Todays Series Game 3 Matchup Details

Player match stat positives for Pittsburgh at Milwaukee Series Game 3 Matchup Today

It may be best to expect improved performance for the Pittsburgh Pirates offense in future games, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes they are the 6th-unluckiest offense in the league this year.

Jordan Baker grades out as a Hitters Umpire and is expected to be behind the plate today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles American Family Field as the 3rd-best stadium in baseball for walks.

American Family Field has the 8th-shallowest centerfield dimensions in Major League Baseball.

American Family Field has the 4th-lowest fences in the majors.

When estimating his home run skill, Rowdy Tellez ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Rowdy Tellez is penciled in 4th in the batting order today.

The #9 park in the game for boosting home runs to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is American Family Field.

Built 602 feet above sea level, American Family Field has the 8th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects William Contreras in the 95th percentile when estimating his batting average talent.

William Contreras is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card today.

William Contreras hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.4% — 96th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards MLB’s 8th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

The Pittsburgh Pirates outfield defense projects as the 12th-weakest among every team on the slate today.

Yasmani Grandal has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 90.8-mph average to last year’s 87.9-mph average.

Despite posting a .221 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Yasmani Grandal has had some very poor luck given the .062 discrepancy between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .283.

American Family Field grades out as the #9 park in MLB for RHB home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Rhys Hoskins in the 94th percentile when it comes to his home run skill.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Palacios in the 77th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability.

Hitting from the opposite that Aaron Civale throws from, Josh Palacios will have an advantage today.

The Pittsburgh Pirates have 3 bats in their projected batting order today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Oneil Cruz, Nick Gonzales, Jack Suwinski).

American Family Field grades out as the #4 ballpark in Major League Baseball for strikeouts, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Rhys Hoskins ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics across the board, and Rhys Hoskins will hold that advantage in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Gonzales in the 95th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability.

Nick Gonzales is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this game.

Nick Gonzales has made big improvements with his Barrel% lately, upping his 11.1% seasonal rate to 16.7% in the past 7 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ke’Bryan Hayes in the 77th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Ke’Bryan Hayes’s true offensive talent to be a .301, implying that he has experienced some negative variance this year given the .037 difference between that mark and his actual .264 wOBA.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Willy Adames in the 89th percentile as it relates to his home run ability.

Willy Adames is projected to hit 4th in the batting order today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Sal Frelick in the 81st percentile when it comes to his batting average talent.

Hitting from the opposite that Paul Skenes throws from, Sal Frelick will have an advantage in today’s game.

Sal Frelick hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.4% — 96th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards baseball’s 8th-shallowest CF fences today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects William Contreras in the 94th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.

Rowdy Tellez will have the handedness advantage against Aaron Civale in today’s game.

Brice Turang is projected to bat 1st in the batting order today.

Brice Turang will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Paul Skenes in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Oneil Cruz as MLB’s 14th-best home run hitter.

Oneil Cruz is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in today’s game.

Josh Palacios has been hot lately, putting up a 97.3-mph average exit velocity in the last week’s worth of games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Garrett Mitchell in the 91st percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.

Garrett Mitchell is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in today’s game.

Andruw Monasterio will hold the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryan Reynolds in the 94th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.

Bryan Reynolds is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup.

Rowdy Tellez hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (40.3% — 99th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league’s 8th-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.

Rowdy Tellez has made big strides with his Barrel% recently, upping his 7.1% seasonal rate to 17.9% in the last two weeks.

Batting from the opposite that Paul Skenes throws from, Garrett Mitchell will have the upper hand today.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Andrew McCutchen ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Andrew McCutchen is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christian Yelich as the 6th-best batter in the game when estimating his BABIP talent.

Christian Yelich is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.

Batting from the opposite that Paul Skenes throws from, Christian Yelich will have an edge today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christian Yelich in the 96th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.

When it comes to his home runs, Andruw Monasterio has suffered from bad luck since the start of last season. His 6.1 HR per 600 plate appearances mark has been deflated compared to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 12.1.

