Series Game 2 Matchup Details

Philadelphia Phillies at Chicago Cubs
Series Game 2
Wednesday, July 3rd
2024-07-03 20:05:00 EST Game Start Time / First Pitch

MLB Player match stats positives for Philadelphia at Chicago Series Game 2 Matchup

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trea Turner as the 16th-best batter in the majors as it relates to his batting average talent.

Trea Turner is penciled in 2nd in the batting order today.

The 5th-shallowest left field dimensions in Major League Baseball are found in Wrigley Field.

Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation in MLB, which tends to lead to higher offensive output.

Trea Turner will have the handedness advantage against Shota Imanaga in today’s matchup.

The switch-hitting Rafael Marchan will get to bat from his good side (0) today against Shota Imanaga.

The Chicago Cubs infield defense projects as the 5th-worst among all the teams on the slate today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Wrigley Field as the 6th-best field in the game for run-scoring.

Batting from the opposite that Shota Imanaga throws from, Johan Rojas will have the upper hand in today’s matchup.

Extreme groundball batters like Johan Rojas tend to perform better against extreme flyball pitchers like Shota Imanaga.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Cody Bellinger ranks in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Cody Bellinger is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in today’s game.

Hitting from the opposite that Zack Wheeler throws from, Cody Bellinger will have an advantage in today’s matchup.

Cody Bellinger will possess the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats.

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Seiya Suzuki ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Seiya Suzuki is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card today.

Seiya Suzuki will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Busch in the 82nd percentile as it relates to his home run ability.

Michael Busch is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 53% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season.

Michael Busch will have the handedness advantage against Zack Wheeler in today’s matchup.

Michael Busch will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which should boost all of his stats.

Hitting from the opposite that Shota Imanaga throws from, Cristian Pache will have an advantage today.

Extreme groundball hitters like Cristian Pache tend to perform better against extreme flyball pitchers like Shota Imanaga.

Cristian Pache’s footspeed has improved this season. His 27.84 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 28.38 ft/sec now.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christopher Morel in the 95th percentile when it comes to his home run talent.

Christopher Morel pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (37.7% — 95th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards the league’s 7th-shallowest LF fences today.

Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Christopher Morel will hold that advantage in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Bohm in the 85th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability.

Alec Bohm is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.

Wrigley Field projects as the #7 stadium in baseball for RHB home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Alec Bohm will have the handedness advantage over Shota Imanaga in today’s game.

Nico Hoerner is penciled in 1st on the lineup card today.

Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats in all categories, and Nico Hoerner will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

Nico Hoerner has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 89.8-mph average to last season’s 87.8-mph figure.

Bryson Stott is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card today, which would be an upgrade from his 54% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year.

The #7 park in the majors for boosting home runs to left-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Wrigley Field.

Bryson Stott has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (42.4%) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them out towards baseball’s 7th-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.

There has been a significant improvement in Bryson Stott’s launch angle from last season’s 9.9° to 13.9° this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ian Happ in the 87th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.

Ian Happ is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in today’s game.

As a switch-hitter who performs better from the 0 side of the dish, Ian Happ will get to bat from his better side against Zack Wheeler in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christopher Morel in the 86th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.

Christopher Morel has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 100.6-mph average in the past week to his seasonal figure of 95.2-mph.

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Dansby Swanson ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Dansby Swanson will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Dansby Swanson has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 90.1-mph to 94.8-mph in the last 14 days.

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Nick Castellanos ranks in the 80th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Nick Castellanos is projected to hit 4th in the batting order today, which would be an upgrade from his 54% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year.

Batting from the opposite that Shota Imanaga throws from, Nick Castellanos will have an edge in today’s game.

Edmundo Sosa’s BABIP skill is projected in the 76th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Edmundo Sosa has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (96% of the time), but he is projected to hit 5th in the lineup today.

Batting from the opposite that Shota Imanaga throws from, Edmundo Sosa will have the upper hand in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Castellanos in the 86th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Pete Crow-Armstrong in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.

Pete Crow-Armstrong will hold the platoon advantage over Zack Wheeler in today’s matchup.

Pete Crow-Armstrong will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s game, which ought to improve all of his stats.

In the last two weeks, Pete Crow-Armstrong’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 94.5-mph over the course of the season to 98.3-mph in recent games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Bohm in the 97th percentile when assessing his batting average ability.

Miguel Amaya will hold the home field advantage in today’s game, which should bolster all of his stats.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.236) suggests that Miguel Amaya has had some very poor luck this year with his .189 actual batting average.

It is expected that we will see a Hitters Umpire (Clint Vondrak) behind the plate in today’s game.

Wrigley Field ranks as the #6 park in the game for BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

The Philadelphia Phillies have 8 bats in the projected lineup that will have the handedness advantage over Shota Imanaga in today’s game.

Shota Imanaga is an extreme flyball pitcher (40% FB% via the leading projection system, THE BAT) and is stuck pitching in the #10 HR venue in the league in this game.

Given that flyball pitchers are hit hardest by groundball hitters, Shota Imanaga (40% FB% per the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be a bit disadvantaged in this game with 2 GB hitters in Philadelphia’s projected batting order.

