Pirates vs Tigers match player stats | 2025 Series Game 3 Thursday, June 19th

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Pirates vs Tigers match player stats | 2025 Series Game 3 Thursday, June 19th

PIT @ DET

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Series Game 3 Matchup Details

Pittsburgh Pirates at Detroit Tigers
Series Game 3
Todays Game is on Thursday, June 19th
19/06/25 17:40:00 PM EST First Pitch

Positive Match Player Stats for Pirates vs Tigers Series Game 3 Matchup Today

Paul Skenes projects as the 10th-best starter in the league currently as it relates to his strikeout skill, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Paul Skenes has been granted more leash than the typical pitcher this year, recording 6.7 more adjusted pitches-per-start than the average hurler.

The Detroit Tigers have 3 bats in their projected batting order today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Jake Rogers, Spencer Torkelson, Riley Greene).

Comerica Park has the 4th-shortest average fence height in the league.

Hitting from the opposite that Paul Skenes throws from, Zach McKinstry will have an edge today.

Zach McKinstry will possess the home field advantage in today’s game, which should improve all of his stats.

Compared to last season, Zach McKinstry has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for base hits, increasing his percentage of balls hit between -4° and 26° from 44.5% to 54.3% this season.

Zach McKinstry’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better of late, going from 54.3% on the season to 63.3% in the last 14 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ke’Bryan Hayes in the 75th percentile when assessing his batting average talent.

Batters such as Ke’Bryan Hayes with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Keider Montero who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum.

The Detroit Tigers infield defense grades out as the weakest out of all the teams on the slate today.

Despite posting a .254 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Ke’Bryan Hayes has been unlucky given the .043 difference between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .297.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Isiah Kiner-Falefa in the 88th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent.

Extreme flyball batters like Isiah Kiner-Falefa generally hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Keider Montero.

Isiah Kiner-Falefa has compiled a .275 Expected Batting Average this year, checking in at the 80th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Isiah Kiner-Falefa has posted a .280 batting average this year, grading out in the 86th percentile.

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Andrew McCutchen ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Andrew McCutchen is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup.

Andrew McCutchen has seen a big increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 96.1-mph average to last year’s 93-mph EV.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gleyber Torres in the 89th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill.

Gleyber Torres is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this game.

Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Gleyber Torres will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

In the past week’s worth of games, Gleyber Torres has significantly improved the launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls: 18.5° compared to his seasonal mark of 14.1°.

Alexander Canario is projected to hit 5th in the lineup today.

Alexander Canario has strong power (78th percentile) if he makes contact, but that’s usually a big “IF” (31.3% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Keider Montero has a pitch-to-contact profile (7th percentile K%) — great news for Canario.

Alexander Canario’s speed has gotten better this year. His 27.18 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 27.92 ft/sec now.

Alexander Canario has had some very poor luck with his wOBA this year; his .261 rate is a good deal lower than his .306 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Spencer Torkelson in the 93rd percentile when estimating his home run talent.

Spencer Torkelson is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this game.

Extreme groundball batters like Spencer Torkelson tend to perform better against extreme flyball pitchers like Paul Skenes.

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Spencer Torkelson ranks in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Spencer Torkelson will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

When it comes to his BABIP skill, Riley Greene is projected as the 6th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Riley Greene is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this matchup.

Hitting from the opposite that Paul Skenes throws from, Riley Greene will have the upper hand in today’s game.

Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats across the board, and Riley Greene will hold that advantage today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Gonzales in the 95th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent.

Nick Gonzales is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.

Nick Gonzales has seen a big gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 92.9-mph average to last year’s 90.6-mph figure.

Parker Meadows is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this game.

Hitting from the opposite that Paul Skenes throws from, Parker Meadows will have an advantage in today’s game.

Extreme flyball hitters like Parker Meadows are generally more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Paul Skenes.

Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Parker Meadows will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

Negative Match Player Stats with Pirates vs Tigers Series Game 3

The #8 stadium in baseball for suppressing strikeouts, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Comerica Park.

Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest elevation among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to better offense.

With 6 batters of opposing handedness in the opposing team’s projected batting order, Paul Skenes will be in a tough position while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in today’s matchup.

Given that flyball pitchers struggle the most against groundball hitters, Paul Skenes (48% FB% per the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be a bit disadvantaged in this matchup with 2 GB hitters in Detroit’s projected batting order.

Paul Skenes will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s matchup.

Zach McKinstry is penciled in 9th in the lineup today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Comerica Park as the 4th-worst field in the majors for boosting offensive stats to lefties.

Zach McKinstry hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.4% — 93rd percentile) but may find it hard to clear the league’s 2nd-deepest CF fences in today’s matchup.

The Pittsburgh Pirates infield defense profiles as the best among all the teams on the slate today.

Zach McKinstry has negatively regressed with his Barrel% lately; his 6.2% seasonal rate has dropped to 0% over the last week.

Comerica Park grades out as the #22 field in Major League Baseball for LHB BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Ke’Bryan Hayes is projected to hit 8th in the batting order today.

The #4 field in Major League Baseball for suppressing offensive stats to RHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Comerica Park.

Keider Montero will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ke’Bryan Hayes in today’s matchup.

Ke’Bryan Hayes has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (42.3%) and will have to hit them out towards baseball’s 10th-deepest RF fences today.

Playing on the road generally lessens batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Ke’Bryan Hayes in today’s game.

Comerica Park grades out as the #22 stadium in the league for righty base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Isiah Kiner-Falefa is projected to hit 9th in the lineup in today’s game.

Hitting from the same side that Keider Montero throws from, Isiah Kiner-Falefa meets a tough challenge in today’s game.

Isiah Kiner-Falefa has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.2%) and will be challenged by the game’s 10th-deepest RF fences in today’s game.

Isiah Kiner-Falefa will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Isiah Kiner-Falefa in the 4th percentile when it comes to his home run skill.

Keider Montero will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Andrew McCutchen in today’s game.

Andrew McCutchen hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.4% — 93rd percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of MLB’s 2nd-deepest CF fences today.

Playing on the road generally lowers batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Andrew McCutchen in today’s game.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.243) provides evidence that Andrew McCutchen has experienced some positive variance this year with his .262 actual batting average.

Batting from the same side that Paul Skenes throws from, Gleyber Torres will have a tough challenge in today’s matchup.

Today, Gleyber Torres is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 10th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 36.1% rate (90th percentile).

Over the past 7 days, Gleyber Torres’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen from his seasonal figure of 92.5 mph to 90.1 mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alexander Canario in the 16th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill.

Alexander Canario has been replaced by a pinch-hitter 43% of the time when starting against a left-handed starter this year.

The 2nd-deepest CF dimensions among all stadiums are found in Comerica Park.

Batting from the same side that Keider Montero throws from, Alexander Canario will have a disadvantage in today’s matchup.

Batting from the same side that Paul Skenes throws from, Spencer Torkelson has a tough challenge today.

Spencer Torkelson pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36.9% — 94th percentile) and will be challenged by the league’s 5th-deepest LF fences in today’s game.

Spencer Torkelson has been cold in recent games, with his seasonal exit velocity of 90.5-mph dropping to 79-mph in the last week.

In today’s matchup, Riley Greene is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 5th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 35.2% rate (87th percentile).

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.331) may lead us to conclude that Riley Greene has been lucky this year with his .358 actual wOBA.

Keider Montero will have the handedness advantage over Nick Gonzales in today’s matchup.

Playing on the road typically reduces hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Nick Gonzales in today’s matchup.

Nick Gonzales has hit 11.4 home runs per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season, ranking in the 23rd percentile for power.

Nick Gonzales has displayed bad plate discipline since the start of last season, placing in the 20th percentile with a 3.88 K/BB rate.

Parker Meadows hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (40.1% — 98th percentile) and will be challenged by baseball’s 2nd-deepest CF fences in today’s game.

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