Andrew McCutchen hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 85th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards the league’s 8th-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.

The Barrel% of Andrew McCutchen has significantly improved, with an increase from 6.8% last year to 12.6% this season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Willy Adames in the 87th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.

Brice Turang hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 86th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league’s 8th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

Paul Skenes has averaged 95.2 adjusted pitches per outing this year, placing in the 91st percentile.

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Oneil Cruz ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Oneil Cruz will hold the platoon advantage over Aaron Civale today.

The switch-hitting Bryan Reynolds will have the advantage of batting from from his strong side (0) today against Aaron Civale.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Andruw Monasterio’s true offensive ability to be a .294, implying that he has had some very poor luck this year given the .057 disparity between that mark and his actual .237 wOBA.

Paul Skenes projects as the 7th-best starter in the majors right now as it relates to his strikeout ability, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Thursday Series Game 3 player match stat slumps with Pirates vs Brewers Matchup

The weather report forecasts the 8th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule today, as it relates to temperature and humidity.

Given his reverse platoon split, Aaron Civale will be at an advantage squaring off against 6 bats in the projected offense of opposing handedness today.

The Milwaukee Brewers outfield defense grades out as the 4th-best out of all the teams today.

Aaron Civale will hold the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats in all categories.

Out of all starters, Aaron Civale’s fastball spin rate of 2409 rpm is in the 83rd percentile this year.

24% of the time that Rowdy Tellez has started against a right-handed pitcher this year, he has been pulled from the game early.

Rowdy Tellez will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s matchup.

Compared to his seasonal mark of 12.9°, Rowdy Tellez has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (5.3°) over the last 14 days.

Rowdy Tellez’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off from last year to this one, going from 16.1% to 13%.

Paul Skenes will hold the platoon advantage against William Contreras in today’s game.

William Contreras’s exit velocity on flyballs has declined of late; his 96.9-mph seasonal mark has lowered to 94.6-mph in the last 14 days.

William Contreras’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased recently, falling from 9.9% on the season to 5.7% over the last two weeks.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.269) provides evidence that William Contreras has had positive variance on his side this year with his .296 actual batting average.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Yasmani Grandal in the 4th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability.

Yasmani Grandal is projected to hit 9th in the batting order in today’s game.

The switch-hitting Yasmani Grandal will be at a disadvantage batting from his weak side (0) today against Aaron Civale, Rhys Hoskins is projected to bat 6th on the lineup card today.

Paul Skenes will hold the platoon advantage over Rhys Hoskins in today’s game.

Rhys Hoskins’s exit velocity on flyballs has declined lately; his 95.2-mph seasonal mark has lowered to 92-mph over the past two weeks.

In notching a .202 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) this year , Rhys Hoskins grades out in the 5th percentile.

Josh Palacios is projected to bat 6th on the lineup card in this matchup.

Since the start of last season, Josh Palacios has been pinch hit for in 16% of his appearances when starting against righty hurler.

Josh Palacios will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s game.

Aaron Civale’s cutter utilization has dropped by 6% from last year to this one (37.4% to 31.4%) .

Aaron Civale has had positive variance on his side thus far when it comes to his strikeouts this year, posting a 9.00 K/9 despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 8.46 — a 0.54 K/9 gap.

Hitting from the same side that Aaron Civale throws from, Nick Gonzales encounters a tough challenge today.

Playing on the road generally reduces hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Nick Gonzales in today’s game.

Nick Gonzales’s average exit velocity has declined of late; his 88.8-mph seasonal EV has fallen to 86.8-mph in the last 14 days.

Ke’Bryan Hayes is projected to hit 7th in the batting order in today’s game, which would be a downgrade from his 80% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this year.

Aaron Civale will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ke’Bryan Hayes today.

Ke’Bryan Hayes has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (41.3%) but may find it hard to clear MLB’s 7th-deepest RF fences today.

Paul Skenes will have the handedness advantage over Willy Adames in today’s game.

Over the last 14 days, Willy Adames’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off from his seasonal mark of 93.1 mph to 87.1 mph.

