Todays Game 2 Matchup Details

Player match stat positives for Baltimore at Tampa Bay Game 2 Matchup Today

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Holliday in the 94th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill.

In the majors, Tropicana Field’s right field fences are the 4th-shallowest.

Jackson Holliday will hold the platoon advantage against Drew Rasmussen in today’s game.

Jackson Holliday has been hot recently, posting a a 35.3% Barrel% (an advanced metric to assess power) over the last 14 days.

Putting up a 96.8-mph average exit velocity in the last two weeks, Jackson Holliday has been in great form recently.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Siri in the 93rd percentile when assessing his home run ability.

Jose Siri pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.5% — 89th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards baseball’s 6th-shallowest LF fences today.

Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats across the board, and Jose Siri will hold that advantage today.

Jose Siri has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 88.7-mph to 92.1-mph over the last 7 days.

Jose Siri has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 96.7-mph average to last year’s 94-mph average.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Colton Cowser as the 17th-best hitter in the game when it comes to his BABIP ability.

Colton Cowser has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (78% of the time), but he is projected to hit 1st in the lineup today.

Colton Cowser will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Drew Rasmussen today.

Colton Cowser has an 84th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.2%) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them out towards baseball’s 6th-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.

Over the past two weeks, Colton Cowser’s 55.3% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 48.4%.

Ramon Urias has an 86th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.5%) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them in the direction of MLB’s 5th-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.

Ramon Urias has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 96.3-mph average over the past 14 days to his seasonal figure of 91.3-mph.

In terms of plate discipline, Ramon Urias’s ability is quite impressive, posting a 2.2 K/BB rate this year while ranking in in the 75th percentile.

When it comes to his home run talent, Brandon Lowe ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Brandon Lowe is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in today’s game.

Hitting from the opposite that Corbin Burnes throws from, Brandon Lowe will have an advantage in today’s game.

Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Brandon Lowe will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

Last year, Brandon Lowe had an average launch angle of 13.9° on his hardest-contacted balls, while this season it has significantly increased to 18.4°.

Ben Rortvedt is projected to bat 5th in the lineup today, which would be an upgrade from his 100% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season.

Hitting from the opposite that Corbin Burnes throws from, Ben Rortvedt will have an edge today.

Ben Rortvedt has a 76th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.7%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league’s 6th-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.

Ben Rortvedt will possess the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

Grading out in the 92nd percentile, Ben Rortvedt has put up a .361 BABIP this year.

Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Taylor Walls will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

Taylor Walls has made big improvements with his Barrel% in recent games, upping his 2.6% seasonal rate to 9.1% in the last week’s worth of games.

Despite posting a .232 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Taylor Walls has had some very poor luck given the .049 gap between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .281.

When estimating his home run talent, Christopher Morel ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Christopher Morel is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this matchup.

Christopher Morel pulls a lot of his flyballs (38% — 96th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards MLB’s 6th-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.

Christopher Morel will possess the home field advantage in today’s game, which should boost all of his stats.

Christopher Morel has made sizeable gains with his Barrel% lately, improving his 12.3% seasonal rate to 18.8% over the past 14 days.

When estimating his strikeout ability, the leading projection system (THE BAT) puts Drew Rasmussen in the 78th percentile among all SPs in Major League Baseball.

The #3 ballpark in the majors for boosting strikeouts, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Tropicana Field.

Drew Rasmussen will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats in all categories.

Drew Rasmussen’s 95.1-mph fastball velocity since the start of last season is in the 87th percentile among all SPs.

Anthony Santander is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this game.

Anthony Santander pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (40.6% — 99th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league’s 5th-shallowest RF fences today.

In the past 14 days, Anthony Santander’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 93.8-mph over the course of the season to 96.9-mph recently.

Anthony Santander’s launch angle this year (23.7°) is significantly higher than his 20° mark last year.

Anthony Santander’s launch angle of late (29.2° in the past two weeks’ worth of games) is a significant increase over his 23.7° seasonal mark.

As it relates to his batting average skill, Yandy Diaz is projected as the 12th-best hitter in MLB by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Yandy Diaz is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in today’s game.

Yandy Diaz has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (41.4%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of MLB’s 5th-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.

Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Yandy Diaz will hold that advantage in today’s game.

In the past 7 days, Yandy Diaz’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 7.5% up to 25%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Corbin Burnes in the 84th percentile as it relates to his strikeout talent.

Throwing 94.3 adjusted pitches per game per started this year on average, Corbin Burnes checks in at the 89th percentile.

The Tampa Bay Rays (25.2% K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) are projected to have the 5th-most strikeout-heavy lineup of all teams today.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Adley Rutschman (the Orioles’s expected catcher in today’s game) is considered to be a good pitch framer.

Cedric Mullins II will hold the platoon advantage against Drew Rasmussen in today’s matchup.

