Series Game 3 Matchup Details

Positive Match Player Stats for Rangers vs Angels Series Game 3 Matchup Today

Angel Stadium projects as the #10 stadium in the majors for LHB home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Among all parks, Angel Stadium has the lowest average fence height.

Evan Carter will hold the platoon advantage over Jose Soriano in today’s game.

Compared to his seasonal average of 16.2°, Evan Carter has significantly improved his launch angle of late, posting a 25.8° angle in the past two weeks’ worth of games.

Gustavo Campero will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s game, which should boost all of his stats.

Gustavo Campero has gotten much quicker this season, improving from last year’s 28.34 ft/sec to 29.07 ft/sec now (according to Statcast’s Sprint Speed metric).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Zach Neto in the 87th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.

Zach Neto is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Angel Stadium as the 10th-best stadium in the majors for RHB home runs.

Zach Neto will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats.

The Barrel% of Zach Neto has significantly improved, with an increase from 8.5% last year to 14% this year.

Zach Neto’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better from last year to this one, rising from 40.6% to 50.5%.

Nolan Schanuel is penciled in 3rd in the lineup today.

Nolan Schanuel will hold the platoon advantage over Nathan Eovaldi in today’s matchup.

Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Nolan Schanuel will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nolan Schanuel in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his batting average skill.

Nolan Schanuel’s average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls this year (17.2°) is considerably higher than his 13° figure last year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wyatt Langford in the 95th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.

Compared to his seasonal average of 17.1°, Wyatt Langford has significantly improved his launch angle of late, posting a 32.8° mark in the past 7 days.

Despite posting a .318 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Wyatt Langford has been unlucky given the .031 difference between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .349.

Mike Trout projects as the 8th-best home run batter in the game, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Mike Trout is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup today.

Batters such as Mike Trout with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Nathan Eovaldi who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum.

Mike Trout projects as the 12th-best batter in the game, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Mike Trout will hold that advantage today.

Mike Trout has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 102.2-mph average in the past 7 days to his seasonal figure of 97.7-mph.

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Taylor Ward ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Taylor Ward is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this matchup.

Extreme flyball batters like Taylor Ward are generally more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Nathan Eovaldi.

Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Taylor Ward will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

Taylor Ward has made substantial gains with his Barrel% of late, improving his 14.7% seasonal rate to 23.8% over the past two weeks.

Luis Rengifo will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats.

This season, Luis Rengifo has experienced a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 90.3 mph compared to last year’s 87.5 mph mark.

Luis Rengifo’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased from last season to this one, rising from 41.4% to 50%.

Luis Rengifo’s batting average skill is projected to be in the 81st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.288) implies that Luis Rengifo has had some very poor luck this year with his .243 actual batting average.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jo Adell in the 97th percentile as it relates to his home run ability.

Jo Adell is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this matchup.

Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Jo Adell will hold that advantage in today’s game.

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Jo Adell ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

This season, Jo Adell has experienced a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 98 mph compared to last year’s 94.1 mph mark.

Jo Adell has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 104.6-mph average over the last 7 days to his seasonal figure of 98-mph.

It may be sensible to expect positive regression for the Los Angeles Angels offense the rest of the season, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) sees them as the 7th-unluckiest offense in the majors this year.

Because flyball hitters hold a sizeable advantage over groundball pitchers, Nathan Eovaldi and his 47% underlying GB% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be in a troublesome position in today’s outing facing 2 opposing GB batters.

Nathan Eovaldi will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.

Nathan Eovaldi’s fastball velocity has decreased 2.1 mph this season (93.3 mph) below where it was last year (95.4 mph).

Nathan Eovaldi has averaged 91.7 adjusted pitches per outing this year, checking in at the 78th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Nathan Eovaldi in the 88th percentile as it relates to his strikeout talent.

The Los Angeles Angels have 3 batters in their projected batting order today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Mike Trout, Jo Adell, Logan O’Hoppe).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Joc Pederson in the 93rd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.

Joc Pederson is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this game.

Batting from the opposite that Jose Soriano throws from, Joc Pederson will have the upper hand in today’s matchup.

Corey Seager projects as the 7th-best batter in Major League Baseball, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Corey Seager is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this game.

Corey Seager will hold the platoon advantage against Jose Soriano in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Marcus Semien in the 82nd percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.

Marcus Semien is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this game.

Batters such as Marcus Semien with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Jose Soriano who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum.

Marcus Semien’s launch angle this year (20.1°) is quite a bit higher than his 16.7° figure last year.

Marcus Semien has had some very poor luck with his wOBA this year; his .294 mark is considerably lower than his .325 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

In the last week, Jonah Heim’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 7.2% up to 21.4%.

Compared to his seasonal average of 14.8°, Jonah Heim has significantly improved his launch angle of late, posting a 24.9° mark in the past 14 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Adolis Garcia in the 81st percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.

