Red Sox @ Twins Matchup Details

Positives for the Boston Red Sox Game Today

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trevor Story in the 77th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Target Field as the 10th-best venue in MLB for righty BABIP.

,Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest altitude among all stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense.

,The Minnesota Twins infield defense profiles as the 3rd-weakest out of every team today.

,By putting up a .316 BABIP since the start of last season, Trevor Story grades out in the 78th percentile.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ceddanne Rafaela in the 76th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill.

,The #5 park in Major League Baseball for boosting offensive stats, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Target Field.

,Ryan Kreidler will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Garrett Crochet in today’s matchup.

,Ryan Kreidler will possess the home field advantage in today’s game, which should boost all of his stats.

,Ryan Kreidler ranks in the 91st percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to optimize home runs (21.1% rate since the start of last season).

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Byron Buxton as the league’s 12th-best home run batter.

,Byron Buxton is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this game.

,Byron Buxton will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Garrett Crochet in today’s game.

,Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Byron Buxton will hold that advantage in today’s game.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luke Keaschall in the 95th percentile when estimating his batting average talent.

,Luke Keaschall is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in today’s game.

,Luke Keaschall will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Garrett Crochet today.

,Austin Martin’s batting average ability is projected to be in the 89th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Austin Martin is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup.

,Austin Martin will have the handedness advantage over Garrett Crochet in today’s matchup.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Marcelo Mayer in the 75th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.

,Batting from the opposite that Bailey Ober throws from, Marcelo Mayer will have an edge in today’s matchup.

,Marcelo Mayer’s 11% Barrel% (a reliable stat to assess power) grades out in the 75th percentile since the start of last season.

,Brooks Lee will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats.

,Brooks Lee has been hot lately, cracking 2 long-balls in the past week.

,Austin Martin will hold the home field advantage in today’s game, which figures to improve all of his stats.

,Over the past 14 days, Austin Martin has been performing exceptionally well at the plate with a wOBA of .397.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wilyer Abreu in the 94th percentile when estimating his home run skill.

,Wilyer Abreu is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this game.

,Hitting from the opposite that Bailey Ober throws from, Wilyer Abreu will have an advantage today.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Victor Caratini in the 79th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent.

,Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats across the board, and Victor Caratini will hold that advantage in today’s game.

,Victor Caratini’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better from last year to this one, increasing from 47.4% to 57.1%.

,As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Willson Contreras ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Willson Contreras is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this game.

,Using Statcast data, Willson Contreras grades out in the 94th percentile for offensive ability per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .371.

,Since the start of last season, Carlos Narvaez has an average exit velocity of 91.2 mph, which is among the best in baseball at the 81st percentile.

,When estimating his BABIP ability, Roman Anthony is projected as the 14th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Roman Anthony is projected to bat 1st in the batting order today.

,Roman Anthony will hold the platoon advantage against Bailey Ober in today’s matchup.

,Extreme flyball bats like Roman Anthony tend to be more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Bailey Ober.

,Bailey Ober is an extreme flyball pitcher (45% FB% per the leading projection system, THE BAT) and is fortunate enough to be pitching in the #21 HR venue among all major league parks in this game.

,Bailey Ober will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats across the board.

,Wilyer Abreu has been hot recently, tallying a .437 wOBA over the last two weeks.

,Utilizing Statcast data, Wilyer Abreu grades out in the 88th percentile for power according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season at 29.700.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jarren Duran in the 87th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.

,Jarren Duran is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in today’s game.

,Batting from the opposite that Bailey Ober throws from, Jarren Duran will have an edge in today’s matchup.

,Jarren Duran’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last season to this one, increasing from 15% to 20%.

,Willson Contreras has paced 28.0 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season, placing in the 83rd percentile for power according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

,Willson Contreras’s 13.7% Barrel% (an advanced metric to assess power) is in the 87th percentile since the start of last season.

,Matt Wallner projects as the 13th-best home run hitter in the majors, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Matt Wallner will hold that advantage today.

,Sporting a 31.300 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) since the start of last season , Matt Wallner is ranked in the 91st percentile for power.

,Matt Wallner’s 14.3% Barrel% (a reliable standard to evaluate power) grades out in the 88th percentile since the start of last season.

,Compared to last year, Victor Caratini has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for home runs, increasing his percentage of balls hit between 23° and 34° from 15% to 22.9% this season.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jarren Duran in the 92nd percentile when estimating his BABIP ability.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Target Field as the 10th-best park in the league for left-handed BABIP.

,There has been a significant improvement in Byron Buxton’s launch angle from last year’s 17.5° to 30.6° this year.

,Caleb Durbin is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in today’s game, which would be an upgrade from his 69% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season.

