup in today’s game.
Hitting from the opposite that Seth Lugo throws from, Charlie Blackmon will have the upper hand in today’s game.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nolan Jones in the 83rd percentile when assessing his home run ability.
Tallying 95.1 adjusted pitches per start this year on average, Seth Lugo places in the 90th percentile.
The Colorado Rockies have 6 bats in their projected lineup today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Ezequiel Tovar, Sam Hilliard, Michael Toglia, Nolan Jones, Jake Cave, Ryan McMahon).
Seth Lugo was rolling in his previous game started and compiled 10 strikeouts.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Toglia in the 84th percentile when it comes to his home run talent.
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)’s assessment, Seth Lugo’s overall pitching skill is in the 75th percentile among all starters in MLB currently.
The Colorado Rockies projected batting order projects as the 2nd-weakest of all teams on the slate today in terms of overall batting skill.
When assessing his overall offensive skill, Salvador Perez ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Ezequiel Tovar will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Bobby Witt Jr. ranks as the 14th-best hitter in baseball.
Hitting from the opposite that Austin Gomber throws from, Maikel Garcia will have an edge in today’s game.
Considering the 1.29 deviation between Austin Gomber’s 6.06 K/9 and his 7.35 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it’s safe to say he’s been one of the unluckiest pitchers in Major League Baseball this year when it comes to strikeouts and should positively regress in the future.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan McMahon in the 78th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.
Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Brendan Rodgers will hold that advantage in today’s game.
Saturday Series Game 2 player match stat slumps with Royals vs Rockies Matchup
The wind projects to be blowing in from LF at 15-mph in this game, the best of the day for pitchers.
The Kansas City Royals infield defense profiles as the 4th-best out of all the teams today.
Ryan McMahon’s average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls lately (1.1° over the past 14 days) is a significant dropoff from his 10.4° seasonal figure.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Ryan McMahon’s true offensive ability to be a .314, indicating that he has had some very good luck this year given the .027 gap between that mark and his actual .341 wOBA.
Austin Gomber will have the handedness advantage against Vinnie Pasquantino in today’s matchup.
Playing on the road typically diminishes batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Vinnie Pasquantino in today’s matchup.
Michael Toglia’s batting average ability is projected to be in the 5th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Michael Toglia is penciled in 8th in the lineup in this matchup.
With a 4.83 K/BB rate this year, Michael Toglia has shown bad plate discipline, grading out in the 21st percentile.
Hitting from the same side that Seth Lugo throws from, Brendan Rodgers will have a tough matchup today.
Over the last 7 days, Brendan Rodgers’s exit velocity on flyballs has lowered from his seasonal figure of 88.9 mph to 64.5 mph.
Brendan Rodgers’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off from last year to this one, falling from 19.7% to 8.7%.
Hunter Renfroe’s BABIP ability is projected in the 2nd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
32% of the time that Hunter Renfroe has started against a lefty on the mound this year, he has been pinch hit for.
The Colorado Rockies infield defense projects as the 2nd-best out of all the teams in action today.
Hunter Renfroe will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s game.
Jake Cave is projected to hit 6th in the batting order in this game.
Over the last 14 days, Jake Cave’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased from his seasonal mark of 90.6 mph to 83.1 mph.
Jake Cave’s launch angle this year (4.1°) is considerably worse than his 15.1° mark last year.
Batting from the same side that Seth Lugo throws from, Ezequiel Tovar faces a tough challenge in today’s game.
In the past week, Ezequiel Tovar’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 8% down to 0%.
Ezequiel Tovar’s average exit velocity has decreased in recent games; his 88.1-mph seasonal figure has fallen off to 81.4-mph in the past week’s worth of games.
Salvador Perez will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s matchup.
Compared to his seasonal mark of 15.4°, Salvador Perez’s average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls has dropped significantly in recent games (9.2° in the past 14 days).
Seth Lugo will have the handedness advantage against Elias Diaz in today’s game.
