
PIT @ DET


Matchup Details
Todays Game is on Tuesday, June 17th
17/06/25 18:40:00 PM EST First Pitch
Positive Match Player Stats for Pirates vs Tigers Matchup Today
Among all major league parks, Comerica Park has the 4th-lowest average fence height.
Built 602 feet above sea level, Comerica Park has the 9th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums, which tends to lead to higher offensive output.
A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is forecasted to have the 2nd-hottest temperature on the slate at 86°.
The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 15.7-mph in this match-up, the strongest of the day for hitters.
Wenceel Perez will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which should bolster all of his stats.
Spencer Horwitz is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this game.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Spencer Horwitz in the 75th percentile when estimating his batting average skill.
Jahmai Jones is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this game.
Batting from the opposite that Bailey Falter throws from, Jahmai Jones will have an advantage today.
Batting from the opposite that Bailey Falter throws from, Javier Baez will have an advantage in today’s matchup.
Extreme flyball hitters like Javier Baez tend to be more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Bailey Falter.
Among all major league stadiums, Comerica Park’s centerfield fences are the 2nd-deepest.
Casey Mize has utilized his change-up 8% more often this season (26.1%) than he did last year (18.1%).
Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Zach McKinstry will hold that advantage in today’s game.
Adam Frazier will hold the platoon advantage against Casey Mize today.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ke’Bryan Hayes in the 75th percentile when assessing his batting average ability.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryan Reynolds in the 93rd percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.
Bryan Reynolds is penciled in 3rd in the batting order today.
When estimating his overall offensive talent, Bryan Reynolds ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Isiah Kiner-Falefa in the 89th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability.
When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Andrew McCutchen ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Andrew McCutchen is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this matchup.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gleyber Torres in the 89th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent.
Gleyber Torres is penciled in 2nd in the batting order today.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gleyber Torres in the 88th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.
When estimating his overall offensive talent, Oneil Cruz ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Oneil Cruz is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in today’s game.
Oneil Cruz projects as the 6th-best home run batter in baseball, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Bailey Falter has a large reverse platoon split and is fortunate enough to be facing 6 opposite-handed bats in today’s game.
Bailey Falter is an extreme flyball pitcher (37.4% FB% according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) and should be helped pitching in the #22 HR venue among all stadiums in today’s game.
Out of all the teams playing today, the 2nd-strongest infield defense is that of the the Pittsburgh Pirates.
Bailey Falter’s change-up rate has risen by 5.8% from last year to this one (0.6% to 6.4%) .
Out of all starting pitchers, Bailey Falter’s fastball velocity of 91.4 mph ranks in the 15th percentile this year.
The Detroit Tigers have 3 bats in their projected batting order today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Parker Meadows, Dillon Dingler, Riley Greene).
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Spencer Torkelson in the 93rd percentile when it comes to his home run skill.
Spencer Torkelson is projected to bat 5th in the batting order today.
When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Spencer Torkelson ranks in the 81st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
When it comes to his BABIP skill, Riley Greene is projected as the 6th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Riley Greene is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.
When estimating his overall offensive talent, Riley Greene ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Dillon Dingler’s BABIP ability is projected in the 75th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Dillon Dingler is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in today’s game, which would be an upgrade from his 80% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year.
Dillon Dingler will have the handedness advantage against Bailey Falter in today’s matchup.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Gonzales in the 95th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.
Nick Gonzales is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this game.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Henry Davis in the 76th percentile when it comes to his home run talent.
Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Parker Meadows will hold that advantage today.
Negative Match Player Stats with Pirates vs Tigers
Wenceel Perez is projected to bat 7th in the batting order in today’s game.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Comerica Park as the 7th-worst stadium in Major League Baseball for run-scoring.
The switch-hitting Wenceel Perez will be at a disadvantage batting from his worse side (0) today against Bailey Falter,Wenceel Perez pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.7% — 91st percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball’s 5th-deepest LF fences in today’s game.
Spencer Horwitz has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.6%) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball’s 5th-deepest LF fences today.
Spencer Horwitz will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s game.
Jahmai Jones hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 83rd percentile) but may find it hard to clear baseball’s 2nd-deepest CF fences today.
Javier Baez is projected to bat 8th in the batting order today.
In today’s matchup, Javier Baez is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 5th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 34% rate (81st percentile).
Javier Baez is an extreme groundball hitter and squares off against the strong infield defense of Pittsburgh (#2-best on the slate today).
