Rangers @ Cardinals Series Game 2 Matchup Details

Positives for the Texas Rangers Series Game 2 Game Today

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Walker in the 91st percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.

,Jordan Walker is penciled in 4th on the lineup card today.

,Busch Stadium ranks as the #10 venue in baseball for RHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,The weather report projects the 4th-most favorable hitting weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity.

,Jordan Walker hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (40.2% — 98th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards the game’s 7th-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.

,When assessing his overall offensive skill, Brandon Nimmo ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Brandon Nimmo is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.

,Among all parks, Busch Stadium has the 8th-lowest average fence height.

,Considering Dustin May’s large platoon split, Brandon Nimmo will have a gigantic advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish in today’s game.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Burger in the 94th percentile when estimating his home run skill.

,Jake Burger is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this matchup.

,By putting up a 26.900 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) since the start of last season , Jake Burger finds himself in the 79th percentile for power.

,When assessing his home run skill, Danny Jansen ranks in the 81st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Danny Jansen has been unlucky this year, putting up a .269 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .302 — a .033 difference.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryan Torres in the 83rd percentile when it comes to his batting average talent.

,Bryan Torres is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 100% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Busch Stadium as the 10th-best ballpark in Major League Baseball for LHB batting average.

,Bryan Torres will have the handedness advantage over Nathan Eovaldi in today’s matchup.

,As it relates to his home run ability, Nolan Gorman ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Nolan Gorman will hold the platoon advantage over Nathan Eovaldi in today’s game.

,Bats such as Nolan Gorman with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Nathan Eovaldi who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Burleson in the 94th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill.

,Alec Burleson is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.

,Hitting from the opposite that Nathan Eovaldi throws from, Alec Burleson will have the upper hand in today’s game.

,Nolan Gorman will hold the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which should boost all of his stats.

,When estimating his overall offensive skill, Evan Carter ranks in the 75th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Because of Dustin May’s large platoon split, Evan Carter will have a gigantic advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate today.

,Evan Carter hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 83rd percentile) and is fortunate to face the league’s 7th-shallowest CF fences today.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jimmy Crooks in the 87th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent.

,Jimmy Crooks will hold the platoon advantage over Nathan Eovaldi in today’s game.

,Home field advantage generally improves batter stats across the board, and Jimmy Crooks will hold that advantage in today’s game.

,Joc Pederson is penciled in 1st in the lineup today.

,Joc Pederson will have the handedness advantage over Dustin May in today’s game… and even more favorably, May has a large platoon split.

,Joc Pederson’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last season to this one, increasing from 13.5% to 17.3%.

,Because of Dustin May’s large platoon split, Nicky Lopez will have a tremendous advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish in today’s matchup.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects JJ Wetherholt in the 89th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.

,JJ Wetherholt is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this matchup.

,Hitting from the opposite that Nathan Eovaldi throws from, JJ Wetherholt will have an edge in today’s game.

,Hitting from the opposite that Nathan Eovaldi throws from, Victor Scott II will have an edge today.

,Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats in all categories, and Victor Scott II will hold that advantage today.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Victor Scott II’s true offensive skill to be a .274, implying that he has experienced some negative variance this year given the .044 disparity between that mark and his actual .230 wOBA.

,Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Masyn Winn will hold that advantage in today’s game.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Joc Pederson in the 90th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.

,Alejandro Osuna will hold the platoon advantage over Dustin May in today’s game… and moreover, May has a large platoon split.

,Alejandro Osuna hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.2% — 95th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards MLB’s 7th-shallowest CF fences today.

,Alejandro Osuna has had some very poor luck with his batting average since the start of last season; his .227 mark is considerably lower than his .273 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

,Ezequiel Duran is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this matchup.

,Ezequiel Duran hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.1% — 79th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league’s 7th-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.

,Ezequiel Duran has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 89.9-mph average to last season’s 84.5-mph mark.

,Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Bryan Torres will hold that advantage in today’s game.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alejandro Osuna in the 77th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Walker in the 94th percentile when assessing his home run skill.

,Danny Jansen has gotten much quicker this season, improving from last year’s 26.13 ft/sec to 26.92 ft/sec now (according to Statcast’s Sprint Speed metric).

,When it comes to his strikeout talent, the leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Nathan Eovaldi in the 77th percentile among all starters in the league.

,Recording 94.5 adjusted pitches per game per started this year on average, Nathan Eovaldi checks in at the 86th percentile.

,The St. Louis Cardinals have 3 bats in their projected offense today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Jimmy Crooks, Jordan Walker, Nolan Gorman).

,Because of his reverse platoon split, Nathan Eovaldi figures to be at an advantage facing 6 hitters in the projected batting order who hit from the other side in this outing.

