Matchup Details

Positive Match Player Stats for Rangers vs Rays Matchup Today

Alejandro Osuna is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in today’s game.

Among all major league stadiums, George M. Steinbrenner Field has the lowest average fence height.

High humidity has a small yet noteworthy correlation with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report expects the 2nd-most humidity of all games on the slate at 81%.

Batting from the opposite that Drew Rasmussen throws from, Alejandro Osuna will have an advantage in today’s matchup.

In the last 7 days, Alejandro Osuna has been performing exceptionally well at the plate with a wOBA of .412.

Junior Caminero’s batting average ability is projected to be in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Junior Caminero is penciled in 5th in the lineup in today’s game.

Extreme flyball bats like Junior Caminero usually hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Tyler Mahle.

Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats in all categories, and Junior Caminero will hold that advantage in today’s game.

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Junior Caminero ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Wyatt Langford ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Wyatt Langford is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.

Wyatt Langford has seen a big increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 94.6-mph average to last season’s 92.1-mph mark.

Wyatt Langford’s average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls this year (19.2°) is significantly higher than his 11.5° angle last year.

Given that flyball pitchers are least effective against groundball hitters, Tyler Mahle (35% FB% per the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be a bit disadvantaged in this game with 3 GB hitters in Tampa Bay’s projected batting order.

Playing on the road generally lessens pitcher stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Tyler Mahle today.

Tyler Mahle’s 91.4-mph fastball velocity this year ranks in the 15th percentile out of all starting pitchers.

Given the 0.97 discrepancy between Tyler Mahle’s 6.55 K/9 and his 7.52 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it’s safe to say he’s been one of the unluckiest pitchers in the league this year in terms of strikeouts and ought to see positive regression the rest of the season.

Corey Seager projects as the 10th-best hitter in baseball, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Corey Seager is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this matchup.

Corey Seager will have the handedness advantage over Drew Rasmussen in today’s game.

Corey Seager has been unlucky this year, compiling a .346 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .378 — a .032 discrepancy.

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Marcus Semien ranks in the 80th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Extreme flyball hitters like Marcus Semien tend to perform better against extreme groundball pitchers like Drew Rasmussen.

Last year, Marcus Semien had an average launch angle of 13.5° on his hardest-hit balls, while this year it has significantly increased to 16.6°.

Marcus Semien has been unlucky this year, putting up a .247 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .324 — a .077 deviation.

Sam Haggerty’s quickness has increased this season. His 27.78 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 28.61 ft/sec now.

When estimating his batting average ability, Yandy Diaz is projected as the 16th-best batter in the majors by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Yandy Diaz is penciled in 3rd in the lineup today.

Yandy Diaz has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (42.3%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards baseball’s 5th-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.

Extreme groundball bats like Yandy Diaz tend to be more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Tyler Mahle.

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Yandy Diaz ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

When assessing his home run ability, Brandon Lowe ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Brandon Lowe is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in today’s game.

Brandon Lowe will hold the platoon advantage against Tyler Mahle today.

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Brandon Lowe ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Brandon Lowe pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36% — 91st percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards baseball’s 5th-shallowest RF fences today.

It may be best to expect positive regression for the Texas Rangers offense the rest of the season, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes they are the unluckiest offense in MLB this year.

Contrary to popular belief, fastballs are typically a pitcher’s least effective pitch. Drew Rasmussen has relied on his fastball a lot this year, though: 57.7% of the time, ranking in the 100th percentile.

Drew Rasmussen has been very fortunate when it comes to his ERA this year; his 2.33 rate is deflated compared to his 3.72 FIP (Fielding Independent Pitching, an estimator of ERA that focuses on the things a pitcher has the most control over).

Drew Rasmussen’s 94.7-mph fastball velocity this year is in the 77th percentile out of all starting pitchers.

Drew Rasmussen’s 2498-rpm fastball spin rate this year ranks in the 93rd percentile out of all starters.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Lowe in the 91st percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.

Josh Lowe is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in today’s game.

Josh Lowe will have the handedness advantage against Tyler Mahle today.

Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Josh Lowe will hold that advantage in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Lowe in the 76th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Jake Burger as MLB’s 19th-best home run hitter.

Cracking 3 homers over the last 14 days, Jake Burger has been on fire recently.

Despite posting a .271 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Jake Burger has had bad variance on his side given the .069 difference between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .340.

