Rockies @ Dodgers Series Game 2 Matchup Details

Positives for the Colorado Rockies Series Game 2 Game Today

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Dodger Stadium as the 2nd-best ballpark in the league for LHB home runs.

,In the league, Dodger Stadium has the lowest average fence height.

,The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.4-mph in this match-up, the 4th-best of the day for bats.

,Troy Johnston hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39% — 93rd percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league’s 9th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

,Troy Johnston has put up a .338 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, placing in the 84th percentile for offensive ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Willi Castro in the 77th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability.

,Willi Castro has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (53% of the time), but he is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in today’s game.

,Dodger Stadium profiles as the #2 ballpark in the league for RHB home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,In the league, Dodger Stadium’s CF fences are the 9th-shallowest.

,Will Smith projects as the 20th-best batter in the majors, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Will Smith is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in today’s game.

,Enrique Hernandez will hold the platoon advantage against Kyle Freeland in today’s matchup.

,Hitting from the opposite that Kyle Freeland throws from, Will Smith will have an advantage today.

,Will Smith hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (40.2% — 98th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game’s 9th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

,Chad Stevens’s BABIP ability is projected in the 88th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Chad Stevens will have the handedness advantage against Eric Lauer today.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Teoscar Hernandez in the 95th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill.

,Batting from the opposite that Kyle Freeland throws from, Teoscar Hernandez will have an advantage in today’s game.

,Among every team today, the 5th-weakest outfield defense is that of the Colorado Rockies.

,Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats across the board, and Teoscar Hernandez will hold that advantage in today’s game.

,In notching a .281 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) since the start of last season , Troy Johnston is positioned in the 90th percentile.

,Ranking in the 78th percentile, Troy Johnston has notched a .348 wOBA (widely regarded as the top measure of overall offense) this year.

,Troy Johnston has recorded a .307 batting average this year, grading out in the 97th percentile.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Teoscar Hernandez in the 88th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.

,Jake McCarthy hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.2% — 95th percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB’s 9th-shallowest CF fences today.

,Extreme groundball bats like Jake McCarthy are generally more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Eric Lauer.

,Kyle Karros has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (96% of the time), but he is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this game.

,Kyle Karros will have the handedness advantage over Eric Lauer in today’s game.

,Tyler Freeman’s batting average skill is projected to be in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Tyler Freeman is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in today’s game.

,Chad Stevens hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.1% — 80th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards baseball’s 9th-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.

,Kyle Freeland’s higher utilization rate of his secondary pitches this year (69.7% compared to 60.3% last year) should work in his favor considering they are typically much more effective than fastballs.

,Kyle Freeland has had some very poor luck with his ERA this year; his 7.04 mark is significantly inflated relative to his 5.83 FIP (Fielding Independent Pitching, an estimator of ERA that focuses on the things a pitcher has the most control over).

,Kyle Freeland has notched a .336 BABIP this year, making him one of the unluckiest pitchers in Major League Baseball on balls in play with improved performance likely coming.

,When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Kyle Tucker ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ezequiel Tovar in the 77th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability.

,Ezequiel Tovar has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (60% of the time), but he is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in today’s game.

,Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics across the board, and Kyle Tucker will hold that advantage in today’s game.

,By putting up a .364 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) since the start of last season, Kyle Tucker finds himself in the 90th percentile for offensive ability.

,Miguel Rojas will hold the platoon advantage over Kyle Freeland in today’s game.

,Miguel Rojas will hold the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andy Pages in the 89th percentile when assessing his batting average skill.

,Andy Pages is penciled in 4th in the lineup in today’s game, which would be an upgrade from his 63% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake McCarthy in the 77th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill.

,According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Shohei Ohtani ranks as the 4th-best hitter in the league.

,Shohei Ohtani is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this matchup.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mookie Betts in the 93rd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.

,Mookie Betts is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup today.

,Mookie Betts will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kyle Freeland today.

,Mookie Betts hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.2% — 95th percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB’s 9th-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.

,Batting from the opposite that Eric Lauer throws from, Ezequiel Tovar will have an advantage in today’s game.

,The worst projected batting order of all teams today in terms of overall offensive skill is that of the the Colorado Rockies.

,Home field advantage generally bolsters pitcher metrics in all categories, and Eric Lauer will hold that advantage today.

,Eric Lauer’s change-up percentage has jumped by 10.4% from last season to this one (7.2% to 17.6%) .

,The maximum exit velocity of any player on the Colorado Rockies has been 111.8 mph this year, putting them as the #30 team in the majors by this metric.

,Freddie Freeman projects as the 18th-best hitter in the game, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Freddie Freeman is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in today’s game.

,Batting from the opposite that Eric Lauer throws from, Braxton Fulford will have an edge in today’s matchup.

,Chad Stevens is very athletic, grading out in the 82nd percentile in Sprint Speed at 28.52 ft/sec since the start of last season.

