Todays Matchup Details

Player match stat positives for Kansas City at St. Louis Matchup Today

As it relates to his batting average talent, Bobby Witt Jr. is projected as the 7th-best hitter in baseball by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Bobby Witt Jr. is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this game.

Busch Stadium has the 7th-lowest fences among all major league parks.

Hitters such as Bobby Witt Jr. with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Andre Pallante who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum.

Bobby Witt Jr. has seen a big increase in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 92.8-mph average to last season’s 90.7-mph figure.

When it comes to his home run skill, MJ Melendez ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Hitting from the opposite that Andre Pallante throws from, MJ Melendez will have an advantage today.

MJ Melendez’s launch angle recently (23.5° in the last 14 days) is quite a bit higher than his 14.7° seasonal figure.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates MJ Melendez’s true offensive ability to be a .315, suggesting that he has suffered from bad luck this year given the .046 discrepancy between that figure and his actual .269 wOBA.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Burleson in the 84th percentile when assessing his batting average talent.

Alec Burleson is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this game.

Alec Burleson will have the handedness advantage over Alec Marsh today.

Alec Burleson hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 82nd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards MLB’s 7th-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.

Alec Burleson will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s game, which should bolster all of his stats.

Batting from the opposite that Andre Pallante throws from, Kyle Isbel will have the upper hand today.

Michael Massey is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this matchup.

Hitting from the opposite that Andre Pallante throws from, Michael Massey will have an advantage in today’s game.

Extreme groundball batters like Michael Massey usually hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Andre Pallante.

In the past two weeks’ worth of games, Michael Massey’s 27.3% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 20.4%.

Nolan Arenado will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats.

In the past week’s worth of games, Nolan Arenado’s 69.6% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 45.4%.

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Paul Goldschmidt ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Paul Goldschmidt is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this game.

Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Paul Goldschmidt will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

Paul Goldschmidt has seen a big increase in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 93.9-mph average in the past 14 days to his seasonal 91.5-mph average.

Paul Goldschmidt has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 96.6-mph average to last year’s 93.9-mph figure.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brendan Donovan in the 93rd percentile when estimating his batting average talent.

Brendan Donovan is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this matchup.

Hitting from the opposite that Alec Marsh throws from, Brendan Donovan will have an advantage in today’s matchup.

Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Brendan Donovan will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

Using Statcast metrics, Brendan Donovan ranks in the 84th percentile for hitting ability per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year at .343.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Willson Contreras in the 96th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.

Willson Contreras is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.

Willson Contreras hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39% — 92nd percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards the league’s 7th-shallowest CF fences today.

Willson Contreras will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Alec Marsh’s 2515-rpm fastball spin rate this year ranks in the 92nd percentile out of all starting pitchers.

Considering the 0.86 discrepancy between Alec Marsh’s 7.97 K/9 and his 8.83 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it’s safe to say he’s been one of the least fortunate pitchers in the league this year as it relates to strikeouts and should positively regress the rest of the season.

Masyn Winn has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (55% of the time), but he is penciled in 1st on the lineup card today.

Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Masyn Winn will hold that advantage today.

Checking in at the 93rd percentile, Masyn Winn sports a .346 BABIP this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Salvador Perez in the 90th percentile as it relates to his home run talent.

Salvador Perez is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this matchup.

Extreme flyball hitters like Salvador Perez tend to perform better against extreme groundball pitchers like Andre Pallante.

Salvador Perez has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 96.8-mph average over the last two weeks to his seasonal EV of 94.6-mph.

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Vinnie Pasquantino ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Vinnie Pasquantino is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.

Vinnie Pasquantino will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Andre Pallante today.

Vinnie Pasquantino has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 91.4-mph average to last season’s 89.1-mph EV.

Vinnie Pasquantino has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 96.6-mph average in the past two weeks’ worth of games to his seasonal average of 93.1-mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brendan Donovan in the 86th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.

Last season, Nolan Arenado had an average launch angle of 12.2° on his hardest-hit balls, while this year it has significantly increased to 15.6°.

Mike Siani will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Alec Marsh today.

Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Mike Siani will hold that advantage today.

Mike Siani has made sizeable gains with his Barrel% of late, bettering his 4% seasonal rate to 9.1% over the last 14 days.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Bobby Witt Jr. ranks as the 13th-best batter in the game.

In the past week’s worth of games, Bobby Witt Jr.’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 15.1% up to 22.7%.

Busch Stadium projects as the #28 ballpark in MLB for home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

St. Louis’s 88.1-mph average exit velocity this year ranks among the worst in MLB: #25 overall.

Over the last 14 days, Mike Siani’s 54.5% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 44.8%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Nolan Gorman as the game’s 10th-best home run hitter.

Batting from the opposite that Alec Marsh throws from, Nolan Gorman will have an edge today.

Nolan Gorman will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats.

In the last week, Nolan Gorman’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 16.4% up to 25%.