Placing in the 78th percentile, Jake Burger has posted a .307 Isolated Power rate (ISO) this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Burger in the 92nd percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Jung in the 92nd percentile when estimating his BABIP ability.

Josh Jung has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (54% of the time), but he is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this matchup.

Josh Jung has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 96.1-mph average to last season’s 92.3-mph EV.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Jung in the 82nd percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.

Compared to last season, Josh Jung has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for home runs, increasing his percentage of balls hit between 23° and 34° from 16.8% to 20.9% this season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jonathan Aranda in the 90th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.

Jonathan Aranda is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in today’s game.

Batting from the opposite that Tyler Mahle throws from, Jonathan Aranda will have an advantage in today’s game.

Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Jonathan Aranda will hold that advantage today.

Josh Smith is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this matchup.

Josh Smith will hold the platoon advantage against Drew Rasmussen today.

Josh Smith has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 92.2-mph average to last season’s 90-mph average.

Extreme groundball bats like Jake Mangum are generally more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Tyler Mahle.

Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Jake Mangum will hold that advantage today.

Ranking in the 91st percentile for Sprint Speed at 28.92 ft/sec this year, Jake Mangum is very quick.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Mangum in the 92nd percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.

Kameron Misner will have the handedness advantage over Tyler Mahle in today’s game.

Kameron Misner will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats.

Negative Match Player Stats with Rangers vs Rays

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alejandro Osuna in the 23rd percentile when it comes to his home run skill.

George M. Steinbrenner Field projects as the #23 stadium in Major League Baseball for run-scoring, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

The 5th-deepest CF dimensions in Major League Baseball are found in George M. Steinbrenner Field.

Alejandro Osuna will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.

George M. Steinbrenner Field ranks as the #26 park in the majors for left-handed batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

George M. Steinbrenner Field profiles as the #26 stadium in the league for right-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Tyler Mahle will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Junior Caminero today.

Junior Caminero pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.8% — 79th percentile) and will be challenged by baseball’s 7th-deepest LF fences in today’s matchup.

The Texas Rangers outfield defense grades out as the 5th-strongest among every team playing today.

Last season, Junior Caminero had a launch angle of 9.3° on his highest exit velocity balls, but this season he experienced a significant decline to just 4.2°.

When it comes to his home runs, Junior Caminero has been lucky this year. His 35.0 HR per 600 plate appearances mark has been quite a bit higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 21.6.

When it comes to plate discipline, Junior Caminero’s talent is quite bad, sporting a 4.26 K/BB rate this year while ranking in in the 17th percentile.

Drew Rasmussen will have the handedness advantage against Wyatt Langford in today’s matchup.

Wyatt Langford pulls many of his flyballs (34.7% — 87th percentile) but may find it hard to clear baseball’s 7th-deepest LF fences in today’s game.

Playing on the road typically diminishes hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Wyatt Langford in today’s game.

This season, there has been a decline in Wyatt Langford’s footspeed with his Statcast Sprint Speed dropping from 29.77 ft/sec last year to 28.9 ft/sec currently.

Wyatt Langford has been very fortunate when it comes to his home runs this year; his 31.7 HR per 600 plate appearances figure is a good deal higher than his 26.3 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

The #5 park in the game for suppressing batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is George M. Steinbrenner Field.

In his last start, Tyler Mahle turned in a great performance and gave up 1 ER.

Tyler Mahle has put up a 3.23 FIP (Fielding Independent Pitching, an estimator of ERA that is concerned with the things most within a pitcher’s control) this year, checking in at the 84th percentile.

Corey Seager will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today.

Corey Seager’s footspeed has dropped off this year. His 25.34 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 24.23 ft/sec now.

Marcus Semien has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this year (86% of the time), but he is projected to hit 8th on the lineup card today.

Drew Rasmussen will hold the platoon advantage against Marcus Semien in today’s matchup.

In today’s matchup, Marcus Semien is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 7th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 37.6% rate (96th percentile).

Playing on the road generally lessens batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Marcus Semien in today’s matchup.

Marcus Semien has been cold lately, posting a .247 wOBA in the past 14 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Marcus Semien in the 18th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jonah Heim in the 23rd percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.

Jonah Heim is projected to hit 9th in the batting order in this matchup.

As a switch-hitter who is weaker from the 0 side of the plate, Jonah Heim will be less advantaged while batting from his worse side against Drew Rasmussen in this game.

In today’s game, Jonah Heim is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 5th-deepest CF center field fences given that he hits his flyballs towards center field at a 38.6% rate (83rd percentile).

