Todays Matchup Details

Player match stat positives for Kansas City at St. Louis Matchup Today

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brendan Donovan in the 92nd percentile when estimating his batting average skill.

Brendan Donovan is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in today’s game.

Among all stadiums, Busch Stadium has the 7th-lowest average fence height.

Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy link with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast predicts the highest humidity of all games today at 90%.

Brendan Donovan will hold the platoon advantage over Michael Wacha today.

Projected catcher Willson Contreras grades out as a weak pitch framer, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Given that flyball pitchers are least effective against groundball hitters, Andre Pallante (59.7% FB% per the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be a bit disadvantaged in this game with 4 GB hitters in Kansas City’s projected offense.

It may come as a surprise, but fastballs are generally a pitcher’s least effective pitch. Andre Pallante has gone to his fastball a lot this year, though: 71% of the time, grading out in the 100th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Paul Goldschmidt in the 89th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.

Paul Goldschmidt is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this game.

Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics across the board, and Paul Goldschmidt will hold that advantage in today’s game.

This season, Paul Goldschmidt has experienced a significant improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 96.9 mph compared to last year’s 93.9 mph mark.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Salvador Perez in the 90th percentile when it comes to his home run ability.

Salvador Perez is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in today’s game.

Extreme flyball bats like Salvador Perez tend to be more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Andre Pallante.

Nolan Arenado will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Burleson in the 84th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability.

Alec Burleson is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup today.

Alec Burleson will hold the platoon advantage against Michael Wacha in today’s matchup.

Alec Burleson hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 84th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game’s 7th-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.

MJ Melendez will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Andre Pallante today.

Compared to his seasonal average of 14.6°, MJ Melendez has significantly improved his launch angle recently, posting a 23° mark over the last two weeks.

MJ Melendez has experienced some negative variance in regards to his batting average this year; his .190 BA is a good deal lower than his .226 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Mike Siani will hold the platoon advantage over Michael Wacha in today’s game.

Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Mike Siani will hold that advantage in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Hunter Renfroe in the 81st percentile when assessing his home run talent.

There has been a significant improvement in Hunter Renfroe’s launch angle from last year’s 14.9° to 18.9° this season.

Sporting a 1.99 K/BB rate this year, Hunter Renfroe has demonstrated favorable plate discipline, grading out in the 75th percentile.

Masyn Winn has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (55% of the time), but he is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in today’s game.

Masyn Winn will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats.

In notching a .350 BABIP this year, Masyn Winn is ranked in the 93rd percentile.

Michael Massey is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in today’s game.

Hitting from the opposite that Andre Pallante throws from, Michael Massey will have an edge today.

Bats such as Michael Massey with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Andre Pallante who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum.

Over the last week, Michael Massey’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 8.3% up to 16.7%.

Kyle Isbel will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Andre Pallante in today’s game.

Salvador Perez, the Royals’s expected catcher in today’s matchup, grades out as a weak pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Playing on the road generally diminishes pitcher metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Michael Wacha in today’s game.

Michael Wacha’s 2126-rpm fastball spin rate this year ranks in the 19th percentile out of all SPs.

In the last 7 days, Nolan Arenado’s 68.4% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 44.9%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Nolan Gorman as Major League Baseball’s 10th-best home run batter.

Nolan Gorman will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Michael Wacha in today’s matchup.

Nolan Gorman will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Willson Contreras ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Willson Contreras is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this game.

Willson Contreras hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 93rd percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards the league’s 7th-shallowest CF fences today.

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Salvador Perez ranks in the 81st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Salvador Perez has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 97.1-mph average in the past two weeks’ worth of games to his seasonal EV of 94.6-mph.

When it comes to his home run talent, MJ Melendez ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Vinnie Pasquantino in the 90th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.

Vinnie Pasquantino is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.

Vinnie Pasquantino will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Andre Pallante in today’s matchup.

Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats across the board, and Brendan Donovan will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

Bobby Witt Jr. projects as the 13th-best hitter in the majors, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Bobby Witt Jr. is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this game.

Extreme groundball batters like Bobby Witt Jr. generally hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Andre Pallante.

When assessing his batting average skill, Bobby Witt Jr. is projected as the 7th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Bobby Witt Jr. has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 92.7-mph average to last year’s 90.7-mph average.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Michael Wacha in the 80th percentile when estimating his strikeout skill.

