Matchup Details

Positive Match Player Stats for Yankees vs Braves Matchup Today

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Truist Park as the 5th-best park in baseball for right-handed BABIP.

Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest elevation among all major league parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense.

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is projected to have the hottest temperature of all games on the slate today at 88°.

Anthony Volpe hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.5% — 93rd percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards the game’s 5th-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.

Anthony Volpe has made substantial strides with his Barrel% in recent games, upping his 8.9% seasonal rate to 14.8% over the last two weeks.

Anthony Volpe has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89.3-mph to 92.1-mph in the past two weeks’ worth of games.

Jasson Dominguez’s BABIP skill is projected in the 93rd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Jasson Dominguez is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 70% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season.

The #5 park in baseball for boosting base hits to LHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park.

The 5th-shallowest CF fences in the majors are found in Truist Park.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jasson Dominguez in the 81st percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cody Bellinger in the 86th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability.

Cody Bellinger is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in today’s game.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Cody Bellinger ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

When it comes to his home run skill, Matt Olson ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Matt Olson is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card today.

Matt Olson will probably have the upper hand against every reliever for the whole game, since the bullpen of the New York Yankees only has 1 same-handed RP.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt Olson in the 96th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Sean Murphy in the 96th percentile when assessing his home run talent.

Sean Murphy has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (62% of the time), but he is projected to bat 4th in the batting order today.

Hitting from the opposite that Max Fried throws from, Sean Murphy will have an edge today.

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Sean Murphy ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Jurickson Profar is projected to hit 5th in the lineup today.

The switch-hitting Jurickson Profar will get to bat from his strong side (0) today against Max Fried.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jurickson Profar in the 79th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.

Paul Goldschmidt’s batting average skill is projected to be in the 87th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Compared to his seasonal average of 15.4°, Paul Goldschmidt has significantly improved his launch angle in recent games, posting a 21° figure in the past 14 days.

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Paul Goldschmidt ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Paul Goldschmidt has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his home runs this year; his 13.1 HR per 600 plate appearances mark is significantly deflated relative to his 17.2 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Marcell Ozuna ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Marcell Ozuna is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this game.

Marcell Ozuna will hold the platoon advantage against Max Fried today.

The switch-hitting Ozzie Albies will get to bat from his better side (0) today against Max Fried.

Extreme flyball batters like Ozzie Albies generally hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Max Fried.

Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats across the board, and Ozzie Albies will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

Ronald Acuna Jr. projects as the 5th-best batter in Major League Baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Ronald Acuna Jr. is penciled in 1st in the batting order in today’s game.

Ronald Acuna Jr. will hold the platoon advantage against Max Fried today.

As it relates to his home run talent, Jazz Chisholm Jr. ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Jazz Chisholm Jr. is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this game.

Jazz Chisholm Jr. will hold the platoon advantage against Spencer Strider in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jazz Chisholm Jr. in the 93rd percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Giancarlo Stanton as baseball’s 5th-best home run batter.

Giancarlo Stanton is penciled in 4th in the batting order today.

Giancarlo Stanton has made big gains with his Barrel% recently, bettering his 12% seasonal rate to 28.6% in the past 14 days.

Aaron Judge projects as the best hitter in the game, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Aaron Judge is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in today’s game.

Aaron Judge hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 84th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB’s 5th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

Oswald Peraza hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 79th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards baseball’s 5th-shallowest CF fences today.

Oswald Peraza has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 91.9-mph average over the last 14 days to his seasonal 87.7-mph EV.

Oswald Peraza has experienced some negative variance in regards to his wOBA this year; his .207 rate is quite a bit lower than his .270 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Batting from the opposite that Max Fried throws from, Nick Allen will have the upper hand in today’s matchup.

Nick Allen hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 86th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league’s 5th-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.

Nick Allen will hold the home field advantage in today’s game, which should bolster all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Harris II in the 89th percentile when estimating his batting average skill.

The New York Yankees have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Michael Harris II can likely count on never losing the platoon advantage against the ‘pen all game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Harris II in the 75th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability.

Michael Harris II will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Austin Wells in the 86th percentile when assessing his home run talent.

Austin Wells will have the handedness advantage against Spencer Strider in today’s game.

The New York Yankees projected lineup projects as the 2nd-strongest of all teams on the slate today in terms of overall offensive ability.

The #5 park in Major League Baseball for boosting BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park.