,When assessing his overall offensive talent, Andy Pages ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Tyler Freeman will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Eric Lauer in today’s game.

,The Colorado Rockies (25.7% K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) are forecasted to have the most strikeout-prone team of hitters of all teams today.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Dodger Stadium as the 7th-best field in Major League Baseball for strikeouts.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Hunter Goodman in the 96th percentile when it comes to his home run skill.

,Hunter Goodman is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.

,Ranking in the 92nd percentile for Sprint Speed at 29.08 ft/sec since the start of last season, Braxton Fulford is very athletic.

,Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Enrique Hernandez will hold that advantage in today’s game.

,Extreme groundball hitters like Tyler Freeman generally hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Eric Lauer.

,Andy Pages will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kyle Freeland in today’s game.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Karros in the 86th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.

,Kyle Karros hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.7% — 97th percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball’s 9th-shallowest CF fences today.

,Hunter Goodman will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Eric Lauer in today’s matchup.

Negatives with the Los Angeles Dodgers Series Game 2 Game Today

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Troy Johnston in the 16th percentile when estimating his home run talent.

,Troy Johnston is projected to bat 8th in the lineup in this matchup, which would be a downgrade from his 54% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this year.

,As far as temperature and humidity go, the 2nd-best pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this contest.

,Eric Lauer will hold the platoon advantage over Troy Johnston in today’s game.

,Playing on the road typically lessens hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Troy Johnston today.

,The switch-hitting Willi Castro will be less advantaged while batting from his bad side (0) today against Eric Lauer,Playing on the road typically diminishes hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Willi Castro today.

,Over the last two weeks, Willi Castro’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 5.4% down to 0%.

,Willi Castro’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased this season; his 89.3-mph mark last year has decreased to 87.1-mph.

,Will Smith has taken a step back with his Barrel% recently; his 13.2% seasonal rate has dropped to 0% in the last week’s worth of games.

,In the last 14 days, Will Smith’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped from his seasonal average of 92 mph to 88.4 mph.

,Posting a .135 Isolated Power (ISO) this year, Will Smith has performed in the 17th percentile.

,Enrique Hernandez’s BABIP ability is projected in the 11th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Enrique Hernandez is projected to hit 9th in the lineup in this game.

,Enrique Hernandez has experienced some positive variance in regards to his home runs since the start of last season; his 23.4 HR per 600 plate appearances rate is quite a bit higher than his 19.7 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

,By putting up a .233 BABIP since the start of last season, Enrique Hernandez is positioned in the 19th percentile.

,Chad Stevens is penciled in 9th in the lineup in this game.

,Chad Stevens will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today.

,Chad Stevens and his -5.5° launch angle on his hardest-hit balls rank in 2nd percentile, among the lowest in the league since the start of last season.

,Teoscar Hernandez is projected to hit 7th on the lineup card in this matchup, which would be a downgrade from his 52% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this year.

,Teoscar Hernandez has an 83rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.2%) and will have to hit them out towards the game’s 8th-deepest RF fences in today’s matchup.

,Teoscar Hernandez has been cold of late, with his seasonal exit velocity of 88.9-mph dropping to 83.6-mph in the past week.

,Troy Johnston’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased in recent games; his 90-mph seasonal average has dropped to 87.2-mph in the past two weeks’ worth of games.

,When estimating his home run talent, Jake McCarthy ranks in the 11th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Jake McCarthy is projected to bat 6th in the batting order today.

,Batting from the same side that Eric Lauer throws from, Jake McCarthy will have a tough challenge in today’s game.

,Playing on the road generally lowers hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Jake McCarthy in today’s matchup.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Karros in the 14th percentile when it comes to his home run skill.

,Playing on the road typically diminishes hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Kyle Karros in today’s game.

,Kyle Karros’s average exit velocity has dropped off recently; his 88.9-mph seasonal figure has fallen to 83.5-mph in the past week.

,Kyle Karros’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has declined of late, decreasing from 48.1% on the season to 10% in the past week.

,In today’s game, Tyler Freeman is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 8th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 33.9% rate (81st percentile).

,Playing on the road typically diminishes hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Tyler Freeman today.

,Tyler Freeman’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased this year; his 88.5-mph average last year has dropped to 85.7-mph.

,Compared to his seasonal mark of 9.2°, Tyler Freeman has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (3.7°) in the last 14 days.

,When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Chad Stevens ranks in the 13th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Kyle Freeland has recorded 14.4 outs per GS this year, ranking in the 20th percentile.

,The Los Angeles Dodgers projected offense profiles as the best of all teams on the slate in terms of overall offensive ability.

,Malachi Moore profiles as a Hitters Umpire and is anticipated to be calling pitches in this game.

,The #2 venue in MLB for boosting home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Dodger Stadium.

