Series Game 2 Matchup Details

San Diego Padres at Texas Rangers
Series Game 2
Wednesday, July 3rd
2024-07-03 20:05:00 EST Game Start Time / First Pitch

MLB Player match stats positives for San Diego at Texas Series Game 2 Matchup

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nathaniel Lowe in the 90th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent.

Nathaniel Lowe is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup today.

Among all parks, Globe Life Field has the 6th-lowest average fence height.

Nathaniel Lowe will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Adam Mazur in today’s game.

Nathaniel Lowe will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Derek Hill in the 90th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.

Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Derek Hill will hold that advantage today.

In the last 7 days, Derek Hill has displayed impressive power, recording a a 30% Barrel% (an advanced stat to study power).

Over the last 7 days, Derek Hill has averaged an impressive 100.7-mph exit velocity on his flyballs, an advanced indicator of home run potential.

Derek Hill has been zeroed in on the ideal launch angle for base hits recently, hitting balls between -4° and 26° 70% of the time in the past 7 days.

It may be wise to expect weaker performance for the San Diego Padres offense going forward, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes they are the 7th-luckiest offense in the league this year.

Projected catcher Jonah Heim grades out as a good pitch framer, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Jon Gray will possess the home field advantage in today’s game, which figures to improve all of his metrics in all categories.

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Manny Machado ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Manny Machado is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this game.

Manny Machado has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 97.5-mph average in the past week’s worth of games to his seasonal average of 91.8-mph.

In notching a .270 batting average this year, Manny Machado grades out in the 75th percentile.

Josh Smith is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this game.

Batting from the opposite that Adam Mazur throws from, Josh Smith will have an advantage in today’s game.

Josh Smith will hold the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which should improve all of his stats.

Josh Smith’s launch angle in recent games (28.2° over the past 14 days) is considerably higher than his 16.2° seasonal figure.

Josh Smith has put up a .362 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, grading out in the 88th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ha-seong Kim in the 76th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.

When it comes to his batting average, Ha-seong Kim has been unlucky this year. His .226 BA falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .253.

By putting up a 1.16 K/BB rate this year, Ha-seong Kim has shown strong plate discipline, checking in at the 98th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Merrill in the 96th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill.

Because of Jon Gray’s large platoon split, Jackson Merrill will have a huge advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate today.

The Texas Rangers have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Jackson Merrill can likely count on holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game.

In the past week, Jackson Merrill’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 92.2-mph over the course of the season to 99.5-mph recently.

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Jake Cronenworth ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Jake Cronenworth is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Globe Life Field as the 10th-best field in the game for LHB home runs.

Because of Jon Gray’s large platoon split, Jake Cronenworth will have a colossal advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Adolis Garcia in the 95th percentile when estimating his home run skill.

Adolis Garcia is penciled in 4th in the batting order in today’s game.

Adolis Garcia will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Over the past 7 days, Adolis Garcia’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 14.4% up to 26.7%.

Kyle Higashioka has made significant strides with his Barrel% recently, upping his 15.4% seasonal rate to 30% over the past week.

Kyle Higashioka’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last year to this one, rising from 17.5% to 27.7%.

Kyle Higashioka’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better in recent games, going from 27.7% on the season to 40.9% over the last 14 days.

In notching a 30.400 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) since the start of last season , Kyle Higashioka is positioned in the 91st percentile for power.

The Texas Rangers have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Jake Cronenworth stands a good chance of never losing the platoon advantage against the ‘pen all game.

Jackson Merrill’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased in recent games, increasing from 46.7% on the season to 62.5% in the past week’s worth of games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Globe Life Field as the 10th-best park in Major League Baseball for strikeouts.

Jurickson Profar is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order today.

Jurickson Profar has seen a big increase in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 93.3-mph average in the last two weeks to his seasonal 90.4-mph EV.

Compared to last year, Jurickson Profar has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for base hits, increasing his percentage of balls hit between -4° and 26° from 42% to 50.2% this season.

Utilizing Statcast metrics, Jurickson Profar grades out in the 97th percentile via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average this year at .296.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wyatt Langford in the 85th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill.

Wyatt Langford is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this game.

Wyatt Langford will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats.

Over the past week, Wyatt Langford’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 8% up to 18.8%.

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Marcus Semien ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Marcus Semien is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this game.

Home field advantage generally improves batter stats in all categories, and Marcus Semien will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

Compared to his seasonal average of 16.4°, Marcus Semien has significantly improved his launch angle in recent games, posting a 24° figure in the last week’s worth of games.

