Todays Game 3 Matchup Details

Player match stat positives for Colorado at San Diego Game 3 Matchup Today

Petco Park projects as the #4 ballpark in Major League Baseball for RHB home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Petco Park has the 3rd-lowest average fence height among all stadiums.

Kris Bryant hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.1% — 78th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league’s 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

Kris Bryant’s launch angle this season (20.6°) is significantly better than his 14.2° mark last year.

Kris Bryant’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased recently, rising from 17.6% on the season to 57.1% in the last week.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Xander Bogaerts in the 95th percentile when assessing his batting average skill.

Xander Bogaerts is projected to hit 5th in the lineup today.

The shallowest CF fences in the league are found in Petco Park.

Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics across the board, and Xander Bogaerts will hold that advantage in today’s game.

Xander Bogaerts has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel% recently, bettering his 6.1% seasonal rate to 11.1% over the last 7 days.

When assessing his home run talent, Michael Toglia ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Petco Park ranks as the #4 venue in the game for left-handed home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

The switch-hitting Michael Toglia will get to bat from his strong side (0) today against Matt Waldron.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan McMahon in the 84th percentile when it comes to his home run skill.

Ryan McMahon is penciled in 4th in the batting order today.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Ha-seong Kim ranks in the 75th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Ha-seong Kim hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 86th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB’s 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.

Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Ha-seong Kim will hold that advantage today.

Ha-seong Kim has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his batting average this year; his .226 BA is considerably lower than his .249 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

As it relates to plate discipline, Ha-seong Kim’s ability is quite impressive, putting up a 1.34 K/BB rate this year while checking in at in the 97th percentile.

When it comes to his batting average talent, Luis Arraez is projected as the best hitter in the majors by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Luis Arraez is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card today.

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Jake Cronenworth ranks in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Jake Cronenworth is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this game.

Michael Toglia has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel% of late, improving his 17.6% seasonal rate to 27.3% in the last week’s worth of games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brenton Doyle in the 87th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill.

Brenton Doyle is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in today’s game.

Brenton Doyle has made sizeable strides with his Barrel% in recent games, improving his 11.9% seasonal rate to 30% in the last 7 days.

Jake Cave’s BABIP skill is projected in the 79th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Jake Cave will hold the platoon advantage against Matt Waldron today.

Jake Cave hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.4% — 96th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards baseball’s 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

Jake Cave has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 97.2-mph average in the past two weeks to his seasonal mark of 92.5-mph.

Jake Cave’s launch angle of late (30° over the last week) is quite a bit higher than his 5.9° seasonal figure.

Ezequiel Tovar’s BABIP skill is projected in the 85th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Ezequiel Tovar is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in today’s game.

Ezequiel Tovar has made notable gains with his Barrel% of late, improving his 8.7% seasonal rate to 13.9% over the past 14 days.

Ezequiel Tovar has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 88.6-mph to 95.4-mph in the last week’s worth of games.

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Manny Machado ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Manny Machado is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this matchup.

Manny Machado hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 84th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards baseball’s 2nd-shallowest CF fences today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Xander Bogaerts in the 89th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.

Hitting from the opposite that Cal Quantrill throws from, David Peralta will have the upper hand in today’s matchup.

The Colorado Rockies don’t have any same-handed relievers in their bullpen, so David Peralta is certain to hold the advantage against every reliever all game.

David Peralta hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39% — 91st percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards the league’s 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jurickson Profar in the 82nd percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.

Jurickson Profar is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this matchup.

Jurickson Profar will hold the home field advantage in today’s game, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Brendan Rodgers’s batting average skill is projected to be in the 80th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Brendan Rodgers is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in today’s game.

Brendan Rodgers hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.2% — 94th percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball’s 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

By putting up a .270 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) this year , Brendan Rodgers grades out in the 80th percentile.

Jake Cronenworth will hold the platoon advantage over Cal Quantrill in today’s game.

The Colorado Rockies don’t have any same-handed relievers in their bullpen, so Jake Cronenworth is certain to never face a bullpen mismatch all game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Merrill in the 95th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability.

Jackson Merrill will hold the platoon advantage over Cal Quantrill in today’s game.

The Colorado Rockies don’t have any same-handed relief pitchers in their bullpen, so Jackson Merrill is guaranteed to never face a bullpen mismatch all game.

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Jackson Merrill ranks in the 76th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Jackson Merrill hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.7% — 97th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game’s 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.

Jackson Merrill will possess the home field advantage in today’s game, which figures to boost all of his stats.