In the last 14 days, Willy Adames’s 6.5% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 18.2%.

Sal Frelick is penciled in 7th in the lineup in this game.

Sal Frelick’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off from last season to this one, falling from 10.9% to 7.9%.

Over the past 7 days, Sal Frelick’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 7.9%.

In terms of his batting average, Sal Frelick has had some very good luck this year. His .262 mark has been a fair amount higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .242.

As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, William Contreras has been lucky this year. His .349 figure has been quite a bit higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .328.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Rowdy Tellez in the 4th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brice Turang in the 7th percentile when assessing his home run ability.

Brice Turang’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off in recent games; his 89.1-mph seasonal figure has fallen to 85-mph over the past two weeks.

Brice Turang’s average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls this year (2.4°) is a considerable dropoff from his 10.2° mark last year.

Brice Turang’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off lately, going from 15% on the season to 10.3% over the past 14 days.

Oneil Cruz will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s matchup.

Compared to his seasonal mark of 11.9°, Oneil Cruz has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (7.7°) in the last two weeks.

When it comes to plate discipline, Oneil Cruz’s ability is quite weak, sporting a 4.34 K/BB rate this year while grading out in in the 13th percentile.

Garrett Mitchell has been cold lately, putting up a 0% Barrel% (an advanced standard to assess power) over the past week.

Posting a lowly an 80.3-mph average exit velocity in the last 7 days, Garrett Mitchell has been in a slump of late.

Garrett Mitchell has not been honed in on the ideal launch angle for home runs of late, lifting balls between 23° and 34° just 0% of the time in the past 7 days.

When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Garrett Mitchell has been lucky since the start of last season. His .315 figure has been considerably higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .288.

Andruw Monasterio is penciled in 9th in the batting order in this matchup.

Paul Skenes will hold the platoon advantage over Andruw Monasterio today.

Andruw Monasterio has a 77th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.1%) and will be challenged by the game’s 7th-deepest RF fences today.

Over the last week, Andruw Monasterio’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 9.6% down to 0%.

Playing on the road generally reduces batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Bryan Reynolds in today’s matchup.

Over the past 7 days, Bryan Reynolds’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased from his seasonal mark of 94.6 mph to 87 mph.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.340) provides evidence that Bryan Reynolds has been lucky this year with his .355 actual wOBA.

In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Josh Palacios ranks in just the 11th percentile with a 7.1° launch angle, which is among the lowest angles in the league.

Playing on the road typically weakens hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Ke’Bryan Hayes today.

When estimating his home run ability, Sal Frelick ranks in the 4th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Yasmani Grandal ranks in the 25th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Playing on the road generally reduces hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Yasmani Grandal today.

Hitting from the same side that Aaron Civale throws from, Andrew McCutchen will have a tough matchup today.

Playing on the road typically lessens hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Andrew McCutchen in today’s matchup.

Andrew McCutchen has negatively regressed with his Barrel% recently; his 12.6% seasonal rate has dropped to 0% over the last 7 days.

As it relates to his batting average, Bryan Reynolds has experienced some positive variance this year. His .280 BA has been quite a bit higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .264.

Christian Yelich has been lucky this year, posting a .402 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .350 — a .052 deviation.

Paul Skenes projects as the 4th-best starting pitcher in MLB currently, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

It may be wise to expect worse numbers for the Milwaukee Brewers offense in the future, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) sees them as the 3rd-luckiest offense in the league this year.

Projected catcher Yasmani Grandal grades out as a good pitch framer, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

In his last start, Paul Skenes was in good form and allowed 2 ER.

Nick Gonzales has exhibited bad plate discipline this year, ranking in the 10th percentile with a 4.6 K/BB rate.

Brice Turang has been lucky this year, notching a .328 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .293 — a .035 discrepancy.

Paul Skenes will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.

Considering the 0.47 disparity between Paul Skenes’s 11.83 K/9 and his 11.36 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it’s safe to say he’s been one of the luckiest pitchers in the league this year in terms of strikeouts and figures to see worse results in future games.