Adolis Garcia is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card today.

Adolis Garcia has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 96.8-mph average over the past week to his seasonal EV of 93.5-mph.

Adolis Garcia’s launch angle this year (17.9°) is a significant increase over his 14.8° angle last year.

Adolis Garcia has been unlucky this year, putting up a .287 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .325 — a .038 discrepancy.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Adolis Garcia in the 93rd percentile when assessing his home run talent.

The Texas Rangers have been the 4th-unluckiest offense in MLB this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to hit better the rest of the season,Projected catcher Logan O’Hoppe grades out as a weak pitch framer, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Jose Soriano’s fastball velocity has dropped 1.2 mph this year (96.5 mph) below where it was last season (97.7 mph).

Among all starters, Jose Soriano’s fastball spin rate of 2194 rpm is in the 25th percentile this year.

Recording 95 adjusted pitches per start this year on average, Jose Soriano places him the 93rd percentile.

Angel Stadium profiles as the #10 stadium in MLB for strikeouts, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Jose Soriano has utilized his four-seamer 5.9% less often this year (7.9%) than he did last year (13.8%).

Josh Jung’s BABIP ability is projected in the 88th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Josh Jung has seen a big gain in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 96.6-mph average over the past two weeks to his seasonal 88.1-mph figure.

Josh Jung has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his wOBA this year; his .301 mark is a good deal lower than his .317 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Logan O’Hoppe in the 95th percentile when estimating his home run ability.

Logan O’Hoppe will hold the home field advantage in today’s game, which should boost all of his stats.

This season, Logan O’Hoppe has experienced a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 97.6 mph compared to last year’s 94.6 mph mark.

Josh Smith is projected to hit 1st in the batting order today.

Batting from the opposite that Jose Soriano throws from, Josh Smith will have an advantage in today’s game.

Josh Smith has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 105.6-mph average in the last week’s worth of games to his seasonal EV of 90.7-mph.

As it relates to plate discipline, Josh Smith’s ability is quite strong, putting up a 1.68 K/BB rate this year while grading out in in the 81st percentile.

Josh Smith has notched a .280 batting average this year, ranking in the 84th percentile.

Negative Match Player Stats with Rangers vs Angels Series Game 3

Evan Carter is projected to bat 7th in the batting order in this matchup.

Playing on the road typically reduces hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Evan Carter in today’s matchup.

Over the past 14 days, Evan Carter’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 5.6% down to 0%.

Evan Carter has been cold in recent games, with his seasonal exit velocity of 86.1-mph dropping to 81.8-mph in the past two weeks’ worth of games.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.227) implies that Evan Carter has experienced some positive variance this year with his .247 actual batting average.

When it comes to his home run talent, Gustavo Campero ranks in the 20th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Gustavo Campero is projected to hit 8th in the lineup in this matchup.

Among all the teams today, the 5th-best infield defense is that of the the Texas Rangers.

Hitting from the same side that Nathan Eovaldi throws from, Zach Neto will have a tough matchup today.

In the last week’s worth of games, Zach Neto’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 14% down to 0%.

With a 4.75 K/BB rate this year, Zach Neto has demonstrated bad plate discipline, placing in the 9th percentile.

As it relates to his home run talent, Nolan Schanuel ranks in the 7th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

In the past two weeks’ worth of games, Nolan Schanuel’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 5.7% down to 0%.

Based on Statcast data, Nolan Schanuel ranks in the 24th percentile for power per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances this year at 12.200.

Wyatt Langford has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this year (85% of the time), but he is projected to bat 6th on the lineup card in this game.

Hitting from the same side that Jose Soriano throws from, Wyatt Langford will not have the upper hand in today’s matchup.

Playing on the road generally reduces batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Wyatt Langford in today’s matchup.

Wyatt Langford’s average exit velocity has declined of late; his 90.7-mph seasonal EV has fallen to 88.5-mph in the past 14 days.

Wyatt Langford’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off from last year to this one, decreasing from 15.8% to 11.6%.

Nathan Eovaldi will hold the platoon advantage against Mike Trout in today’s game.

Mike Trout has had positive variance on his side thus far when it comes to his home runs this year; his 32.6 HR per 600 plate appearances mark is significantly inflated relative to his 24.1 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Batting from the same side that Nathan Eovaldi throws from, Taylor Ward will be in a tough position in today’s matchup.

Over the last 7 days, Taylor Ward’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen from his seasonal figure of 94 mph to 86.7 mph.

As it relates to his home runs, Taylor Ward has been very fortunate this year. His 33.0 HR per 600 plate appearances mark has been considerably higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 25.6.

Ranking in the 18th percentile, Taylor Ward has notched a .267 BABIP this year.

