Orioles vs Red Sox match player stats | 2026 Series Game 3 Thursday, June 4th

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BAL @ BOS

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Orioles @ Red Sox Series Game 3 Matchup Details

Teams : Baltimore Orioles at Boston Red Sox
Series Game 3
Date : Todays Game is on Thursday, June 4th
Time : 04/06/26 13:35:00 PM EST First Pitch

Positives for the Baltimore Orioles Series Game 3 Game Today

Ceddanne Rafaela’s batting average talent is projected to be in the 81st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Ceddanne Rafaela is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 57% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year.

,The weather report projects temperatures in this game to reach the highest level of the day at 87°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).

,The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 12-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for bats.

,Ceddanne Rafaela will have the handedness advantage against Trevor Rogers in today’s matchup.

,The Boston Red Sox outfield defense projects as the strongest out of every team today.

,Brayan Bello will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which should bolster all of his stats in all categories.

,Marcelo Mayer is projected to bat 5th in the lineup today, which would be an upgrade from his 100% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year.

,Marcelo Mayer has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.7%) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them in the direction of baseball’s shallowest LF fences today.

,Out of every team today, the worst outfield defense is that of the the Baltimore Orioles.

,As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Jarren Duran ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Jarren Duran is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this matchup.

,Jarren Duran has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.9%) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them out towards the game’s shallowest LF fences today.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Holliday in the 85th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill.

,Batting from the opposite that Brayan Bello throws from, Jackson Holliday will have an advantage today.

,Jackson Holliday hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 87th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB’s 3rd-shallowest CF fences today.

,As it relates to his home run talent, Coby Mayo ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Coby Mayo has big-time HR ability (91st percentile) if he makes contact, but that’s always far from assured (27.7% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Brayan Bello doesn’t generate many whiffs (19th percentile K%) — great news for Mayo.

,Coby Mayo pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (40.8% — 98th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards the league’s shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wilyer Abreu in the 88th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.

,Wilyer Abreu is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup today.

,Caleb Durbin will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Trevor Rogers today.

,Caleb Durbin hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 91st percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards the game’s 3rd-shallowest CF fences today.

,Ceddanne Rafaela hits many of his flyballs to center field (37.9% — 75th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league’s 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Taylor Ward in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.

,Taylor Ward is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in today’s game.

,Taylor Ward has an 88th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.9%) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them in the direction of baseball’s 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.

,When estimating his overall offensive talent, Willson Contreras ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Willson Contreras is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this matchup.

,Willson Contreras will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Trevor Rogers in today’s game.

,Carlos Narvaez will have the handedness advantage over Trevor Rogers today.

,Carlos Narvaez has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37%) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards baseball’s 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.

,Hitting from the opposite that Trevor Rogers throws from, Andruw Monasterio will have an advantage today.

,Andruw Monasterio will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s game, which ought to improve all of his stats.

,When assessing his overall offensive skill, Adley Rutschman ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Adley Rutschman is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in today’s game.

,When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Gunnar Henderson ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Gunnar Henderson is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in today’s game.

,Gunnar Henderson will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Brayan Bello today.

,Hitting from the opposite that Trevor Rogers throws from, Isiah Kiner-Falefa will have the upper hand in today’s game.

,Isiah Kiner-Falefa hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 84th percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball’s 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Pete Alonso as baseball’s 14th-best home run hitter.

,Pete Alonso is projected to bat 4th in the lineup today.

,Pete Alonso has a 79th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.6%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards MLB’s 3rd-shallowest RF fences today.

,Pete Alonso projects as the 20th-best batter in the majors, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Trevor Rogers has averaged 92.6 adjusted pitches per GS this year, placing in the 79th percentile.

,The Boston Red Sox projected lineup profiles as the 3rd-weakest on the slate in terms of overall hitting skill.

,Caleb Durbin will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats.

,Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Isiah Kiner-Falefa will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Samuel Basallo in the 85th percentile as it relates to his home run ability.

,Samuel Basallo is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card today.

,Batting from the opposite that Brayan Bello throws from, Samuel Basallo will have an edge in today’s matchup.

,Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Carlos Narvaez will hold that advantage in today’s game.

,The Boston Red Sox (23.6% K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) project to have the 3rd-most strikeout-heavy team of hitters of all teams today.

,Samuel Basallo hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (37.9% — 75th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards the league’s 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

,Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats in all categories, and Marcelo Mayer will hold that advantage today.

,Wilyer Abreu will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s game, which figures to improve all of his stats.

,Bats such as Coby Mayo with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Brayan Bello who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Holliday in the 78th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.

Negatives with the Boston Red Sox Series Game 3 Game Today

Considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Brayan Bello is projected to throw 78 pitches today by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the 3rd-least of all pitchers today.

,The Baltimore Orioles projected lineup profiles as the 4th-best on the slate in terms of overall hitting skill.

,Given that flyball pitchers are hit hardest by groundball hitters, Brayan Bello (50.6% FB% per the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be a bit disadvantaged in this game with 2 GB hitters in Baltimore’s projected offense.

,Batting from the same side that Trevor Rogers throws from, Marcelo Mayer encounters a tough challenge in today’s matchup.

,Trevor Rogers will hold the platoon advantage over Jarren Duran today.

,Jackson Holliday is penciled in 8th in the lineup in this game.

,Extreme groundball hitters like Jackson Holliday generally hit worse against extreme groundball pitchers like Brayan Bello.

,Boston’s #3-ranked outfield defense of all teams on the slate poses a formidable challenge for Jackson Holliday, who tends to hit a lot of flyballs.

,Jackson Holliday will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s matchup.

,Coby Mayo is penciled in 6th in the lineup in this game.

,Hitting from the same side that Brayan Bello throws from, Coby Mayo meets a tough challenge in today’s game.

,Coby Mayo is an extreme flyball batter and faces the strong outfield defense of Boston (#1-best of all teams on the slate today).

,Coby Mayo will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.

,Hitting from the same side that Trevor Rogers throws from, Wilyer Abreu will have a tough challenge in today’s matchup.

,As it relates to his home run skill, Caleb Durbin ranks in the 10th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Caleb Durbin is projected to hit 9th in the batting order in this game.

,Hitting from the same side that Brayan Bello throws from, Taylor Ward will have a disadvantage in today’s game.

,Taylor Ward will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s game.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Carlos Narvaez in the 20th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill.

,Carlos Narvaez is projected to bat 8th in the batting order in this matchup.

,Andruw Monasterio is projected to bat 6th in the batting order in this matchup.

,The switch-hitting Adley Rutschman will be at a disadvantage batting from his bad side (0) today against Brayan Bello,Adley Rutschman will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today.

,Playing on the road typically weakens batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Gunnar Henderson in today’s game.

,When assessing his overall offensive ability, Isiah Kiner-Falefa ranks in the 16th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Isiah Kiner-Falefa is projected to hit 7th in the lineup in this game.

,Hitting from the same side that Brayan Bello throws from, Pete Alonso meets a tough challenge today.

,Pete Alonso will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s matchup.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Isiah Kiner-Falefa in the 3rd percentile when estimating his home run skill.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Brayan Bello in the 20th percentile when estimating his strikeout ability.

,The Boston Red Sox have 6 batters in the projected offense that will have the handedness advantage against Trevor Rogers today.

,Trevor Rogers will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s matchup.

,Playing on the road generally weakens hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Samuel Basallo today.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Caleb Durbin in the 11th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill.

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