The #9 ballpark in MLB for boosting walks, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Comerica Park.
Out of all the teams playing today, the 2nd-weakest infield defense belongs to the Detroit Tigers.
Casey Mize’s fastball velocity has decreased 1.6 mph this year (93.8 mph) below where it was last season (95.4 mph).
Zach McKinstry is projected to bat 6th in the batting order today.
Batting from the same side that Bailey Falter throws from, Zach McKinstry will not have the upper hand today.
Zach McKinstry hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.4% — 93rd percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the league’s 2nd-deepest CF fences today.
As it relates to his home run skill, Adam Frazier ranks in the 4th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Adam Frazier is projected to hit 6th in the batting order in this game.
In today’s game, Adam Frazier is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 5th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 34.2% rate (79th percentile).
Playing on the road generally weakens hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Adam Frazier today.
When estimating his overall offensive skill, Adam Frazier ranks in the 12th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Ke’Bryan Hayes has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this year (50% of the time), but he is penciled in 7th in the lineup in this game.
Hitting from the same side that Casey Mize throws from, Ke’Bryan Hayes will have a tough challenge in today’s game.
Ke’Bryan Hayes has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (42.4%) and will have to hit them out towards MLB’s 10th-deepest RF fences in today’s game.
Extreme groundball batters like Ke’Bryan Hayes tend to be less successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Casey Mize.
Ke’Bryan Hayes will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s game.
Bryan Reynolds has a 75th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.5%) but may find it hard to clear MLB’s 5th-deepest LF fences in today’s matchup.
Bryan Reynolds will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s game.
When estimating his home run ability, Isiah Kiner-Falefa ranks in the 4th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Isiah Kiner-Falefa is penciled in 9th in the batting order in this matchup.
Casey Mize will hold the platoon advantage against Isiah Kiner-Falefa in today’s game.
Isiah Kiner-Falefa has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.2%) but may find it hard to clear the league’s 10th-deepest RF fences in today’s matchup.
Typically, bats like Isiah Kiner-Falefa who hit a lot of flyballs generally hit worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of flyballs such as Casey Mize.
Playing on the road generally lessens batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Isiah Kiner-Falefa today.
Casey Mize will hold the platoon advantage against Andrew McCutchen in today’s game.
Andrew McCutchen hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.5% — 93rd percentile) but may find it hard to clear baseball’s 2nd-deepest CF fences today.
Playing on the road generally reduces hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Andrew McCutchen in today’s game.
In today’s game, Gleyber Torres is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 10th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 36.4% rate (91st percentile).
Oneil Cruz hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 85th percentile) and will be challenged by the game’s 2nd-deepest CF fences in today’s matchup.
Playing on the road generally lessens batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Oneil Cruz in today’s game.
Bailey Falter has been given less leash than the average pitcher this year, throwing 8 fewer adjusted pitches-per-game than the average hurler.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Bailey Falter in the 9th percentile when estimating his strikeout ability.
Spencer Torkelson pulls a lot of his flyballs (36.9% — 94th percentile) and will be challenged by the game’s 5th-deepest LF fences in today’s matchup.
Typically, bats like Spencer Torkelson who hit a lot of flyballs usually hit worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of flyballs such as Bailey Falter.
Bailey Falter will hold the platoon advantage against Riley Greene today.
Riley Greene has an 88th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.4%) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of MLB’s 5th-deepest LF fences today.
Casey Mize will have the handedness advantage against Nick Gonzales in today’s matchup.
Playing on the road generally weakens batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Nick Gonzales in today’s matchup.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Henry Davis in the 21st percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.
Henry Davis is penciled in 8th in the batting order in this game.
Casey Mize will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Henry Davis today.
Henry Davis pulls many of his flyballs (36% — 92nd percentile) but may find it hard to clear MLB’s 5th-deepest LF fences in today’s matchup.
Playing on the road generally reduces batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Henry Davis in today’s game.
Parker Meadows is penciled in 9th on the lineup card in today’s game, which would be a downgrade from his 73% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this year.
Hitting from the same side that Bailey Falter throws from, Parker Meadows will have a tough matchup in today’s game.
Parker Meadows hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (40.2% — 98th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards baseball’s 2nd-deepest CF fences in today’s matchup.
Typically, hitters like Parker Meadows who hit a lot of flyballs tend to perform worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of flyballs such as Bailey Falter.
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