
WSH @ NYM





Todays Series Game 3 Matchup Details
Series Game 3
Todays Game is on Thursday, July 11th
11/07/24 13:10:00 PM EST First Pitch
Player match stat positives for Washington at New York Series Game 3 Matchup Today
The shallowest centerfield fences in the majors are found in Citi Field.
The weather report predicts the 2nd-most favorable hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity.
The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 18.4-mph in this match-up, the strongest of the day for hitters.
Batting from the opposite that MacKenzie Gore throws from, Jose Iglesias will have the upper hand in today’s matchup.
Jose Iglesias will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats.
When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Brandon Nimmo ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Brandon Nimmo is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card today.
Brandon Nimmo is apt to have an advantage against every reliever for the game’s entirety, since the bullpen of the Washington Nationals only has 1 same-handed RP.
CJ Abrams’s batting average ability is projected to be in the 80th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
CJ Abrams is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card today.
Harold Ramirez is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in today’s game.
Hitting from the opposite that David Peterson throws from, Harold Ramirez will have an edge in today’s matchup.
A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is forecasted to have the 3rd-hottest weather of all games today at 87°.
The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 15.1-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-strongest of the day for hitters.
Keibert Ruiz pulls a lot of his flyballs (38.2% — 97th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards baseball’s 4th-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.
The New York Mets infield defense grades out as the 5th-worst among all the teams today.
Keibert Ruiz’s launch angle this year (19.8°) is considerably higher than his 15.1° angle last year.
As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Francisco Lindor ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Francisco Lindor is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this matchup.
The switch-hitting Francisco Lindor will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his strong side (0) today against MacKenzie Gore.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Pete Alonso as the majors’s 12th-best home run batter.
Pete Alonso is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card today.
Batting from the opposite that MacKenzie Gore throws from, Pete Alonso will have an edge in today’s game.
Mark Vientos is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this matchup.
Batting from the opposite that MacKenzie Gore throws from, Mark Vientos will have the upper hand today.
Mark Vientos hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39% — 92nd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards baseball’s shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.
It is anticipated that we will see a Hitters Umpire (Chad Fairchild) in charge of the strike zone in today’s game.
The New York Mets infield defense grades out as the 13th-worst among all the teams today.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects James Wood in the 95th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.
James Wood is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.
James Wood has a 79th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.4%) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them in the direction of the game’s 4th-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.
Over the past two weeks, James Wood has been performing exceptionally well at the plate with a wOBA of .349.
Hitting from the opposite that MacKenzie Gore throws from, Luis Torrens will have an advantage in today’s game.
Luis Torrens hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 85th percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB’s shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.
Luis Torrens will hold the home field advantage in today’s game, which should improve all of his stats.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lane Thomas in the 79th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.
Lane Thomas is penciled in 2nd in the batting order today.
Lane Thomas will hold the platoon advantage over David Peterson today.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.D. Martinez in the 90th percentile when it comes to his home run ability.
J.D. Martinez is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.
Tyrone Taylor will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against MacKenzie Gore in today’s matchup.
Tyrone Taylor pulls many of his flyballs (34.1% — 81st percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards the game’s 4th-shallowest LF fences today.
Tyrone Taylor will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats.
Jacob Young will hold the platoon advantage over David Peterson today.
LaVictor Lipscomb will hold the platoon advantage against David Peterson today.
When it comes to his home run skill, Tyrone Taylor ranks in the 78th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Juan Yepez is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 83% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year.
Juan Yepez will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against David Peterson in today’s game.
Juan Yepez pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.5% — 89th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards baseball’s 4th-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mark Vientos in the 91st percentile as it relates to his home run ability.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Harold Ramirez as the 20th-best batter in Major League Baseball when estimating his batting average ability.
Batting from the opposite that MacKenzie Gore throws from, Harrison Bader will have an edge today.
Harrison Bader hits many of his flyballs to center field (39% — 92nd percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game’s shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.
Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Harrison Bader will hold that advantage today.
CJ Abrams has made big improvements with his Barrel% recently, upping his 7.3% seasonal rate to 13.8% over the last 14 days.
Citi Field profiles as the #5 ballpark in MLB for strikeouts, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).
David Peterson has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his strikeouts this year, putting up a 6.45 K/9 despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 8.94 — a 2.48 K/9 disparity.
LaVictor Lipscomb has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 88.4-mph average in the past week’s worth of games to his seasonal 85.2-mph mark.
When it comes to his strikeout skill, MacKenzie Gore projects as the 16th-best SP in MLB currently, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).
MacKenzie Gore has been granted more leash than the typical pitcher this year, throwing 7.0 more adjusted pitches-per-start than the average starting pitcher.
Given his large reverse platoon split, MacKenzie Gore figures to be at an advantage matching up with 8 hitters in the projected lineup who hit from the other side in today’s game.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects MacKenzie Gore in the 83rd percentile when it comes to his overall pitching abilities.
It may be best to expect worse results for the New York Mets offense in future games, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) views them as the 8th-luckiest offense in baseball this year.
When it comes to his overall offensive talent, J.D. Martinez ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Pete Alonso projects as the 20th-best hitter in Major League Baseball, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Iglesias in the 88th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jacob Young in the 88th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.
Thursday Series Game 3 player match stat slumps with Nationals vs Mets Matchup
When assessing his home run talent, Jose Iglesias ranks in the 2nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Jose Iglesias is projected to hit 7th in the batting order in today’s game.
This year, Jose Iglesias has been pulled from the game early in 11% of his appearances when starting against lefty hurler.
