Matchup Details

Positive Match Player Stats for Orioles vs Rays Matchup Today

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Jordan Westburg ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Jordan Westburg is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles George M. Steinbrenner Field as the 5th-best venue in the majors for right-handed home runs.

In Major League Baseball, George M. Steinbrenner Field has the lowest average fence height.

Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast projects the 2nd-hottest temperature of the day at 86°.

Jordan Westburg has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 90.8-mph to 94.1-mph in the last 14 days.

Compared to his seasonal average of 13°, Jordan Westburg has significantly improved his launch angle recently, posting a 18.3° figure over the last two weeks.

Colton Cowser’s BABIP skill is projected in the 90th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

The #5 stadium in MLB for boosting home runs to left-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is George M. Steinbrenner Field.

Hitting from the opposite that Taj Bradley throws from, Colton Cowser will have an edge in today’s matchup.

Over the past two weeks, Colton Cowser’s 61.9% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 48%.

When estimating his home run skill, Colton Cowser ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Taj Bradley in the 77th percentile as it relates to his overall pitching skills.

Taj Bradley is an extreme groundball pitcher (43.5% GB% according to the leading projection system, THE BAT), which should make him somewhat immune to the dangers of pitching in George M. Steinbrenner Field — the #7 HR venue in Major League Baseball — in today’s game.

Home field advantage generally boosts pitcher stats across the board, and Taj Bradley will hold that advantage today.

In his previous game started, Taj Bradley was on point and gave up 2 ER.

The Baltimore Orioles have 4 bats in their projected offense today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Ramon Laureano, Colton Cowser, Tyler O’Neill, Jacob Stallings).

George M. Steinbrenner Field profiles as the #8 ballpark in MLB for strikeouts, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Taj Bradley was in good form in his last GS and notched 7 strikeouts.

Taj Bradley has used his curveball 5.5% more often this season (14.5%) than he did last season (9%).

When estimating his home run ability, Junior Caminero ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Junior Caminero is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card today.

Junior Caminero’s batting average talent is projected to be in the 87th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Hitters such as Junior Caminero with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Charlie Morton who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum.

Junior Caminero will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Holliday in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability.

Jackson Holliday is penciled in 1st in the lineup today.

Hitting from the opposite that Taj Bradley throws from, Jackson Holliday will have an advantage today.

Posting a .325 BABIP this year, Jackson Holliday is ranked in the 80th percentile.

Chandler Simpson is penciled in 1st in the lineup today, which would be an upgrade from his 66% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year.

Hitting from the opposite that Charlie Morton throws from, Chandler Simpson will have the upper hand in today’s matchup.

As it relates to his batting average talent, Chandler Simpson is projected as the 13th-best batter in the majors by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Extreme flyball bats like Chandler Simpson are generally more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Charlie Morton.

Cedric Mullins will have the handedness advantage against Taj Bradley in today’s matchup.

Cedric Mullins pulls many of his flyballs (37.3% — 95th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards baseball’s 5th-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.

Extreme flyball bats like Cedric Mullins usually hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Taj Bradley.

Cedric Mullins has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 89.1-mph average to last year’s 87.1-mph average.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cedric Mullins in the 77th percentile when it comes to his home run ability.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan O’Hearn in the 95th percentile when assessing his batting average skill.

Ryan O’Hearn is penciled in 4th in the lineup in today’s game.

Hitting from the opposite that Taj Bradley throws from, Ryan O’Hearn will have the upper hand in today’s game.

Ryan O’Hearn has made big improvements with his Barrel% lately, improving his 8.8% seasonal rate to 15.8% in the past 14 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan O’Hearn in the 92nd percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ramon Laureano in the 81st percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent.

Ramon Laureano is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this matchup.

Ramon Laureano has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 97.2-mph average over the last two weeks to his seasonal average of 94.6-mph.

Ramon Laureano has notched a .367 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, ranking in the 90th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ramon Laureano in the 78th percentile as it relates to his home run ability.

Jacob Stallings has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.6%) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them out towards the league’s 5th-shallowest RF fences today.

Jacob Stallings’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last year to this one, rising from 17.9% to 21.4%.

Despite posting a .184 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Jacob Stallings has had some very poor luck given the .084 gap between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .268.

Tyler O’Neill projects as the 13th-best home run hitter in baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

There has been a significant improvement in Tyler O’Neill’s launch angle from last season’s 20° to 25.8° this season.

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Tyler O’Neill ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Compared to his seasonal average of 25.8°, Tyler O’Neill has significantly improved his launch angle recently, posting a 36.9° figure over the past two weeks.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.306) may lead us to conclude that Tyler O’Neill has experienced some negative variance this year with his .259 actual wOBA.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Charlie Morton in the 85th percentile when it comes to his strikeout skill.