Marcus Semien has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his wOBA this year; his .296 rate is considerably lower than his .343 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Globe Life Field as the 10th-best field in the majors for righty home runs.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Donovan Solano in the 91st percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent.

Donovan Solano is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this game.

Donovan Solano’s launch angle this year (17.8°) is considerably higher than his 12.9° figure last year.

Ranking in the 77th percentile, Donovan Solano has notched a .337 wOBA (widely regarded as the top measure of overall offense) since the start of last season.

Donovan Solano has notched a .357 BABIP since the start of last season, checking in at the 97th percentile.

It may be wise to expect positive regression for the Texas Rangers offense in future games, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) views them as the 9th-unluckiest offense in the game this year.

Adam Mazur will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s matchup.

As it relates to his batting average skill, Luis Arraez is projected as the best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Luis Arraez is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in today’s game.

Luis Arraez will have the handedness advantage over Jon Gray in today’s game… and even better, Gray has a large platoon split.

Luis Arraez will probably have the upper hand against every reliever for the game’s entirety, since the bullpen of the Texas Rangers only has 1 same-handed RP.

By putting up a 1.2 K/BB rate this year, Jurickson Profar has displayed favorable plate discipline, grading out in the 97th percentile.

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Nathaniel Lowe ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Higashioka in the 91st percentile as it relates to his home run skill.

Using Statcast data, Jurickson Profar grades out in the 94th percentile for offensive skills via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year at .367.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Merrill in the 78th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.

Over the past two weeks, Luis Arraez’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 87.3-mph over the course of the season to 91.6-mph in recent games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Adolis Garcia in the 84th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.

Adolis Garcia has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 97.3-mph average in the last week to his seasonal 91-mph EV.

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Wyatt Langford ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Leody Taveras in the 76th percentile when estimating his batting average skill.

Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Leody Taveras will hold that advantage today.

Leody Taveras has been unlucky in regards to his wOBA this year; his .282 figure is deflated compared to his .317 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats across the board, and Jonah Heim will hold that advantage today.

Jonah Heim has made big gains with his Barrel% in recent games, bettering his 7% seasonal rate to 20% over the last week.

Bryce Johnson has been honed in on the ideal launch angle for home runs recently, angling balls between 23° and 34° 22.2% of the time in the last week.

Wyatt Langford has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 93.2-mph average in the past 7 days to his seasonal 88.3-mph average.

Nathaniel Lowe has made big strides with his Barrel% of late, improving his 4.1% seasonal rate to 12.5% in the last two weeks.

Jake Cronenworth’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved from last season to this one, going from 40% to 48.3%.

Wednesday Series Game 2 player match stat slumps with Padres vs Rangers Matchup

Globe Life Field ranks as the #29 venue in the league for lefty base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Globe Life Field has the 6th-deepest CF dimensions among all major league stadiums.

The Globe Life Field roof figures to be closed today, making weather conditions in this game -11° colder than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for pitching.

The San Diego Padres outfield defense projects as the best among all the teams on the slate today.

Nathaniel Lowe’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off this season; his 92.5-mph average last year has dropped off to 87.8-mph.

Derek Hill is penciled in 7th in the batting order in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Globe Life Field as the worst field in the majors for righty BABIP.

Adam Mazur will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Derek Hill in today’s game.

John Bacon projects as a Hitters Umpire and is likely to be umping in today’s game.

The #5 field in the league for boosting home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Globe Life Field.

Jon Gray gave up a colossal 8 earned runs in his last game started.

Jon Gray’s 2039-rpm fastball spin rate this year is in the 3rd percentile out of all starting pitchers.

As it relates to his home run ability, Bryce Johnson ranks in the 10th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Bryce Johnson is projected to bat 9th in the lineup in today’s game.

Jon Gray will have the handedness advantage over Manny Machado today… and it’s an over-sized mismatch considering Gray’s large platoon split.

Today, Manny Machado is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 6th-deepest CF center field fences given that he hits his flyballs towards center field at a 38.1% rate (78th percentile).

Manny Machado will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s game.

Josh Smith hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 90th percentile) but may find it hard to clear MLB’s 6th-deepest CF fences today.

Josh Smith has taken a step back with his Barrel%; his 10.7% rate last season has dropped off to 3% this season.

Ha-seong Kim is projected to hit 7th on the lineup card in today’s game.

Jon Gray will hold the platoon advantage against Ha-seong Kim in today’s game… and it’s an even larger mismatch considering Gray’s large platoon split.

In today’s game, Ha-seong Kim is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 6th-deepest CF center field fences given that he hits his flyballs towards center field at a 38.8% rate (90th percentile).

Jackson Merrill is penciled in 6th in the batting order in today’s game.

