Orioles vs Yankees match player stats | 2026 Friday, May 1st

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BAL @ NYY

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Orioles @ Yankees Matchup Details

Teams : Baltimore Orioles at New York Yankees

Date : Todays Game is on Friday, May 1st
Time : 01/05/26 19:05:00 PM EST First Pitch

Positives for the Baltimore Orioles Game Today

Aaron Judge projects as the best hitter in Major League Baseball, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Aaron Judge is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this matchup.

,In Major League Baseball, Yankee Stadium has the 7th-lowest average fence height.

,Aaron Judge will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Cade Povich in today’s game.

,Aaron Judge will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

,The switch-hitting Leody Taveras will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his strong side (0) today against Will Warren… and even better, Warren has a large platoon split.

,Compared to last season, Leody Taveras has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for home runs, increasing his percentage of balls hit between 23° and 34° from 8% to 26.7% this season.

,Leody Taveras has been honed in on the ideal launch angle for home runs in recent games, lifting balls between 23° and 34° 30% of the time in the past 14 days.

,Max Schuemann is penciled in 5th on the lineup card today.

,Batting from the opposite that Cade Povich throws from, Max Schuemann will have an advantage in today’s matchup.

,Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Max Schuemann will hold that advantage in today’s game.

,When it comes to plate discipline, Max Schuemann’s talent is quite good, putting up a 1.62 K/BB rate since the start of last season while checking in at in the 87th percentile.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Coby Mayo in the 89th percentile when it comes to his home run skill.

,Among every team in action today, the 3rd-weakest outfield defense is that of the the New York Yankees.

,Coby Mayo has made substantial gains with his Barrel% recently, bettering his 8.3% seasonal rate to 33.3% over the last 7 days.

,In the last week, Coby Mayo’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 88.7-mph over the course of the season to 109.1-mph in recent games.

,When estimating his home run ability, Jazz Chisholm Jr. ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Jazz Chisholm Jr. pulls a lot of his flyballs (37.7% — 93rd percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards MLB’s 7th-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.

,Jazz Chisholm Jr. will possess the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

,Jazz Chisholm Jr. has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 93.4-mph average in the last week’s worth of games to his seasonal 88.8-mph mark.

,Coby Mayo’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased of late, increasing from 12.5% on the season to 25% in the last week.

,When estimating his overall offensive skill, Dylan Beavers ranks in the 80th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Given Will Warren’s large platoon split, Dylan Beavers will have a colossal advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish in this game.

,Dylan Beavers is an extreme flyball batter and faces the weak outfield defense of New York (#3-worst of the day).

,As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Adley Rutschman ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Adley Rutschman is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.

,In the last week, Adley Rutschman’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 7.5% up to 16.7%.

,Austin Wells will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats.

,Austin Wells’s launch angle in recent games (22.8° in the past 7 days) is significantly better than his 14.4° seasonal mark.

,Batting from the opposite that Cade Povich throws from, Jose Caballero will have an edge in today’s matchup.

,Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Jose Caballero will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

,Jose Caballero’s launch angle recently (27.6° in the last week’s worth of games) is a significant increase over his 9.5° seasonal angle.

,Jose Caballero has recorded a .327 BABIP since the start of last season, checking in at the 87th percentile.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Amed Rosario in the 97th percentile when assessing his batting average skill.

,Amed Rosario is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this matchup.

,Hitting from the opposite that Cade Povich throws from, Amed Rosario will have an advantage in today’s game.

,Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Amed Rosario will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

,As it relates to his batting average, Max Schuemann has experienced some negative variance since the start of last season. His .197 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .220.

,Max Schuemann has been very good at hitting the ball to all fields (a crucial ability for batting average), checking in at the 95th percentile in THE BAT X’s Spray Score since the start of last season.

,Ben Rice projects as the 16th-best hitter in the league, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Ben Rice is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in today’s game.

,Ben Rice pulls many of his flyballs (37.3% — 92nd percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball’s 7th-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.

,Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Ben Rice will hold that advantage in today’s game.

,Pete Alonso projects as the 14th-best home run hitter in the league, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Pete Alonso is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in today’s game.

,Pete Alonso has a 78th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.4%) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them out towards the game’s 7th-shallowest RF fences today.

,Paul Goldschmidt’s batting average skill is projected to be in the 78th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Paul Goldschmidt is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in today’s game.

,Paul Goldschmidt will hold the platoon advantage over Cade Povich in today’s game.

,Paul Goldschmidt has an 86th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.7%) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them out towards MLB’s 7th-shallowest RF fences today.

,As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Jazz Chisholm Jr. ranks in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Jazz Chisholm Jr.’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved of late, rising from 36.7% on the season to 50% in the last week.

,Ben Rice has made significant gains with his Barrel%, upping his 15.8% rate last year to 23.6% this year.

,The 3rd-best projected lineup of all teams on the slate in terms of overall hitting ability is that of the the Baltimore Orioles.

,It may be best to expect better results for the Baltimore Orioles offense in the future, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) views them as the 7th-unluckiest offense in the game this year.

,Yankee Stadium profiles as the #1 ballpark in Major League Baseball for walks, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gunnar Henderson in the 96th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.

,Gunnar Henderson is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in today’s game.

,Gunnar Henderson will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Will Warren today… and the cherry on top, Warren has a large platoon split.

,Gunnar Henderson has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 95.1-mph average to last season’s 92-mph average.

,When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Taylor Ward ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Taylor Ward is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in today’s game.

,Taylor Ward has an 86th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.7%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league’s 7th-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.

,Samuel Basallo is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this matchup.

,Given Will Warren’s large platoon split, Samuel Basallo will have a gigantic advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate in this game.

,In the last week’s worth of games, Samuel Basallo’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 12% up to 18.2%.

,Samuel Basallo has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 97.8-mph average in the past 14 days to his seasonal EV of 94.4-mph.

,Posting a 25.400 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) since the start of last season , Austin Wells is positioned in the 75th percentile for power.

,Austin Wells has recorded a .305 Isolated Power rate (ISO) since the start of last season, grading out in the 83rd percentile.

,Jeremiah Jackson has an 84th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.3%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of baseball’s 7th-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.

,Checking in at the 89th percentile, Jeremiah Jackson has posted a .339 BABIP since the start of last season.

,When it comes to his home run ability, Samuel Basallo ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Ranking in the 80th percentile, Jeremiah Jackson sits with a .457 Slugging Percentage (SLG) since the start of last season.

,Paul Goldschmidt will hold the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Will Warren in the 78th percentile as it relates to his strikeout ability.

,Out of all SPs, Will Warren’s fastball spin rate of 2562 rpm is in the 98th percentile this year.

,Amed Rosario has made significant improvements with his Barrel%, improving his 6% rate last season to 12.5% this year.

,Pete Alonso’s launch angle in recent games (18.4° over the last two weeks) is considerably higher than his 13.1° seasonal figure.

,Adley Rutschman’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last year to this one, going from 17.4% to 25%.

,Over the past week, Dylan Beavers’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 5.8% up to 14.3%.

,This season, Dylan Beavers has experienced a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 93.1 mph compared to last year’s 90.5 mph mark.

,When estimating his overall offensive talent, Pete Alonso ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Taylor Ward has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 92.9-mph average over the last two weeks to his seasonal 90.1-mph figure.

,When assessing his home run ability, Austin Wells ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,When assessing his overall offensive ability, Trent Grisham ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Trent Grisham pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (37% — 90th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards the league’s 7th-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.

,Trent Grisham will hold the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

,Despite posting a .300 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Trent Grisham has experienced some negative variance given the .049 discrepancy between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .349.

,When it comes to plate discipline, Trent Grisham’s skill is quite impressive, sporting a 1.59 K/BB rate since the start of last season while grading out in in the 86th percentile.

,Aaron Judge has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 101.4-mph average to last year’s 99.1-mph EV.