,As it relates to plate discipline, Caleb Durbin’s skill is quite strong, posting a 1.64 K/BB rate since the start of last season while placing in in the 84th percentile.

,As it relates to his strikeout talent, Garrett Crochet projects as the 4th-best SP in the majors right now, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,Taking into account both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Garrett Crochet is projected to throw 99 pitches today by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the most of all pitchers today.

,The Minnesota Twins have 3 batters in their projected lineup today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Ryan Kreidler, Matt Wallner, Byron Buxton).

,In his last game started, Garrett Crochet was in good form and posted 8 strikeouts.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan Jeffers in the 84th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.

,Ryan Jeffers is penciled in 4th in the lineup in today’s game.

,Ryan Jeffers will hold the platoon advantage against Garrett Crochet in today’s matchup.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wilyer Abreu in the 89th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.

,Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Ryan Jeffers will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Roman Anthony in the 93rd percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.

,Roman Anthony has recorded a .371 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, grading out in the 94th percentile for hitting ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

,Ranked in the 75th percentile, Marcelo Mayer has one of the highest average exit velocities in the game since the start of last season (90.5-mph).

,In notching a .279 Isolated Power (ISO) since the start of last season, Marcelo Mayer is positioned in the 79th percentile.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Garrett Crochet as the 3rd-best SP in the majors right now.

,It may be smart to expect negative regression for the Minnesota Twins offense going forward, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) views them as the 10th-luckiest offense in the game this year.

,When assessing his overall offensive talent, Josh Bell ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Josh Bell is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this matchup.

,Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Josh Bell will hold that advantage today.

,Josh Bell’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last year to this one, rising from 16.7% to 25%.

,Utilizing Statcast data, Josh Bell ranks in the 83rd percentile for offensive skills via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .349.

,Since the start of last season, Matt Wallner’s flyball exit velocity (an advanced stat to study power) is in the 92nd percentile at 96.2 mph.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trevor Story in the 76th percentile when assessing his home run ability.

,With a 1.77 K/BB rate since the start of last season, Ryan Jeffers has demonstrated favorable plate discipline, checking in at the 80th percentile.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luke Keaschall in the 85th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.

,Luke Keaschall will possess the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats.

,Per the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the team with the 5th-most strikeout-heavy lineup in today’s games is the Boston Red Sox with a 23.7% underlying K%.

,Bailey Ober has utilized his change-up 7% more often this season (35.9%) than he did last season (28.9%).

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Byron Buxton in the 95th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.

Negatives with the Minnesota Twins Game Today

Trevor Story is projected to bat 6th in the batting order in this matchup, which would be a downgrade from his 80% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this season.

,Among all major league stadiums, Target Field’s centerfield fences are the 9th-deepest.

,The weather report projects the 7th-most favorable hitting weather of all games on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity.

,Bailey Ober will have the handedness advantage against Trevor Story in today’s matchup.

,Playing on the road generally lowers hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Trevor Story today.

,Ceddanne Rafaela is projected to bat 9th in the lineup in this game.

,Among all major league parks, the 5th-tallest fence height (on average) are at Target Field.

,Bailey Ober will hold the platoon advantage over Ceddanne Rafaela today.

,Ceddanne Rafaela hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 90th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of MLB’s 9th-deepest CF fences in today’s matchup.

,When estimating his overall offensive ability, Ryan Kreidler ranks in the 2nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Ryan Kreidler is penciled in 9th on the lineup card in today’s game.

,Target Field profiles as the #23 ballpark in MLB for right-handed home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,The Boston Red Sox infield defense projects as the 4th-strongest out of every team in action today.

,This season, Byron Buxton’s Barrel% has decreased significantly, dropping from 17.7% last year to just 9.1% this year.

,Luke Keaschall hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 89th percentile) and will be challenged by MLB’s 9th-deepest CF fences in today’s game.

,Luke Keaschall’s average exit velocity has dropped off this season; his 86.1-mph EV last season has fallen to 84-mph.

,Austin Martin hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 92nd percentile) and will be challenged by the game’s 9th-deepest CF fences in today’s matchup.

,Ranked in the 14th percentile, Austin Martin’s average exit velocity of 85.4 mph ranks among the lowest in MLB since the start of last season.

,Marcelo Mayer is penciled in 7th in the lineup in this game.

,Marcelo Mayer will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brooks Lee in the 12th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent.

,Brooks Lee is projected to hit 8th on the lineup card in this game.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Austin Martin in the 6th percentile when estimating his home run talent.

,Extreme flyball hitters like Wilyer Abreu usually hit worse against extreme flyball pitchers like Bailey Ober.

,Wilyer Abreu will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s matchup.

,Victor Caratini is projected to hit 6th in the lineup in today’s game.

