Rangers @ Astros Series Game 3 Matchup Details

Positives for the Texas Rangers Series Game 3 Game Today

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Joc Pederson in the 88th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.

,Joc Pederson is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this game.

,The #5 stadium in baseball for boosting home runs to left-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Minute Maid Park.

,Joc Pederson will hold the platoon advantage against Peter Lambert today.

,Joc Pederson’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last year to this one, going from 13.5% to 18.1%.

,The Texas Rangers have been the 7th-unluckiest offense in MLB this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to positively regress in the future,Manny Gonzalez projects as a Hitters Umpire and is expected to be in charge of the strike zone in this game.

,Among all stadiums, Minute Maid Park’s LF dimensions are the shallowest.

,Texas Rangers hitters collectively rank near the top of Major League Baseball this year (2nd-) as it relates to their 90-mph average exit velocity.

,Long-balls are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and Minute Maid Park has the shallowest in the majors.

,Batting from the opposite that Nathan Eovaldi throws from, Zach Cole will have an edge in today’s game.

,Home field advantage generally improves batter stats in all categories, and Zach Cole will hold that advantage in today’s game.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Burger in the 94th percentile as it relates to his home run ability.

,Ranking in the 90th percentile, the hardest ball Jake Burger has hit this year reached a maximum exit velocity of 113.6 mph — a reliable indication of underlying power ability.

,Power-wise, Jake Burger grades out in the 82nd percentile, having paced 26.1 home runs per 600 plate appearances this year.

,Joc Pederson’s footspeed has gotten better this year. His 25.18 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 25.95 ft/sec now.

,Since the start of last season, Joc Pederson has an average exit velocity of 91.5 mph, which is one of the best in the majors at the 87th percentile.

,According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Yordan Alvarez ranks as the 2nd-best batter in the game.

,Yordan Alvarez is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.

,Batting from the opposite that Nathan Eovaldi throws from, Yordan Alvarez will have an advantage in today’s matchup.

,Extreme flyball batters like Yordan Alvarez tend to perform better against extreme groundball pitchers like Nathan Eovaldi.

,Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics across the board, and Yordan Alvarez will hold that advantage in today’s game.

,Isaac Paredes is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this matchup.

,Isaac Paredes pulls many of his flyballs (47.5% — 100th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB’s 2nd-shallowest LF fences today.

,Extreme groundball batters like Isaac Paredes usually hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Nathan Eovaldi.

,Isaac Paredes will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which should bolster all of his stats.

,Isaac Paredes has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 91.9-mph average to last year’s 89.9-mph EV.

,Braden Shewmake has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (90% of the time), but he is penciled in 5th in the lineup today.

,Hitting from the opposite that Nathan Eovaldi throws from, Braden Shewmake will have an advantage today.

,Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics across the board, and Braden Shewmake will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

,Braden Shewmake has been hot recently, cruising to a .416 wOBA over the last 14 days.

,The #5 park in the majors for boosting home runs to right-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Minute Maid Park.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Nimmo in the 94th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.

,Brandon Nimmo is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in today’s game.

,Batting from the opposite that Peter Lambert throws from, Brandon Nimmo will have an edge today.

,Brandon Nimmo has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36%) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them out towards the league’s 2nd-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.

,Jose Altuve’s batting average talent is projected to be in the 87th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Jose Altuve is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this game.

,Jose Altuve pulls many of his flyballs (41.9% — 99th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league’s 2nd-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.

,Jose Altuve will possess the home field advantage in today’s game, which should boost all of his stats.

,This season, Jose Altuve has experienced a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 92.2 mph compared to last year’s 89.4 mph mark.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Isaac Paredes in the 78th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Zach Cole in the 90th percentile when it comes to his home run ability.

,Ezequiel Duran is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in today’s game.

,Ezequiel Duran has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 91.2-mph average to last season’s 84.5-mph EV.

,Ezequiel Duran has recorded a .325 BABIP since the start of last season, placing in the 84th percentile.

,Evan Carter has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (59% of the time), but he is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in today’s game.

,Evan Carter will hold the platoon advantage over Peter Lambert in today’s matchup.