Despite conventional wisdom, fastballs are generally a pitcher’s least effective pitch. Spencer Strider has utilized his fastball a lot this year, though: 53.8% of the time, grading out in the 100th percentile.

Spencer Strider has averaged 93 adjusted pitches per game per started this year, grading out in the 86th percentile.

When estimating his strikeout ability, Spencer Strider projects as the 5th-best pitcher in the game right now, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Per the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the team with the 4th-most strikeout-prone lineup on the slate today is the New York Yankees with a 25.2% underlying K%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Truist Park as the 6th-best venue in the league for strikeouts.

Negative Match Player Stats with Yankees vs Braves

Anthony Volpe is projected to hit 8th in the lineup in today’s game.

Spencer Strider will hold the platoon advantage against Anthony Volpe in today’s matchup.

Anthony Volpe will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s game.

Anthony Volpe’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has declined from last season to this one, falling from 43.9% to 36.3%.

With a .291 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) this year, Anthony Volpe is positioned in the 21st percentile for hitting ability.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Truist Park as the 6th-worst venue in Major League Baseball for righty home runs.

Playing on the road generally lowers batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Jasson Dominguez today.

When it comes to his batting average, Jasson Dominguez has been very fortunate this year. His .266 figure has been a fair amount higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .225.

Jasson Dominguez has done a poor job optimizing his launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls. His 7.3° mark is among the lowest in baseball this year (15th percentile).

The #6 field in the game for suppressing home runs to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park.

As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Jasson Dominguez has experienced some positive variance this year. His .332 figure has been a fair amount higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .302.

Typically, bats like Cody Bellinger who hit a lot of groundballs are generally less successful when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of groundballs such as Spencer Strider.

Cody Bellinger will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s matchup.

Over the last week, Cody Bellinger’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 16.5%.

Cody Bellinger has been lucky this year, notching a .353 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .327 — a .026 discrepancy.

As it relates to his home runs, Cody Bellinger has been lucky this year. His 25.6 HR per 600 plate appearances rate has been a good deal higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 20.7.

Max Fried will have the handedness advantage over Matt Olson in today’s game.

Matt Olson has a 78th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34%) and will be challenged by MLB’s 2nd-deepest LF fences in today’s matchup.

Sean Murphy pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36.6% — 94th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards the league’s 2nd-deepest LF fences today.

Sean Murphy has experienced some positive variance in regards to his home runs this year; his 42.7 HR per 600 plate appearances mark is quite a bit higher than his 26.8 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

By putting up a .231 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) this year , Sean Murphy grades out in the 21st percentile.

Sporting a .230 BABIP since the start of last season, Sean Murphy is ranked in the 1st percentile.

Sean Murphy has experienced some positive variance in regards to with his wOBA this year; his .349 figure is inflated compared to his .319 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Jurickson Profar’s BABIP talent is projected in the 15th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Jurickson Profar pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.4% — 84th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the game’s 2nd-deepest LF fences today.

Jurickson Profar’s average exit velocity has dropped off this year; his 91.1-mph EV last year has fallen to 86.9-mph.

Jurickson Profar’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off recently, decreasing from 20% on the season to 7.7% over the past week.

Jurickson Profar’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has fallen off from last season to this one, falling from 45.9% to 23.3%.

Jurickson Profar has been lucky in regards to his home runs since the start of last season; his 22.1 HR per 600 plate appearances mark is a good deal higher than his 17.3 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Paul Goldschmidt is projected to bat 6th in the lineup today, which would be a downgrade from his 90% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this season.

Truist Park has the 2nd-deepest LF dimensions among all major league parks.

Spencer Strider will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Paul Goldschmidt today.

Playing on the road typically weakens batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Paul Goldschmidt in today’s game.

Paul Goldschmidt has struggled with his Barrel% in recent games; his 8.2% seasonal rate has dropped off to 0% in the past week.

Marcell Ozuna pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.8% — 81st percentile) but may find it hard to clear the game’s 2nd-deepest LF fences today.

Marcell Ozuna’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off this year; his 98.2-mph figure last year has lowered to 94.8-mph.

Last season, Marcell Ozuna had a launch angle of 19.4° on his highest exit velocity balls, but this year he experienced a significant decline to just 14.9°.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ozzie Albies in the 10th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.

Ozzie Albies is projected to bat 6th in the batting order today.