Charlie Morton has averaged 94 adjusted pitches per game per started this year, placing in the 89th percentile.

With a 0.72 deviation between Charlie Morton’s 5.18 ERA and his 4.46 FIP, it’s safe to say he’s been one of the unluckiest pitchers in the game this year and should see positive regression the rest of the season.

Charlie Morton has been one of the unluckiest hurlers in the majors on balls in play this year with a .336 BABIP and ought to see that luck normalize going forward.

Tampa Bay Rays bats jointly grade out 21st- in the game for power this year when assessing with their 8.1% Barrel%.

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Yandy Diaz ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Yandy Diaz is penciled in 3rd in the batting order today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Yandy Diaz as the 7th-best batter in the majors when it comes to his batting average skill.

Yandy Diaz has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (41.7%) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them out towards the game’s 5th-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.

Extreme groundball bats like Yandy Diaz tend to perform better against extreme flyball pitchers like Charlie Morton.

Danny Jansen will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats.

Danny Jansen has made significant gains with his Barrel% recently, upping his 8.2% seasonal rate to 14.3% in the last two weeks’ worth of games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Danny Jansen in the 81st percentile when estimating his home run talent.

There has been a significant improvement in Danny Jansen’s launch angle from last season’s 21.6° to 24.6° this year.

Over the past 14 days, Danny Jansen’s 57.1% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 40.1%.

Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats across the board, and Ha-seong Kim will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

As it relates to his batting average, Ha-seong Kim has had bad variance on his side since the start of last season. His .233 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .255.

As it relates to plate discipline, Ha-seong Kim’s ability is quite impressive, sporting a 1.43 K/BB rate since the start of last season while grading out in in the 95th percentile.

When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Ha-seong Kim has had some very poor luck since the start of last season. His .306 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .323.

Josh Lowe’s BABIP skill is projected in the 91st percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Josh Lowe will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Charlie Morton today.

Josh Lowe will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats.

Josh Lowe has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 97.8-mph average over the past two weeks to his seasonal mark of 92.1-mph.

Taylor Walls will possess the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Over the last two weeks, Taylor Walls’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 88.8-mph over the course of the season to 90.8-mph in recent games.

Taylor Walls’s average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls of late (27.3° over the past 14 days) is a considerable increase over his 13.9° seasonal mark.

Taylor Walls’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last year to this one, rising from 15.8% to 20.6%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jonathan Aranda in the 90th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.

Jonathan Aranda is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order today.

Jonathan Aranda will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Charlie Morton in today’s matchup.

Jonathan Aranda pulls a lot of his flyballs (34% — 82nd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards MLB’s 5th-shallowest RF fences today.

Gunnar Henderson projects as the 19th-best batter in the league, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Gunnar Henderson is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.

Batting from the opposite that Taj Bradley throws from, Gunnar Henderson will have an edge in today’s matchup.

Gunnar Henderson has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 96.4-mph average in the last two weeks to his seasonal EV of 91.2-mph.

Jake Mangum is projected to bat 4th in the batting order today, which would be an upgrade from his 59% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season.

Extreme groundball batters like Jake Mangum generally hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Charlie Morton.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Mangum in the 93rd percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.

Jake Mangum will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats.

Negative Match Player Stats with Orioles vs Rays

In the majors, George M. Steinbrenner Field’s CF dimensions are the 5th-deepest.

Batting from the same side that Taj Bradley throws from, Jordan Westburg has a tough challenge today.

Jordan Westburg will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s game.

Jordan Westburg’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has declined from last season to this one, decreasing from 48.4% to 43.4%.

Jordan Westburg has had some very good luck with his home runs this year; his 33.3 HR per 600 plate appearances rate is significantly inflated relative to his 28.7 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Jordan Westburg has exhibited weak plate discipline this year, checking in at the 19th percentile with a 4.16 K/BB rate.

Colton Cowser is projected to hit 6th in the batting order in today’s game.

Colton Cowser has an 85th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.9%) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards MLB’s 7th-deepest LF fences today.

Playing on the road generally lessens hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Colton Cowser today.

Over the past two weeks, Colton Cowser’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 12.1% down to 4.8%.

Colton Cowser’s average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls this season (12.1°) is a considerable dropoff from his 17.7° figure last season.

It may be wise to expect positive regression for the Baltimore Orioles offense going forward, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) sees them as the 4th-unluckiest offense in MLB this year.

The #7 park in the majors for boosting home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is George M. Steinbrenner Field.