,When estimating his home run ability, Trent Grisham ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Trent Grisham has averaged 32.4 HRs per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season, checking in at the 93rd percentile for power.

,Trent Grisham’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better recently, rising from 18.3% on the season to 37.5% over the past week.

Negatives with the New York Yankees Game Today

The #4 field in the game for suppressing base hits to RHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Yankee Stadium.

,Built just 11 feet above sea level, Yankee Stadium has one of the lowest elevations among all parks, which generally leads to worse offense.

,In today’s matchup, Aaron Judge is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 5th-deepest CF center field fences given that he hits his flyballs towards center field at a 39.2% rate (95th percentile).

,Over the last week, Aaron Judge’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 24.2% down to 0%.

,Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.287) implies that Aaron Judge has been very fortunate since the start of last season with his .315 actual batting average.

,Leody Taveras is projected to bat 6th on the lineup card in this matchup.

,Leody Taveras has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.6%) but may find it hard to clear the game’s 8th-deepest LF fences in today’s game.

,Leody Taveras will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s matchup.

,Leody Taveras’s exit velocity on flyballs has declined this season; his 90.7-mph figure last year has dropped off to 88.5-mph.

,When it comes to his home run skill, Max Schuemann ranks in the 17th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Max Schuemann hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (40.3% — 98th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of MLB’s 5th-deepest CF fences today.

,By putting up a 3.300 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) since the start of last season , Max Schuemann is positioned in the 11th percentile for power.

,Max Schuemann’s 2.7% Barrel% (a reliable metric to evaluate power) grades out in the 18th percentile since the start of last season.

,Coby Mayo is projected to bat 8th on the lineup card in this game.

,Considering Will Warren’s large platoon split, Coby Mayo will be at a tremendous disadvantage batting from the same side of the plate in this game.

,In today’s game, Coby Mayo is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 8th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 38.6% rate (95th percentile).

,Jazz Chisholm Jr. is projected to bat 7th in the lineup in today’s game.

,The #4 park in the game for suppressing base hits to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Yankee Stadium.

,Hitting from the same side that Cade Povich throws from, Jazz Chisholm Jr. will not have the upper hand today.

,From last season to this one, Jazz Chisholm Jr.’s ability to hit the ball at a launch angle that optimizes home runs (23° to 34°) has decreased substantially, plummeting from 19.4% to 8.3%.

,Dylan Beavers is projected to hit 7th in the lineup in today’s game, which would be a downgrade from his 53% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this year.

,Dylan Beavers has been replaced by a pinch-hitter 30% of the time when starting against a righty on the mound this year.

,Among all major league parks, Yankee Stadium’s centerfield dimensions are the 5th-deepest.

,Playing on the road generally lowers hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Dylan Beavers in today’s matchup.

,As a switch-hitter who is weaker from the 0 side of the dish, Adley Rutschman will have a tough time against Will Warren and his large platoon split in this game.

,Playing on the road typically lowers hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Adley Rutschman in today’s matchup.

,Adley Rutschman has compiled a .258 BABIP since the start of last season, grading out in the 11th percentile.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Austin Wells in the 5th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill.

,Austin Wells is projected to hit 9th in the batting order in this game.

,Batting from the same side that Cade Povich throws from, Austin Wells will be in a tough position today.

,Jose Caballero is projected to hit 8th on the lineup card in this matchup.

,Jose Caballero pulls many of his flyballs (38.2% — 94th percentile) and will be challenged by the league’s 8th-deepest LF fences in today’s game.

,Jose Caballero’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased this season; his 91.7-mph mark last year has decreased to 88.9-mph.

,In today’s game, Amed Rosario is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 5th-deepest CF center field fences given that he hits his flyballs towards center field at a 39.4% rate (96th percentile).

,Amed Rosario has been lucky in regards to his home runs since the start of last season; his 23.6 HR per 600 plate appearances mark is a good deal higher than his 18.9 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

,Max Schuemann and his 8.3° launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls rank in 24th percentile, among the lowest in the majors since the start of last season.