Cedric Mullins II pulls many of his flyballs (35.7% — 90th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league’s 5th-shallowest RF fences today.

Cedric Mullins II’s launch angle in recent games (10.7° in the last week’s worth of games) is considerably lower than his 23.4° seasonal angle.

Despite posting a .284 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Cedric Mullins II has experienced some negative variance given the .030 disparity between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .314.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan O’Hearn in the 91st percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.

Ryan O’Hearn is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in today’s game.

Ryan O’Hearn will have the handedness advantage over Drew Rasmussen in today’s game.

Ryan O’Hearn has a 78th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards the game’s 6th-shallowest LF fences today.

Ryan O’Hearn has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 90.4-mph to 95.7-mph over the last 7 days.

Corbin Burnes has been very fortunate when it comes to his ERA this year; his 2.63 mark is a good deal lower than his 3.56 FIP (Fielding Independent Pitching, an estimator of ERA that focuses on the things a pitcher has the most control over).

Gunnar Henderson projects as the 17th-best hitter in Major League Baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Gunnar Henderson is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.

Hitting from the opposite that Drew Rasmussen throws from, Gunnar Henderson will have the upper hand in today’s game.

Gunnar Henderson has an 80th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.3%) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them out towards baseball’s 6th-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.

Gunnar Henderson’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better in recent games, increasing from 45.5% on the season to 60.5% over the last two weeks.

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Adley Rutschman ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Adley Rutschman pulls many of his flyballs (33.4% — 76th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB’s 5th-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.

There has been a significant improvement in Adley Rutschman’s launch angle from last year’s 12.5° to 18° this year.

Adley Rutschman’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased of late, going from 48% on the season to 57.1% in the past two weeks’ worth of games.

Adley Rutschman has experienced some negative variance in regards to his wOBA this year; his .325 figure is a good deal lower than his .344 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan O’Hearn in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his batting average talent.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christopher Morel in the 85th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cedric Mullins II in the 76th percentile when estimating his home run skill.

Dylan Carlson has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (84% of the time), but he is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in today’s game.

Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Dylan Carlson will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

Dylan Carlson has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 93.8-mph average over the past week to his seasonal 86.1-mph EV.

Dylan Carlson’s average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls this year (24.6°) is significantly better than his 15° mark last season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Colton Cowser in the 87th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.

Using Statcast data, Colton Cowser is in the 89th percentile for offensive skills via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year at .352.

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Yandy Diaz ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Lowe in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.

There has been a significant improvement in Ramon Urias’s launch angle from last season’s 7.7° to 11.6° this year.

In the last 7 days, Adley Rutschman’s 25% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 17.7%.

When assessing his home run talent, Anthony Santander ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Siri in the 90th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent.

Putting up a 95-mph average exit velocity over the past two weeks, Gunnar Henderson has been in great form of late.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Holliday in the 80th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.

Saturday Game 2 player match stat slumps with Orioles vs Rays Matchup

Jackson Holliday is projected to bat 6th in the batting order in this game.

The #3 park in the league for suppressing base hits to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Tropicana Field.

The Tropicana Field roof projects to be closed today, making weather conditions in this contest -6° colder than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for pitching.

Out of all the teams on the slate today, the best infield defense belongs to the Tampa Bay Rays.

Playing on the road generally diminishes batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Jackson Holliday in today’s game.

Jose Siri is projected to hit 9th on the lineup card in this matchup.

Batting from the same side that Corbin Burnes throws from, Jose Siri will have a tough matchup in today’s game.

In the last two weeks, Jose Siri’s 5.9% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 19.8%.

Sporting a 4.66 K/BB rate this year, Jose Siri has shown poor plate discipline, placing in the 11th percentile.

Colton Cowser will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.

Colton Cowser has negatively regressed with his Barrel% recently; his 13.9% seasonal rate has dropped to 0% in the last 7 days.

Ramon Urias is projected to bat 8th in the batting order in this matchup.

12% of the time that Ramon Urias has started against a righty hurler this year, he has been lifted for a pinch-hitter.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Tropicana Field as the 3rd-worst ballpark in the majors for right-handed BABIP.

Batting from the same side that Drew Rasmussen throws from, Ramon Urias will have a tough matchup in today’s game.

This year, Brandon Lowe has been pulled from the game early in 14% of his appearances when starting against right-handed starter.

Brandon Lowe hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.2% — 94th percentile) but may find it hard to clear the league’s 9th-deepest CF fences in today’s game.

The Baltimore Orioles infield defense profiles as the 3rd-best among every team in action today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ben Rortvedt in the 12th percentile when estimating his batting average skill.

This year, Ben Rortvedt has been pulled from the game early in 15% of his appearances when starting against righty on the mound.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Taylor Walls in the 6th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill.

Taylor Walls is projected to bat 8th in the batting order in this matchup.