,In comparison to his 86.3-mph average last year, Evan Carter’s exit velocity has noticeably risen this season, now sitting at 88.3 mph.

,Evan Carter’s launch angle this year (20.9°) is quite a bit higher than his 14.1° figure last year.

,Posting a 1.47 K/BB rate this year, Evan Carter has displayed favorable plate discipline, ranking in the 84th percentile.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Nathan Eovaldi in the 77th percentile when estimating his strikeout talent.

,Compared to the average pitcher, Nathan Eovaldi has been granted more leash than the typical pitcher this year, throwing an extra 3.6 adjusted pitches each game.

,The Houston Astros have 3 bats in their projected offense today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Zach Dezenzo, Zach Cole, Brice Matthews).

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Minute Maid Park as the best stadium in MLB for strikeouts.

,When assessing his home run talent, Christian Walker ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Christian Walker is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card today.

,Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats in all categories, and Christian Walker will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

,Christian Walker’s 12.3% Barrel% (a reliable stat to evaluate power) grades out in the 80th percentile this year.

,Brice Matthews pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.1% — 78th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game’s 2nd-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.

,Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics across the board, and Brice Matthews will hold that advantage today.

,Brice Matthews’s 94.5-mph exit velocity on flyballs (a reliable stat to assess power) grades out in the 81st percentile since the start of last season.

,Brice Matthews and his 20.8° launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls rank in 93rd percentile, among the highest in the majors since the start of last season.

,Ranking in the 91st percentile for power, Brice Matthews has averaged 28.6 home runs per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Jung in the 80th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.

,Josh Jung is penciled in 3rd in the batting order today.

,Josh Jung has been hot lately, batting his way to a .370 wOBA in the past two weeks’ worth of games.

,Sporting a .381 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Josh Jung has performed in the 90th percentile.

,Justin Foscue has done a favorable job optimizing his launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls. His 25.5° figure is among the highest in the league since the start of last season (98th percentile).

,Alejandro Osuna will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Peter Lambert in today’s game.

,Alejandro Osuna has recorded a .332 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, checking in at the 79th percentile for offensive ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

,Alejandro Osuna has shown strong plate discipline since the start of last season, checking in at the 92nd percentile with a 1.47 K/BB rate.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Zach Dezenzo in the 86th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.

,Zach Dezenzo will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s game, which should boost all of his stats.

,Using Statcast data, Zach Dezenzo is in the 87th percentile for hitting ability via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .343.

,Zach Dezenzo has done a strong job optimizing his launch angle on his hardest-hit balls. His 19.5° mark is among the highest in the league since the start of last season (90th percentile).

,Compared to the average starter, Peter Lambert has been granted a longer leash than the average pitcher this year, tallying an extra 3.7 adjusted pitches each outing.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Burger in the 83rd percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.

,According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)’s judgement, Nathan Eovaldi’s overall pitching ability is in the 86th percentile among all starting pitchers in baseball currently.

,The Houston Astros have been the 3rd-luckiest offense in the majors this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to hit worse in future games,Brandon Nimmo’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased from last season to this one, going from 42.6% to 54.8%.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Jung in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his batting average ability.

,Josh Jung’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved from last year to this one, rising from 48.7% to 55.6%.

,The standard deviation of Josh Jung’s launch angle this year (23.5°) is in the 96th percentile. A low mark like this tends to lead to a higher batting average on balls in play.

,Ranking in the 91st percentile, Josh Jung sits with a .510 Slugging Percentage (SLG) this year.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christian Walker in the 87th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Altuve in the 82nd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brice Matthews in the 79th percentile when assessing his home run talent.

Negatives with the Houston Astros Series Game 3 Game Today

The league’s 3rd-tallest average fence height can be found at Minute Maid Park.

,Minute Maid Park’s altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in Major League Baseball, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to less offense.

,The Minute Maid Park roof figures to be closed today, making weather conditions in this contest -5° colder than the average outdoor game of the day — favorable for pitching.

,Joc Pederson pulls a lot of his flyballs (36.9% — 90th percentile) and will be challenged by baseball’s 9th-deepest RF fences today.

,Joc Pederson will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.