Recording 91.9 adjusted pitches per outing this year on average, Michael Wacha places him the 77th percentile.

Michael Wacha was rolling in his previous GS and accumulated 8 strikeouts.

Michael Wacha has added a slider to his repertoire this year and has mixed it in 6.9% of the time.

Vinnie Pasquantino has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 91.3-mph average to last year’s 89.1-mph EV.

Nolan Gorman has made big improvements with his Barrel% recently, upping his 16.7% seasonal rate to 33.3% over the past week.

Last year, Nolan Gorman had an average launch angle of 21.5° on his hardest-contacted balls, while this year it has significantly increased to 26.6°.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brendan Donovan in the 86th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.

Willson Contreras will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s game, which should improve all of his stats.

Tuesday player match stat slumps with Royals vs Cardinals Matchup

Busch Stadium ranks as the #28 field in the league for run-scoring, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Brendan Donovan has an 88th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36%) but may find it hard to clear MLB’s 6th-deepest LF fences in today’s matchup.

Over the past week, Brendan Donovan’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 5.5% down to 0%.

Over the last 7 days, Brendan Donovan’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off from his seasonal average of 91.5 mph to 86.9 mph.

Brendan Donovan’s launch angle in recent games (3.7° in the past week) is quite a bit worse than his 12.2° seasonal mark.

Busch Stadium projects as the #28 venue in the majors for home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

The 2nd-deepest right field fences in the league are found in Busch Stadium.

Among every team on the slate today, the 5th-strongest infield defense is that of the St. Louis Cardinals.

Home field advantage generally improves pitcher metrics across the board, and Andre Pallante will hold that advantage in today’s game.

In his previous game started, Andre Pallante was on point and gave up 1 ER.

Long-balls are generally less common at fields with deep fences, and Busch Stadium has the 5th-deepest among all stadiums.

Michael Wacha will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Paul Goldschmidt in today’s matchup.

Paul Goldschmidt has negatively regressed with his Barrel% in recent games; his 9.1% seasonal rate has fallen to 0% in the past week.

Over the last 7 days, Paul Goldschmidt’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 12%.

In notching a .284 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Paul Goldschmidt is positioned in the 25th percentile.

Andre Pallante will have the handedness advantage against Salvador Perez in today’s game.

Salvador Perez pulls a lot of his flyballs (36.8% — 94th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards baseball’s 6th-deepest LF fences in today’s matchup.

Salvador Perez will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s game.

Nolan Arenado is penciled in 6th in the lineup in today’s game, which would be a downgrade from his 92% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this year.

Busch Stadium grades out as the #27 stadium in MLB for righty home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Batting from the same side that Michael Wacha throws from, Nolan Arenado will have a tough matchup in today’s matchup.

Nolan Arenado pulls many of his flyballs (42.4% — 100th percentile) and will be challenged by the league’s 6th-deepest LF fences in today’s game.

Nolan Arenado’s average exit velocity has declined this year; his 88.8-mph EV last season has dropped off to 84.8-mph.

Alec Burleson’s average exit velocity has decreased recently; his 89.9-mph seasonal EV has fallen off to 86-mph in the past week’s worth of games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Alec Burleson’s true offensive ability to be a .311, providing some evidence that he has had positive variance on his side this year given the .020 deviation between that mark and his actual .331 wOBA.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Andre Pallante in the 4th percentile as it relates to his strikeout talent.

Compared to league average, Andre Pallante has been granted less leash than the average pitcher this year, recording an -11.0 fewer adjusted pitches each start.

Busch Stadium grades out as the #23 stadium in the majors for strikeouts, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

MJ Melendez is projected to bat 7th on the lineup card in today’s game.

19% of the time that MJ Melendez has started against a righty on the mound this year, he has been pinch hit for.

MJ Melendez pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.1% — 87th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball’s 2nd-deepest RF fences in today’s matchup.

MJ Melendez will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mike Siani in the 5th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability.

Mike Siani is projected to hit 9th in the lineup in this matchup.

Mike Siani has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.7%) but may find it hard to clear the league’s 6th-deepest LF fences in today’s matchup.

Mike Siani has been cold lately, with his seasonal exit velocity of 84.2-mph dropping to 74.9-mph in the past week.

Hunter Renfroe is projected to hit 6th on the lineup card in this matchup.