,Because flyball hitters struggle against flyball pitchers, Nathan Eovaldi (47.3% GB% according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) is well-situated today with 3 FB hitters in the opposition’s projected batting order.

,The #1 ballpark in baseball for suppressing home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Busch Stadium.

,Dustin May will possess the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats across the board.

,Dustin May has used his cut-fastball 14.5% more often this year (23.7%) than he did last year (9.2%).

,Considering the 0.9 gap between Dustin May’s 4.57 ERA and his 3.68 FIP, it’s safe to say he’s been one of the unluckiest pitchers in Major League Baseball this year and ought to perform better in the future.

,Josh Jung’s batting average talent is projected to be in the 94th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Josh Jung is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup today.

,Josh Jung hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.9% — 98th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards MLB’s 7th-shallowest CF fences today.

,Jimmy Crooks and his 17.1° launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls rank in 83rd percentile, among the highest in the game since the start of last season.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ivan Herrera in the 94th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.

,Ivan Herrera is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup.

,Ivan Herrera will possess the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which should improve all of his stats.

,When estimating his overall offensive skill, Jake Burger ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,This year, the hardest ball Jake Burger has hit reached a maximum exit velocity of 113.6 mph (a reliable stat to study power), grading out in the 88th percentile.

,Alejandro Osuna has put up a .332 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, placing in the 79th percentile for offensive skills according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

,According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)’s estimation, Nathan Eovaldi’s overall pitching ability grades out in the 87th percentile out of all SPs in Major League Baseball right now.

,When assessing his overall offensive talent, Alec Burleson ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Josh Jung ranks in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Negatives with the St. Louis Cardinals Series Game 2 Game Today

Nathan Eovaldi will have the handedness advantage over Jordan Walker today.

,The Texas Rangers outfield defense projects as the 4th-strongest out of every team playing today.

,Despite posting a .387 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Jordan Walker has been lucky given the .049 disparity between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .338.

,Based on Statcast data, Jordan Walker is in the 7th percentile via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average since the start of last season at .208.

,The #1 park in the league for suppressing home runs to lefties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Busch Stadium.

,Brandon Nimmo will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s game.

,The #1 park in baseball for suppressing home runs to right-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Busch Stadium.

,Dustin May will hold the platoon advantage against Jake Burger in today’s matchup… and it’s an over-sized mismatch considering May’s large platoon split.

,Jake Burger pulls many of his flyballs (34% — 76th percentile) and will be challenged by MLB’s 7th-deepest LF fences in today’s game.

,Jake Burger will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s game.

,Jake Burger’s launch angle this year (12.3°) is significantly lower than his 17° mark last season.

,Danny Jansen is projected to bat 8th in the lineup in today’s game.

,Dustin May will have the handedness advantage over Danny Jansen today… and it’s an over-sized mismatch considering May’s large platoon split.

,Danny Jansen pulls a lot of his flyballs (43.1% — 100th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards the league’s 7th-deepest LF fences in today’s game.

,Playing on the road typically reduces batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Danny Jansen today.

,In MLB, Busch Stadium’s RF dimensions are the 2nd-deepest.

,Extreme groundball batters like Bryan Torres usually hit worse against extreme groundball pitchers like Nathan Eovaldi.

,Nolan Gorman has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this year (100% of the time), but he is projected to hit 7th in the lineup in this game.

,Nolan Gorman pulls many of his flyballs (35.9% — 87th percentile) and will be challenged by the game’s 2nd-deepest RF fences today.

,From last year to this one, Nolan Gorman’s ability to hit the ball at a launch angle that optimizes BABIP (-4° to 26°) has decreased substantially, plummeting from 47.3% to 41.3%.

,Alec Burleson’s launch angle this season (11.8°) is significantly worse than his 15.2° angle last season.

,Alec Burleson is notably slow, grading out in the 15th percentile in Sprint Speed at 25.64 ft/sec this year.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nolan Gorman in the 6th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability.

,Evan Carter is projected to bat 7th in the batting order today.

,Evan Carter will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s game.

,Evan Carter’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has fallen off from last season to this one, falling from 41.4% to 33.9%.

,Evan Carter has posted a .177 batting average this year, placing in the 6th percentile.

,Jimmy Crooks is penciled in 8th in the lineup today.

,Jimmy Crooks has posted a .194 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, grading out in the 4th percentile for offensive ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

,Joc Pederson’s BABIP skill is projected in the 8th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Joc Pederson pulls many of his flyballs (37.6% — 92nd percentile) but may find it hard to clear the league’s 2nd-deepest RF fences in today’s game.

,Joc Pederson will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s matchup.

,By putting up a .211 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) since the start of last season , Joc Pederson finds himself in the 9th percentile.

