Matchup Details

Positive Match Player Stats for Orioles vs Braves Matchup Today

As it relates to his home run ability, Colton Cowser ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Truist Park projects as the #6 park in MLB for left-handed base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest elevation in the league. High elevation often leads to more offense.

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 2nd-hottest weather of the day at 89°.

Colton Cowser will hold the platoon advantage against Spencer Strider in today’s game.

Colton Cowser’s BABIP talent is projected in the 90th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Colton Cowser has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 91.4-mph to 93.8-mph in the past week’s worth of games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Holliday in the 95th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent.

Jackson Holliday is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in today’s game.

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Jackson Holliday ranks in the 77th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Hitting from the opposite that Spencer Strider throws from, Jackson Holliday will have the upper hand in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Truist Park as the 6th-best venue in the majors for RHB BABIP.

Ramon Urias has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 96.8-mph average in the past week to his seasonal average of 93.1-mph.

Ramon Urias’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better from last year to this one, increasing from 38.1% to 45.6%.

Truist Park has the 5th-shallowest CF dimensions among all major league parks.

Batting from the opposite that Spencer Strider throws from, Cedric Mullins will have an edge today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cedric Mullins in the 78th percentile when estimating his home run ability.

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Ryan O’Hearn ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Ryan O’Hearn is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this matchup.

Ryan O’Hearn will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Spencer Strider in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan O’Hearn in the 94th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Matt Olson ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Matt Olson is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ramon Laureano in the 78th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill.

Ramon Laureano is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this game.

When estimating his home run skill, Ramon Laureano ranks in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Over the past two weeks, Ramon Laureano’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 94.3-mph over the course of the season to 102.3-mph lately.

Jurickson Profar is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in today’s game.

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Jurickson Profar ranks in the 79th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Charlie Morton in the 86th percentile when estimating his strikeout skill.

Truist Park grades out as the #7 field in baseball for strikeouts, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

The 2nd-best projected batting order of the day in terms of overall offensive ability is that of the Atlanta Braves.

It may be smart to expect positive regression for the Atlanta Braves offense in the future, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes they are the 2nd-unluckiest offense in the majors this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Truist Park as the 5th-best field in the majors for BABIP.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Marcell Ozuna in the 94th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.

Marcell Ozuna is penciled in 4th in the batting order today.

Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats across the board, and Marcell Ozuna will hold that advantage today.

Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Ozzie Albies will hold that advantage in today’s game.

Ozzie Albies has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 87.1-mph to 90.5-mph over the last 7 days.

Ronald Acuna Jr. projects as the 5th-best batter in the majors, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Ronald Acuna Jr. is penciled in 1st in the batting order in today’s game.

Ronald Acuna Jr. hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.9% — 97th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards MLB’s 5th-shallowest CF fences today.

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Austin Riley ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Austin Riley is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.

Austin Riley hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 80th percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB’s 5th-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gary Sanchez in the 96th percentile when it comes to his home run skill.

Gary Sanchez is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this matchup.

Gary Sanchez’s average exit velocity has risen significantly from last season to this one, averaging 93.6-mph now compared to just 90-mph then.

Nick Allen hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.2% — 90th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards baseball’s 5th-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.

Nick Allen will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s game, which figures to boost all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Harris II in the 91st percentile as it relates to his batting average talent.

Michael Harris II will hold the platoon advantage against Charlie Morton in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Harris II in the 77th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.

Michael Harris II may have an edge against every reliever for the whole game, since the bullpen of the Baltimore Orioles has just 1 same-handed RP.

When estimating his strikeout ability, Spencer Strider projects as the 4th-best pitcher in the majors currently, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Spencer Strider has averaged 91.3 adjusted pitches per GS this year, checking in at the 75th percentile.

The Baltimore Orioles have 4 hitters in their projected lineup today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Ramon Laureano, Gary Sanchez, Colton Cowser, Jacob Stallings).

Spencer Strider will possess the home field advantage in today’s game, which should bolster all of his metrics across the board.

The Baltimore Orioles have been the 6th-unluckiest offense in the majors this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to hit better in future games,When estimating his BABIP skill, Gunnar Henderson is projected as the 19th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Gunnar Henderson is penciled in 3rd in the batting order today.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Gunnar Henderson ranks as the 19th-best hitter in the game.

