
BAL @ ATL



Series Game 3 Matchup Details
Series Game 3
Todays Game is on Sunday, July 6th
06/07/25 11:35:00 AM EST First Pitch
Positive Match Player Stats for Orioles vs Braves Series Game 3 Matchup Today
Among all parks, Truist Park’s left field dimensions are the 2nd-deepest.
In his previous GS, Trevor Rogers was on point and allowed 0 ER.
Trevor Rogers’s fastball velocity has spiked 1 mph this year (92.9 mph) over where it was last year (91.9 mph).
Out of all starters, Trevor Rogers’s fastball spin rate of 2418 rpm grades out in the 80th percentile this year.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Truist Park as the 7th-best venue in Major League Baseball for strikeouts.
Trevor Rogers has been unlucky in regards to his strikeouts since the start of last season, notching a 7.07 K/9 despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 7.64 — a 0.57 K/9 deviation.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Grant Holmes in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his strikeout talent.
Grant Holmes has averaged 94.9 adjusted pitches per start this year, ranking in the 91st percentile.
Despite conventional wisdom, fastballs are typically a pitcher’s least effective pitch. Grant Holmes must realize this, because he has relied on his secondary pitches a lot this year: 64.2% of the time, grading out in the 91st percentile.
Grant Holmes has compiled a 13.3% Swinging Strike% this year, checking in at the 88th percentile.
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)’s evaluation, Grant Holmes’s overall pitching ability is in the 78th percentile among all SPs in MLB currently.
Negative Match Player Stats with Orioles vs Braves Series Game 3
Truist Park profiles as the #5 venue in the game for base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude in Major League Baseball, which tends to lead to more offense.
Trevor Rogers has used his four-seam fastball 10.3% more often this season (42%) than he did last season (31.7%).
Trevor Rogers has put up a .197 BABIP this year, indicating that he has been one of the luckiest pitchers in baseball on balls in play and regression likely forthcoming.
Checking in at the 24th percentile, Trevor Rogers compiled a 9.2% Swinging Strike percentage since the start of last season.
Given the 0.53 gap between Grant Holmes’s 10.59 K/9 and his 10.07 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it’s safe to say he’s been one of the luckiest pitchers in MLB this year when it comes to strikeouts and figures to perform worse in future games.
Grant Holmes has notched a .257 BABIP this year, a sign that he has been one of the luckiest mound aces in MLB on balls in play and regression likely forthcoming.
Grant Holmes’s 3rd percentile walk rate (11.4% this year) shows his poor control ability.
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