Recording 94.6 adjusted pitches per outing this year on average, Cal Quantrill checks in at the 89th percentile.

The #7 stadium in the majors for boosting strikeouts, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Petco Park.

Cal Quantrill’s change-up rate has risen by 13% from last season to this one (22.4% to 35.4%) .

The Colorado Rockies have been the 6th-unluckiest offense in Major League Baseball this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to hit better the rest of the season, Petco Park ranks as the #3 venue in Major League Baseball for home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Matt Waldron allowed a whopping 5 earned runs in his last start.

Throwing 91.7 adjusted pitches per start this year on average, Matt Waldron places in the 76th percentile.

Cal Quantrill allowed a colossal 7 earned runs in his last start.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan McMahon in the 77th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent.

Ryan McMahon will hold the platoon advantage over Matt Waldron in today’s matchup.

In comparison to his 90.8-mph average last year, Ryan McMahon’s exit velocity has noticeably risen this season, now sitting at 93 mph.

Batting from the opposite that Cal Quantrill throws from, Luis Arraez will have an advantage in today’s game.

Manny Machado will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s game, which should improve all of his stats.

Manny Machado has made big improvements with his Barrel% in recent games, improving his 9.5% seasonal rate to 18.9% in the past two weeks.

Jurickson Profar has made significant improvements with his Barrel% recently, upping his 8.5% seasonal rate to 18.8% in the last week.

In the past 7 days, Jurickson Profar’s 31.3% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 16.5%.

The Colorado Rockies don’t have any same-handed relievers in their bullpen, so Luis Arraez is guaranteed to never face a bullpen mismatch all game.

When estimating his home run ability, Brenton Doyle ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

This season, Michael Toglia has experienced a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 95.8 mph compared to last year’s 91 mph mark.

Compared to his seasonal average of 16.7°, Michael Toglia has significantly improved his launch angle of late, posting a 28.8° angle over the past week.

David Peralta will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats.

David Peralta has seen a big gain in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 99-mph average in the past week’s worth of games to his seasonal figure of 89-mph.

The Colorado Rockies have 5 batters in their projected batting order today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Ezequiel Tovar, Brenton Doyle, Jake Cave, Ryan McMahon, Michael Toglia).

Brenton Doyle has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 98.7-mph average in the last two weeks to his seasonal figure of 93.7-mph.

Brenton Doyle’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last season to this one, going from 13.7% to 18.6%.

Sunday Game 3 player match stat slumps with Rockies vs Padres Matchup

Kris Bryant is penciled in 7th on the lineup card today, which would be a downgrade from his 93% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this year.

Built just 14 feet above sea level, Petco Park has one of the lowest altitudes in Major League Baseball, which generally leads to less offense.

The wind projects to be blowing in from LF at 8.3-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for hurlers.

Batting from the same side that Matt Waldron throws from, Kris Bryant has a tough challenge in today’s game.

Kris Bryant will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Petco Park as the 7th-worst park in baseball for right-handed BABIP.

Cal Quantrill will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Xander Bogaerts today.

Among all the teams on the slate today, the 2nd-strongest infield defense is that of the Colorado Rockies.

Michael Toglia is projected to hit 6th on the lineup card in this game.

Playing on the road generally lowers batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Michael Toglia in today’s matchup.

As it relates to his home runs, Michael Toglia has had some very good luck this year. His 46.0 HR per 600 plate appearances figure has been a good deal higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 33.3.

Michael Toglia has exhibited weak plate discipline this year, checking in at the 14th percentile with a 4.4 K/BB rate.

Ryan McMahon will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.

Ryan McMahon has been lucky this year, putting up a .339 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .315 — a .024 difference.

Ha-seong Kim is penciled in 8th in the lineup in this game.

Cal Quantrill will have the handedness advantage against Ha-seong Kim in today’s matchup.

In the past two weeks, Xander Bogaerts’s average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls (1.9°) has significantly dropped compared to his seasonal mark of 10.7°.

Xander Bogaerts has recorded a .176 Isolated Power rate (ISO) this year, grading out in the 19th percentile.

Luis Arraez’s exit velocity on flyballs has declined this year; his 89.6-mph mark last season has dropped to 87.1-mph.

Over the past 7 days, Luis Arraez’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased from his seasonal average of 87.1 mph to 81.4 mph.