Gunnar Henderson will hold the platoon advantage against Spencer Strider in today’s game.

Negative Match Player Stats with Orioles vs Braves

Colton Cowser is penciled in 6th in the lineup in this matchup.

Colton Cowser has an 82nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.5%) and will have to hit them out towards MLB’s 2nd-deepest LF fences today.

Playing on the road generally weakens batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Colton Cowser today.

In the past two weeks, Colton Cowser’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 13.3% down to 6.7%.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.292) provides evidence that Colton Cowser has been very fortunate this year with his .342 actual wOBA.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Truist Park as the 5th-worst ballpark in the game for LHB home runs.

Jackson Holliday has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.9%) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards MLB’s 2nd-deepest LF fences in today’s game.

Playing on the road typically lessens hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Jackson Holliday today.

Jackson Holliday has displayed weak plate discipline this year, grading out in the 19th percentile with a 4.09 K/BB rate.

Jackson Holliday’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off from last season to this one, going from 16.4% to 13.4%.

Ramon Urias is projected to bat 7th in the lineup in this matchup.

Truist Park has the 2nd-deepest LF fences among all major league stadiums.

Batting from the same side that Spencer Strider throws from, Ramon Urias meets a tough challenge today.

Ramon Urias will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cedric Mullins in the 6th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill.

Cedric Mullins is penciled in 8th in the lineup today.

Extreme flyball hitters like Cedric Mullins usually hit worse against extreme flyball pitchers like Spencer Strider.

Playing on the road generally lessens batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Cedric Mullins in today’s game.

Cedric Mullins has taken a step back with his Barrel% in recent games; his 7.5% seasonal rate has lowered to 0% over the last two weeks.

This year, Ryan O’Hearn has been pinch hit for in 12% of his appearances when starting against right-handed pitcher.

Ryan O’Hearn has an 87th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.3%) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the league’s 2nd-deepest LF fences in today’s matchup.

Ryan O’Hearn will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.

In the last week, Ryan O’Hearn’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased from his seasonal figure of 92.3 mph to 88.8 mph.

Over the last 7 days, Ryan O’Hearn’s 30.8% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 47.8%.

Matt Olson’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off recently, decreasing from 18.1% on the season to 7.1% in the last 7 days.

Batting from the same side that Spencer Strider throws from, Ramon Laureano meets a tough challenge in today’s matchup.

Ramon Laureano pulls many of his flyballs (34.9% — 88th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards baseball’s 2nd-deepest LF fences today.

Playing on the road generally reduces hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Ramon Laureano in today’s matchup.

Ramon Laureano has taken a step back with his Barrel% of late; his 10.8% seasonal rate has fallen off to 4% in the past two weeks.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Ramon Laureano’s true offensive talent to be a .319, implying that he has been very fortunate this year given the .050 difference between that figure and his actual .369 wOBA.

The #5 park in baseball for suppressing home runs to righties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park.

Jurickson Profar’s BABIP ability is projected in the 15th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

As a switch-hitter who bats worse from the 0 side of the dish, Jurickson Profar will be less advantaged while batting from his worse side against Charlie Morton in today’s game.

Jurickson Profar’s footspeed has decreased this season. His 26.45 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 23.58 ft/sec now.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (16.7) suggests that Jurickson Profar has been very fortunate since the start of last season with his 21.8 actual HR/600.

Jurickson Profar and his 9.1° launch angle on his hardest-hit balls rank in 23rd percentile, among the lowest in the game since the start of last season.

Jurickson Profar has had some very good luck with with his wOBA since the start of last season; his .363 rate is inflated compared to his .347 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Charlie Morton is projected to throw 84 pitches in this matchup by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the 10th-least on the slate today.

Charlie Morton will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s game.

With a 1.09 deviation between Charlie Morton’s 5.63 ERA and his 4.53 FIP, it’s safe to say he’s been one of the least fortunate pitchers in the majors this year and ought to see better results going forward.

Charlie Morton has put up a .346 BABIP this year, a sign that he has been one of the unluckiest hurlers in the majors on balls in play with better performance likely coming.