Jonah Heim will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jonah Heim in the 3rd percentile when estimating his BABIP skill.

When assessing his home run ability, Sam Haggerty ranks in the 11th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Sam Haggerty has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this year (77% of the time), but he is projected to hit 7th in the lineup in this matchup.

The switch-hitting Sam Haggerty will bat from his bad side (0) today against Drew Rasmussen,Playing on the road typically diminishes hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Sam Haggerty today.

Hitting from the same side that Tyler Mahle throws from, Yandy Diaz encounters a tough challenge today.

Yandy Diaz has done a bad job optimizing his launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls. His 2.8° angle is among the lowest in Major League Baseball this year (4th percentile).

Ranking in the 13th percentile, Yandy Diaz sports a .247 BABIP this year.

Brandon Lowe’s average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls this season (14°) is quite a bit worse than his 17.2° figure last season.

This season, there has been a decline in Brandon Lowe’s quickness with his Statcast Sprint Speed dropping from 27.19 ft/sec last year to 26.46 ft/sec currently.

When it comes to his home runs, Brandon Lowe has had some very good luck this year. His 30.0 HR per 600 plate appearances rate has been a good deal higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 24.0.

As it relates to plate discipline, Brandon Lowe’s talent is quite weak, sporting a 3.63 K/BB rate this year while checking in at in the 23rd percentile.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)’s appraisal, Drew Rasmussen’s overall pitching skill grades out in the 91st percentile among all starting pitchers in the majors right now.

Drew Rasmussen will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats across the board.

In his last game started, Drew Rasmussen was rolling and allowed 0 ER.

Taking into account both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Drew Rasmussen is projected to throw 81 pitches in this matchup by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the 5th-least of all pitchers on the slate.

Drew Rasmussen has posted an 8.8% Swinging Strike% this year, placing in the 23rd percentile.

Josh Lowe has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.8%) and will be challenged by the game’s 7th-deepest LF fences in today’s game.

Josh Lowe’s footspeed has fallen off this year. His 28.45 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 27.35 ft/sec now.

Jake Burger is projected to bat 6th in the lineup in this matchup.

Hitting from the same side that Drew Rasmussen throws from, Jake Burger will be in a tough position in today’s game.

Jake Burger will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s matchup.

Jake Burger’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased this season; his 95.3-mph mark last year has decreased to 93.1-mph.

Hitting from the same side that Drew Rasmussen throws from, Josh Jung will not have the upper hand in today’s matchup.

Josh Jung hits many of his flyballs to center field (40.1% — 97th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards baseball’s 5th-deepest CF fences today.

Josh Jung will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s matchup.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.255) suggests that Josh Jung has had some very good luck this year with his .277 actual batting average.

Josh Jung has exhibited poor plate discipline this year, grading out in the 18th percentile with a 4.02 K/BB rate.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Jonathan Aranda’s true offensive talent to be a .335, providing some evidence that he has had some very good luck this year given the .061 deviation between that mark and his actual .396 wOBA.

Josh Smith hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 85th percentile) but may find it hard to clear the game’s 5th-deepest CF fences in today’s game.

Josh Smith will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s matchup.

Josh Smith’s average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls this season (8.4°) is a significant dropoff from his 13.2° angle last season.

By putting up a 12.100 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) this year , Josh Smith has performed in the 23rd percentile for power.

The standard deviation of Josh Smith’s launch angle this year (29.3°) is in the 21st percentile. A high deviation like this tends to lead to a lower batting average on balls in play.

When it comes to his home run skill, Jake Mangum ranks in the 3rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Jake Mangum is projected to bat 6th in the lineup today.

As a switch-hitter who performs worse from the 0 side of the dish, Jake Mangum will be less advantaged while batting from his worse side against Tyler Mahle in this game.

Jake Mangum has a 78th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.9%) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball’s 7th-deepest LF fences in today’s game.

Jake Mangum has been very fortunate when it comes to with his wOBA this year; his .348 rate is significantly inflated relative to his .295 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kameron Misner in the 4th percentile when estimating his batting average skill.

Kameron Misner is penciled in 7th on the lineup card in this matchup.

21% of the time that Kameron Misner has started against a right-handed pitcher this year, he has been lifted for a pinch-hitter.

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Kameron Misner ranks in the 15th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Kameron Misner has been cold recently, posting a .288 wOBA over the past two weeks.

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