Rays vs Red Sox match player stats | 2025 Series Game 4 Sunday, July 13th

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Rays vs Red Sox match player stats | 2025 Series Game 4 Sunday, July 13th

TB @ BOS

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Series Game 4 Matchup Details

Tampa Bay Rays at Boston Red Sox
Series Game 4
Todays Game is on Sunday, July 13th
13/07/25 13:35:00 PM EST First Pitch

Positive Match Player Stats for Rays vs Red Sox Series Game 4 Matchup Today

Recording 93.7 adjusted pitches per GS this year on average, Brayan Bello checks in at the 88th percentile.

Fenway Park’s altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the majors, which often leads to lower offensive output.

According to the weather forecast, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 4th-most suitable for pitching of all games on the slate.

Given the 1 difference between Brayan Bello’s 6.86 K/9 and his 7.85 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it’s safe to say he’s been one of the unluckiest pitchers in the league this year as it relates to strikeouts and figures to see positive regression the rest of the season.

Fenway Park profiles as the #2 venue in the league for batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

In Major League Baseball, Fenway Park’s left field fences are the shallowest.

When it comes to his strikeout talent, the leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Ryan Pepiot in the 83rd percentile among all SPs in the majors.

Throwing 92.2 adjusted pitches per outing this year on average, Ryan Pepiot ranks in the 82nd percentile.

In his previous start, Ryan Pepiot was on point and put up 8 strikeouts.

With a 1.08 gap between Ryan Pepiot’s 3.32 ERA and his 4.40 FIP, it’s safe to say he’s been one of the most fortunate pitchers in Major League Baseball this year and should see worse results going forward.

Negative Match Player Stats with Rays vs Red Sox Series Game 4

Fenway Park ranks as the #29 field in Major League Baseball for strikeouts, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Brayan Bello’s fastball velocity has dropped 1.2 mph this year (94.5 mph) below where it was last year (95.7 mph).

Brayan Bello has utilized his four-seam fastball 11.2% more often this season (16%) than he did last year (4.8%).

Brayan Bello’s 2182-rpm fastball spin rate this year grades out in the 22nd percentile out of all starting pitchers.

Ranking in the 12th percentile, Brayan Bello compiled an 8.2% Swinging Strike rate this year.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)’s judgement, Brayan Bello’s overall pitching skill grades out in the 75th percentile out of all starters in baseball currently.

Among all stadiums, the 2nd-highest average fence height are at Fenway Park.

In his last game started, Brayan Bello turned in a great performance and conceded 1 ER.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Ryan Pepiot in the 80th percentile when it comes to his overall pitching talent level.

Ryan Pepiot was firing on all cylinders in his last game started and gave up 1 ER.

Ryan Pepiot has used his four-seam fastball 7.4% less often this season (43.3%) than he did last season (50.7%).

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