Taj Bradley has put up a 2.15 K/BB rate this year, ranking in the 21st percentile.

Hitting from the same side that Charlie Morton throws from, Junior Caminero will not have the upper hand in today’s matchup.

In today’s matchup, Junior Caminero is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 7th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 35.6% rate (91st percentile).

Junior Caminero has been cold of late, with his seasonal exit velocity of 91.1-mph dropping to 88.5-mph over the past 14 days.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (27.0) provides evidence that Junior Caminero has experienced some positive variance this year with his 35.9 actual HR/600.

By putting up a .253 BABIP this year, Junior Caminero is ranked in the 11th percentile.

Junior Caminero has shown weak plate discipline this year, grading out in the 24th percentile with a 3.57 K/BB rate.

In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Junior Caminero has been lucky this year. His .334 rate has been a good deal higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .309.

In today’s matchup, Jackson Holliday is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 5th-deepest CF center field fences given that he hits his flyballs towards center field at a 39.6% rate (94th percentile).

Typically, hitters like Jackson Holliday who hit a lot of groundballs generally hit worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of groundballs such as Taj Bradley.

Playing on the road generally diminishes hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Jackson Holliday in today’s game.

Jackson Holliday has been cold of late, with his seasonal exit velocity of 89.7-mph dropping to 84.1-mph in the last 14 days.

Jackson Holliday’s launch angle recently (3° over the last two weeks) is quite a bit worse than his 7.7° seasonal figure.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Chandler Simpson in the 0th percentile as it relates to his home run skill.

Chandler Simpson hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.8% — 96th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards MLB’s 5th-deepest CF fences today.

Utilizing Statcast data, Chandler Simpson ranks in the 0th percentile for power according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances this year at .000.

Chandler Simpson’s 0% Barrel% (an advanced metric to evaluate power) ranks in the 0th percentile this year.

Chandler Simpson has hit 0 homers per 600 plate appearances this year, placing in the 0th percentile for power.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cedric Mullins in the 8th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent.

Cedric Mullins is projected to hit 8th in the batting order in today’s game.

Cedric Mullins will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s matchup.

Cedric Mullins has negatively regressed with his Barrel% of late; his 6.6% seasonal rate has decreased to 0% over the last 14 days.

Compared to his seasonal mark of 14.8°, Cedric Mullins’s average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls has dropped significantly in recent games (11.4° in the past 14 days).

Cedric Mullins has experienced some positive variance in regards to his home runs this year; his 25.0 HR per 600 plate appearances mark is inflated compared to his 18.9 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Ryan O’Hearn has been replaced by a pinch-hitter 11% of the time when starting against a northpaw this year.

Ryan O’Hearn has an 85th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.9%) but may find it hard to clear MLB’s 7th-deepest LF fences in today’s game.

Ryan O’Hearn will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s game.

In the last 14 days, Ryan O’Hearn’s 5.3% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 16.1%.

Despite posting a .365 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Ryan O’Hearn has been lucky given the .024 gap between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .341.

Batting from the same side that Taj Bradley throws from, Ramon Laureano has a tough challenge today.

Ramon Laureano pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.2% — 83rd percentile) and will be challenged by MLB’s 7th-deepest LF fences in today’s game.

Ramon Laureano will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s matchup.

In the last two weeks’ worth of games, Ramon Laureano’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 9.9% down to 3.6%.

Ramon Laureano’s average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls this season (16.6°) is a considerable dropoff from his 19.9° figure last year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jacob Stallings in the 6th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill.

Jacob Stallings is penciled in 9th in the lineup today.

Jacob Stallings has been pinch hit for 21% of the time when starting against a righty hurler this year.

Taj Bradley will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jacob Stallings today.

Jacob Stallings will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jacob Stallings in the 8th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.

Tyler O’Neill is projected to hit 7th in the batting order in this game, which would be a downgrade from his 58% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this season.

Batting from the same side that Taj Bradley throws from, Tyler O’Neill has a tough challenge today.

Tyler O’Neill pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.4% — 90th percentile) and will be challenged by the game’s 7th-deepest LF fences in today’s matchup.

Playing on the road typically diminishes batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Tyler O’Neill in today’s matchup.

Tyler O’Neill’s exit velocity on flyballs has declined this season; his 97.9-mph figure last season has fallen to 95-mph.

The Tampa Bay Rays (20 K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) are forecasted to have the 3rd-least strikeout-prone set of batters of all teams on the slate today.

Given that groundball batters hold a sizeable edge over flyball pitchers, Charlie Morton and his 32.8% underlying GB% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT) finds himself in a tough spot in this outing squaring off against 4 opposing GB bats.