Hitting from the same side that Andre Pallante throws from, Hunter Renfroe will not have the upper hand in today’s matchup.

Hunter Renfroe pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (39.7% — 98th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the league’s 6th-deepest LF fences in today’s matchup.

Hunter Renfroe will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.

Michael Wacha will hold the platoon advantage against Masyn Winn today.

Masyn Winn has a 75th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.7%) but may find it hard to clear MLB’s 2nd-deepest RF fences today.

Masyn Winn’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off this season; his 89.7-mph average last season has fallen to 85.5-mph.

Over the last 7 days, Masyn Winn’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off from his seasonal average of 85.5 mph to 83.4 mph.

Compared to his seasonal angle of 14.8°, Masyn Winn has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (-1.6°) over the last two weeks.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Hunter Renfroe in the 3rd percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Busch Stadium as the 3rd-worst park in the game for LHB home runs.

In terms of his home runs, Alec Burleson has had some very good luck this year. His 25.1 HR per 600 plate appearances rate has been a good deal higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 17.0.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Massey in the 20th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.

Michael Massey pulls many of his flyballs (38% — 96th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball’s 2nd-deepest RF fences today.

Michael Massey will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s game.

Michael Massey’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has fallen off lately, going from 43.1% on the season to 28.6% over the last two weeks.

Kyle Isbel is projected to bat 9th in the lineup in this matchup.

When starting against a right-handed starter this year, Kyle Isbel has been pinch hit for 15% of the time.

Playing on the road typically lowers hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Kyle Isbel in today’s game.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)’s estimation, Michael Wacha’s overall pitching skill grades out in the 80th percentile among all starters in the game currently.

Michael Wacha turned in a great performance in his previous GS and allowed 1 ER.

Michael Wacha’s 92.9-mph velocity on his fastball this year is a significant 1.5-mph spike from last season’s 91.4-mph mark.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Isbel in the 23rd percentile when estimating his BABIP ability.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nolan Arenado in the 7th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.

Nolan Gorman has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this season (55% of the time), but he is penciled in 8th in the batting order in today’s game.

Nolan Gorman pulls many of his flyballs (35.6% — 90th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the game’s 2nd-deepest RF fences in today’s game.

Nolan Gorman has shown poor plate discipline this year, ranking in the 20th percentile with a 3.85 K/BB rate.

Hitting from the same side that Michael Wacha throws from, Willson Contreras meets a tough challenge today.

Compared to his seasonal mark of 11.6°, Willson Contreras has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (2.5°) over the last two weeks.

Willson Contreras has had positive variance on his side thus far when it comes to his home runs this year; his 28.7 HR per 600 plate appearances rate is a good deal higher than his 16.7 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

In the past 7 days, Salvador Perez’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 12.8% down to 0%.

Nolan Gorman has put up a .209 Expected Batting Average this year, ranking in the 9th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

In notching a .208 batting average this year, Nolan Gorman finds himself in the 14th percentile.

Vinnie Pasquantino pulls a lot of his flyballs (36.2% — 92nd percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards baseball’s 2nd-deepest RF fences today.

Playing on the road generally lessens batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Vinnie Pasquantino today.

Over the last two weeks, Vinnie Pasquantino’s 11.9% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 15.4%.

Batting from the same side that Andre Pallante throws from, Bobby Witt Jr. will not have the upper hand in today’s matchup.

In today’s game, Bobby Witt Jr. is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 2nd-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 36.9% rate (91st percentile).

Bobby Witt Jr. will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s matchup.

Vinnie Pasquantino has recorded a .247 BABIP this year, grading out in the 11th percentile.

Michael Massey has experienced some positive variance in regards to with his wOBA this year; his .333 rate is a fair amount higher than his .289 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Michael Massey has displayed bad plate discipline since the start of last season, checking in at the 12th percentile with a 4.68 K/BB rate.

As it relates to his home run ability, Masyn Winn ranks in the 14th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Bobby Witt Jr.’s true offensive talent to be a .368, indicating that he has had some very good luck this year given the .023 discrepancy between that mark and his actual .391 wOBA.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nolan Gorman in the 20th percentile when estimating his batting average skill.

In the past week’s worth of games, Mike Siani’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 15.3%.

Willson Contreras has been very fortunate when it comes to with his wOBA this year; his .397 figure is a good deal higher than his .342 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.