Citi Field projects as the #30 ballpark in the majors for run-scoring, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Citi Field’s elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all parks, which generally leads to less offense.
Batting from the same side that MacKenzie Gore throws from, Brandon Nimmo will not have the upper hand in today’s matchup.
Brandon Nimmo has been lucky in regards to his home runs this year; his 23.9 HR per 600 plate appearances mark is significantly inflated relative to his 19.7 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Citi Field as the 9th-worst ballpark in baseball for righty home runs.
The #1 ballpark in Major League Baseball for suppressing batting average to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citi Field.
Hitting from the same side that David Peterson throws from, CJ Abrams will have a tough matchup in today’s game.
Playing on the road typically lessens batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for CJ Abrams in today’s game.
CJ Abrams has been lucky this year, putting up a .359 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .315 — a .044 deviation.
When it comes to his home run talent, Harold Ramirez ranks in the 12th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Typically, batters like Harold Ramirez who hit a lot of flyballs tend to perform worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of flyballs such as David Peterson.
Harold Ramirez will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s matchup.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Keibert Ruiz in the 4th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent.
Keibert Ruiz is projected to hit 6th on the lineup card today.
The switch-hitting Keibert Ruiz will be at a disadvantage batting from his worse side (0) today against David Peterson, In the past week, Pete Alonso’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 12.2% down to 0%.
Pete Alonso has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 92.2-mph average over the past 7 days to his seasonal 89-mph average.
Citi Field projects as the #30 venue in the league for RHB batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Mark Vientos’s exit velocity on flyballs has declined this season; his 97.3-mph figure last season has dropped to 94.4-mph.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Mark Vientos’s true offensive talent to be a .311, implying that he has had positive variance on his side this year given the .058 gap between that mark and his actual .369 wOBA.
The 2nd-worst projected batting order of all teams on the slate in terms of overall offensive skill is that of the the Washington Nationals.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Citi Field as the worst stadium in the majors for batting average.
Considering that groundball pitchers have a notable edge over groundball bats, David Peterson and his 49.5% underlying GB% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be in a good position in today’s game going up against 5 opposing GB bats.
Home field advantage generally boosts pitcher stats in all categories, and David Peterson will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.
Batting from the same side that David Peterson throws from, James Wood encounters a tough challenge in today’s game.
Extreme groundball bats like James Wood are generally less successful against extreme groundball pitchers like David Peterson.
Playing on the road generally reduces hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for James Wood in today’s matchup.
The #9 venue in the majors for suppressing home runs to LHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citi Field.
Luis Torrens is projected to bat 6th in the lineup in this matchup.
This year, Luis Torrens has been pinch hit for in 11% of his appearances when starting against left-handed starter.
Luis Torrens’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off lately; his 97.2-mph seasonal mark has fallen to 94.9-mph over the last week.
Lane Thomas will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s matchup.
Lane Thomas’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off recently; his 89.9-mph seasonal average has lowered to 79.1-mph over the last week.
In the past two weeks, Lane Thomas’s 5.4% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 14.1%.
In the last 7 days, J.D. Martinez’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 17.4% down to 0%.
J.D. Martinez’s average exit velocity has fallen off this season; his 93.4-mph average last season has dropped to 90.6-mph.
J.D. Martinez’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased recently, going from 18.6% on the season to 0% in the last 7 days.
Tyrone Taylor is projected to hit 8th in the lineup in today’s game.
Tyrone Taylor has been replaced by a pinch-hitter 19% of the time when starting against a southpaw this year.
Posting a 4.71 K/BB rate this year, Tyrone Taylor has displayed bad plate discipline, checking in at the 9th percentile.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jacob Young in the 1st percentile as it relates to his home run ability.
Jacob Young is projected to bat 9th on the lineup card in this matchup.
Extreme groundball bats like Jacob Young generally hit worse against extreme groundball pitchers like David Peterson.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects LaVictor Lipscomb in the 4th percentile when assessing his home run ability.
LaVictor Lipscomb is projected to bat 7th on the lineup card in this matchup.
Typically, batters like LaVictor Lipscomb who hit a lot of flyballs are generally less successful when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of flyballs such as David Peterson.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Juan Yepez in the 18th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.
Playing on the road typically lessens hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Juan Yepez today.
Over the past 7 days, Juan Yepez has been exhibiting poor exit velocity numbers, with an average of only 84.6-mph on his flyballs.
There has been a decrease in Harold Ramirez’s average exit velocity this year, from 89 mph last year to 86.2 mph now, Keibert Ruiz will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s game.
Brandon Nimmo’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off lately, decreasing from 17.5% on the season to 10.3% in the last two weeks.
Harrison Bader is penciled in 9th in the batting order in this game.
Harrison Bader has been pulled from the game early 15% of the time when starting against a lefty hurler this year.
Harrison Bader has struggled with his Barrel% lately; his 7.3% seasonal rate has dropped off to 0% in the last week’s worth of games.
David Peterson has used his sinker 6.7% more often this year (31.3%) than he did last season (24.6%).
David Peterson’s 2144-rpm fastball spin rate this year grades out in the 22nd percentile out of all starters.
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Riley Adams (the Nationals’s expected catcher in today’s game) profiles as a weak pitch framer.
MacKenzie Gore will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.
Keibert Ruiz’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off this year; his 89.9-mph average last season has lowered to 86.4-mph.
When it comes to his overall offensive skill, LaVictor Lipscomb ranks in the 7th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Jose Iglesias has been cold in recent games, notching a 0% Barrel% (an advanced stat to evaluate power) in the past week’s worth of games.
Jacob Young will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.