,Kyle Tucker is projected to hit 6th in the lineup in this matchup, which would be a downgrade from his 96% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this year.

,Hitting from the same side that Kyle Freeland throws from, Kyle Tucker has a tough challenge today.

,In today’s game, Kyle Tucker is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 8th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 37.7% rate (93rd percentile).

,Over the last 14 days, Kyle Tucker’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 5.6% down to 0%.

,Ezequiel Tovar will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s game.

,Over the last two weeks, Ezequiel Tovar’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 6.5% down to 0%.

,Ezequiel Tovar’s average exit velocity has decreased this year; his 89.5-mph mark last season has decreased to 87.5-mph.

,Ezequiel Tovar’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has fallen off in recent games, decreasing from 48% on the season to 31.3% in the past 7 days.

,Miguel Rojas’s BABIP skill is projected in the 19th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Miguel Rojas is projected to bat 8th on the lineup card in this game.

,Miguel Rojas’s average exit velocity has decreased of late; his 85.9-mph seasonal mark has lowered to 78.6-mph over the past two weeks.

,Miguel Rojas has had some very good luck with his batting average since the start of last season; his .261 BA is a fair amount higher than his .247 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

,Andy Pages has negatively regressed with his Barrel% of late; his 7.2% seasonal rate has fallen off to 0% over the last week.

,Andy Pages’s average exit velocity has decreased recently; his 89.9-mph seasonal EV has dropped off to 81.6-mph over the last 7 days.

,Andy Pages has been lucky this year, compiling a .355 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .327 — a .028 deviation.

,Jake McCarthy has been cold in recent games, with his seasonal exit velocity of 83.6-mph dropping to 81.2-mph in the past two weeks’ worth of games.

,Hitting from the same side that Kyle Freeland throws from, Shohei Ohtani meets a tough challenge in today’s game.

,Shohei Ohtani has taken a step back with his Barrel%; his 23.7% rate last year has dropped to 16.8% this year.

,Shohei Ohtani’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off this year; his 100.7-mph mark last year has fallen to 96.6-mph.

,Compared to his seasonal angle of 11.2°, Kyle Karros has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (3.3°) over the last 14 days.

,In notching a .246 BABIP since the start of last season, Mookie Betts is positioned in the 5th percentile.

,In terms of his home runs, Mookie Betts has had positive variance on his side since the start of last season. His 19.3 HR per 600 plate appearances mark has been a fair amount higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 13.9.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Eric Lauer in the 4th percentile when it comes to his overall pitching talent level.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) expects Eric Lauer to be on a bit of a short leash in this game, projecting a maximum of 83 pitches.

,The Colorado Rockies have been the 5th-unluckiest offense in baseball this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to hit better in the future,Hitting from the same side that Kyle Freeland throws from, Freddie Freeman will have a tough matchup in today’s matchup.

,Braxton Fulford’s batting average ability is projected to be in the 19th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Braxton Fulford is projected to bat 7th in the batting order today.

,Extreme flyball batters like Braxton Fulford tend to be less successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Eric Lauer.

,Playing on the road generally diminishes hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Braxton Fulford today.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Miguel Rojas in the 10th percentile as it relates to his home run ability.

,Miguel Rojas’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off this season; his 90.1-mph EV last season has dropped off to 87.7-mph.

,When it comes to his home run talent, Tyler Freeman ranks in the 12th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,When estimating his strikeout skill, the leading projection system (THE BAT) places Eric Lauer in the 25th percentile among all starters in the majors.

,Given that groundball pitchers are least effective against flyball hitters, Eric Lauer (41.8% GB% via the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be a bit disadvantaged today with 2 FB hitters in Colorado’s projected lineup.

,Playing on the road generally lowers batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Hunter Goodman in today’s game.

,In the past week’s worth of games, Hunter Goodman’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 13.4% down to 7.7%.

,Hunter Goodman’s average exit velocity has dropped off of late; his 90.9-mph seasonal figure has decreased to 80.4-mph over the last week.

,Over the last week, Hunter Goodman’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 12.4%.

,Checking in at the 5th percentile, Ezequiel Tovar has put up a .231 wOBA (widely regarded as the top indicator of overall offense) this year.

,Miguel Rojas has been lucky in regards to his home runs since the start of last season; his 11.9 HR per 600 plate appearances mark is inflated compared to his 6.5 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

,Over the past 14 days, Kyle Karros has recorded a mere a 0% Barrel%, indicating a decline in power ability.

,Braxton Fulford has notched a .253 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, checking in at the 21st percentile for hitting ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

,Via the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the team with the 4th-least strikeout-heavy lineup in today’s games is the Los Angeles Dodgers with a 20% underlying K%.

,The Los Angeles Dodgers have 6 batters in the projected batting order that will have the handedness advantage over Kyle Freeland in this matchup.

,Kyle Freeland will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.

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