Todays Game 3 Matchup Details

Player match stat positives for Philadelphia at Seattle Game 3 Matchup Today

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryson Stott in the 87th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent.

T-Mobile Park has the 8th-shortest fences in Major League Baseball.

Bryson Stott will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Logan Gilbert today.

Bryson Stott has a good chance to have an advantage against every reliever throughout the game, since the bullpen of the Seattle Mariners only has 1 same-handed RP.

Bryson Stott has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (42%) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards the game’s 9th-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.

When assessing his BABIP skill, Brandon Marsh is projected as the 3rd-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Brandon Marsh is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this matchup.

Brandon Marsh will hold the platoon advantage against Logan Gilbert in today’s game.

Brandon Marsh may have an advantage against every reliever from start to finish, since the bullpen of the Seattle Mariners has just 1 same-handed RP.

Brandon Marsh has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.7%) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them out towards the league’s 9th-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.

Austin Hays pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.5% — 77th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards the game’s 9th-shallowest LF fences today.

The Seattle Mariners outfield defense grades out as the 5th-worst among every team today.

Compared to his seasonal average of 13.2°, Austin Hays has significantly improved his launch angle of late, posting a 32.2° figure over the last 7 days.

Austin Hays has been unlucky in regards to his home runs this year; his 12.2 HR per 600 plate appearances figure is considerably lower than his 22.3 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

The Philadelphia Phillies projected lineup projects as the 2nd-best of all teams on the slate today in terms of overall offensive ability.

It is likely that we will see a Hitters Umpire (Chad Fairchild) in charge of the strike zone in this game.

In Major League Baseball, T-Mobile Park’s RF fences are the shallowest.

Justin Turner is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in today’s game.

T-Mobile Park has the 2nd-least fair ground among all stadiums — generally good for HRs.

The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense profiles as the 2nd-worst among every team playing today.

Justin Turner will possess the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Randy Arozarena in the 95th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.

Randy Arozarena is penciled in 2nd in the lineup today.

Justin Turner has exhibited strong plate discipline this year, ranking in the 91st percentile with a 1.55 K/BB rate.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Castellanos in the 86th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill.

Nick Castellanos’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last year to this one, rising from 15% to 19.1%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.T. Realmuto in the 89th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.

In terms of his home runs, J.T. Realmuto has had bad variance on his side this year. His 16.3 HR per 600 plate appearances rate has been considerably lower than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 21.1.

Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Randy Arozarena will hold that advantage in today’s game.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Bryce Harper ranks as the 12th-best hitter in the game.

Bryce Harper is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this game.

Bryce Harper will have the handedness advantage over Logan Gilbert in today’s matchup.

Bryce Harper is apt to have the upper hand against every reliever from start to finish, since the bullpen of the Seattle Mariners has just 1 same-handed RP.

Victor Robles is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card today, which would be an upgrade from his 67% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season.

Victor Robles pulls a lot of his flyballs (37.3% — 95th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball’s 9th-shallowest LF fences today.

Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Victor Robles will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Kyle Schwarber as MLB’s 2nd-best home run hitter.

Kyle Schwarber is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in today’s game.

Batting from the opposite that Logan Gilbert throws from, Kyle Schwarber will have an edge in today’s game.

Kyle Schwarber is apt to have the upper hand against every reliever for the whole game, since the bullpen of the Seattle Mariners only has 1 same-handed RP.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Cal Raleigh as the league’s 13th-best home run batter.

Cal Raleigh is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup today.

Cal Raleigh pulls many of his flyballs (40.5% — 98th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards the game’s 4th-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.

When it comes to his batting average skill, Trea Turner is projected as the 16th-best hitter in the majors by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Trea Turner is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this matchup.

Josh Rojas is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this game.

Hitting from the opposite that Zack Wheeler throws from, Josh Rojas will have an advantage in today’s game.

Josh Rojas will possess the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mitch Haniger in the 82nd percentile when estimating his home run talent.

Mitch Haniger will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Mitch Haniger has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 90.3-mph to 95.3-mph in the past week’s worth of games.

In notching a .349 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) since the start of last season, Victor Robles is positioned in the 92nd percentile for offensive skills.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dylan Moore in the 79th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.

Dylan Moore pulls many of his flyballs (38.7% — 97th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards baseball’s 9th-shallowest LF fences today.

Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics across the board, and Dylan Moore will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

In the last 7 days, Dylan Moore’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 9.1% up to 14.3%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Bohm in the 96th percentile when estimating his batting average ability.

Alec Bohm is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in today’s game.

Alec Bohm has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.2%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of the league’s 4th-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.

In notching a .370 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Trea Turner finds himself in the 92nd percentile.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.328) provides evidence that J.T. Realmuto has suffered from bad luck this year with his .307 actual wOBA.

Based on Statcast metrics, J.T. Realmuto is in the 75th percentile via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average this year at .266.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Zack Wheeler in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his strikeout talent.

Zack Wheeler has been given more leash than the typical pitcher this year, tallying 8.7 more adjusted pitches-per-outing than the average hurler.

The Seattle Mariners have 4 bats in their projected batting order today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Cal Raleigh, Luke Raley, Dylan Moore, Mitch Haniger).

The #1 stadium in baseball for boosting strikeouts, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is T-Mobile Park.

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Trea Turner ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Bohm in the 86th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability.

Alec Bohm has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 94.6-mph average over the past two weeks to his seasonal 90.8-mph mark.

When it comes to his home run ability, Dylan Moore ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Castellanos in the 82nd percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.

Nick Castellanos has had some very poor luck with his wOBA this year; his .302 figure is significantly deflated relative to his .320 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Marsh in the 75th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.

In the past 7 days, Victor Robles’s 57.9% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 49.3%.

Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Cal Raleigh will hold that advantage today.

The Seattle Mariners have been the 10th-unluckiest offense in Major League Baseball this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to perform better going forward, According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Kyle Schwarber ranks as the 20th-best hitter in the game.

Kyle Schwarber pulls a lot of his flyballs (39.4% — 97th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards the league’s 4th-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.

Bryce Harper has an 84th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35%) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them in the direction of the game’s 9th-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Logan Gilbert in the 88th percentile as it relates to his strikeout skill.

Cal Raleigh is an extreme flyball hitter and matches up with the weak outfield defense of Philadelphia (#2-worst on the slate today).

In the past two weeks’ worth of games, Nick Castellanos’s 65% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 45.6%.

Compared to his seasonal average of 12.9°, Mitch Haniger has significantly improved his launch angle recently, posting a 29° mark over the past two weeks.

Logan Gilbert has averaged 19.3 outs per GS this year, ranking in the 99th percentile.

Bryson Stott’s launch angle this season (14.6°) is quite a bit better than his 9.9° figure last year.

Sunday Game 3 player match stat slumps with Phillies vs Mariners Matchup

Bryson Stott is penciled in 8th in the lineup in this game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects T-Mobile Park as the worst stadium in Major League Baseball for run-scoring.

Built just 17 feet above sea level, T-Mobile Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all major league stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to less offense.

In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report calls for the 4th-best pitching conditions of all games on the slate.

Bryson Stott will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s matchup.

T-Mobile Park profiles as the #29 venue in the game for left-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Brandon Marsh will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s game.

Brandon Marsh’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has declined in recent games, decreasing from 48.9% on the season to 26.1% in the past 14 days.

Austin Hays is projected to hit 9th in the batting order in this matchup.

12% of the time that Austin Hays has started against a righty on the mound this year, he has been lifted for a pinch-hitter.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Logan Gilbert in the 91st percentile as it relates to his overall pitching abilities.

Projected catcher Cal Raleigh grades out as an elite pitch framer, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

T-Mobile Park grades out as the #29 field in baseball for batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Logan Gilbert will hold the home field advantage in today’s game, which ought to boost all of his metrics in all categories.

Hitting from the same side that Zack Wheeler throws from, Justin Turner has a tough challenge today.

Justin Turner’s average exit velocity has decreased this year; his 89.5-mph mark last year has dropped off to 86.6-mph.

In the last week’s worth of games, Justin Turner’s 9.1% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 18.3%.

Zack Wheeler will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Randy Arozarena in today’s matchup.

In the past week’s worth of games, Randy Arozarena’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 9.4% down to 0%.

In the past 7 days, Randy Arozarena’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off from his seasonal average of 94.1 mph to 91.2 mph.

T-Mobile Park projects as the #29 stadium in baseball for right-handed batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Nick Castellanos is projected to bat 7th on the lineup card in today’s game.

