Padres vs Rockies match player stats | 2026 Tuesday, April 21st

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SD @ COL

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Padres @ Rockies Matchup Details

Teams : San Diego Padres at Colorado Rockies

Date : Todays Game is on Tuesday, April 21st
Time : 21/04/26 20:40:00 PM EST First Pitch

Positives for the San Diego Padres Game Today

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Coors Field as the best park in the game for run-scoring.

,Coors Field sits at the highest elevation among all stadiums. High elevation often leads to better offense.

,As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game.

,The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.3-mph in this game, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for batters.

,Hitting from the opposite that Randy Vasquez throws from, Troy Johnston will have an advantage today.

,Nick Castellanos’s BABIP ability is projected in the 87th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Fernando Tatis Jr. projects as the 10th-best batter in baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Fernando Tatis Jr. is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this game.

,As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Jake Cronenworth ranks in the 77th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Jake Cronenworth has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (75% of the time), but he is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this matchup.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Merrill in the 96th percentile when estimating his batting average ability.

,Jackson Merrill is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in today’s game.

,Hunter Goodman projects as the 19th-best home run hitter in the game, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Hunter Goodman is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card today.

,The #5 field in the game for boosting home runs to righties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Coors Field.

,Edouard Julien is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in today’s game.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Coors Field as the 5th-best venue in the majors for lefty home runs.

,T.J. Rumfield is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Edouard Julien in the 97th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Manny Machado in the 91st percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.

,Manny Machado is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this game.

,Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.311) implies that Nick Castellanos has experienced some negative variance since the start of last season with his .292 actual wOBA.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mickey Moniak in the 93rd percentile when it comes to his home run ability.

,Mickey Moniak is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this game.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Coors Field as the best field in the game for batting average.

,Randy Vasquez will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s game.

,Kyle Karros’s BABIP ability is projected in the 87th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Gavin Sheets will hold the platoon advantage over Chase Dollander in today’s matchup… and moreover, Dollander has a large platoon split.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Merrill in the 92nd percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability.

,Kyle Karros will possess the home field advantage in today’s game, which figures to boost all of his stats.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Xander Bogaerts in the 97th percentile when estimating his batting average talent.

,Xander Bogaerts is projected to hit 5th in the batting order today.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ezequiel Tovar in the 81st percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability.

,Ezequiel Tovar is penciled in 5th in the lineup in today’s game.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Xander Bogaerts in the 90th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.

Negatives with the Colorado Rockies Game Today

Troy Johnston is projected to hit 6th in the lineup in this game.

,Troy Johnston’s maximum exit velocity (an advanced stat to measure power) has been 106.3 mph since the start of last season, placing in the 19th percentile.

,Nick Castellanos is penciled in 7th in the lineup in this game.

,Given Chase Dollander’s large platoon split, Nick Castellanos will be at an enormous disadvantage hitting from the same side of the dish in today’s matchup.

,Nick Castellanos will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s game.

,Nick Castellanos’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off from last year to this one, going from 20.2% to 16.1%.

,Nick Castellanos’s 87.8-mph average exit velocity is one of the worst in the majors since the start of last season: 22nd percentile.

,Chase Dollander will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Fernando Tatis Jr. today… and it’s a particular mismatch considering Dollander’s large platoon split.

,Fernando Tatis Jr. will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.

,Fernando Tatis Jr.’s launch angle this season (6.1°) is a significant dropoff from his 9.6° mark last season.

,This season, there has been a decline in Fernando Tatis Jr.’s quickness with his Statcast Sprint Speed dropping from 28.6 ft/sec last year to 28.13 ft/sec currently.

,Playing on the road typically lowers batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Jake Cronenworth today.

,There has been a significant decline in Jake Cronenworth’s launch angle from last season’s 14.5° to 6.5° this season.

,In notching a 11.200 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) since the start of last season , Jake Cronenworth has performed in the 18th percentile for power.

,Jake Cronenworth’s maximum exit velocity (a reliable stat to measure power) has been 109.1 mph since the start of last season, checking in at the 17th percentile.

,Jake Cronenworth has notched a .354 Slugging Percentage (SLG) since the start of last season, placing in the 18th percentile.

,Jackson Merrill will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s game.

,Jackson Merrill’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has dropped off from last year to this one, decreasing from 47.9% to 32.8%.

,Randy Vasquez will have the handedness advantage against Hunter Goodman in today’s game.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Hunter Goodman’s true offensive ability to be a .316, providing some evidence that he has been lucky this year given the .045 gap between that mark and his actual .361 wOBA.

,Utilizing Statcast metrics, Hunter Goodman grades out in the 22nd percentile for hitting ability via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .295.

,Hunter Goodman has exhibited poor plate discipline since the start of last season, ranking in the 6th percentile with a 5.24 K/BB rate.

,When estimating his overall offensive ability, T.J. Rumfield ranks in the 25th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Considering Chase Dollander’s large platoon split, Manny Machado will be at a big disadvantage hitting from the same side of the plate today.

