Todays Game 3 Matchup Details

Player match stat positives for Texas at St. Louis Game 3 Matchup Today

When it comes to his home run skill, Adolis Garcia ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Adolis Garcia is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in today’s game.

Busch Stadium has the 7th-lowest fences in the majors.

The weather report projects temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level on the schedule today at 94°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).

Despite posting a .290 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Adolis Garcia has experienced some negative variance given the .033 deviation between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .323.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Andrew Heaney in the 81st percentile when estimating his strikeout skill.

Projected catcher Jonah Heim projects as a good pitch framer, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Andrew Heaney has utilized his four-seam fastball 5.4% less often this year (52.3%) than he did last year (57.7%).

Among all SPs, Andrew Heaney’s fastball spin rate of 2406 rpm grades out in the 77th percentile this year.

Nathaniel Lowe’s BABIP ability is projected in the 90th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Nathaniel Lowe will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Michael McGreevy in today’s matchup.

Over the last 14 days, Nathaniel Lowe’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 89.6-mph over the course of the season to 95.6-mph in recent games.

As it relates to plate discipline, Nathaniel Lowe’s skill is quite impressive, sporting a 1.69 K/BB rate this year while checking in at in the 88th percentile.

Corey Seager projects as the 9th-best batter in the majors, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Corey Seager is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup.

Corey Seager will hold the platoon advantage over Michael McGreevy today.

Josh Smith is projected to hit 1st in the lineup today.

Hitting from the opposite that Michael McGreevy throws from, Josh Smith will have the upper hand in today’s game.

Josh Smith hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 90th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards baseball’s 7th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

Josh Jung’s BABIP ability is projected in the 97th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Josh Jung has big-time HR ability (84th percentile) if he makes contact, but that’s always far from assured (27.4% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Michael McGreevy is a pitch-to-contact type (25th percentile K%) — great news for Jung.

Josh Jung hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.5% — 96th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards the league’s 7th-shallowest CF fences today.

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Marcus Semien ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Marcus Semien is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in today’s game.

Extreme flyball bats like Marcus Semien are generally more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Michael McGreevy.

Leody Taveras has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 94.7-mph average in the past two weeks to his seasonal average of 89.8-mph.

Leody Taveras has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his wOBA this year; his .278 mark is significantly deflated relative to his .316 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Adolis Garcia ranks in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Adolis Garcia’s 12.6% Barrel% (an advanced standard to evaluate power) grades out in the 87th percentile this year.

In the last week, Marcus Semien’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 90.8-mph over the course of the season to 93.4-mph lately.

Corey Seager’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last year to this one, rising from 16.7% to 20.2%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Leody Taveras in the 75th percentile when estimating his batting average skill.

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Nathaniel Lowe ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Checking in at the 90th percentile, Josh Smith has put up a .361 wOBA (widely regarded as the top measure of overall offense) this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wyatt Langford in the 88th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill.

Wyatt Langford is projected to bat 4th in the batting order today.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.327) implies that Wyatt Langford has suffered from bad luck this year with his .295 actual wOBA.

Ranking in the 98th percentile for Sprint Speed at 29.88 ft/sec this year, Wyatt Langford is very athletic.

As it relates to his home runs, Wyatt Langford has had bad variance on his side this year. His 8.8 HR per 600 plate appearances rate has been considerably lower than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 18.5.

In notching a .266 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) since the start of last season , Josh Jung finds himself in the 79th percentile.

Josh Jung’s 12% Barrel% (a reliable standard to evaluate power) ranks in the 84th percentile since the start of last season.

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Josh Jung ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Wyatt Langford ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

In the last 7 days, Wyatt Langford has been exhibiting strong exit velocity numbers, averaging an impressive 109.2-mph on the top 5% of his batted balls.

Wednesday Game 3 player match stat slumps with Rangers vs Cardinals Matchup

Busch Stadium projects as the #27 ballpark in baseball for righty home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Busch Stadium has the 5th-deepest fences in Major League Baseball — generally bad for long-balls.

The wind projects to be blowing in from CF at 14.1-mph in this contest, the most-favorable of the day for mound aces.

Hitting from the same side that Michael McGreevy throws from, Adolis Garcia encounters a tough challenge in today’s game.

Adolis Garcia will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.

It is anticipated that we will see a Hitters Umpire (Shane Livensparger) behind the plate in this game.

Busch Stadium projects as the #24 stadium in the majors for strikeouts, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

The St. Louis Cardinals have 6 bats in the projected batting order that will have the handedness advantage over Andrew Heaney today.

Andrew Heaney will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s game.

Busch Stadium ranks as the #26 venue in baseball for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Among every team playing today, the 5th-best infield defense belongs to the St. Louis Cardinals.

Nathaniel Lowe is projected to hit 6th in the batting order in today’s game.

Nathaniel Lowe has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (43.1%) and will be challenged by the league’s 6th-deepest LF fences in today’s game.

Typically, batters like Nathaniel Lowe who hit a lot of groundballs are generally less successful when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of groundballs such as Michael McGreevy.

Among all parks, Busch Stadium’s RF dimensions are the 2nd-deepest.

Playing on the road generally diminishes batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Corey Seager in today’s game.

Josh Smith will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s game.

Josh Smith has negatively regressed with his Barrel%; his 10.7% rate last season has decreased to 3.3% this year.

Josh Jung has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this season (100% of the time), but he is projected to hit 7th in the lineup today.

Batting from the same side that Michael McGreevy throws from, Josh Jung will have a tough matchup in today’s matchup.

Busch Stadium projects as the #27 field in baseball for lefty home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Josh Smith’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off this year; his 93.8-mph average last season has fallen off to 88.9-mph.

Michael McGreevy will have the handedness advantage over Marcus Semien in today’s game.

Marcus Semien pulls many of his flyballs (38.2% — 96th percentile) and will be challenged by baseball’s 6th-deepest LF fences in today’s game.

Marcus Semien will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.

Leody Taveras is projected to hit 9th on the lineup card in this game.

Leody Taveras has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.9%) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the league’s 6th-deepest LF fences today.

Leody Taveras will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s game.

The #3 stadium in Major League Baseball for suppressing home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Busch Stadium.

The Texas Rangers infield defense profiles as the 4th-best out of every team in action today.

Corey Seager’s quickness has fallen off this season. His 26.12 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 25.36 ft/sec now.

Michael McGreevy will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Wyatt Langford in today’s game.

Playing on the road generally lowers batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Wyatt Langford in today’s game.

Josh Jung will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today.