Todays Series Game 2 Matchup Details

Player match stat positives for Minnesota at Chicago Series Game 2 Matchup Today

Erick Fedde has averaged 94.8 adjusted pitches per start this year, ranking in the 89th percentile.

The Minnesota Twins have 4 bats in their projected offense today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Ryan Jeffers, Matt Wallner, Byron Buxton, Trevor Larnach).

It is expected that we will see a Pitchers Umpire (Rob Drake) calling pitches today.

Erick Fedde will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s game, which ought to boost all of his stats across the board.

Erick Fedde’s high usage percentage of his secondary pitches (69% this year) ought to work in his favor consider they are generally much more effective than fastballs.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Paul DeJong in the 88th percentile as it relates to his home run skill.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Guaranteed Rate Field as the 6th-best field in MLB for righty home runs.

Paul DeJong pulls many of his flyballs (35.4% — 89th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards the league’s 5th-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.

Paul DeJong will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats.

In the past week, Paul DeJong’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 10.7% up to 22.2%.

Willi Castro’s BABIP ability is projected in the 83rd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Willi Castro is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 69% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season.

Guaranteed Rate Field grades out as the #6 park in baseball for LHB home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Willi Castro pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.2% — 81st percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB’s 9th-shallowest RF fences today.

The Chicago White Sox outfield defense projects as the 5th-worst among all the teams on the slate today.

Among all the teams playing today, the 5th-worst infield defense is that of the Minnesota Twins.

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Andrew Vaughn ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Andrew Vaughn is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.

Andrew Vaughn has an 80th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.4%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of the game’s 9th-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Carlos Correa ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Carlos Correa is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in today’s game.

Homers are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and Guaranteed Rate Field has the 4th-shallowest among all parks.

Andrew Benintendi’s batting average ability is projected to be in the 88th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Andrew Benintendi is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this game.

Andrew Benintendi will have the handedness advantage over Bailey Ober today.

Andrew Benintendi has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.4%) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them out towards the league’s 5th-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trevor Larnach in the 82nd percentile when assessing his home run ability.

Trevor Larnach is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in today’s game.

Trevor Larnach will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Erick Fedde in today’s game.

It may be smart to expect better numbers for the Chicago White Sox offense in future games, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) views them as the 5th-unluckiest offense in the majors this year.

Guaranteed Rate Field has the 5th-shallowest LF fences in MLB.

Bailey Ober is an extreme flyball pitcher (41% FB% according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) and will be disadvantaged pitching in the #8 HR venue among all stadiums in this matchup.

Because groundball batters have a notable advantage over flyball pitchers, Bailey Ober and his 41% underlying GB% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) finds himself in a tough spot in today’s matchup facing 1 opposing GB batters.

Brooks Lee pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (37.1% — 94th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards the league’s 9th-shallowest RF fences today.

Over the past week, Brooks Lee has been performing exceptionally well at the plate with a wOBA of .482.

Brooks Lee has been hot lately, posting a a 14.3% Barrel% (an advanced metric to study power) in the last week’s worth of games.

Batting from the opposite that Bailey Ober throws from, Nicky Lopez will have an edge in today’s game.

Nicky Lopez has a 100th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (43.7%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards MLB’s 5th-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.

Extreme flyball hitters like Nicky Lopez are generally more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Bailey Ober.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Miranda in the 86th percentile when assessing his batting average talent.

Jose Miranda is penciled in 4th in the batting order in today’s game.

Jose Miranda pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (37.4% — 95th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards the game’s 5th-shallowest LF fences today.

Over the past 7 days, Willi Castro’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 91-mph over the course of the season to 96-mph lately.

Last year, Willi Castro had an average launch angle of 11.1° on his hardest-hit balls, while this season it has significantly increased to 14.6°.

Korey Lee pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.1% — 81st percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball’s 5th-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.

Korey Lee will possess the home field advantage in today’s game, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Byron Buxton projects as the 13th-best home run hitter in the majors, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Byron Buxton pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (42.3% — 99th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league’s 5th-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.

Byron Buxton has made significant improvements with his Barrel% in recent games, improving his 11% seasonal rate to 20.7% in the past 14 days.

Home field advantage generally improves batter stats in all categories, and Andrew Vaughn will hold that advantage in today’s game.

Byron Buxton has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 91.5-mph to 97.4-mph over the past 14 days.