In today’s matchup, Ozzie Albies is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 2nd-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 39.4% rate (98th percentile).

Posting a .224 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) this year , Ozzie Albies grades out in the 14th percentile.

Placing in the 7th percentile, Ozzie Albies has put up a .308 Slugging Percentage (SLG) this year.

Posting a .266 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Ozzie Albies is ranked in the 10th percentile.

Utilizing Statcast data, Ozzie Albies ranks in the 15th percentile for offensive ability via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year at .286.

In the past 7 days, Ronald Acuna Jr.’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 14.8%.

Ronald Acuna Jr. has had positive variance on his side thus far when it comes to his batting average this year; his .323 BA is quite a bit higher than his .274 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Ronald Acuna Jr. has had positive variance on his side this year. His .435 rate has been a good deal higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .387.

Playing on the road generally diminishes batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Jazz Chisholm Jr. today.

Over the last week, Jazz Chisholm Jr.’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 20.8% down to 0%.

Despite posting a .369 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Jazz Chisholm Jr. has experienced some positive variance given the .026 difference between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .343.

Hitting from the same side that Spencer Strider throws from, Giancarlo Stanton will have a tough matchup in today’s game.

Giancarlo Stanton pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.4% — 77th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards MLB’s 2nd-deepest LF fences today.

Playing on the road typically reduces hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Giancarlo Stanton today.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.263) suggests that Giancarlo Stanton has been lucky this year with his .342 actual wOBA.

Giancarlo Stanton’s BABIP ability is projected in the 10th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Spencer Strider will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Aaron Judge today.

Extreme flyball batters like Aaron Judge generally hit worse against extreme flyball pitchers like Spencer Strider.

Aaron Judge will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s matchup.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.401) suggests that Aaron Judge has been very fortunate this year with his .482 actual wOBA.

Oswald Peraza is penciled in 9th in the batting order in this game.

Oswald Peraza has been replaced by a pinch-hitter 28% of the time when starting against a righty hurler this year.

Batting from the same side that Spencer Strider throws from, Oswald Peraza faces a tough challenge in today’s matchup.

Playing on the road typically lessens batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Oswald Peraza in today’s matchup.

Oswald Peraza has taken a step back with his Barrel% recently; his 7.5% seasonal rate has fallen off to 0% over the past two weeks.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Allen in the 2nd percentile when estimating his home run skill.

Nick Allen is penciled in 8th in the lineup in this matchup.

This year, Nick Allen has been pinch hit for in 32% of his appearances when starting against southpaw.

Typically, batters like Nick Allen who hit a lot of flyballs tend to be less successful when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of flyballs such as Max Fried.

Nick Allen’s exit velocity on flyballs has declined of late; his 85.6-mph seasonal mark has lowered to 82.6-mph over the last 14 days.

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Nick Allen ranks in the 4th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Michael Harris II is projected to bat 9th on the lineup card in today’s game.

Max Fried will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Michael Harris II in today’s matchup.

Michael Harris II has an 85th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.9%) and will be challenged by the game’s 2nd-deepest LF fences in today’s game.

Extreme groundball bats like Michael Harris II tend to be less successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Max Fried.

In the past two weeks’ worth of games, Michael Harris II’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 6.1% down to 0%.

Austin Wells is projected to bat 7th in the batting order in this matchup.

Typically, batters like Austin Wells who hit a lot of flyballs generally hit worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of flyballs such as Spencer Strider.

Playing on the road generally weakens hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Austin Wells today.

In terms of his home runs, Austin Wells has been very fortunate this year. His 29.1 HR per 600 plate appearances rate has been quite a bit higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 24.1.

Austin Wells has recorded a .253 BABIP this year, ranking in the 11th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Austin Wells in the 15th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill.

Austin Wells has exhibited weak plate discipline this year, ranking in the 23rd percentile with a 3.69 K/BB rate.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Spencer Strider in the 94th percentile when assessing his overall pitching talent.

It may be best to expect negative regression for the New York Yankees offense the rest of the season, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes they are the 3rd-luckiest offense in Major League Baseball this year.

Spencer Strider is an extreme flyball pitcher (37.2% FB% per the leading projection system, THE BAT) and should be helped pitching in the #24 HR venue among all stadiums today.

Given that groundball batters struggle against groundball pitchers, Spencer Strider (37.2% GB% according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) is well-situated today with 3 GB hitters in the opposing team’s projected offense.

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