Rating 5th-least steep in the majors this year, Atlanta Braves batters jointly have put up a 12.1° launch angle on their highest exit velocity balls (a reliable standard to evaluate power skills).

Batting from the same side that Charlie Morton throws from, Marcell Ozuna has a tough challenge in today’s matchup.

Marcell Ozuna pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.9% — 80th percentile) and will be challenged by MLB’s 2nd-deepest LF fences in today’s matchup.

Marcell Ozuna has negatively regressed with his Barrel% lately; his 11.4% seasonal rate has fallen to 0% in the past 7 days.

Marcell Ozuna’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off this year; his 98.2-mph EV last year has dropped to 95.1-mph.

Marcell Ozuna’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased in recent games, going from 16.5% on the season to 0% over the last 7 days.

Ozzie Albies’s BABIP ability is projected in the 12th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Ozzie Albies is penciled in 6th on the lineup card in today’s game.

As a switch-hitter who bats worse from the 0 side of the dish, Ozzie Albies will be less advantaged while batting from his weak side against Charlie Morton in today’s matchup.

With a .282 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) this year, Ozzie Albies is positioned in the 12th percentile for offensive skills.

With a .313 Slugging Percentage (SLG) this year, Ozzie Albies is positioned in the 9th percentile.

Ozzie Albies has put up a .271 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, grading out in the 12th percentile.

Charlie Morton will have the handedness advantage against Ronald Acuna Jr. today.

Ronald Acuna Jr.’s average exit velocity has decreased of late; his 92.4-mph seasonal average has dropped to 74.5-mph in the last 7 days.

As it relates to his batting average, Ronald Acuna Jr. has been very fortunate this year. His .346 figure has been considerably higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .264.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.385) suggests that Ronald Acuna Jr. has had some very good luck this year with his .452 actual wOBA.

Charlie Morton will hold the platoon advantage over Austin Riley in today’s game.

Austin Riley’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off from last season to this one, decreasing from 18.4% to 15.4%.

By putting up a 4.27 K/BB rate this year, Austin Riley has demonstrated poor plate discipline, ranking in the 16th percentile.

Austin Riley’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has fallen off recently, falling from 45.8% on the season to 28.6% over the last week.

Hitting from the same side that Spencer Strider throws from, Gary Sanchez has a tough challenge in today’s matchup.

Gary Sanchez pulls a lot of his flyballs (37% — 95th percentile) but may find it hard to clear the league’s 2nd-deepest LF fences today.

Gary Sanchez will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s game.

Gary Sanchez’s average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls this year (9.2°) is a considerable dropoff from his 16.1° angle last season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gary Sanchez in the 2nd percentile when estimating his BABIP talent.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Allen in the 2nd percentile when estimating his home run talent.

Nick Allen is penciled in 9th in the lineup in this game.

Nick Allen has been lifted for a pinch-hitter 12% of the time when starting against a northpaw this year.

Batting from the same side that Charlie Morton throws from, Nick Allen will have a disadvantage in today’s matchup.

Nick Allen’s average exit velocity has decreased of late; his 84.5-mph seasonal figure has dropped off to 80.3-mph in the last two weeks.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Allen in the 5th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.

Michael Harris II is projected to hit 8th on the lineup card today.

Michael Harris II’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off this year; his 93.4-mph EV last year has fallen off to 91.3-mph.

Over the past 14 days, Michael Harris II’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 12.7%.

By putting up a .240 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Michael Harris II finds himself in the 1st percentile.

As it relates to plate discipline, Michael Harris II’s skill is quite weak, putting up a 6.38 K/BB rate this year while ranking in in the 4th percentile.

Spencer Strider’s high utilization percentage of his fastball (55% this year) is likely hurting his results, consider they are typically much less effective than breaking or off-speed pitches.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Spencer Strider as the 18th-best starting pitcher in Major League Baseball right now.

Spencer Strider is an extreme flyball pitcher (37.3% FB% per the leading projection system, THE BAT) and should be aided by pitching in the #24 HR venue in MLB in this matchup.

In his last game started, Spencer Strider was rolling and allowed 2 ER.

Gunnar Henderson will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s matchup.

Gunnar Henderson’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased from last season to this one, falling from 14.1% to 9.7%.

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