Todays Matchup Details

Player match stat positives for Pittsburgh at Milwaukee Matchup Today

American Family Field has the 8th-shallowest centerfield fences among all major league parks.

American Family Field has the 4th-shortest fence height (on average) in the league.

Batting from the opposite that Colin Rea throws from, Josh Palacios will have an advantage today.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.256) may lead us to conclude that Josh Palacios has had bad variance on his side since the start of last season with his .241 actual batting average.

Utilizing Statcast metrics, Josh Palacios grades out in the 79th percentile for power per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season at 23.500.

Oneil Cruz projects as the 17th-best home run batter in the majors, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Oneil Cruz is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.

Oneil Cruz will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Colin Rea today.

Rowdy Tellez has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (50% of the time), but he is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this matchup.

American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense.

Hitting from the opposite that Colin Rea throws from, Rowdy Tellez will have the upper hand in today’s game.

Rowdy Tellez hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (40.3% — 99th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards the game’s 8th-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.

Rowdy Tellez has made substantial improvements with his Barrel% in recent games, upping his 6.8% seasonal rate to 14.8% in the last two weeks’ worth of games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Gonzales in the 96th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent.

Nick Gonzales is penciled in 5th in the batting order in today’s game.

In the last week, Nick Gonzales’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 11.6% up to 20%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryan Reynolds in the 94th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.

Bryan Reynolds is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this game.

The switch-hitting Bryan Reynolds will have the advantage of batting from from his better side (0) today against Colin Rea.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andrew McCutchen in the 85th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.

Andrew McCutchen is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in today’s game.

Andrew McCutchen hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 86th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game’s 8th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

Oneil Cruz’s BABIP talent is projected in the 93rd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

When assessing his home run skill, Rowdy Tellez ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Batting from the opposite that Colin Rea throws from, Jack Suwinski will have an advantage in today’s game.

Jack Suwinski has made big gains with his Barrel% lately, upping his 9.4% seasonal rate to 44.4% over the past week.

Jack Suwinski has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 98.6-mph average in the last 7 days to his seasonal 88.4-mph average.

Jack Suwinski’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved recently, rising from 15% on the season to 44.4% in the past week’s worth of games.

Since the start of last season, Josh Palacios’s 9.8% Barrel%, an advanced standard for measuring power, places him in the 75th percentile among his peers.

When estimating his home run skill, Jack Suwinski ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Jack Suwinski has strong power (96th percentile) if he makes contact, but that’s never a sure thing (31.5% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Colin Rea struggles to strike batters out (8th percentile K%) — great news for Suwinski.

Andrew McCutchen has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 99.5-mph average in the last 14 days to his seasonal figure of 94-mph.

The Pittsburgh Pirates have been the 5th-unluckiest offense in Major League Baseball this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to hit better the rest of the season, The #3 field in the league for boosting walks, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is American Family Field.

Colin Rea’s 91.6-mph fastball velocity this year ranks in the 23rd percentile among all starting pitchers.

The Pittsburgh Pirates have 5 bats in their projected batting order today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Jared Triolo, Joey Bart, Jack Suwinski, Nick Gonzales, Oneil Cruz).

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks American Family Field as the 4th-best park in Major League Baseball for strikeouts.

In the last week, Nick Gonzales’s 13.3% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 16.3%.

Tuesday player match stat slumps with Pirates vs Brewers Matchup

Josh Palacios is projected to bat 6th in the batting order in today’s game.

When starting against a righty hurler since the start of last season, Josh Palacios has been lifted for a pinch-hitter 16% of the time.

In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report forecasts the 5th-best pitching conditions on the slate.

Josh Palacios will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s matchup.

In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Josh Palacios ranks in just the 16th percentile with a 7.2° launch angle, which is among the most groundball-inducing angles in the league.

Oneil Cruz will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.

Posting a 4.35 K/BB rate this year, Oneil Cruz has shown bad plate discipline, ranking in the 13th percentile.

Rowdy Tellez’s BABIP ability is projected in the 4th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

This year, Rowdy Tellez has been replaced by a pinch-hitter in 24% of his appearances when starting against right-handed pitcher.

Rowdy Tellez will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s game.

From last season to this one, Rowdy Tellez’s ability to hit the ball at a launch angle that optimizes home runs (23° to 34°) has decreased substantially, plummeting from 16.1% to 12.9%.

Colin Rea will have the handedness advantage over Nick Gonzales in today’s game.

Nick Gonzales will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s game.

Nick Gonzales’s average exit velocity has declined in recent games; his 88.7-mph seasonal average has lowered to 85.8-mph in the last 14 days.

When it comes to plate discipline, Nick Gonzales’s ability is quite bad, posting a 5.1 K/BB rate this year while ranking in in the 7th percentile.

Playing on the road generally lessens hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Bryan Reynolds today.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.264) suggests that Bryan Reynolds has had some very good luck this year with his .281 actual batting average.

Colin Rea will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Andrew McCutchen today.

Playing on the road typically lessens hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Andrew McCutchen in today’s game.

Andrew McCutchen’s launch angle in recent games (3.2° over the last 14 days) is quite a bit lower than his 11.6° seasonal figure.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (13.3) implies that Rowdy Tellez has been lucky this year with his 18.2 actual HR/600.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jack Suwinski in the 14th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent.

Jack Suwinski is penciled in 7th on the lineup card today.

Jack Suwinski pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.2% — 88th percentile) and will be challenged by the league’s 7th-deepest RF fences in today’s matchup.

Playing on the road typically weakens batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Jack Suwinski in today’s matchup.

Jack Suwinski has compiled a .259 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, grading out in the 10th percentile.

Home field advantage generally bolsters pitcher metrics across the board, and Colin Rea will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

In his last game started, Colin Rea was on point and allowed 0 ER.

Colin Rea has relied on his slider 6% more often this season (16.7%) than he did last year (10.7%).

Pittsburgh’s 11° launch angle (an advanced metric to study the ability to lift the ball for power) is among the lowest in the league this year: #28 overall.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Colin Rea in the 22nd percentile when it comes to his strikeout skill.

Taking into account both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Colin Rea is projected to throw 85 pitches in today’s game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the 4th-least of all pitchers on the slate today.

Colin Rea has recorded a 7.5% Swinging Strike rate this year, ranking in the 4th percentile.