Jackson Merrill hits many of his flyballs to center field (41.6% — 100th percentile) and will be challenged by MLB’s 6th-deepest CF fences in today’s game.

Playing on the road typically diminishes batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Jackson Merrill in today’s game.

Playing on the road typically lowers hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Jake Cronenworth in today’s matchup.

Over the last week, Jake Cronenworth’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 9.4% down to 0%.

Hitting from the same side that Adam Mazur throws from, Adolis Garcia will have a tough challenge in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Higashioka in the 6th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability.

Kyle Higashioka is projected to hit 8th in the lineup in this matchup.

When starting against a righty on the mound this year, Kyle Higashioka has been pulled from the game early 39% of the time.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the team with the 4th-least strikeout-prone lineup today is the San Diego Padres with a 19.2% underlying K%.

In his last GS, Jon Gray struggled when it came to striking batters out and was only able to tally 1 Ks.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jurickson Profar in the 20th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent.

When starting against a right-handed pitcher this year, Jurickson Profar has been pinch hit for 14% of the time.

Adam Mazur will hold the platoon advantage against Wyatt Langford in today’s matchup.

Hitting from the same side that Adam Mazur throws from, Marcus Semien faces a tough challenge today.

Compared to his seasonal figure of 13.8°, Adolis Garcia has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (2.9°) in the last two weeks’ worth of games.

Jon Gray will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Donovan Solano in today’s game… and it’s a particular mismatch considering Gray’s large platoon split.

Donovan Solano hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.8% — 98th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball’s 6th-deepest CF fences in today’s game.

Playing on the road generally diminishes batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Donovan Solano in today’s game.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Kyle Higashioka (the Padres’s expected catcher in today’s game) grades out as an elite pitch framer.

Texas Rangers batters as a unit place 30th- in the league for power this year when using their 90.6-mph exit velocity on flyballs.

Luis Arraez will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s matchup.

Luis Arraez’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off this year; his 89.6-mph mark last season has dropped off to 87.3-mph.

Nathaniel Lowe’s launch angle recently (0.8° over the past two weeks) is significantly lower than his 5.6° seasonal mark.

In terms of his home runs, Nathaniel Lowe has experienced some positive variance this year. His 14.1 HR per 600 plate appearances rate has been considerably higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 6.1.

Jon Gray will have the handedness advantage against Kyle Higashioka today… and it’s an even bigger mismatch considering Gray’s large platoon split.

The switch-hitting Jurickson Profar will bat from his worse side (0) today against Jon Gray… and it’s an over-sized mismatch considering Gray’s large platoon split.

Jurickson Profar will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (18.0) provides evidence that Jackson Merrill has been very fortunate this year with his 23.2 actual HR/600.

When it comes to power, Wyatt Langford has performed in the 16th percentile, having paced 8.4 HRs per 600 plate appearances this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Adam Mazur to throw 81 pitches today (2nd-least of the day), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Bryce Johnson ranks in the 12th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Leody Taveras is penciled in 8th on the lineup card today.

Jonah Heim is projected to bat 6th in the batting order in today’s game.

As a switch-hitter who is weaker from the 0 side of the dish, Jonah Heim will be less advantaged while batting from his bad side against Adam Mazur today.

Jonah Heim’s average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls lately (3.9° in the past 14 days) is quite a bit worse than his 10.5° seasonal angle.

Jonah Heim’s BABIP skill is projected in the 2nd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

As a switch-hitter who performs worse from the 0 side of the dish, Bryce Johnson will have a tough time against Jon Gray and his large platoon split today.

Josh Smith’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off this season; his 93.8-mph EV last year has dropped to 88.8-mph.

Josh Smith has been very fortunate when it comes to with his wOBA this year; his .367 mark is inflated compared to his .316 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Last season, Manny Machado had a launch angle of 8.7° on his highest exit velocity balls, but this season he experienced a significant decline to just 5.4°.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Arraez in the 1st percentile when estimating his home run ability.

Over the past week, Leody Taveras’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 5.4% down to 0%.

Leody Taveras’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off in recent games; his 89.2-mph seasonal mark has dropped off to 79.8-mph in the last 7 days.

Marcus Semien’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined from last season to this one, decreasing from 21.1% to 17.5%.

Marcus Semien’s 87.4-mph average exit velocity ranks among the worst in Major League Baseball this year: 25th percentile.

Ha-seong Kim will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Donovan Solano in the 19th percentile as it relates to his home run skill.

As it relates to his strikeout ability, the leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Adam Mazur in the 12th percentile among all starting pitchers in the league.

Adam Mazur struggled when it came to striking batters out in his previous outing and accumulated 0 Ks.