Elias Diaz’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off this year; his 91.2-mph figure last season has fallen to 88.5-mph.
Elias Diaz’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased from last year to this one, going from 14.5% to 10.2%.
In the last 7 days, Elias Diaz’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 10.2%.
Maikel Garcia is an extreme groundball batter and matches up with the strong infield defense of Colorado (#2-best of all teams today).
Playing on the road generally lessens batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Maikel Garcia in today’s game.
Maikel Garcia’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off this year; his 92.7-mph mark last season has decreased to 90.1-mph.
Playing on the road generally weakens hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Bobby Witt Jr. in today’s matchup.
Bobby Witt Jr. has negatively regressed with his Barrel% recently; his 14.5% seasonal rate has decreased to 6.3% over the last week.
Bobby Witt Jr.’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off recently; his 94.2-mph seasonal mark has fallen to 90.4-mph in the past 7 days.
Nolan Jones is projected to bat 7th in the batting order in this matchup, which would be a downgrade from his 53% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this season.
Nolan Jones’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined from last year to this one, decreasing from 20% to 9%.
Nolan Jones’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined in recent games, going from 9% on the season to 0% in the last week’s worth of games.
Michael Toglia has been lucky in regards to his home runs this year; his 35.1 HR per 600 plate appearances figure is quite a bit higher than his 28.0 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
In the past two weeks, Jake Cave’s 5.3% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 10.9%.
Hunter Renfroe’s average exit velocity has decreased recently; his 87.9-mph seasonal average has fallen to 85.5-mph over the past 14 days.
With a .285 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) this year, Hunter Renfroe is positioned in the 21st percentile for offensive skills.
Given his reverse platoon split, Austin Gomber will hold the advantage matching up with 8 batters in the projected lineup who hit from the other side today.
Home field advantage typically boosts pitcher metrics in all categories, and Austin Gomber will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.
Contrary to popular belief, fastballs are typically a pitcher’s least effective pitch. Austin Gomber must realize this, because he has used his secondary pitches a lot this year: 58.7% of the time, placing in the 75th percentile.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Charlie Blackmon in the 23rd percentile as it relates to his home run ability.
Charlie Blackmon’s 84.5-mph average exit velocity is one of the worst in MLB this year: 3rd percentile.
Grading out in the 14th percentile for power, Charlie Blackmon has paced 8.2 home runs per 600 plate appearances this year.
Charlie Blackmon’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has dropped off from last season to this one, falling from 43.5% to 38.3%.
Vinnie Pasquantino has put up a .246 BABIP this year, grading out in the 12th percentile.
Nolan Jones has recorded a .269 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year, checking in at the 9th percentile for offensive ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
Elias Diaz’s BABIP talent is projected in the 18th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
In the past 14 days, Maikel Garcia’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen from his seasonal average of 90.1 mph to 86.9 mph.
Salvador Perez, the Royals’s expected catcher today, projects as a weak pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Coors Field profiles as the #30 stadium in the league for strikeouts, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Austin Gomber to throw 83 pitches in today’s game (6th-least of all pitchers on the slate today), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.
Over the last two weeks, Salvador Perez’s 36.4% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 42.7%.
Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.257) provides evidence that Salvador Perez has had positive variance on his side this year with his .275 actual batting average.
Ezequiel Tovar has had positive variance on his side thus far when it comes to with his wOBA this year; his .323 mark is significantly inflated relative to his .277 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
Ryan McMahon’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off from last year to this one, going from 17.6% to 13.2%.
Seth Lugo was rolling in his previous outing and conceded 0 ER.
As it relates to his home run talent, Maikel Garcia ranks in the 14th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the team with the 3rd-least strikeout-heavy lineup today is the Kansas City Royals with a 20.7% underlying K%.
Charlie Blackmon’s BABIP skill is projected in the 24th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
When it comes to his batting average, Charlie Blackmon has had positive variance on his side this year. His .259 BA has been a good deal higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .227.
Over the last week, Brendan Rodgers’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 8.7%.