,When assessing his home run talent, Nicky Lopez ranks in the 0th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Nicky Lopez is projected to hit 9th on the lineup card today.

,Nicky Lopez has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.1%) and will have to hit them out towards the league’s 7th-deepest LF fences in today’s game.

,Playing on the road typically weakens batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Nicky Lopez today.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Victor Scott II in the 11th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.

,Victor Scott II is penciled in 9th in the batting order in today’s game.

,In today’s game, Victor Scott II is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 7th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 34.2% rate (82nd percentile).

,Extreme groundball bats like Victor Scott II are generally less successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Nathan Eovaldi.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Masyn Winn in the 20th percentile as it relates to his home run skill.

,Masyn Winn is projected to bat 6th on the lineup card in this game.

,Busch Stadium has the 5th-largest outfield in the league — generally bad for dingers.

,Nathan Eovaldi will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Masyn Winn in today’s game.

,When it comes to his home run ability, Alejandro Osuna ranks in the 10th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Alejandro Osuna is penciled in 6th on the lineup card today.

,Alejandro Osuna will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s matchup.

,Alejandro Osuna has negatively regressed with his Barrel%; his 6% rate last year has dropped to 0% this season.

,Considering Dustin May’s large platoon split, Ezequiel Duran will be at an enormous disadvantage batting from the same side of the plate today.

,Playing on the road typically lowers batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Ezequiel Duran in today’s game.

,There has been a significant decline in Ezequiel Duran’s launch angle from last year’s 15.4° to 12.2° this year.

,Despite posting a .344 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Ezequiel Duran has experienced some positive variance given the .047 deviation between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .297.

,Placing in the 15th percentile for Sprint Speed at 25.62 ft/sec this year, Joc Pederson is very slow.

,When it comes to his home run talent, Bryan Torres ranks in the 2nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,There has been a significant decline in Alejandro Osuna’s launch angle from last year’s 11.5° to 5.1° this year.

,Danny Jansen’s BABIP talent is projected in the 1st percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,It is likely that we will see a Hitters Umpire (Manny Gonzalez) behind the plate in today’s game.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Busch Stadium as the worst park in the game for strikeouts.

,Playing on the road typically weakens pitcher metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Nathan Eovaldi in today’s matchup.

,Among all starting pitchers, Nathan Eovaldi’s fastball spin rate of 2191 rpm grades out in the 25th percentile this year.

,Evan Carter has been cold in recent games, putting up a .287 wOBA over the past 7 days.

,Dustin May gave up a colossal 6 earned runs in his last start.

,Texas’s 89.5-mph average exit velocity this year ranks among the elite in the league: #8 overall.

,Given Dustin May’s large platoon split, Josh Jung will be at a big disadvantage batting from the same side of the plate in this game.

,Playing on the road typically lessens hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Josh Jung today.

,Josh Jung’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off this season; his 93.3-mph mark last season has lowered to 91.2-mph.

,Josh Jung’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off from last year to this one, going from 18.3% to 9.4%.

,Masyn Winn’s exit velocity on flyballs has declined this season; his 89.6-mph figure last season has fallen to 84.2-mph.

,Nathan Eovaldi will have the handedness advantage over Ivan Herrera in today’s game.

,Ivan Herrera has an 83rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.3%) and will have to hit them out towards the league’s 2nd-deepest RF fences today.

,Typically, hitters like Ivan Herrera who hit a lot of groundballs tend to perform worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of groundballs such as Nathan Eovaldi.

,Brandon Nimmo has done a poor job optimizing his launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls. His 8.5° mark is among the lowest in MLB since the start of last season (19th percentile).

,Jordan Walker has compiled a .273 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, checking in at the 8th percentile for hitting ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

,Ivan Herrera’s exit velocity on flyballs has declined this season; his 97.3-mph average last year has decreased to 91.4-mph.

,This season, there has been a decline in Josh Jung’s footspeed with his Statcast Sprint Speed dropping from 26.61 ft/sec last year to 25.99 ft/sec currently.

,This season, there has been a decline in Jake Burger’s quickness with his Statcast Sprint Speed dropping from 27.91 ft/sec last year to 27.09 ft/sec currently.

,Utilizing Statcast data, Ezequiel Duran is in the 10th percentile for offensive ability via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .225.

,Nolan Gorman’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off from last season to this one, falling from 18.9% to 14.9%.

,With a .273 wOBA over the last week, Nolan Gorman has been struggling at the plate.

,Jimmy Crooks has recorded a .164 Expected Batting Average since the start of last season, ranking in the 9th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

,In his last start, Nathan Eovaldi gave up a colossal 5 earned runs.

,When assessing his overall offensive talent, Nicky Lopez ranks in the 5th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Nicky Lopez’s footspeed has decreased this year. His 27.28 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 25.4 ft/sec now.

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