Since the start of last season, Cristian Pache has an average exit velocity of 91.3 mph, which is among the best in the majors at the 88th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Shota Imanaga in the 82nd percentile when assessing his strikeout talent.

Shota Imanaga has averaged 92.5 adjusted pitches per GS this year, checking in at the 79th percentile.

Shota Imanaga will hold the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats across the board.

Shota Imanaga’s 2436-rpm fastball spin rate this year ranks in the 85th percentile among all starters.

Shota Imanaga has notched a 14% Swinging Strike percentage this year, placing in the 93rd percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryson Stott in the 90th percentile when assessing his batting average skill.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Zack Wheeler as the 9th-best starting pitcher in the game currently.

Considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Zack Wheeler is projected to throw 98 pitches in this matchup by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the most of all pitchers on the slate.

In his previous outing, Zack Wheeler was in good form and allowed 2 ER.

When it comes to his strikeout skill, the leading projection system (THE BAT) puts Zack Wheeler in the 94th percentile among all starters in Major League Baseball.

The Chicago Cubs have 3 hitters in their projected batting order today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Michael Busch, Christopher Morel, Pete Crow-Armstrong).

Among all starting pitchers, Zack Wheeler’s fastball velocity of 94.5 mph is in the 75th percentile this year.

Zack Wheeler’s 2422-rpm fastball spin rate this year is in the 81st percentile out of all SPs.

As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Miguel Amaya has had bad variance on his side this year. His .232 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .275.

Ian Happ has a 78th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34%) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them in the direction of baseball’s 7th-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.

This year, Edmundo Sosa’s 10.8% Barrel%, an advanced metric for measuring power, places him in the 78th percentile among his peers.

Nico Hoerner’s batting average skill is projected to be in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Pete Crow-Armstrong’s launch angle of late (27° in the past 7 days) is significantly higher than his 12.6° seasonal figure.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trea Turner in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.

In the last week, Michael Busch’s 33.3% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 22.1%.

Wednesday Series Game 2 player match stat slumps with Phillies vs Cubs Matchup

Playing on the road typically reduces batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Trea Turner in today’s game.

Trea Turner’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off recently; his 91.4-mph seasonal mark has dropped to 87.8-mph over the last 7 days.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.270) may lead us to conclude that Trea Turner has experienced some positive variance this year with his .338 actual batting average.

Rafael Marchan’s BABIP talent is projected in the 14th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Rafael Marchan is projected to hit 8th in the batting order in this game.

Playing on the road generally diminishes hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Rafael Marchan in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Johan Rojas in the 7th percentile when it comes to his home run talent.

Johan Rojas is projected to bat 9th in the lineup in today’s game.

This year, Johan Rojas has been replaced by a pinch-hitter in 21% of his appearances when starting against lefty on the mound.

Wrigley Field has the 7th-highest fences in Major League Baseball.

Johan Rojas will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.

In today’s matchup, Cody Bellinger is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 5th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 35.6% rate (90th percentile).

Cody Bellinger has taken a step back with his Barrel% of late; his 6.5% seasonal rate has dropped off to 0% over the last two weeks.

Cody Bellinger’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off recently; his 90.4-mph seasonal average has fallen to 81.7-mph in the last two weeks.

In the last two weeks, Cody Bellinger’s 3.2% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 17.4%.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.238) suggests that Cody Bellinger has had positive variance on his side this year with his .270 actual batting average.

Zack Wheeler will hold the platoon advantage against Seiya Suzuki today.

Seiya Suzuki has had some very good luck with with his wOBA this year; his .343 mark is a good deal higher than his .325 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

When starting against a righty on the mound this year, Michael Busch has been pulled from the game early 12% of the time.

Wrigley Field has the 5th-deepest right field fences in Major League Baseball.

Over the past 14 days, Michael Busch’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 12.1% down to 4.5%.

Michael Busch has been cold in recent games, with his seasonal exit velocity of 88.7-mph dropping to 85.1-mph in the last two weeks’ worth of games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cristian Pache in the 17th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.

Cristian Pache is projected to hit 7th in the lineup today.

This year, Cristian Pache has been pinch hit for in 38% of his appearances when starting against lefty hurler.

In today’s game, Cristian Pache is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 5th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 34.1% rate (79th percentile).

Playing on the road typically reduces hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Cristian Pache in today’s game.

Christopher Morel has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this season (89% of the time), but he is projected to hit 6th in the lineup in this game.

Zack Wheeler will have the handedness advantage against Christopher Morel in today’s matchup.

Christopher Morel’s average exit velocity has decreased this season; his 91.9-mph average last year has dropped to 89.9-mph.

Christopher Morel’s launch angle of late (9.5° in the past two weeks) is quite a bit lower than his 15.2° seasonal mark.

Alec Bohm has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40%) and will be challenged by the league’s 5th-deepest RF fences in today’s matchup.

Alec Bohm will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s game.