,Minute Maid Park ranks as the #26 venue in the league for walks, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,Peter Lambert will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which should boost all of his metrics across the board.

,Contrary to popular belief, fastballs are generally a pitcher’s least effective pitch. Peter Lambert must realize this, because he has gone to his secondary pitches a lot this year: 62.3% of the time, ranking in the 84th percentile.

,Zach Cole’s batting average talent is projected to be in the 5th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Zach Cole is penciled in 7th in the batting order in today’s game.

,The #3 stadium in the game for suppressing batting average to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Minute Maid Park.

,Jake Burger has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this season (76% of the time), but he is penciled in 7th in the lineup in this matchup.

,The #3 venue in Major League Baseball for suppressing batting average to righties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Minute Maid Park.

,Batting from the same side that Peter Lambert throws from, Jake Burger will be in a tough position in today’s matchup.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Joc Pederson in the 8th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent.

,Today, Yordan Alvarez is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 8th-deepest CF center field fences given that he hits his flyballs towards center field at a 38% rate (77th percentile).

,Isaac Paredes’s BABIP ability is projected in the 2nd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Braden Shewmake in the 3rd percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill.

,Playing on the road typically lessens batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Jake Burger today.

,Playing on the road typically lowers batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Brandon Nimmo in today’s matchup.

,Brandon Nimmo has done a weak job optimizing his launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls. His 8.5° angle is among the lowest in the league since the start of last season (19th percentile).

,Nathan Eovaldi will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jose Altuve in today’s matchup.

,Nathan Eovaldi will hold the platoon advantage over Isaac Paredes in today’s matchup.

,Isaac Paredes’s 3.4% Barrel% (an advanced metric to study power) grades out in the 14th percentile this year.

,Batting from the same side that Peter Lambert throws from, Ezequiel Duran has a tough challenge today.

,Ezequiel Duran hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.1% — 81st percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the league’s 8th-deepest CF fences in today’s matchup.

,Today, Evan Carter is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 8th-deepest CF center field fences given that he hits his flyballs towards center field at a 38.2% rate (83rd percentile).

,Given that groundball pitchers are least effective against flyball hitters, Nathan Eovaldi (47% GB% per the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be a bit disadvantaged in today’s game with 2 FB hitters in Houston’s projected offense.

,Playing on the road typically diminishes pitcher stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Nathan Eovaldi in today’s matchup.

,Batting from the same side that Nathan Eovaldi throws from, Christian Walker will be in a tough position in today’s game.

,Christian Walker’s launch angle this season (13.8°) is a significant dropoff from his 16.9° figure last year.

,Brice Matthews’s batting average ability is projected to be in the 16th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Brice Matthews is penciled in 6th on the lineup card in this game.

,Peter Lambert will hold the platoon advantage over Josh Jung in today’s game.

,In today’s matchup, Josh Jung is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 8th-deepest CF center field fences given that he hits his flyballs towards center field at a 40.5% rate (99th percentile).

,Justin Foscue is penciled in 9th in the batting order in today’s game.

,Peter Lambert will hold the platoon advantage over Justin Foscue today.

,Playing on the road generally reduces hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Justin Foscue today.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alejandro Osuna in the 11th percentile when it comes to his home run ability.

,Alejandro Osuna is projected to hit 6th in the batting order today.

,Zach Dezenzo is penciled in 8th in the lineup in this game.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Justin Foscue in the 5th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent.

,Jose Altuve’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased from last season to this one, falling from 14.6% to 10.4%.

,Nathan Eovaldi gave up a colossal 5 earned runs in his last game started.

,Playing on the road generally weakens batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Evan Carter today.

,Batting from the same side that Nathan Eovaldi throws from, Zach Dezenzo faces a tough challenge in today’s game.

,In today’s game, Alejandro Osuna is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 8th-deepest CF center field fences given that he hits his flyballs towards center field at a 40.6% rate (99th percentile).

,Yordan Alvarez’s quickness has decreased this year. His 26.19 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 24.59 ft/sec now.

,Nathan Eovaldi will hold the platoon advantage against Brice Matthews in today’s game.

,When assessing his overall offensive skill, Braden Shewmake ranks in the 4th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

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