,As a switch-hitter who performs worse from the 0 side of the dish, Victor Caratini will be less advantaged while batting from his bad side against Garrett Crochet in today’s game.

,In today’s game, Victor Caratini is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 9th-deepest CF center field fences given that he hits his flyballs towards center field at a 38.3% rate (86th percentile).

,Hitting from the same side that Bailey Ober throws from, Willson Contreras will be at a disadvantage in today’s matchup.

,Playing on the road typically lowers batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Willson Contreras today.

,Carlos Narvaez is projected to bat 8th on the lineup card in this matchup.

,Roman Anthony will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s game.

,Roman Anthony has struggled with his Barrel%; his 15.6% rate last season has dropped off to 10.3% this season.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Carlos Narvaez in the 21st percentile when it comes to his batting average ability.

,The #3 park in the majors for boosting walks, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Target Field.

,Bailey Ober’s 89.6-mph fastball velocity since the start of last season grades out in the 6th percentile out of all starting pitchers.

,Bailey Ober has put up a 4.88 FIP (Fielding Independent Pitching, an estimator of ERA that focuses on the aspects of pitching most within the pitcher’s control) since the start of last season, placing in the 16th percentile.

,Boston’s 90.2-mph average exit velocity since the start of last season ranks among the elite in baseball: #3 overall.

,The #8 venue in Major League Baseball for suppressing home runs to left-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Target Field.

,Jarren Duran hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (37.9% — 76th percentile) but may find it hard to clear baseball’s 9th-deepest CF fences in today’s game.

,Playing on the road generally lowers hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Jarren Duran in today’s game.

,Matt Wallner has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this year (73% of the time), but he is projected to bat 7th in the batting order in today’s game.

,Garrett Crochet will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Matt Wallner in today’s matchup.

,Willson Contreras’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off from last season to this one, falling from 17.6% to 10%.

,Jarren Duran’s average exit velocity has fallen off this season; his 91.8-mph average last season has dropped to 86.8-mph.

,Jarren Duran’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has decreased from last season to this one, decreasing from 44.3% to 28%.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan Kreidler in the 0th percentile when estimating his batting average talent.

,Ryan Kreidler hits many of his flyballs to center field (38% — 79th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards the game’s 9th-deepest CF fences today.

,When assessing his home run ability, Caleb Durbin ranks in the 9th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Batting from the same side that Bailey Ober throws from, Caleb Durbin meets a tough challenge in today’s matchup.

,Caleb Durbin hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.3% — 95th percentile) but may find it hard to clear the league’s 9th-deepest CF fences in today’s game.

,With 8 hitters of the opposite hand in the opposing team’s projected offense, Garrett Crochet will be in a tough position while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in this game.

,Playing on the road typically weakens pitcher stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Garrett Crochet in today’s game.

,Garrett Crochet has used his sinker 7.7% more often this season (23.6%) than he did last year (15.9%).

,Ryan Jeffers’s 90.4-mph exit velocity on flyballs (a reliable metric to evaluate power) ranks in the 20th percentile since the start of last season.

,Ryan Jeffers grades out in the 17th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to optimize home runs (13.4% rate since the start of last season).

,Wilyer Abreu has posted a .230 Expected Batting Average since the start of last season, placing in the 24th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

,There has been a decrease in Roman Anthony’s average exit velocity this season, from 94.5 mph last year to 90.2 mph now,Placing 4th-steepest in baseball since the start of last season, Minnesota Twins hitters jointly have posted a 15.6° launch angle on their hardest-contacted balls (a reliable stat to evaluate power ability).

,As a switch-hitter who is weaker from the 0 side of the dish, Josh Bell will be less advantaged while batting from his weak side against Garrett Crochet in this game.

,Ceddanne Rafaela will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s matchup.

,Marcelo Mayer and his 2.1° launch angle on his hardest-hit balls rank in 5th percentile, among the lowest in baseball since the start of last season.

,Luke Keaschall’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off from last season to this one, falling from 16.7% to 9.3%.

,Bailey Ober will have the handedness advantage against Carlos Narvaez today.

,As a switch-hitter who is weaker from the 0 side of the dish, Brooks Lee will be at a disadvantage batting from his worse side against Garrett Crochet in today’s matchup.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brooks Lee in the 24th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.

,Matt Wallner’s batting average ability is projected to be in the 7th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Bailey Ober struggled when it came to striking batters out in his previous outing and posted 1 Ks.

,From last season to this one, Byron Buxton’s flyball exit velocity has decreased from an average of 96.9 mph to 90 mph.

,Josh Bell’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off this season; his 94.6-mph mark last year has fallen to 89.9-mph.

,Caleb Durbin’s BABIP ability is projected in the 9th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Playing on the road typically diminishes hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Caleb Durbin in today’s game.

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