Gavin Sheets is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in today’s game.

Hitting from the opposite that Bailey Ober throws from, Gavin Sheets will have an edge in today’s matchup.

Gavin Sheets pulls many of his flyballs (34% — 80th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards MLB’s 9th-shallowest RF fences today.

Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats across the board, and Gavin Sheets will hold that advantage today.

Max Kepler is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this matchup.

Max Kepler will have the handedness advantage against Erick Fedde in today’s game.

Nicky Lopez will possess the home field advantage in today’s game, which figures to improve all of his stats.

Carlos Correa has posted a .371 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year, grading out in the 95th percentile for offensive ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Max Kepler has seen a big gain in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 93.2-mph average in the last two weeks to his seasonal 89.8-mph average.

Jose Miranda has seen a big increase in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 90-mph average to last season’s 87.9-mph mark.

Jose Miranda has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 92.5-mph average over the last week to his seasonal 90-mph average.

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Byron Buxton ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Paul DeJong’s launch angle in recent games (4.8° over the last 7 days) is a significant dropoff from his 20.2° seasonal mark.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Erick Fedde in the 80th percentile when estimating his overall pitching talent.

It may be best to expect worse results for the Minnesota Twins offense in future games, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) views them as the 2nd-luckiest offense in baseball this year.

Sporting a .296 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) this year , Carlos Correa has performed in the 97th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Max Kepler in the 81st percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.338) implies that Trevor Larnach has suffered from bad luck this year with his .309 actual wOBA.

When assessing his strikeout skill, the leading projection system (THE BAT) places Bailey Ober in the 89th percentile among all starting pitchers in the game.

In his previous start, Bailey Ober was in good form and accumulated 8 strikeouts.

Bailey Ober has added a cut-fastball to his pitch mix this year and has thrown it 21.5% of the time.

Andrew Benintendi will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

Minnesota Twins bats collectively rank 9th- in the game for power this year when judging by their 8.5% Barrel%.

Tuesday Series Game 2 player match stat slumps with Twins vs White Sox Matchup

Korey Lee, the White Sox’s expected catcher today, grades out as a weak pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

The #7 park in the game for suppressing strikeouts, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Guaranteed Rate Field.

Erick Fedde has recorded an 8.4% Swinging Strike percentage this year, ranking in the 13th percentile.

Paul DeJong is projected to hit 6th on the lineup card in this game.

Batting from the same side that Bailey Ober throws from, Paul DeJong will be at a disadvantage today.

Typically, batters like Paul DeJong who hit a lot of flyballs tend to be less successful when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of flyballs such as Bailey Ober.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (23.4) provides evidence that Paul DeJong has experienced some positive variance this year with his 31.4 actual HR/600.

In terms of plate discipline, Paul DeJong’s ability is quite weak, putting up a 7.08 K/BB rate this year while grading out in in the 3rd percentile.

As a switch-hitter who bats worse from the 0 side of the plate, Willi Castro will bat from his worse side against Erick Fedde in this game.

Playing on the road generally lowers hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Willi Castro in today’s matchup.

Paul DeJong’s batting average talent is projected to be in the 8th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Batting from the same side that Bailey Ober throws from, Andrew Vaughn will have a tough challenge in today’s game.

Erick Fedde will hold the platoon advantage over Carlos Correa today.

Carlos Correa will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s game.

Carlos Correa’s average exit velocity has decreased lately; his 90.9-mph seasonal figure has dropped to 86.9-mph over the last 7 days.

Carlos Correa’s launch angle lately (3.4° in the last 14 days) is a significant dropoff from his 10° seasonal figure.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Carlos Correa’s true offensive talent to be a .342, indicating that he has been very fortunate this year given the .033 discrepancy between that mark and his actual .375 wOBA.

Andrew Benintendi has taken a step back with his Barrel% lately; his 5.1% seasonal rate has dropped to 0% over the last week.

Andrew Benintendi has been cold in recent games, with his seasonal exit velocity of 87.9-mph dropping to 84.1-mph in the last week.

Andrew Benintendi’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has fallen off from last year to this one, decreasing from 48.4% to 38.7%.

With a .242 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Andrew Benintendi has performed in the 4th percentile.

Grading out in the 5th percentile, Andrew Benintendi has notched a .227 BABIP this year.