Over the past week, Alec Bohm’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off from his seasonal mark of 90.5 mph to 84.8 mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Alec Bohm’s true offensive ability to be a .325, indicating that he has had some very good luck this year given the .030 discrepancy between that figure and his actual .355 wOBA.

When estimating his home run talent, Nico Hoerner ranks in the 3rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Batting from the same side that Zack Wheeler throws from, Nico Hoerner has a tough challenge today.

Nico Hoerner has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.5%) and will be challenged by MLB’s 5th-deepest RF fences today.

Power-wise, Nico Hoerner is positioned in the 12th percentile, having hit 7.1 long-balls per 600 plate appearances this year.

As it relates to his home run talent, Bryson Stott ranks in the 19th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Hitting from the same side that Shota Imanaga throws from, Bryson Stott will be at a disadvantage in today’s matchup.

Playing on the road generally lessens hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Bryson Stott in today’s game.

Bryson Stott’s exit velocity on flyballs has declined recently; his 89.9-mph seasonal figure has dropped off to 80.6-mph over the last 14 days.

Christopher Morel has compiled a .208 BABIP this year, placing in the 2nd percentile.

Dansby Swanson is penciled in 7th on the lineup card in today’s game.

Hitting from the same side that Zack Wheeler throws from, Dansby Swanson meets a tough challenge in today’s matchup.

Dansby Swanson’s launch angle this season (9.6°) is quite a bit lower than his 12.6° figure last year.

Dansby Swanson has notched a .219 batting average this year, placing in the 21st percentile.

Nick Castellanos will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s game.

In the past 7 days, Nick Castellanos’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 7.7% down to 0%.

Compared to his seasonal mark of 14°, Nick Castellanos has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (-3.8°) over the past 14 days.

When starting against a left-handed starter this year, Edmundo Sosa has been replaced by a pinch-hitter 28% of the time.

Edmundo Sosa will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s matchup.

Edmundo Sosa’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has fallen off from last season to this one, falling from 43.7% to 38.4%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Edmundo Sosa’s true offensive ability to be a .309, implying that he has been lucky this year given the .034 discrepancy between that mark and his actual .343 wOBA.

Seiya Suzuki has been lucky in regards to his home runs this year; his 25.2 HR per 600 plate appearances figure is significantly inflated relative to his 21.9 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Johan Rojas ranks in the 18th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Johan Rojas’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased from last year to this one, decreasing from 12.9% to 9.9%.

Pete Crow-Armstrong is projected to bat 8th in the lineup in this matchup.

Placing in the 3rd percentile, Pete Crow-Armstrong sits with a .266 Slugging Percentage (SLG) this year.

By putting up a .188 batting average this year, Pete Crow-Armstrong has performed in the 5th percentile.

Alec Bohm’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has decreased of late, falling from 46.9% on the season to 26.3% over the past week.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Miguel Amaya in the 18th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill.

Miguel Amaya is projected to hit 9th in the batting order in today’s game.

Miguel Amaya has been replaced by a pinch-hitter 20% of the time when starting against a northpaw this year.

Zack Wheeler will have the handedness advantage over Miguel Amaya today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Shota Imanaga in the 77th percentile when it comes to his overall pitching talent.

The underlying talent of the Philadelphia Phillies projected offense today (.307 projected wOBA via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) figures to be a fair amount worse than their .327 wOBA this year.

The Philadelphia Phillies have been the 2nd-luckiest offense in Major League Baseball this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to hit worse in future games, Per the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the offense with the 5th-least strikeout-prone lineup today is the Philadelphia Phillies with a 19.8% underlying K%.

Over the past 14 days, Bryson Stott’s average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls (1.9°) has significantly dropped compared to his seasonal mark of 12°.

This year, there has been a decline in Miguel Amaya’s footspeed with his Statcast Sprint Speed dropping from 26.18 ft/sec last year to 25.18 ft/sec currently.

Edmundo Sosa has shown weak plate discipline this year, ranking in the 11th percentile with a 4.45 K/BB rate.

As it relates to his home run ability, Rafael Marchan ranks in the 14th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Checking in at the 12th percentile, Pete Crow-Armstrong sports a .210 wOBA (widely regarded as the top indicator of overall offense) since the start of last season.

It may be smart to expect improved performance for the Chicago Cubs offense the rest of the season, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) sees them as the 2nd-unluckiest offense in the game this year.

Playing on the road generally lessens pitcher stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Zack Wheeler in today’s matchup.

Zack Wheeler has gone to his slider 15.4% less often this year (11.2%) than he did last season (26.6%).

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Miguel Amaya ranks in the 22nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Pete Crow-Armstrong has been cold of late, posting a .226 wOBA over the past 14 days.

Compared to his seasonal angle of 9.1°, Nico Hoerner has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (3.5°) over the past 14 days.

In the past two weeks’ worth of games, Trea Turner has not been doing well in optimizing the launch angle on his hardest hit balls to generate power, managing a mere a 7.4° angle.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.323) implies that Trea Turner has had positive variance on his side this year with his .378 actual wOBA.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.217) suggests that Michael Busch has been very fortunate this year with his .259 actual batting average.