As it relates to his home run skill, Luis Rengifo ranks in the 7th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Luis Rengifo is projected to hit 7th on the lineup card in this matchup.

As a switch-hitter who bats worse from the 0 side of the plate, Luis Rengifo will bat from his worse side against Nathan Eovaldi in this game.

Extreme flyball batters like Luis Rengifo are generally less successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Nathan Eovaldi.

Luis Rengifo’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off in recent games; his 90.3-mph seasonal figure has decreased to 82.9-mph in the last week.

Nathan Eovaldi will have the handedness advantage over Jo Adell in today’s matchup.

Over the last week, Jo Adell’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 15.2%.

Jo Adell has notched a .260 BABIP this year, placing in the 15th percentile.

Jo Adell has displayed poor plate discipline this year, placing in the 23rd percentile with a 3.63 K/BB rate.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)’s judgement, Nathan Eovaldi’s overall pitching ability is in the 90th percentile among all starting pitchers in baseball currently.

It is anticipated that we will see a Pitchers Umpire (Jacob Metz) behind the plate today.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Jonah Heim (the Rangers’s expected catcher today) is considered to be a good pitch framer.

Angel Stadium grades out as the #24 stadium in baseball for BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Nathan Eovaldi is an extreme groundball pitcher (47% GB% according to the leading projection system, THE BAT), which should make him somewhat immune to the dangers of pitching in Angel Stadium — the #9 HR venue in MLB — in today’s game.

Joc Pederson will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s matchup.

Joc Pederson’s exit velocity on flyballs has declined this season; his 96-mph figure last year has dropped off to 93-mph.

Joc Pederson’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has fallen off from last season to this one, decreasing from 43.7% to 34.6%.

Checking in at the 10th percentile for Sprint Speed at 25.4 ft/sec this year, Joc Pederson is remarkably slow.

Grading out in the 10th percentile, Joc Pederson has notched a .128 batting average this year.

Playing on the road typically diminishes batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Corey Seager in today’s game.

Jose Soriano will hold the platoon advantage over Marcus Semien today.

Playing on the road typically diminishes batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Marcus Semien today.

Marcus Semien has taken a step back with his Barrel% in recent games; his 7.2% seasonal rate has fallen to 0% in the last two weeks.

Over the past 14 days, Marcus Semien’s 16.2% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 42.9%.

Placing in the 9th percentile, Marcus Semien sports a .255 BABIP this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jonah Heim in the 5th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent.

Jonah Heim is projected to hit 9th on the lineup card in this game.

The switch-hitting Jonah Heim will be at a disadvantage batting from his weak side (0) today against Jose Soriano,Playing on the road generally lowers hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Jonah Heim today.

Jonah Heim’s average exit velocity has dropped off lately; his 88.7-mph seasonal figure has lowered to 84-mph in the past two weeks’ worth of games.

Jose Soriano will hold the platoon advantage over Adolis Garcia in today’s game.

Adolis Garcia will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s game.

Adolis Garcia’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has dropped off recently, falling from 36.3% on the season to 20% over the last week.

Sporting a .234 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) this year , Adolis Garcia grades out in the 23rd percentile.

By putting up a 4.67 K/BB rate this year, Adolis Garcia has displayed bad plate discipline, grading out in the 10th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Jose Soriano in the 91st percentile as it relates to his overall pitching abilities.

Jose Soriano is an extreme groundball pitcher (59% GB% per the leading projection system, THE BAT), which should make him somewhat immune to the dangers of pitching in Angel Stadium — the #9 HR venue in Major League Baseball — in this game.

Jose Soriano will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s game, which ought to bolster all of his stats in all categories.

Josh Jung is penciled in 8th on the lineup card today.

Hitting from the same side that Jose Soriano throws from, Josh Jung will not have the upper hand in today’s matchup.

Josh Jung will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s game.

In the last two weeks, Josh Jung’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 8.2% down to 0%.

Compared to his seasonal figure of 12.3°, Josh Jung has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (-4.6°) in the last 14 days.

Logan O’Hoppe is projected to hit 6th in the lineup in today’s game.

Nathan Eovaldi will hold the platoon advantage against Logan O’Hoppe today.

Posting a 7.08 K/BB rate this year, Logan O’Hoppe has displayed poor plate discipline, checking in at the 2nd percentile.

Playing on the road generally diminishes hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Josh Smith in today’s matchup.

Josh Smith’s launch angle recently (-7.2° over the last 7 days) is a significant dropoff from his 12.8° seasonal angle.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.314) implies that Josh Smith has had positive variance on his side this year with his .337 actual wOBA.

Josh Smith has averaged 11.4 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances this year, grading out in the 22nd percentile for power according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Checking in at the 14th percentile, the hardest ball Josh Smith has made contact with this year reached a maximum exit velocity of 108.2 mph — a reliable indication of underlying power ability.

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