When estimating his home run ability, Hunter Renfroe ranks in the 81st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

There has been a significant improvement in Hunter Renfroe’s launch angle from last season’s 14.9° to 18.9° this year.

Hunter Renfroe has displayed good plate discipline this year, placing in the 75th percentile with a 1.99 K/BB rate.

Willson Contreras has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel% lately, upping his 13.3% seasonal rate to 22.2% in the past 7 days.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Willson Contreras (the Cardinals’s expected catcher today) projects as a weak pitch framer.

Given that flyball hitters have a significant advantage over groundball pitchers, Andre Pallante and his 59.7% underlying GB% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) finds himself in a difficult position in today’s game being matched up with 0 opposing GB batters.

Despite conventional wisdom, fastballs are generally a pitcher’s least effective pitch. Andre Pallante has relied on his fastball a lot this year, though: 71% of the time, placing in the 100th percentile.

Placing in the 23rd percentile, Andre Pallante has put up a 1.82 K/BB rate this year.

Bobby Witt Jr. has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 92.8-mph to 95.6-mph over the last 14 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Salvador Perez in the 81st percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.

Sporting a .345 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) this year, Salvador Perez finds himself in the 86th percentile for offensive ability.

Nolan Gorman’s launch angle recently (30° in the past 14 days) is considerably better than his 21.2° seasonal angle.

Nolan Gorman’s average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls this season (26.2°) is considerably better than his 21.5° figure last season.

Wednesday player match stat slumps with Royals vs Cardinals Matchup

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Busch Stadium as the 3rd-worst stadium in Major League Baseball for run-scoring.

Hitting from the same side that Andre Pallante throws from, Bobby Witt Jr. has a tough challenge in today’s game.

Bobby Witt Jr. has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.7%) and will have to hit them out towards baseball’s 2nd-deepest RF fences in today’s matchup.

Playing on the road generally lessens hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Bobby Witt Jr. in today’s game.

MJ Melendez is projected to bat 7th in the batting order in this matchup.

MJ Melendez has been pinch hit for 19% of the time when starting against a northpaw this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Busch Stadium as the 3rd-worst venue in Major League Baseball for lefty home runs.

MJ Melendez pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.3% — 88th percentile) and will be challenged by baseball’s 2nd-deepest RF fences in today’s matchup.

MJ Melendez will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s matchup.

This year, Alec Burleson has been lifted for a pinch-hitter in 11% of his appearances when starting against right-handed starter.

Alec Burleson’s average exit velocity has fallen off in recent games; his 89.8-mph seasonal figure has fallen to 85-mph in the last week.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Alec Burleson’s true offensive skill to be a .311, suggesting that he has had positive variance on his side this year given the .024 deviation between that mark and his actual .335 wOBA.

Grading out in the 23rd percentile, the hardest ball Alec Burleson has connected with this year reached a maximum exit velocity of 108.3 mph — a reliable indication of underlying power skill.

Kyle Isbel is projected to bat 9th in the lineup in this game.

Kyle Isbel has been lifted for a pinch-hitter 15% of the time when starting against a right-handed starter this year.

Busch Stadium has the 2nd-deepest RF fences among all parks.

Playing on the road generally lessens hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Kyle Isbel in today’s game.

Michael Massey’s BABIP skill is projected in the 20th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Michael Massey pulls a lot of his flyballs (38% — 96th percentile) but may find it hard to clear the league’s 2nd-deepest RF fences in today’s game.

Playing on the road generally diminishes hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Michael Massey today.

Michael Massey’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off of late; his 92.1-mph seasonal EV has dropped off to 89.3-mph over the last two weeks.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nolan Arenado in the 7th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability.

Nolan Arenado has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this season (92% of the time), but he is projected to hit 6th in the batting order in this game.

Alec Marsh will have the handedness advantage over Nolan Arenado today.

Nolan Arenado pulls many of his flyballs (42.3% — 100th percentile) but may find it hard to clear baseball’s 6th-deepest LF fences in today’s game.

Busch Stadium has the 5th-most fair ground among all parks — generally bad for dingers.

Alec Marsh will have the handedness advantage against Paul Goldschmidt in today’s game.

Paul Goldschmidt’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased of late, falling from 11.8% on the season to 0% in the past week.

With a 3.67 K/BB rate this year, Paul Goldschmidt has displayed weak plate discipline, checking in at the 22nd percentile.

Brendan Donovan has an 87th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.8%) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the game’s 6th-deepest LF fences in today’s game.

In the last week’s worth of games, Brendan Donovan’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 5.4% down to 0%.

Brendan Donovan’s exit velocity on flyballs has declined lately; his 91.4-mph seasonal average has dropped to 87.7-mph over the last week.

Compared to his seasonal mark of 12.2°, Brendan Donovan has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (3.9°) in the last two weeks.

The #3 field in Major League Baseball for suppressing home runs to RHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Busch Stadium.

Hitting from the same side that Alec Marsh throws from, Willson Contreras will have a tough challenge in today’s game.