,Cade Povich will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ben Rice today.

,Jazz Chisholm Jr. has negatively regressed with his Barrel%; his 16.4% rate last year has fallen to 5% this season.

,Considering Will Warren’s large platoon split, Pete Alonso will be at an enormous disadvantage batting from the same side of the dish in today’s matchup.

,Playing on the road generally lowers batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Pete Alonso today.

,Pete Alonso has negatively regressed with his Barrel%; his 18.8% rate last year has lowered to 7% this season.

,Paul Goldschmidt’s speed has fallen off this season. His 26.12 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 24.95 ft/sec now.

,When it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34° (the launch angle range that tends to best-produce home runs), Paul Goldschmidt and his 12.9% rank in the 11th percentile since the start of last season.

,In terms of power, Paul Goldschmidt is positioned in the 17th percentile, having paced 11.1 HRs per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Will Warren in the 75th percentile when assessing his overall pitching talent level.

,Austin Wells, the Yankees’s expected catcher today, profiles as a good pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,Home field advantage generally boosts pitcher stats in all categories, and Will Warren will hold that advantage in today’s game.

,Will Warren was firing on all cylinders in his previous GS and allowed 1 ER.

,Playing on the road generally lessens hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Gunnar Henderson in today’s game.

,Considering Will Warren’s large platoon split, Taylor Ward will be at a big disadvantage hitting from the same side of the plate today.

,Taylor Ward will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s matchup.

,Over the last week, Taylor Ward’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 12.5%.

,Samuel Basallo has an 84th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.3%) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards baseball’s 8th-deepest LF fences today.

,Samuel Basallo will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s matchup.

,Posting a .261 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) since the start of last season, Samuel Basallo is ranked in the 25th percentile for hitting ability.

,Over the past 14 days, Gunnar Henderson’s 8.8% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 14.5%.

,Jeremiah Jackson is projected to bat 9th in the batting order today.

,Because of Will Warren’s large platoon split, Jeremiah Jackson will be at a massive disadvantage batting from the same side of the dish in today’s game.

,Playing on the road generally lessens hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Jeremiah Jackson in today’s game.

,Aaron Judge has experienced some positive variance in regards to his home runs since the start of last season; his 47.1 HR per 600 plate appearances mark is a fair amount higher than his 42.9 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

,Samuel Basallo has had some very good luck with his home runs since the start of last season; his 26.9 HR per 600 plate appearances figure is significantly inflated relative to his 18.9 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

,Playing on the road typically weakens hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Coby Mayo in today’s game.

,In the last week’s worth of games, Jeremiah Jackson’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 9.1% down to 0%.

,Despite conventional wisdom, fastballs are generally a pitcher’s least effective pitch. Will Warren has gone to his secondary pitches 5.6% less often this year (31.8%) than he did last year (37.4%).

,Will Warren has experienced some positive variance in regards to his strikeouts this year, compiling a 10.63 K/9 despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 9.09 — a 1.53 K/9 difference.

,Taylor Ward’s exit velocity on flyballs has declined this season; his 93.1-mph average last year has decreased to 89.6-mph.

,In today’s game, Austin Wells is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 8th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 33.6% rate (79th percentile).

,Over the past two weeks, Austin Wells’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 6.1% down to 0%.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Ben Rice’s true offensive talent to be a .365, providing some evidence that he has been lucky this year given the .114 gap between that mark and his actual .479 wOBA.

,Trent Grisham has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this season (96% of the time), but he is projected to bat 6th in the batting order in this matchup.

,Cade Povich will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Trent Grisham in today’s game.

,Trent Grisham’s average exit velocity has dropped off recently; his 91.3-mph seasonal mark has fallen off to 86.1-mph over the past week.

,Jose Caballero’s launch angle this year (9.5°) is considerably worse than his 17.2° mark last year.

,Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (28.1) suggests that Trent Grisham has experienced some positive variance since the start of last season with his 33.4 actual HR/600.

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