Logan Gilbert will have the handedness advantage over Nick Castellanos in today’s matchup.

Nick Castellanos will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s game.

J.T. Realmuto is penciled in 6th in the batting order today, which would be a downgrade from his 95% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this year.

Logan Gilbert will have the handedness advantage against J.T. Realmuto in today’s game.

Playing on the road generally diminishes hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for J.T. Realmuto in today’s game.

Randy Arozarena’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased of late, falling from 16.2% on the season to 0% over the past week.

Bryce Harper will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s game.

Bryce Harper has struggled with his Barrel% of late; his 11.6% seasonal rate has dropped off to 0% over the past 7 days.

Zack Wheeler will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Victor Robles today.

In the past 7 days, Victor Robles’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 12.2% down to 5.3%.

Playing on the road typically weakens batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Kyle Schwarber in today’s game.

In terms of his home runs, Kyle Schwarber has had positive variance on his side this year. His 29.0 HR per 600 plate appearances mark has been quite a bit higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 25.9.

As a switch-hitter who bats worse from the 0 side of the plate, Cal Raleigh will bat from his worse side against Zack Wheeler in today’s matchup.

With a .257 BABIP this year, Cal Raleigh finds himself in the 16th percentile.

Batting from the same side that Logan Gilbert throws from, Trea Turner will have a disadvantage today.

Playing on the road generally lowers hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Trea Turner today.

Trea Turner has struggled with his Barrel% lately; his 8.4% seasonal rate has dropped to 0% in the past week.

When it comes to power, Josh Rojas is ranked in the 19th percentile, having paced 10.8 home runs per 600 plate appearances this year.

Mitch Haniger has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this season (56% of the time), but he is penciled in 7th on the lineup card in today’s game.

Zack Wheeler will hold the platoon advantage over Mitch Haniger today.

From last year to this one, Mitch Haniger’s ability to hit the ball at a launch angle that optimizes home runs (23° to 34°) has decreased substantially, plummeting from 18.4% to 15.4%.

Victor Robles has been cold lately, with his seasonal exit velocity of 88.1-mph dropping to 83.8-mph in the last week.

Putting up a lowly an 84.8-mph average exit velocity over the last 14 days, Justin Turner has been in a slump in recent games.

Dylan Moore is projected to hit 6th in the batting order in today’s game.

Zack Wheeler will have the handedness advantage against Dylan Moore in today’s matchup.

Logan Gilbert will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Alec Bohm in today’s game.

Alec Bohm will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s game.

Playing on the road typically diminishes pitcher stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Zack Wheeler in today’s game.

Trea Turner has been cold in recent games, with his seasonal exit velocity of 89.5-mph dropping to 83.5-mph in the past two weeks.

Alec Bohm’s launch angle lately (6° over the past 14 days) is significantly worse than his 11.4° seasonal figure.

From last season to this one, Dylan Moore’s flyball exit velocity has decreased from an average of 97.8 mph to 91.6 mph.

Nick Castellanos’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off lately, decreasing from 19.1% on the season to 15% over the past 14 days.

Compared to his seasonal mark of 14.9°, Brandon Marsh’s average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls has dropped significantly in recent games (6.6° in the past 14 days).

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (17.8) may lead us to conclude that Brandon Marsh has experienced some positive variance this year with his 21.3 actual HR/600.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Zack Wheeler as the 10th-best SP in the league right now.

Zack Wheeler’s change-up utilization has risen by 7.7% from last season to this one (0.4% to 8.1%) .

Zack Wheeler’s 94.5-mph fastball velocity this year grades out in the 75th percentile among all starting pitchers.

When it comes to his batting average, Kyle Schwarber has been very fortunate this year. His .245 rate has been significantly inflated relative to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .227.

Logan Gilbert’s 1975-rpm fastball spin rate this year ranks in the 1st percentile out of all SPs.

Cal Raleigh’s BABIP ability is projected in the 10th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

In the past 7 days, Bryce Harper’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 14.1%.

Logan Gilbert will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Austin Hays in today’s matchup.

J.T. Realmuto has taken a step back with his Barrel% recently; his 9.5% seasonal rate has fallen off to 0% in the last two weeks.

When it comes to his home run skill, Bryson Stott ranks in the 18th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).