,Manny Machado will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.

,Manny Machado has negatively regressed with his Barrel%; his 12.9% rate last year has fallen off to 5.9% this year.

,Manny Machado’s average exit velocity has decreased this year; his 92.9-mph average last year has fallen to 86.4-mph.

,Manny Machado’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has decreased from last year to this one, decreasing from 46.6% to 31.4%.

,When estimating his overall offensive talent, Freddy Fermin ranks in the 20th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Freddy Fermin is projected to hit 9th in the batting order today.

,Chase Dollander will have the handedness advantage against Freddy Fermin today… and it’s an even bigger mismatch considering Dollander’s large platoon split.

,Playing on the road generally lessens batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Freddy Fermin in today’s game.

,Freddy Fermin’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has dropped off from last season to this one, falling from 41.4% to 36%.

,With a .193 wOBA in the last 14 days, Nick Castellanos has been struggling at the plate.

,With a 5.53 K/BB rate since the start of last season, Mickey Moniak has demonstrated poor plate discipline, placing in the 4th percentile.

,The Colorado Rockies projected lineup projects as the worst on the slate in terms of overall hitting ability.

,In his last outing, Randy Vasquez was in good form and allowed 0 ER.

,Out of all starters, Randy Vasquez’s fastball spin rate of 2437 rpm is in the 81st percentile this year.

,Randy Vasquez has been one of the unluckiest hurlers in MLB on balls in play this year with a .349 BABIP and figures to see that luck normalize going forward.

,Colorado Rockies bats jointly have been one of the worst in the league since the start of last season ( 5th-worst) when assessing their 88.7-mph average exit velocity.

,Kyle Karros is projected to hit 8th in the lineup in this game.

,Hitting from the same side that Randy Vasquez throws from, Kyle Karros faces a tough challenge in today’s game.

,In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Kyle Karros has been lucky since the start of last season. His .277 rate has been inflated compared to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .247.

,Kyle Karros’s 2.2% Barrel% (an advanced standard to study power) ranks in the 16th percentile since the start of last season.

,Kyle Karros’s 86.9-mph exit velocity on flyballs (an advanced stat to study power) grades out in the 11th percentile since the start of last season.

,There has been a significant decline in Manny Machado’s launch angle from last year’s 14.4° to 7.6° this season.

,Gavin Sheets’s BABIP talent is projected in the 23rd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Gavin Sheets is projected to hit 6th in the lineup in this game.

,Gavin Sheets will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.

,The standard deviation of Gavin Sheets’s launch angle since the start of last season (29.4°) is in the 21st percentile. A high figure like this tends to lead to a lower batting average on balls in play.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Karros in the 19th percentile when estimating his home run ability.

,Chase Dollander will hold the platoon advantage against Xander Bogaerts in today’s game… and it’s an even bigger mismatch considering Dollander’s large platoon split.

,Xander Bogaerts will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s game.

,Xander Bogaerts has been very bad at hitting the ball to all fields (a crucial ability for batting average), grading out in the 24th percentile in THE BAT X’s Spray Score since the start of last season.

,T.J. Rumfield’s BABIP skill is projected in the 20th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Ranking in the 9th percentile for Sprint Speed at 24.84 ft/sec this year, T.J. Rumfield is quite slow.

,Jake Cronenworth has been cold recently, putting up a .230 wOBA in the past two weeks’ worth of games.

,Randy Vasquez will have the handedness advantage over Ezequiel Tovar in today’s game.

,Ezequiel Tovar has really struggled to hit the ball hard. If you were to take the top 5% of his batted balls by exit velocity, their average (90 mph) rank him as one of the game’s worst: in the 9th percentile since the start of last season.

,Ranking in the 12th percentile, Ezequiel Tovar sits with a .277 wOBA (widely regarded as the top measure of overall offense) since the start of last season.

,As it relates to plate discipline, Ezequiel Tovar’s ability is quite weak, posting a 5.37 K/BB rate since the start of last season while grading out in in the 5th percentile.

,Troy Johnston hits a lot of balls with a launch angle that is “too high” (above 38°), which generally leads to easy pop fly outs. His 13.3% “too-high” rate since the start of last season ranks in the 19th percentile.

,Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.217) provides evidence that Hunter Goodman has been very fortunate since the start of last season with his .275 actual batting average.

,Taking into account both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Randy Vasquez is projected to throw 82 pitches in this outing by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the 4th-least of all pitchers on the slate today.

,In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Freddy Fermin has had positive variance on his side since the start of last season. His .279 rate has been quite a bit higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .262.

,Xander Bogaerts does not make a lot of hard contact. If you were to look at the top 5% of his batted balls by exit velocity, their average (93.6 mph) put him among the league’s worst: in the 25th percentile since the start of last season.

,Xander Bogaerts is in the 21st percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to optimize home runs (13.8% rate since the start of last season).

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