Charlie Morton will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.

Charlie Morton is an extreme flyball pitcher (32.8% FB% according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) and will be disadvantaged pitching in the #7 HR venue among all major league stadiums today.

As a team, Tampa Bay Rays batters have struggled when it comes to hitting balls in the launch angle range that tends to result the most in home runs (between 23° and 34°), ranking 3rd-worst in Major League Baseball.

Hitting from the same side that Charlie Morton throws from, Yandy Diaz faces a tough challenge in today’s matchup.

In the last 7 days, Yandy Diaz’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 10.5% down to 0%.

Yandy Diaz’s launch angle recently (-4.5° over the past week) is a considerable dropoff from his 5.8° seasonal mark.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Danny Jansen in the 1st percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability.

Danny Jansen is penciled in 9th on the lineup card today.

Charlie Morton will hold the platoon advantage over Danny Jansen in today’s matchup.

Danny Jansen pulls a lot of his flyballs (43.1% — 100th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards the game’s 7th-deepest LF fences in today’s matchup.

Extreme groundball batters like Danny Jansen are generally less successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Charlie Morton.

Compared to his seasonal figure of 24.6°, Danny Jansen has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (20.6°) in the last two weeks’ worth of games.

Ha-seong Kim’s BABIP talent is projected in the 20th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Ha-seong Kim is penciled in 7th on the lineup card today, which would be a downgrade from his 50% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this year.

Charlie Morton will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ha-seong Kim in today’s game.

Ha-seong Kim hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39% — 88th percentile) and will be challenged by the league’s 5th-deepest CF fences in today’s matchup.

Ha-seong Kim’s speed has fallen off this season. His 28.3 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 27.65 ft/sec now.

Ha-seong Kim has performed at a clip of 12.7 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season, ranking in the 25th percentile for power according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Since the start of last season, the hardest ball Ha-seong Kim has made contact with reached a maximum exit velocity of 107.9 mph (a reliable stat to study power), checking in at the 10th percentile.

Josh Lowe has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this year (69% of the time), but he is projected to hit 6th in the batting order in this matchup.

Josh Lowe has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.5%) and will be challenged by baseball’s 7th-deepest LF fences in today’s game.

Josh Lowe’s launch angle lately (4.6° over the last 14 days) is quite a bit worse than his 8.8° seasonal angle.

When it comes to his home runs, Josh Lowe has experienced some positive variance this year. His 17.1 HR per 600 plate appearances rate has been a good deal higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 10.7.

Josh Lowe’s launch angle this season (8.8°) is considerably lower than his 16.8° angle last year.

Taylor Walls’s batting average ability is projected to be in the 13th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Taylor Walls is projected to hit 8th in the batting order in this game.

As a switch-hitter who bats worse from the 0 side of the dish, Taylor Walls will be at a disadvantage batting from his weak side against Charlie Morton in this game.

Today, Taylor Walls is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 7th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 34.3% rate (81st percentile).

Ranking in the 3rd percentile, Taylor Walls has posted a .253 wOBA (widely regarded as the top measure of overall offense) this year.

Sporting a 5.900 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) this year , Taylor Walls finds himself in the 5th percentile for power.

When estimating his home run ability, Taylor Walls ranks in the 19th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.279) implies that Jonathan Aranda has been lucky this year with his .324 actual batting average.

Despite posting a .386 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Jonathan Aranda has been very fortunate given the .049 discrepancy between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .337.

Gunnar Henderson hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 87th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards MLB’s 5th-deepest CF fences in today’s game.

Gunnar Henderson will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s matchup.

Compared to his seasonal angle of 11°, Gunnar Henderson has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (4.9°) over the past 14 days.

Gunnar Henderson’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off from last season to this one, going from 14.1% to 9.4%.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.265) provides evidence that Gunnar Henderson has been lucky this year with his .280 actual batting average.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Mangum in the 2nd percentile when assessing his home run skill.

Jake Mangum has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.1%) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the league’s 7th-deepest LF fences in today’s game.

Jake Mangum has been cold lately, with his seasonal exit velocity of 87.3-mph dropping to 77.8-mph in the past week’s worth of games.

Jake Mangum’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off lately, falling from 10.3% on the season to 5.9% in the past 14 days.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.256) provides evidence that Jake Mangum has been very fortunate this year with his .310 actual batting average.

In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Jake Mangum ranks in just the 0th percentile with a -0.4° launch angle, which is among the lowest angles in the game.

When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Jake Mangum has been lucky this year. His .327 rate has been inflated compared to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .287.

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