Trevor Larnach has been pulled from the game early 46% of the time when starting against a right-handed pitcher this year.

Trevor Larnach will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today.

Trevor Larnach has taken a step back with his Barrel% lately; his 9.9% seasonal rate has lowered to 0% in the last 7 days.

Trevor Larnach has been cold recently, with his seasonal exit velocity of 91.6-mph dropping to 75.1-mph in the past week’s worth of games.

In the past week’s worth of games, Trevor Larnach’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 19%.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)’s estimation, Bailey Ober’s overall pitching ability is in the 89th percentile out of all starters in the game right now.

The Chicago White Sox projected batting order projects as the 3rd-weakest on the slate in terms of overall hitting skill.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Guaranteed Rate Field as the 7th-worst venue in the game for base hits.

With 6 batters who share his handedness in the opposing team’s projected offense, Bailey Ober figures to benefit from having the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brooks Lee in the 24th percentile when estimating his home run skill.

Brooks Lee is projected to bat 7th in the lineup in this game.

Playing on the road typically lessens batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Brooks Lee today.

In the past 7 days, Brooks Lee has been exhibiting poor exit velocity numbers, with an average of only 87.1-mph on his flyballs.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nicky Lopez in the 1st percentile when estimating his home run ability.

Nicky Lopez is projected to bat 7th in the batting order today.

This year, Nicky Lopez has been pinch hit for in 10% of his appearances when starting against righty hurler.

Nicky Lopez’s average exit velocity has dropped off recently; his 85.6-mph seasonal figure has dropped to 82.6-mph in the last two weeks’ worth of games.

Nicky Lopez has been lucky in regards to his batting average this year; his .245 BA is a fair amount higher than his .225 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Erick Fedde will hold the platoon advantage against Jose Miranda in today’s matchup.

Playing on the road typically diminishes hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Jose Miranda today.

Jose Miranda has been lucky this year, compiling a .384 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .312 — a .072 difference.

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Korey Lee ranks in the 6th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Korey Lee is penciled in 9th in the batting order today.

Bailey Ober will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Korey Lee in today’s game.

Korey Lee has taken a step back with his Barrel% lately; his 7% seasonal rate has fallen to 0% over the last two weeks.

Over the last 14 days, Korey Lee’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off from his seasonal figure of 92.5 mph to 85 mph.

Byron Buxton is projected to hit 6th on the lineup card in this matchup.

Erick Fedde will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Byron Buxton in today’s matchup.

Byron Buxton will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.

When it comes to plate discipline, Byron Buxton’s talent is quite bad, posting a 6.13 K/BB rate this year while ranking in in the 4th percentile.

Andrew Benintendi has paced 12.4 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances this year, checking in at the 25th percentile for power according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Willi Castro’s true offensive ability to be a .304, implying that he has been very fortunate this year given the .044 gap between that mark and his actual .348 wOBA.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gavin Sheets in the 13th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent.

In the last two weeks’ worth of games, Gavin Sheets’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 6.5% down to 0%.

Over the last 7 days, Gavin Sheets’s 22.2% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 43.8%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Max Kepler in the 13th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability.

Playing on the road typically diminishes hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Max Kepler today.

In the past week’s worth of games, Max Kepler’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 8.5% down to 0%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nicky Lopez in the 10th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.

Jose Miranda’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off in recent games, falling from 14.8% on the season to 8.1% over the last 14 days.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.246) suggests that Byron Buxton has had some very good luck this year with his .275 actual batting average.

Paul DeJong has been lucky this year, compiling a .312 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .283 — a .029 difference.

Considering the 0.89 discrepancy between Erick Fedde’s 3.13 ERA and his 4.02 estimated true talent ERA (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT), it’s safe to say he’s been one of the most fortunate pitchers in Major League Baseball this year and ought to negatively regress the rest of the season.

Max Kepler’s average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls in recent games (2.5° in the past 14 days) is a significant dropoff from his 10.6° seasonal mark.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.252) provides evidence that Nicky Lopez has had some very good luck this year with his .268 actual wOBA.

Bailey Ober will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today.

Out of all starters, Bailey Ober’s fastball velocity of 91.4 mph ranks in the 18th percentile this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andrew Benintendi in the 20th percentile when it comes to his home run ability.

Andrew Benintendi’s launch angle lately (7.1° over the last 14 days) is a considerable dropoff from his 14.6° seasonal mark.