Luis Arraez has been lucky in regards to his home runs this year; his 3.9 HR per 600 plate appearances rate is considerably higher than his 1.4 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Over the past week, Jake Cronenworth’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen from his seasonal EV of 92.3 mph to 77.8 mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Toglia in the 7th percentile when assessing his batting average skill.

Matt Waldron will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Brenton Doyle in today’s matchup.

Brenton Doyle has an 84th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35%) and will be challenged by the league’s 6th-deepest RF fences in today’s game.

Playing on the road generally reduces batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Brenton Doyle in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Elias Diaz in the 15th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent.

Elias Diaz has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this season (84% of the time), but he is projected to bat 8th in the lineup in this game.

Matt Waldron will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Elias Diaz today.

Elias Diaz will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s game.

Jake Cave is penciled in 9th in the batting order in today’s game.

The #7 venue in Major League Baseball for suppressing BABIP to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Petco Park.

Playing on the road typically weakens hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Jake Cave in today’s game.

Hitting from the same side that Matt Waldron throws from, Ezequiel Tovar will not have the upper hand in today’s game.

Playing on the road generally reduces batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Ezequiel Tovar in today’s matchup.

Cal Quantrill will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Manny Machado in today’s game.

As it relates to his home runs, Manny Machado has been very fortunate this year. His 23.8 HR per 600 plate appearances figure has been a fair amount higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 20.9.

Ezequiel Tovar has experienced some positive variance in regards to with his wOBA this year; his .335 rate is considerably higher than his .284 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Sporting a 9.56 K/BB rate this year, Ezequiel Tovar has demonstrated poor plate discipline, ranking in the 1st percentile.

David Peralta is projected to hit 7th in the batting order in today’s game.

David Peralta has recorded a .285 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) since the start of last season, checking in at the 18th percentile.

As a switch-hitter who bats worse from the 0 side of the plate, Jurickson Profar will bat from his weak side against Cal Quantrill in this game.

Jurickson Profar pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.6% — 90th percentile) and will be challenged by baseball’s 6th-deepest RF fences in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Jurickson Profar’s true offensive skill to be a .322, indicating that he has had positive variance on his side this year given the .057 difference between that figure and his actual .379 wOBA.

Hitting from the same side that Matt Waldron throws from, Brendan Rodgers faces a tough challenge today.

Brendan Rodgers will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s game.

Jackson Merrill is projected to bat 6th in the batting order in this matchup.

When it comes to plate discipline, Jackson Merrill’s skill is quite poor, putting up a 4.38 K/BB rate this year while grading out in in the 14th percentile.

This season, Brendan Rodgers’s Barrel% has decreased significantly, dropping from 11% last year to just 4.3% this year.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Elias Diaz ranks in the 24th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Ryan McMahon’s average exit velocity has dropped off in recent games; his 93-mph seasonal EV has fallen off to 85.8-mph over the last 14 days.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the offense with the least strikeout-prone lineup in today’s games is the San Diego Padres with a 18.2% underlying K%.

Cal Quantrill will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s matchup.

In the past 7 days, Ha-seong Kim’s exit velocity on flyballs has lowered from his seasonal EV of 90.8 mph to 81.2 mph.

The Colorado Rockies projected lineup projects as the 4th-weakest on the slate in terms of overall hitting ability.

Projected catcher Kyle Higashioka projects as an elite pitch framer, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Matt Waldron will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his metrics in all categories.

Contrary to popular belief, fastballs are generally a pitcher’s least effective pitch. Matt Waldron must realize this, because he has used his off-speed and breaking pitches a lot this year: 66.5% of the time, ranking in the 91st percentile.

There has been a significant decline in Jake Cave’s launch angle from last year’s 15.1° to 6.3° this season.

The 7.1% Barrel% of the San Diego Padres makes them the #26 group of hitters in the league this year by this stat.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Arraez in the 1st percentile when assessing his home run talent.

David Peralta has hit 9.3 long-balls per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season, ranking in the 13th percentile for power.

Matt Waldron’s 90-mph fastball velocity this year is in the 11th percentile out of all SPs.

Matt Waldron’s 2057-rpm fastball spin rate this year grades out in the 11th percentile among all starters.

Matt Waldron has been lucky in regards to his strikeouts this year, compiling an 8.00 K/9 despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 7.73 — a 0.27 K/9 deviation.

Placing in the 15th percentile, Matt Waldron notched an 8.6% Swinging Strike percentage this year.

Jake Cronenworth’s average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls this season (10.9°) is quite a bit worse than his 14.6° angle last year.

Manny Machado’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off from last season to this one, decreasing from 17.7% to 12.7%.