The switch-hitting Taylor Walls will be less advantaged while batting from his bad side (0) today against Corbin Burnes, Hitting from the same side that Corbin Burnes throws from, Christopher Morel will have a tough challenge in today’s game.

In the past 7 days, Christopher Morel’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 38.6%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) expects Drew Rasmussen to be on a bit of a short leash today, projecting a maximum of 72 pitches.

Carlos Torres grades out as a Huge Hitters Umpire and is expected to be umping in this game.

Drew Rasmussen has had positive variance on his side thus far when it comes to his strikeouts since the start of last season, compiling a 9.64 K/9 despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 8.79 — a 0.85 K/9 disparity.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Anthony Santander in the 2nd percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.

Tampa Bay’s #1-ranked outfield defense of all teams on the slate poses a formidable challenge for Anthony Santander, who tends to hit a lot of flyballs.

Batting from the same side that Corbin Burnes throws from, Yandy Diaz will have a tough challenge in today’s matchup.

Yandy Diaz is an extreme groundball hitter and squares off against the strong infield defense of Baltimore (#3-best on the slate today).

Playing on the road generally lowers pitcher stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Corbin Burnes today.

Corbin Burnes has relied on his cut-fastball 11.7% less often this year (43.7%) than he did last year (55.4%).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cedric Mullins II in the 9th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.

Cedric Mullins II is projected to bat 7th in the lineup in this game.

This year, Ryan O’Hearn has been pinch hit for in 18% of his appearances when starting against righty on the mound.

Playing on the road typically diminishes batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Ryan O’Hearn in today’s matchup.

Ryan O’Hearn has struggled with his Barrel% of late; his 7.1% seasonal rate has fallen to 0% over the last week.

Ryan O’Hearn’s launch angle lately (-12.5° in the past week) is considerably lower than his 12.1° seasonal figure.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)’s appraisal, Corbin Burnes’s overall pitching skill grades out in the 93rd percentile among all starting pitchers in the majors currently.

The Tampa Bay Rays have been the 4th-luckiest offense in the league this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to negatively regress the rest of the season, The #2 field in the league for suppressing batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Tropicana Field.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Taylor Walls in the 21st percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.

Over the last 14 days, Taylor Walls’s average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls (5.4°) has significantly dropped compared to his seasonal mark of 15°.

Gunnar Henderson will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.

Gunnar Henderson has been very fortunate when it comes to his home runs this year; his 33.6 HR per 600 plate appearances figure is considerably higher than his 24.2 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Adley Rutschman has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this year (100% of the time), but he is projected to bat 9th in the lineup today.

The switch-hitting Adley Rutschman will bat from his worse side (0) today against Drew Rasmussen, Cedric Mullins II will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.

In the last 7 days, Cedric Mullins II’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 5.1% down to 0%.

Cedric Mullins II’s average exit velocity has declined recently; his 87.1-mph seasonal average has dropped off to 78.8-mph over the past week.

The switch-hitting Dylan Carlson will be less advantaged while batting from his worse side (0) today against Corbin Burnes, Dylan Carlson has compiled a .256 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year, checking in at the 15th percentile for offensive ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Checking in at the 25th percentile, Dylan Carlson has put up a .251 wOBA (widely regarded as the top indicator of overall offense) this year.

Posting a .264 Slugging Percentage (SLG) this year, Dylan Carlson is ranked in the 19th percentile.

Despite posting a .392 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Gunnar Henderson has been very fortunate given the .028 deviation between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .364.

Colton Cowser’s average exit velocity has decreased of late; his 91.1-mph seasonal EV has dropped to 83.8-mph over the last 7 days.

Colton Cowser’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off in recent games, falling from 18.4% on the season to 10.5% in the past two weeks.

Yandy Diaz’s average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls this season (-0.1°) is quite a bit worse than his 4.9° angle last season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ben Rortvedt in the 18th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.

In the last week’s worth of games, Ben Rortvedt’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased from his seasonal average of 87.8 mph to 71.5 mph.

Compared to his seasonal mark of 10.2°, Ben Rortvedt has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (-11°) in the last two weeks.

Ramon Urias will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s matchup.

Based on Statcast data, Dylan Carlson ranks in the 14th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average this year at .196.

Adley Rutschman will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today.

Adley Rutschman has negatively regressed with his Barrel% of late; his 7.6% seasonal rate has fallen to 0% in the past 14 days.

Playing on the road typically reduces hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Anthony Santander in today’s matchup.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (35.2) implies that Anthony Santander has had positive variance on his side this year with his 43.0 actual HR/600.

In the past two weeks’ worth of games, Brandon Lowe’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off from his seasonal average of 95 mph to 92.9 mph.

Compared to his seasonal mark of 16.6°, Brandon Lowe has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (6.8°) in the last two weeks’ worth of games.