Willson Contreras’s launch angle recently (5.4° over the last two weeks) is a significant dropoff from his 11.8° seasonal mark.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (17.4) may lead us to conclude that Willson Contreras has been very fortunate this year with his 28.0 actual HR/600.

Salvador Perez, the Royals’s expected catcher in today’s matchup, profiles as a weak pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Busch Stadium profiles as the #23 field in baseball for strikeouts, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Alec Marsh will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s game.

In his previous game started, Alec Marsh didn’t have his best stuff when it came to striking batters out and only managed to tally 1 Ks.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Masyn Winn in the 15th percentile when assessing his home run talent.

Hitting from the same side that Alec Marsh throws from, Masyn Winn will not have the upper hand in today’s matchup.

In today’s game, Masyn Winn is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 2nd-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 34% rate (77th percentile).

Masyn Winn’s exit velocity on flyballs has declined this season; his 89.7-mph mark last season has fallen to 85.6-mph.

Batting from the same side that Andre Pallante throws from, Salvador Perez will have a tough matchup today.

In today’s matchup, Salvador Perez is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 6th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 36.8% rate (94th percentile).

Playing on the road generally lowers batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Salvador Perez in today’s matchup.

Over the past 7 days, Salvador Perez’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 12.5% down to 0%.

Alec Burleson has had positive variance on his side thus far when it comes to his home runs this year; his 26.6 HR per 600 plate appearances figure is quite a bit higher than his 17.0 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Vinnie Pasquantino pulls a lot of his flyballs (36.2% — 92nd percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the game’s 2nd-deepest RF fences today.

Playing on the road generally lessens batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Vinnie Pasquantino today.

By putting up a .247 BABIP this year, Vinnie Pasquantino grades out in the 11th percentile.

MJ Melendez has negatively regressed with his Barrel% of late; his 9.1% seasonal rate has fallen off to 0% in the last two weeks’ worth of games.

Nolan Arenado’s average exit velocity has fallen off this season; his 88.8-mph EV last year has dropped to 84.8-mph.

Compared to his seasonal figure of 14.8°, Masyn Winn has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (-0.9°) over the past 14 days.

In the past two weeks’ worth of games, Masyn Winn has recorded a mere a 0% Barrel%, indicating a decline in power ability.

There has been a significant decline in Michael Massey’s launch angle from last season’s 19.6° to 15.2° this season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mike Siani in the 4th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.

Mike Siani is projected to bat 9th in the batting order today.

37% of the time that Mike Siani has started against a righty on the mound this year, he has been replaced by a pinch-hitter.

Mike Siani has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.1%) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of MLB’s 6th-deepest LF fences today.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)’s judgement, Alec Marsh’s overall pitching talent ranks in the 16th percentile out of all starting pitchers in MLB right now.

Alec Marsh allowed a staggering 5 earned runs in his last outing.

Mike Siani has been cold in recent games, with his seasonal exit velocity of 84.2-mph dropping to 75.9-mph in the past 7 days.

Nolan Gorman has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this season (54% of the time), but he is penciled in 8th in the lineup in today’s game.

Nolan Gorman pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.2% — 87th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the game’s 2nd-deepest RF fences in today’s game.

Utilizing Statcast metrics, Nolan Gorman ranks in the 9th percentile via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average this year at .209.

Nolan Gorman has put up a .211 batting average this year, checking in at the 16th percentile.

Hunter Renfroe is penciled in 6th in the batting order in today’s game.

Andre Pallante will hold the platoon advantage against Hunter Renfroe today.

Hunter Renfroe pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (39.7% — 98th percentile) and will be challenged by baseball’s 6th-deepest LF fences today.

Playing on the road generally diminishes batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Hunter Renfroe today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Hunter Renfroe in the 2nd percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Isbel in the 23rd percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability.

As it relates to plate discipline, Nolan Gorman’s skill is quite bad, posting a 3.9 K/BB rate this year while ranking in in the 19th percentile.

Willson Contreras has been very fortunate when it comes to with his wOBA this year; his .394 mark is inflated compared to his .344 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Home field advantage generally improves pitcher stats across the board, and Andre Pallante will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

In his last game started, Andre Pallante turned in a great performance and allowed 1 ER.

Andre Pallante has been one of the unluckiest pitchers in the majors on balls in play this year with a .321 BABIP and ought to see that luck normalize going forward.

Despite posting a .391 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Bobby Witt Jr. has been very fortunate given the .023 gap between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .368.

Over the past 7 days, Salvador Perez’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 16.7%.

Compared to his seasonal figure of 15.9°, Vinnie Pasquantino has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (6.6°) over the past two weeks.

Compared to the average starter, Andre Pallante has been granted less leash than the typical pitcher this year, tallying an -11.0 fewer adjusted pitches each game.

When it comes to his strikeout skill, the leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Andre Pallante in the 4th percentile among all starting pitchers in the game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nolan Gorman in the 21st percentile when assessing his batting average talent.